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Trump's State of the Union Speech Was Remarkable for What He Didn't Say |
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Wednesday, 31 January 2018 09:44 |
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Page writes: "Some presidents have gotten a bump in their approval rating after their first State of the Union address. But it seems unlikely that any speech is going to shake up an electorate that already seems so firmly set for and against Trump."
President Trump at the State of the Union address. (photo: Win McNamee/Getty Images)

ALSO SEE: The Chilling Attack on Democracy Buried in Trump's State of the Union Speech
Trump's State of the Union Speech Was Remarkable for What He Didn't Say
By Susan Page, USA Today
31 January 18
e bragged about the achievements of his administration so far and proposed ambitious legislative initiatives ahead. He hailed ordinary Americans who had done extraordinary things and called for new sense of national unity.
In other words, the most unconventional president in modern times, governing at a time of historic turbulence, delivered a conventional State of the Union that with some policy tweaks could have been given by any number of his recent predecessors.
The most remarkable thing about President Trump’s first State of the Union address Tuesday night may be that it wasn’t particularly remarkable. That, and the fact that the most perilous challenge he faces went unmentioned.
More than any legislative proposal, Trump's future is likely to be shaped by the conclusions of special counsel Robert Mueller's probe into Moscow's meddling in the 2016 election. At issue is whether Trump's campaign colluded with Russia's illegal efforts to boost his candidacy, and whether Trump as president tried to obstruct the investigation into what had happened.
Mueller is now negotiating with Trump's lawyers for the ground rules to question him, a signal that at least some parts of the inquiry are nearly completed. What's more, the president may spark a firestorm within the next few days by approving the release of a classified House Intelligence Committee memo, disputed by Democrats, that raises questions about the origins of the inquiry.
But that wasn't what Trump focused on from the well of the House, reading from the Teleprompter and generally sticking to the script. Gone was the dark rhetoric he had used in his inaugural address a year ago, when he decried "American carnage." The chord he sought to strike Tuesday was more akin to the optimistic tone when he spoke to Congress a month after his inaugural.
"This is our new American moment," the president declared Tuesday. "There has never been a better time to start living the American dream."
That may have seemed like an ironic turn of phrase for the DREAMers in the audience — young people brought illegally to the United States as children whose fate is caught in limbo during the debate over immigration. Some Democratic members of Congress invited DREAMers from their districts as their guests to watch the speech from the gallery, a not-so-subtle reminder of their plight.
There was another unspoken protest on the House floor among Democratic women in Congress. Most wore black to show solidarity with the #MeToo movement, as Hollywood women did at the Golden Globes awards earlier this month. Their message was both expansive and targeted: About 20 women have accused Trump of sexual misconduct in the past, allegations he has denied.
(In what seems to be an emerging War of the Wardrobes, some Republican women in Congress wore red, white and blue in what they called a show of solidarity with the U.S. military. And some members of the Congressional Black Caucus, including Rep. Jim Clyburn of South Carolina, wore kente scarves and ties to rebuke Trump's vulgar characterization of African countries.)
In his speech, Trump adopted the language his White House predecessors have favored. The last five presidents, from Ronald Reagan to Barack Obama, had declared that the state of the union was "strong." So did Trump. "The state of our union is strong because our people are strong," he said.
He took credit for the nation's good economy, saying his administration had rolled back regulations, "ended the war on American energy" and "turned the page on decades of unfair trade deals." He said the $1.5 trillion tax bill he signed in December, the only major legislation enacted last year, had brought "tremendous relief for the middle class and small businesses."
He called for bipartisan action on his administration's immigration plan, which would offer a path to citizenship for 1.8 million Dreamers, build a wall along the nation's southern border, and curb some legal immigration. "A down-the-middle compromise," he called it. Those on both sides apparently disagree: Immigration hardliners call the citizenship provision unacceptable, and there were scattered boos from Democrats when he extolled new limits on "chain migration," which allows legal immigrants to sponsor family members.
Trump also urged Democrats to join him in approving a $1.5 trillion infrastructure plan, including changes in environmental and other regulations to streamline the approval process for road, bridge and sewage projects. "America is a nation of builders," he said. "We built the Empire State Building in just one year. Isn't it a disgrace that it can now take 10 years just to get a permit approved for a simple road?"
But there were limits to Trump's bipartisanship tone. Among the loudest applause lines was his declaration that the individual mandate in the Affordable Care Act had been repealed; Republicans cheered while Democrats sat stone-faced. Trump alluded to the the debate over NFL players taking a knee during the national anthem to protest police brutality and racism by singling out for praise a 12-year-old boy who led an effort to place flags on veterans' graves. He "reminds us...why we proudly stand for the national anthem," Trump said.
And he declared, "Americans are dreamers, too," in a section that blamed immigrants for violence against citizens. That undoubtedly dismayed DREAMers and their allies.
To be sure, the prospects for passage of any big bills this year seem long. Democrats see little incentive to give the president legislative victories in advance of what they hope will be an election "wave" in November, one that could give them control of the House. The GOP majority in the Senate has narrowed to 51 seats. Even the most skilled legislative tactician would find this political landscape difficult.
No modern president at this early point in his term has addressed an American public that is so unhappy about and divided by his leadership. Trump has the lowest job-approval rating of any modern president at this point in his term, and it has been uncommonly stable. Since last March, Trump’s approval rating in the RealClearPolitics average of public national polls has consistently been below 45%; his disapproval rating has consistently been above 50%.
Some presidents have gotten a bump in their approval rating after their first State of the Union address. But it seems unlikely that any speech is going to shake up an electorate that already seems so firmly set for and against Trump. The resonance of this State of the Union was reduced by the political situation of the day and the other, unprecedented ways the 45th president has devised to communicate with Americans and the world.
For that, watch the @realdonaldtrump Twitter feed on Wednesday morning.

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Trump, Russia, Election. Quid, Pro, Quo. |
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Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=11104"><span class="small">Charles Pierce, Esquire</span></a>
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Tuesday, 30 January 2018 14:59 |
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Pierce writes: "Here's a story that you will not find in Tuesday morning's editions of either the New York Times or The Washington Post because reasons, I guess. On Monday, when President* Trump was fitting the employees of the Department of Justice for their armbands, he also was supposed to sign a bill imposing new sanctions on Russia for its ratfcking of the 2016 presidential election."
Donald Trump traveled to Moscow in 2013 to meet Vladimir Putin hoping to discuss plans for a Trump Tower near Red Square. (photo: AP/Getty Images)

ALSO SEE: The Trump Administration's Weird Explanation for Withholding Russia Sanctions
Trump, Russia, Election. Quid, Pro, Quo.
By Charles Pierce, Esquire
30 January 18
Sanctions? What sanctions?
ere’s a story that you will not find in Tuesday morning’s editions of either the New York Times or The Washington Post because reasons, I guess. On Monday, when President* Trump was fitting the employees of the Department of Justice for their armbands, he also was supposed to sign a bill imposing new sanctions on Russia for its ratfcking of the 2016 presidential election. Congress voted these new sanctions almost unanimously last year.
You know what’s coming, right? You don’t even need Reuters to see where the quid exchanges a warm embrace with the quo.
“Today, we have informed Congress that this legislation and its implementation are deterring Russian defense sales,” State Department spokeswoman Heather Nauert said in a statement. “Since the enactment of the ... legislation, we estimate that foreign governments have abandoned planned or announced purchases of several billion dollars in Russian defense acquisitions.” Seeking to press President Donald Trump to clamp down on Russia, the U.S. Congress voted nearly unanimously last year to pass a law setting sweeping new sanctions on Moscow. Trump, who wanted warmer ties with Moscow and had opposed the legislation as it worked its way through Congress, signed it reluctantly in August, just six months into his presidency.
Members of the Congress went predictably agog. Susan Collins of Maine, easily recognized by the neon letters “Fool Me, Please” that are attached to her forehead, was particularly gobsmacked, as The Hill reports.
Sen. Susan Collins (R-Maine) on Tuesday said it’s “perplexing” that the Trump administration opted to not implement additional sanctions on Russia for meddling in the 2016 election. "The one thing we know for sure already is the Russians did attempt to meddle in our election. And not only should there be a price to pay in terms of sanctions, but also we need to put safeguards in place right now for the elections for this year,” Collins said on CNN’s “New Day.”
How Collins doesn’t own 11,000 tons of cheap aluminum siding in her backyard in Maine remains a puzzle.
Don’t worry, though, because the administration* has assured us that it’s still on the case. From the earlier Reuters piece:
Shortly before midnight (0500 GMT) on Monday, the Treasury Department released an unclassified “oligarchs” list, including 114 senior Russian political figures and 96 business people. Those named on the list will not immediately face any immediate penalties like asset freezes or visa bans. But the law mandated that the U.S. Treasury and State Departments, and intelligence agencies, compile a list of political figures and business people close to Putin’s government and network, for potential future sanctions.
There’s a list. And Susan Collins is perplexed. The terror in the Kremlin must be uncontrollable.

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Did McCabe Jump or Was He Pushed? |
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Tuesday, 30 January 2018 14:56 |
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Mounk writes: "In the years following World War II, the Soviet Union systematically attempted to undermine democratically elected governments in countries from Poland to Yugoslavia. But to install communist regimes, it first needed to get rid of these countries' most popular public servants - and it often resorted to murder to do so."
Andrew McCabe and President Donald Trump. (photo: Pete Marovich/Ron Sachs/Getty Images/Slate)

Did McCabe Jump or Was He Pushed?
By Yascha Mounk, Slate
30 January 18
Trump’s actions have given us no reason to give his administration the benefit of the doubt.
n the years following World War II, the Soviet Union systematically attempted to undermine democratically elected governments in countries from Poland to Yugoslavia. But to install communist regimes, it first needed to get rid of these countries’ most popular public servants—and it often resorted to murder to do so. This is why few people believed the official story when Jan Masaryk, the brave foreign minister of Czechoslovakia, was found dead below his bedroom window one fine spring morning in 1948. According to the official investigation, he had died by suicide by jumping out of his window. Though they had no way of proving it, most of his compatriots preferred to think that he had “been jumped.”
In the United States of 2018, we do things in a more civilized manner. On Monday, Andrew McCabe, the deputy director of the FBI, announced that he is retiring. In light of the vicious partisan attacks he has had to endure over the past months, it would probably be more accurate to say that he “was retired”; but at least he will, much to the annoyance of Donald Trump Jr., be able to enjoy his retirement with a full state pension.
The exact circumstances surrounding McCabe’s retirement are nearly as murky as were the details of Masaryk’s death seven decades ago. According to news stories, the inspector general of the FBI is set to criticize McCabe’s handling of the investigation into Hillary Clinton in a forthcoming report. These criticisms supposedly persuaded Christopher Wray—the FBI director whom Donald Trump appointed after firing his predecessor, James Comey—to demote McCabe. Unwilling to accept this humiliation, McCabe quit.
To get a full picture of the degree to which Donald Trump is or is not undermining the independence of key institutions like the FBI, we would need to know the answers to a whole slew of questions about this case: Has the White House put pressure on the inspector general? How serious is the criticism the forthcoming report levies against McCabe? And is Wray genuinely perturbed by these findings—or is he using them as an excuse to do Trump’s bidding?
It will take months, maybe years, until we get to the bottom of these questions. For political observers who want to avoid the mad rush to partisan judgment, it’s therefore tempting to insist that we cannot yet say whether something bad is going on. What we’re seeing at the FBI might be the most blatant political meddling with independent law enforcement agencies in living memory. Or it might simply be the usual accountability mechanisms playing themselves out as designed. It’s too early to tell.
But though the urge to withhold judgment is tempting, it is dead wrong. For while we, in any case, need to find answers to all of these questions, doing so is not a prerequisite for concluding that the White House is meddling with the FBI—and succeeding in corrupting the key institutions needed for the survival of liberal democracy.
To recap, McCabe is a highly distinguished career official. Even when senior officials make significant mistakes, it is highly unusual for them to be hounded out of their positions less than two months before they are set to retire. Trump has already fired a previous FBI director because he was unwilling to swear political loyalty to him. Over the past months, Trump has deployed the whole arsenal of his weapons—from early morning tweets to lackey congressmen to adulatory television hosts—to smear McCabe. And he so happens to have a lot to gain from McCabe’s departure.
None of this rules out the possibility that McCabe made a serious mistake for which he is now receiving his just punishment. But that would be a hell of a coincidence. So until McCabe’s guilt is proven, Occam’s razor demands that we assume his innocence. And to assume his innocence is, in this case, to conclude that the FBI’s director or its inspector general—or both—are willing pawns in the president’s ruthless game of self-preservation. And that is terrifying.
(Wray, of course, is also a distinguished career official. But there is a crucial difference between him and McCabe: After Trump fired Comey, Trump needed to find one person in the country who would both have reason to do his bidding and look like a plausible candidate for FBI director. As I wrote at the time, this should have made us skeptical of anybody whom Trump ultimately nominated. Even before Wray’s questionable actions over the past days, there were thus good reasons to trust McCabe’s credibility over Wray’s.)
But let’s assume, for a moment, that the mind-bogglingly unlikely somehow turns out to be true and it’s all a giant coincidence. Just as a broken clock is right twice a day, Trump’s eagerness—and his accomplices’ willingness—to smear an upstanding public servant for political gain so happened to home in on the right target in this case. Would that mean that we needn’t worry about the way in which McCabe has been hounded out of office?
No.
Justice, as the famous proverb reminds us, doesn’t just need to be done; it also needs to be seen to be done. For citizens to have trust in their judicial system—and, more broadly, to believe that their country’s most important political decisions aren’t being determined in some sinister conspiracy—they need to be able to track and understand what is going on. This is why it is so important for presidents to stick to some long-established protocols, like refraining from attacking particular law enforcement agents; from contacting officials who could potentially bring charges against them; or from demanding political loyalty from public servants who are meant to be independent. Trump has brazenly broken all of these protocols. And so it is his fault that—like the subjects of authoritarian regimes from Czechoslovakia to Iran—we now know so little about what is really going on at the heart of power that it is perfectly rational for us to resort to conspiracy theory.
There’s an abstract way to express the harm this does: If democracy promises to let the people rule, this logically requires that the people should be able to tell what it is that is being done in their name. Even in the unlikely case in which Trump’s attacks on the FBI eventually turn out to have been all talk and no action, his willingness to create the impression that he is improperly swaying the actions of the bureau thus undermines the core promise of democracy.
Another way to express the harm is painfully concrete. For if you and I cannot tell the degree to which the leadership of the country’s most important law enforcement agency is now complicit with the president, nor can that agency’s rank-and-file agents. Would ambitious midlevel operatives who come into information that incriminates key members of the administration—or, for that matter, distant friends and relatives of the president—treat this information the same way they would have under more ordinary circumstances? Almost definitely not.
Some people have such an extreme image of what authoritarian power grabs look like that they are unable to recognize the concerted attack on the FBI for what it is: Though McCabe was not found dead in his pajamas below his office window, his ouster is a clear attempt to increase Trump’s power by exercising political control over America’s most important law enforcement agency. The immediate purpose, of course, is to shield Donald Trump from the ongoing investigation into his ties to Russia. This, in itself, is serious enough. But the true stakes are even bigger than that. For once the White House effectively controls the FBI, it might well decide that offense is the best defense and decide to try Hillary Clinton—or to investigate Trump’s adversary in the next presidential elections. The maintenance of free and fair elections can no longer be guaranteed.
And this is why McCabe’s ouster should be of pressing concern even to people who believe that Democrats would be well-advised to focus less on l’Affaire Russe: With every passing day, Trump’s desperate attempt to shield himself from investigation goes one step closer to turning into a straightforward—and increasingly powerful—attack on American democracy.

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FOCUS: "Fox & Friends" Putting Finishing Touches on Trump's State of the Union Address |
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Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=9160"><span class="small">Andy Borowitz, The New Yorker</span></a>
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Tuesday, 30 January 2018 13:07 |
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Borowitz writes: "With just one day until Donald J. Trump's first State of the Union address, the cast of 'Fox and Friends' is working furiously on the final draft of the speech, members confirmed today."
Fox & Friends. (photo: Richard Drew/AP/REX)

"Fox & Friends" Putting Finishing Touches on Trump's State of the Union Address
By Andy Borowitz, The New Yorker
30 January 18
The article below is satire. Andy Borowitz is an American comedian and New York Times-bestselling author who satirizes the news for his column, "The Borowitz Report." 
ith just one day until Donald J. Trump’s first State of the Union address, the cast of “Fox and Friends” is working furiously on the final draft of the speech, members confirmed today.
“We’ve really been burning the midnight oil,” Steve Doocy, the host of the Fox program, said. “We have so much to say tomorrow night, and we want to get it all in there.”
Doocy said that when he read the first draft of the State of the Union address last week, he “kind of flipped out” when he realized that there was “absolutely no mention of Hillary Clinton’s Hydra-like tentacles controlling the Deep State.”
“The State of the Union address is the President’s chance to tell the American people where the country is and where it’s going,” Doocy said. “You can’t do that without talking about how Crooked Hillary is funnelling her Russian-uranium riches directly into Bob Mueller’s bank account in the Seychelles.”
While Trump reportedly has had input from other sources, including the Fox News anchor Sean Hannity, the conspiracy theorist Alex Jones, and several neo-Nazi Twitter accounts, Doocy said that the cast of “Fox & Friends” has final approval of the version that Trump will read Tuesday night.
“Someone has to have the last word,” Doocy said. “There are a lot of voices in President Trump’s head, and that’s not including the actual voices that are always in his head.”

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