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FOCUS: The Ultimate Blowback Universe, a Planet Boiling With Unintended Consequence Print
Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=6396"><span class="small">Tom Engelhardt, TomDispatch</span></a>   
Thursday, 01 March 2018 13:03

Engelhardt writes: "Washington created what was, in effect, a never-ending blowback machine. In those years, while the distant wars went on and on (and terrors of every imaginable sort grew in this country), the United States was transformed in a remarkable, if not yet fully graspable, fashion."

A soldier watches oil wells on fire in southern Iraq. (photo: Getty)
A soldier watches oil wells on fire in southern Iraq. (photo: Getty)


The Ultimate Blowback Universe, a Planet Boiling With Unintended Consequence

By Tom Engelhardt, TomDispatch

01 March 18

 


[Note for TomDispatch readers: Just another of my small reminders as 2018 becomes the year from hell. At our donation page, you can, as ever, find a set of outstanding books on that very hell ready to be signed and personalized in return for a donation of at least $100 to this website ($125 if you live outside the United States). Among them are historian Alfred McCoy’s hit Dispatch Book, In the Shadows of the American Century: The Rise and Decline of U.S. Global Power; John Feffer’s dystopian thriller, Splinterlands; Rebecca Gordon’s American Nuremberg; and my own Shadow Government. Check out our donation page for the details and keep in mind that this website relies on your never-ending generosity to stay afloat in rough seas.

-Tom Engelhardt, TomDispatch]


The Ultimate Blowback Universe
A Planet Boiling With Unintended Consequences

ou want to see “blowback” in action? That's easy enough. All you need is a vague sense of how Google Search works. Then type into it phrases like “warmest years,” “rising sea levels,” “melting ice,” “lengthening wildfire season,” or “future climate refugees,” and you’ll find yourself immersed in the grimmest of blowback universes.  It’s a world which should give that CIA term of tradecraft a meaning even the Agency never imagined for it. 

But before I put you on this blowback planet of ours and introduce you to the blowback president presiding over it, I want to take a moment to remember Mr. Blowback himself.

And what a guy he was!  Here’s how he described himself in the last piece he wrote for TomDispatch just months before his death in November 2010: “My own role these past 20 years has been that of Cassandra, whom the gods gave the gift of foreseeing the future, but also cursed because no one believed her.”

He wasn’t being immodest.  He had, in many ways, seen the shape of things to come for what he never hesitated to call “the American empire,” including -- in that 2010 piece -- its decline.  As he wrote then, “Thirty-five years from now, America's official century of being top dog (1945-2045) will have come to an end; its time may, in fact, be running out right now. We are likely to begin to look ever more like a giant version of England at the end of its imperial run, as we come face to face with, if not necessarily to terms with, our aging infrastructure, declining international clout, and sagging economy.”

You know how -- if you’re of a certain age at least -- there are those moments when you go back to the books that truly mattered to you, the ones that somehow prepared you, as best anyone can be prepared, for the years to come.  One I return to regularly is his.  I’m talking about Blowback: The Costs and Consequences of American Empire.

The man who wrote that was Chalmers Johnson, a former CIA consultant and eminent scholar of modern Asian history, who would in that work characterize himself in his former life as a “spear-carrier for empire.”

Blowback was published in 2000 to next to no notice.  After the attacks of September 11, 2001, however, it became a bestseller.  There was so much to learn from it, starting with the very definition of blowback, a word he brought out of the secret world for the rest of us to consider. “The term ‘blowback,’ which officials of the Central Intelligence Agency first invented for their own internal use,” he wrote, “refers to the unintended consequences of policies that were kept secret from the American people.  What the daily press reports as the malign acts of ‘terrorists’ or ‘drug lords’ or ‘rogue states’ or ‘illegal arms merchants’ often turn out to be blowback from earlier American operations.”

And if “unintended consequences” isn’t a supremely appropriate title under which to write the misbegotten history of the years that followed 9/11 in the era of the self-proclaimed “sole superpower” or, as American politicians love to say, “the indispensable nation,” what is?  Of course, in the best blowback fashion, al-Qaeda's attacks of that day hit this country like literal bolts from the blue -- even the top officials of George W. Bush’s administration were stunned as they scurried for cover.  Of all Americans, they at least should have been better prepared, given the warning offered to the president only weeks earlier by that blowback center of operations, the CIA.  (“Bin Laden Determined to Strike in U.S.” was the title of the presidential daily brief of August 6, 2001.)

Osama bin Laden would prove to be the poster boy of blowback.  His organization, al-Qaeda, would be nurtured into existence by an all-American urge to give the Soviet Union its own Vietnam, what its leader, Mikhail Gorbachev, would later call its “bleeding wound,” and to do so in, of all places, Afghanistan.  In October 2001, 12 years after the Red Army limped out of that country in defeat and a decade after the Soviet Union imploded, in part thanks to that very wound, Washington would launch a “Global War on Terror.” It would be the Bush administration’s response to al-Qaeda’s supposedly inexplicable attacks on the Pentagon and the World Trade Center.  The Taliban’s Afghanistan would be its first target and so would begin America’s second Afghan War, a conflict now almost 17 years old with no end in sight.  Yet in our American world, remarkably few connections are ever made between the present war and that blowback moment against the Soviets nearly 40 years ago.  (Were he alive, Chalmers Johnson, who never ceased to make such connections, would have been grimly amused.)

Giving Imperial Overstretch New Meaning

Talk about the endless ramifications of blowback.  It was bin Laden’s genius -- for a mere $400,000 to $500,000 -- to goad Washington into spending trillions of dollars across significant parts of the Islamic world fighting conflict after conflict, all of which only seemed to create yet more rubble, terror outfits, and refugees (who, in turn, have helped fuel yet more right-wing populist movements from Europe to Donald Trump’s America). Tell me it’s not a blowback world!

As it happened, bin Laden’s 2001 attacks brought official Washington not to its knees but to its deepest post-Cold War conviction: that the world was its oyster; that, for the first time in history, a single great power potentially had it all, a shot at everything, starting with Afghanistan, followed by Iraq, then much of the rest of the Middle East, and sooner or later the whole planet.  In a post-Soviet world in which America’s leaders felt the deepest sense of triumphalism, the 9/11 attacks seemed like the ultimate insult.  Who would dream of doing such a thing to the greatest power of all of time?

In an act of pure wizardry, bin Laden drew out of Bush, Cheney, and company their deepest geopolitical fantasies about the ability of that all-powerful country and, in particular, “the greatest force for freedom in the history of the world,” the U.S. military, to dominate any situation on Earth.  The early months of 2003, when they were preparing to invade Saddam Hussein’s Iraq, may have been their ultimate hubristic moment, in which imagining anything other than success of a historic sort, not just in that country but far beyond it, was inconceivable.

Until then, never -- except in Hollywood movies when the bad guy rubbed his hands with glee and cackled that the world was his -- had any power truly dreamed of taking it all, of ruling, or at least directing, the planet itself.  Even for a globalizing great power without rivals and wealthy almost beyond compare that would prove the ultimate in conceptual overstretch. Looking back, it’s easy enough to see that almost 17 years of ceaseless war and conflict across the Greater Middle East, Africa, and even parts of Asia, of massive destruction, of multiplying failed states, of burgeoning terror outfits, and of blowback of every sort, have given the old phrase, “biting off more than you can chew,” new geopolitical meaning.

Washington created what was, in effect, a never-ending blowback machine.  In those years, while the distant wars went on and on (and terrors of every imaginable sort grew in this country), the United States was transformed in a remarkable, if not yet fully graspable, fashion.  The national security state now reigns supreme in Washington; generals (or retired generals) are perched (however precariously) atop key parts of the civilian government; a right-wing populist, who rose to power in part on the fear of immigrants, refugees, and Islamic extremists, has his giant golden letters emblazoned on the White House (and a hotel just down Pennsylvania Avenue that no diplomat or lobbyist with any sense would dare not patronize); the police have been militarized; borders have been further fortified; spy drones have been dispatched to American skies; and the surveillance of the citizenry and its communications have been made the order of the day.  Meanwhile, the latest disturbed teen, armed with a military-style AR-15 semi-automatic, has just perpetrated another in a growing list of slaughters in American schools. In response, the president, Republican politicians, and the National Rifle Association have all plugged the arming of teachers and administrators, as well as the “hardening” of schools (including the use of surveillance systems and other militarized methods of “defense”), and so have given phrases like “citadel of learning” or “bastion of education” new meaning. In these same years, various unnamed terrors and the weaponization of the most psychically distraught parts of the citizenry under the rubric of the Second Amendment and the sponsorship of the NRA, the Republican Party, and most recently Donald Trump have transformed this country into something like an armed camp.

It seems, in other words, that in setting out to take the world, in some surprising fashion this country both terrorized and conquered itself.  For that, Osama bin Laden should certainly be congratulated but so should George W. Bush, Dick Cheney, Donald Rumsfeld, and all their neoconservative pals, not to speak of David Petraeus, James Mattis, John Kelly, H.R. McMaster, and a host of other generals of America’s losing wars.

Think of it this way: at what looked like the height of American power, Washington managed to give imperial overstretch a historically new meaning.  Even on a planet without other great power rivals, a Pax Americana in the Greater Middle East, no less the full-scale garrisoning and policing of significant parts of the rest of the globe proved far too much for the sole superpower, no matter how technologically advanced its military or powerful and transnational its economy.  As it turned out, that urge to take everything would prove the perfect launching pad for this country's decline.

Someday (if there is such a day), this record will prove a goldmine for historians of imperial power and blowback.  And yet all of this, even the fate of this country, should be considered relatively minor matters, given the ultimate blowback to come.

Humanity Nailed to a Cross of Coal

There was, in fact, another kind of blowback underway and the American empire was clearly a player in it, too, even a major one, but hardly the only one.  Every place using fossil fuels was involved.  This form of blowback threatens not just the decline of a single great imperial power but of humanity itself, of the very environment that nurtured generation after generation of us over these thousands of years.  By definition, that makes it the worst form of blowback imaginable.

What I have in mind, of course, is climate change or global warming.  In a way, you could think of it as the story of another kind of superpower and how it launched the decline of us all.  On a planetary scale, the giant corporations (and national fuel companies) that make up global Big Energy have long been on the hunt for every imaginable reserve of fossil fuels and for ways to control and exploit them.  The oil, natural gas, and coal such outfits extracted fueled industrial society, still-spreading car cultures, and consumerism as we know it.

Over most of the years such companies were powering human development, the men who ran them and their employees had no idea that the greenhouse gasses released by the burning of fossil fuels were heating the atmosphere and the planet’s waters in potentially disastrous ways.  By the late 1970s and early 1980s, however, like scientists elsewhere, those employed by ExxonMobil, the world’s largest oil company, had become aware of the phenomenon (as would those of other energy companies).  That meant the men who ran Exxon and other major firms recognized in advance of most of the rest of us just what kind of blowback the long-term burning of oil, natural gas, and coal was going to deliver: a planet ever less fit for human habitation.

They just didn’t think those of us in the non-scientific community should know about it and so, by the 1990s, they were already doing their damnedest to hide it from us.  However, when scientists not in their employ started to publicize the new reality in a significant way, as the heads of some of the most influential and wealthiest corporations on Earth they began to invest striking sums in the fostering of a universe of think tanks, lobbyists, and politicians devoted to what became known as climate-change denial.  Between 1998 and 2014, for instance, Exxon would pump $30 million into just such think tanks and similar groups, while donating $1.87 million directly to congressional climate-change deniers. 

It doesn’t take a lot of thought to realize that, from its inception, this was the functional definition of the worst crime in history.  In the name of record profits and the comfortable life (as well as corporate sustainability in an unendingly fossil-fuelized world), their CEOs had no hesitation about potentially dooming the human future to a hell on Earth of rising temperatures, rising sea levels, and ever more extreme weather; they gave, that is, a new, all-encompassing meaning to the term genocide.  They were prepared, if necessary, to take out the human species.

But I suspect even they couldn’t have imagined quite how successful they would be when it came to bringing the sole superpower of the post-9/11 world on board.  In a sense, the two leading forms of blowback of the twenty-first century -- the imperial and fossil-fuelized ones -- came to be focused in a single figure.  After all, it’s hard to imagine the rise to power of Donald Trump in a world in which the Bush administration had decided not to invade either Afghanistan or Iraq but to treat its “Global War on Terror” as a localized set of police actions against one international criminal and his scattered group of followers. 

As it happened, one form of blowback from the disastrous wars that were meant to create the basis for a Pax Americana planet helped to produce the conditions and fears at home that put Donald Trump in the White House. 

Or put another way, in the face of the evidence produced by essentially every knowledgeable scientist on Earth, on a planet already feeling the early and increasingly extreme results of a warming atmosphere, millions of Americans elected a man who claimed it was all a “hoax,” who was unabashedly dedicated above anything else (except perhaps his “big, fat, beautiful wall” on the Mexican border) to a fossil-fuelized American planet, and who insisted that he would run an administration that would make this country "energy dominant" again.  They elected, in other words, a representative of the very set of lobbyists, climate deniers, and politicians who had, in essence, been created by Big Energy.  Or put another way, they voted for a man who pledged to bring back the dying American coal industry and was prepared to green-light oil and natural gas pipelines of whatever sort, open the nation’s coastal waters to drilling, and lift restrictions of every kind on energy companies, while impeding the development of alternative sources of energy and other attempts to mitigate climate change.  As the ultimate President Blowback, Donald Trump promptly filled every last faintly relevant post in his administration with climate-change deniers and allies of Big Energy, while abandoning the Paris climate accord. 

In other words, President Donald Trump has dedicated himself to nailing humanity to a cross of coal.

Where's Chalmers Johnson now that we really need him?   



Tom Engelhardt is a co-founder of the American Empire Project and the author of The United States of Fear as well as a history of the Cold War, The End of Victory Culture. He is a fellow of the Nation Institute and runs TomDispatch.com. His latest book is Shadow Government: Surveillance, Secret Wars, and a Global Security State in a Single-Superpower WorldHis next book, A Nation Unmade by War (Dispatch Books), will be published in May.

Follow TomDispatch on Twitter and join us on Facebook. Check out the newest Dispatch Book, Alfred McCoy's In the Shadows of the American Century: The Rise and Decline of U.S. Global Power, as well as John Dower's The Violent American Century: War and Terror Since World War II, John Feffer's dystopian novel Splinterlands, Nick Turse's Next Time They’ll Come to Count the Dead, and Tom Engelhardt's Shadow Government: Surveillance, Secret Wars, and a Global Security State in a Single-Superpower World.

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FOCUS: Has Jared Kushner Conspired to Defraud America? Print
Thursday, 01 March 2018 11:54

Wheeler writes: "Amid the dizzying details of internet trolls, almost a million dollars' worth of antique rugs and fake bank accounts, the indictments brought by Robert Mueller, the special counsel, in his investigation of Russian tampering in the 2016 election have one thing in common."

Jared Kushner, the president's senior adviser, has conducted foreign policy without officially disclosing all the personal interests he may have been serving. (photo: Alex Brandon/AP)
Jared Kushner, the president's senior adviser, has conducted foreign policy without officially disclosing all the personal interests he may have been serving. (photo: Alex Brandon/AP)


Has Jared Kushner Conspired to Defraud America?

By Marcy Wheeler, The New York Times

01 March 18

 

mid the dizzying details of internet trolls, almost a million dollars’ worth of antique rugs and fake bank accounts, the indictments brought by Robert Mueller, the special counsel, in his investigation of Russian tampering in the 2016 election have one thing in common.

Both the indictment of 13 Russians associated with a troll farm called Internet Research Agency and the indictment of President Trump’s onetime campaign chairman Paul Manafort accuse the defendants of pretending to engage in American politics in good faith but secretly serving someone else’s interest. In both cases, the charge, “conspiracy to defraud the United States,” is an assertion that they were really serving the interests of Russia or of a Russian-backed Ukrainian politician, and that by hiding their true intent, the defendants prevented the United States government from protecting our politics from undisclosed outside influence.

That precedent, and the guilty plea to the same charge by Rick Gates, Mr. Manafort’s deputy, may pose a real danger to Jared Kushner, the president’s son-in-law and senior adviser. According to reports, Mr. Mueller appears to be assessing whether Mr. Kushner, in the guise of pursuing foreign policy on behalf of the United States, was actually serving the interests of his family and foreign governments.


READ MORE

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The Cost of Blowing the Whistle Is High, but Worth It Print
Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=36478"><span class="small">John Kiriakou, Reader Supported News</span></a>   
Thursday, 01 March 2018 09:40

Kiriakou writes: "I give a lot of interviews. That may seem counterintuitive for a former CIA officer who was trained to actively avoid the press and to consider it hostile."

Prison fence. (photo: AP)
Prison fence. (photo: AP)


The Cost of Blowing the Whistle Is High, but Worth It

By John Kiriakou, Reader Supported News

01 March 18

 

give a lot of interviews. That may seem counterintuitive for a former CIA officer who was trained to actively avoid the press and to consider it hostile. But I believe, strongly, that there are societal wrongs that need to be righted. The only way to do that is through the press. That’s not to say that every press outlet doesn’t have its own agenda. They all do. And every journalist is biased one way or another, whether he admits it or not. Still, when it comes to whistleblowing, there is often nowhere else to go other than to the media.

I’ve written in the past about my friend Tom Drake. Tom was a senior executive at NSA. When he saw the evidence of waste, fraud, abuse, and illegality that was the warrantless wiretapping program in the aftermath of the September 11 attacks, he did exactly what all of us in the Intelligence Community are taught to do: He reported it up through his chain of command. When he didn’t get any satisfaction there, he went to the Inspector General, where he was told to mind his own business. He then went to the General Counsel, where he was told the same thing. He went to the Defense Department’s Inspector General, where the evidence that he had brought out with him was criminally destroyed. He finally went to the House oversight committee.

For his trouble and patriotism, Tom was charged with nine felonies, including seven counts of espionage. He hadn’t committed espionage, of course, and all of the charges were eventually dropped. But they weren’t dropped until Tom was bankrupt and unemployed. Believe me, that’s a message that was loud and clear for everybody at NSA. Challenge us and we’ll ruin you. Still, when you talk to Tom, he’ll tell you that he has no regrets. It was all for the greater good.

In my own case — exposing the CIA’s torture program — I elected to go directly to the press. I was one of the very few people inside the CIA after 9/11 who opposed the torture program. Remember all the talk about “taking the gloves off” or “getting tough” or wanting to see “flies on bin Laden’s eyes?” None of that came from me. And I couldn’t have gone through my chain of command anyway. It was my chain of command that invented the torture program. They implemented it, they lied about its efficacy, and they destroyed the evidence of it. In the end, they damaged the country, the Constitution, and the rule of law, and they made the world an even more dangerous place. But like Tom Drake, I would do it over again.

There are lots and lots of whistleblowers, though, who do not get media coverage like Snowden, Drake, and I do. And their revelations are at least as important as ours. Most of you know that I have no love whatsoever for prison guards at any level of the military/industrial/prison complex. My own experience has shown me that most of them are uneducated, sadistic control freaks, many with mental illness, who were either flunkies who couldn’t cut it in the military or losers who washed out of small-town police academies. Federal and state prisons, most of which are located deep in the boondocks, were the only places they could find work. Many of them would just as soon watch you die on the floor of your cell than help you with even the most basic human compassion.

Not all of them are like that, though. Lt. Elderick Brass, formerly of the Texas Department of Criminal Justice, isn’t like that. Brass faced two-to-ten years in prison for “felony misuse of official information.” His crime? He provided the press with a video of another prison guard shooting a tear gas canister directly into the chest of a prisoner, nearly killing him. Brass had earlier spoken out against the deployment of tear gas in nonviolent situations. When he reported this wrongdoing up his chain of command, he was ignored. So he leaked the video to a reporter. When asked why he did that, Brass said, “It (the tear gas) wasn’t warranted. You clearly see the offenders are not being aggressive. They’re not cursing at staff. They’re not doing any of that. You have right and you have wrong. And this was definitely wrong.”

But Brass took a guilty plea. He had to. It was an economic decision. And you can’t trust a jury that would “convict a baloney sandwich,” as the old saying goes. Brass was sentenced to one year of “pre-trial intervention” and 50 hours of community service. I would argue that he served the community by making his revelation in the first place.

The road ahead is not going to be any easier for any other whistleblower. But things are certainly better than they were when Dan Ellsberg released the Pentagon Papers. They’re better than when Frank Serpico was getting shot because of his whistleblowing on police corruption. The process and improvements in it are a slog. The personal cost is high. But it’s worth it. As Lt. Brass said, some things are right or wrong. We have to stand up for what’s right. And to do that, we can’t remain silent.



John Kiriakou is a former CIA counterterrorism officer and a former senior investigator with the Senate Foreign Relations Committee. John became the sixth whistleblower indicted by the Obama administration under the Espionage Act - a law designed to punish spies. He served 23 months in prison as a result of his attempts to oppose the Bush administration's torture program.

Reader Supported News is the Publication of Origin for this work. Permission to republish is freely granted with credit and a link back to Reader Supported News.


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The Living Memorial to Boris Nemtsov Is the Most Radical Political Statement in Russia Print
Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=46742"><span class="small">Masha Gessen, The New Yorker</span></a>   
Thursday, 01 March 2018 09:37

Gessen writes: "Totalitarianism works in three ways: it kills people, it kills will, and it kills memory."

A stone's throw from the Kremlin, mourners hold an around-the-clock vigil for the assassinated opposition politician Boris Nemtsov, which is now entering its fourth year. (photo: Nikita Shvetsov/Getty)
A stone's throw from the Kremlin, mourners hold an around-the-clock vigil for the assassinated opposition politician Boris Nemtsov, which is now entering its fourth year. (photo: Nikita Shvetsov/Getty)


The Living Memorial to Boris Nemtsov Is the Most Radical Political Statement in Russia

By Masha Gessen, The New Yorker

01 March 18

 

otalitarianism works in three ways: it kills people, it kills will, and it kills memory. Vladimir Putin’s regime is more selective about its targets than its Soviet predecessor was, but it uses the same old tools to exert control. To oppose its core is to assert life, will, and memory. This is the project of a group of activists who have been keeping vigil on a Moscow bridge for three years.

On this bridge, on February 27, 2015, Boris Nemtsov, an opposition politician, was shot and killed, in plain view of the Kremlin. Nemtsov, who was fifty-five, had lived several lives. He had been a promising physicist—so much so that his relatives were certain that he would win the Nobel Prize one day. Instead, when perestroika started, he became involved in politics and, at the age of thirty-one, was appointed the first post-Soviet governor of the Nizhny Novgorod region, on the Volga River. For much of the nineteen-nineties, he was the favorite to succeed Boris Yeltsin as President.

As the Yeltsin Presidency unravelled, Nemtsov fell out of favor, and an entirely different successor, the secret-police chief Vladimir Putin, emerged. Within a few years, Nemtsov had lost his seat in parliament along with many of his old political allies, who had chosen to support the new President. After a short stint in the private sector, Nemtsov returned to politics as an opposition activist and started losing personal friends, as well.

In 2008, Nemtsov, Garry Kasparov, the chess champion turned political activist, and several other opposition figures co-founded a movement they called Solidarity, after the labor-union movement that rose up against the Soviet government in Poland, in 1980. Nemtsov compiled a series of reports on corruption and abuse of power, and the organization published and distributed them by handing them out in the streets, near Moscow subway stations. Though it called itself a movement, Solidarity was really a small organization of diehard activists: they distributed the reports and organized occasional street protests, which usually drew no more than a couple of hundred people. In 2009, a woman named Nadezhda Mityushkina became the executive director of Solidarity. Mityushkina and Nemtsov made an odd pair. She was younger than he but looked older. He worked out obsessively, maintained a year-round tan, and favored tight jeans and unbuttoned shirts; Mityushkina was the opposite of all that. They talked all the time, and most of Solidarity’s projects were things that Nemtsov and Mityushkina did together.

In December, 2011, a rally organized by Solidarity unexpectedly drew about ten thousand participants. This marked the beginning of a wave of mass protests that lasted until May 6, 2012, when, on the eve of Putin’s third Presidential inauguration, the police brutally broke up a peaceful, legal march. During the political crackdown that followed, Solidarity reverted to being a tiny movement. Kasparov and many other prominent activists left the country. Nemtsov continued to publish reports and organize protests. On February 27, 2015, just before midnight, he was killed.

By morning, people had begun laying flowers at the site of the shooting. Then they brought flags, signs, and portraits of Nemtsov, creating a makeshift memorial. After a few weeks, the city removed the memorial, and it was around then that Mityushkina took charge of maintaining it; it seemed like the thing to do. By mid-April, 2015, the memorial had been removed and reconstituted four times. Mityushkina and her Solidarity comrades decided that they needed an around-the-clock vigil. They initially assumed that they would be able to staff the site only on weekends, and the memorial would have to be created anew every week. But a second group of volunteers—many of them people who didn’t have day jobs—formed to keep vigil during the week. All together, around a hundred activists keep the memorial protected.

On February 28th, the living memorial to Boris Nemtsov will enter its fourth year of continuous existence. The city sends workers to dismantle it irregularly: sometimes they come several times a week, Mityushkina told me, and sometimes they leave the memorial alone for several weeks. Then, there is the non-governmental violence: vandals who attack the memorial and, with some regularity, thugs who attack the activists. Last week, a Solidarity volunteer was hospitalized with minor injuries. In August, 2017, a weekday volunteer died after he was beaten on the bridge.

Reconstituting the memorial has become almost routine; there is even a Web site that people can use to order flowers to be delivered to the bridge. Indeed, many aspects of memorializing Namtsov have become routine, Mityushkina said. Because Nemtsov’s daughter Zhanna, who used to tend to his grave, has had to leave the country, so the task has fallen to the volunteers. They also organize an annual march to commemorate the killing; this past weekend, it drew about eight thousand participants—the lowest number yet. Solidarity also organized a one-day exhibit on the anniversary of the murder. The activists took the name for the exhibit from something Nemtsov said in his last interview, given a few hours before his death: “The Price of Freedom Is High.”

The price of maintaining the memorial can seem awfully high, too, what with the flowers, and the portraits that must be printed and framed anew every time, and the hours logged by volunteers who work six-hour shifts in all kinds of Moscow weather. It may seem quixotic to risk death to protect a constellation of flowers, photographs, and flags. But it is perhaps the most radical political statement possible in Russia today, and it is being made, around the clock, by a bunch of ragtag volunteers standing a stone’s throw from the Kremlin: there lived a man named Boris Nemtsov, he fought to the death, and he will not be forgotten.


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Trumpcare: Government Will Spend $33 Billion More to Cover 8.9 Million Fewer Americans, as Premiums Soar Print
Thursday, 01 March 2018 09:25

Hiltzik writes: "Those fiscal geniuses in the White House and Republican-controlled Congress have managed to do the impossible: Their sabotage of the Affordable Care Act will lead to 6.4 million fewer Americans with health insurance, while the federal bill for coverage rises by some $33 billion per year."

Donald Trump. (photo: Getty)
Donald Trump. (photo: Getty)


Trumpcare: Government Will Spend $33 Billion More to Cover 8.9 Million Fewer Americans, as Premiums Soar

By Michael Hiltzik, Los Angeles Times

01 March 18

 

hose fiscal geniuses in the White House and Republican-controlled Congress have managed to do the impossible: Their sabotage of the Affordable Care Act will lead to 6.4 million fewer Americans with health insurance, while the federal bill for coverage rises by some $33 billion per year.

Also, by the way, premiums in the individual market will rise by an average of more than 18%.

Heck of a job.

These figures come from the Urban Institute, which on Monday released the first estimate of the impact of two GOP initiatives. The first is the elimination of the individual mandate, which is an offshoot of the GOP tax-cut measure signed by President Trump in December. The measure reduced the penalty for not carrying insurance to zero as of next Jan. 1.

The second is Trump's plan to expand short-term insurance plans, which don't comply with many of the ACA's essential benefits requirements and allow insurers to reject or surcharge people with preexisting medical conditions or histories.

The Urban Institute broke down the impact of Trump and Republican policies thusly:

-- Eliminating the individual mandate, combined with such lesser acts of vandalism as eliminating cost-sharing reduction payments to insurers last year and eviscerating the outreach and advertising budget for the 2017 ACA open enrollment period: 6.4 million more people uninsured than under previous law, as the uninsurance rate climbs to 12.5% of the nonelderly population from 10.2%.

-- Expansion of short-term non-compliant policies: 2.5 million more Americans without minimum essential coverage. Short-term policies, which were limited under the Obama administration to three months maximum and no renewals, would be expanded under Trump to last up to a year. Under the law, short-term policies don't count as real Obamacare insurance.

-- Premiums in the individual market: Higher by 18.2% in 2019 in "full-impact states" (41, plus the District of Columbia, which allow short-term policies under some circumstances.) Eight other states prohibit or limit the expansion of short-term policies, so their premium increases will be lower on average. Nationwide, premiums will rise by 16.4%. In Texas, North Dakota, Alabama, Nebraska and Arizona, the increases will exceed 20%.

-- Because government premium subsidies rise in tandem with premium increases, the cost of subsidies borne by the government will rise by $33.3 billion next year, or 9.3% — to $391.4 billion from $358.1 billion under existing law.

The mechanism by which the GOP policies will crater the individual insurance market isn't hard to understand. Both major initiatives — eliminating the individual mandate and offering bare-bones policies — siphon younger, healthier consumers out of the individual market.

David Anderson, a health insurance expert at Duke University, understands why short-term policies will look like a good deal to young consumers feeling hale and hearty. Others, such as with preexisting conditions, won't even be eligible to buy those plans, guaranteeing that higher-risk patients stay in the ACA pool. Anderson posits a 23-year-old earning $35,000. That consumer would think a full-scale Obamacare plan is a good deal only if he or she has "a significant medical history or reasonable probability of pregnancy."

The economically rational response for the healthy in that segment would be to pay $100 or less a month in premiums and barely use any services over the course of the year. The danger, of course, is that anyone can get hit by a bus or find themselves holding an unexpected cancer diagnoses. Then they're screwed.

"Those affected by these large premium increases would be disproportionately middle-income people with health problems," the Urban Institute researchers said. That's because "they prefer health insurance that covers essential health benefits, are unlikely to have access to medically underwritten short-term limited-duration policies, and are not financially protected by the ACA's premium tax credits."

Millions of others, including the U.S. taxpayer and families who need treatment and have incomes too high to be subsidized, also are screwed. That includes families with household incomes approaching or exceeding 400% of the federal poverty line: $48,560 for an individual and $100,400 for a family of four.

The damage estimate can't be restricted to the immediate impact on individuals and families, the researchers observed. "As healthier enrollees exit for short-term plans, insurers will by necessity reexamine the profitability of remaining in the compliant markets. This may well lead to more insurer exits from the compliant markets in the next years, reducing choice for the people remaining and ultimately making the markets difficult to maintain."

In other words, the Republican sabotage will continue to undermine health coverage in the U.S. The only alternative, it becomes clearer with every day, is some form of single-payer, Medicare-for-all coverage. That's increasingly becoming part of Democratic Party orthodoxy, and it's about time.

To read this article in Spanish click here


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