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Trade Wars Are Easy. Comedy Is Hard. Print
Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=11104"><span class="small">Charles Pierce, Esquire</span></a>   
Saturday, 03 March 2018 09:54

Pierce writes: "Apparently, sometime before dawn on Friday, Executive Time already was rolling in earnest with an assessment of one of the critical issues of the day: the performance of someone named 'Alex Baldwin,' whose career was said to be 'dieing.'"

Donald Trump. (photo: AP)
Donald Trump. (photo: AP)


Trade Wars Are Easy. Comedy Is Hard.

By Charles Pierce, Esquire

03 March 18


Checking in on the President* of the United States during Executive Time.

pparently, sometime before dawn on Friday, Executive Time already was rolling in earnest with an assessment of one of the critical issues of the day: the performance of someone named “Alex Baldwin,” whose career was said to be “dieing.”

Somebody later snuck in and corrected the spelling.

This was at 6:02.

AM.

Good morning, Mr. President.

Then, it was time to explain Thursday’s head-fake toward populism regarding tariffs on steel and aluminum.

This was at 5:50.

AM.

At least he’s got his issue priorities straight: disestablish national trade policy, insult Alec Baldwin, correct embarrassing spelling mistakes in Baldwin tweet.

Trade wars are easy.

Comedy is hard.


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How the NRA Won the Obedience of the US Government Print
Saturday, 03 March 2018 09:52

Timmons writes: "The National Rifle Association's black-carpeted booth was packed last week at the Conservative Political Action Conference in Maryland. Just days earlier, a school shooter in Parkland, Florida had killed seventeen people."

Sig Sauer rifles on display. (photo: John Sommers II/Reuters)
Sig Sauer rifles on display. (photo: John Sommers II/Reuters)


How the NRA Won the Obedience of the US Government

By Heather Timmons, Quartz

03 March 18

 

he National Rifle Association’s black-carpeted booth was packed last week at the Conservative Political Action Conference in Maryland. Just days earlier, a school shooter in Parkland, Florida had killed seventeen people.

Khaki-wearing college students and denim jacket-clad retirees gathered under prominent photos of NRA spokeswoman Dana Loesch and CEO Wayne LaPierre. Hanging T-shirts proclaimed “NRA: Freedom’s safest place.” The bank of laptops flanked by credit card machines in the new member signup area was particularly busy. Lines formed of people waiting to sign up, some peeling bills out of their wallets to pay the special $20 annual fee, a 50% discount on the regular rate.

Asked why they were joining the powerful gun lobby, some first-time members said they felt the NRA had been unfairly maligned after the Florida shooting. Did it matter that companies were cancelling special discounts for NRA members, in the wake of public outrage over the Florida shooting? “No,” answered Linda Petrou and Mary Fleming, two new members from North Carolina, with a laugh. “We don’t even know what the benefits are,” Fleming said.

Overall, NRA members make up only 1.5% of the US population. In fact, 80% of American gun owners are not NRA members. Yet the organization wields an outsized influence in the US debate over gun control, and has significantly shaped the US gun laws, through an aggressive attack mentality, sophisticated marketing, relentless political lobbying and big money.

On Feb. 28, Donald Trump made an unexpected public push for “comprehensive” gun safety laws, and mocked Congress members for being “petrified” of the NRA. But as a huge recipient of NRA cash in the 2016 election, astride a White House ricocheting from one crisis to another, it’s unclear that he can be any more effective than past presidents at changing the equation.

The NRA quickly dismissed Trump’s push as a publicity stunt. While the “meeting made for great TV, the gun-control proposals discussed would make for bad policy that would not keep our children safe,” NRA spokesperson Jennifer Baker said in an email. “Instead of punishing law-abiding gun owners for the acts of a deranged lunatic our leaders should pass meaningful proposals that would prevent the dangerously mentally ill from accessing firearms and actually prevent future tragedies.”

Late on March 2, NRA lobbyist Chris Cox bragged on Twitter about a “great meeting” with Trump in the White House. Trump, he said, doesn’t want gun control. “Good (Great) meeting in the Oval Office tonight with the NRA!,” Trump himself tweeted.

Statistics: America’s gun-control majority

The US is the deadliest developed country in the world, when it comes to firearm deaths.

From the outside, it might look like the US is evenly divided between people rallying behind the NRA and its critics. But it’s not a 50/50 split. Despite the abundance of real and fictional guns in American culture, nearly 70% of US households don’t own any gun at all, and most gun owners say new laws to make America safer could be passed without taking away their rights.

Far fewer Americans own guns than they did in the late 1970s, according to a University of Chicago project that’s been grilling Americans about all aspects of their lives for over four decades.

(photo: qz.com)

The overall number of guns have increased, though, indicating that the minority of households that do own guns are buying more and more.

(photo: qz.com)

Even before the massacre in Parkland, Florida, 60% of Americans supported stronger gun laws. Most answered yes when asked whether greater gun control could be enacted without violating their right to bear arms—including most of those in gun-owning households.

(photo: qz.com)

Since the Florida shooting, overall approval for stronger gun laws has risen slightly, to 66%. The Parkland students have taken the issue head on, gun safety groups are seeing a big uptick in interest, and conservative-leaning gun-owning groups, including #VetsForGunReform and the Veterans Coalition for Common Sense are calling for more restrictive gun laws.

Popular demand for gun safety regulations has been thwarted by Congress, in the past. A year after the 1999 Columbine High School shooting that killed 13, 66% of people questioned in a Pew Research poll said gun control was more important than protecting gun owners’ rights; and support jumped for gun control after the 2012 Sandy Hook elementary school shooting that killed 26. Federal laws proposed after both massacres died in Congress.

Overall, the majority of Americans support gun control. So why have their elected representatives refused to pass meaningful gun control legislation for over 20 years?

How the NRA spends its money

The NRA and its associated political action committees spent over $50 million on the 2016 election, as Quartz reported earlier. That’s just what the group has to report to the Federal Election Commission, however. A 2016 internal audit showed the group spent a total $75 million on legislative and public affairs in 2016.

The amount of money the firearms industry (which is mostly represented by the NRA) reports for election spending is dwarfed by the overall reported lobbying spend from industries like health care, real estate, or oil and gas, according to the Center for Responsive Politics, a non-profit that tracks campaign finance.

(photo: qz.com)

But relative to the gun industry’s size, it spends much more than other major industries: The pharmaceutical industry, which earned an estimated $450 billion in revenue in 2016, spent almost $43 million in that year’s election—including contributions from major drug manufacturers like Pfizer and AstraZeneca. The NRA spent millions of dollars more, but the US gun industry earned only an estimated $9 billion in revenue.

Unlike many other industry-focused lobby groups, the NRA spends with a laser-like focus, boosting pro-gun politicians who are almost always Republicans, and running attack ads on politicians support who gun control, usually Democrats. In fact, the NRA spent more than twice as much money, ($34.5 million) in 2016 on negative advertising against Democrats who might demand stronger gun laws than it did on positive advertising for Trump and other Republicans ($14.5 million).

In the pharmaceutical industry, by comparison, almost $20 million of 2016’s campaign spend went to Democrats, with the rest to Republicans—because companies are hoping to be in the good graces of whoever gets elected. Other industries that spend millions on campaigns to one political party, like, say, the oil and gas industry, are usually offset by donations from another field, like pro-environment groups. There are some gun control groups campaigning and lobbying, but they spent just $1.7 million during the 2016 election.

Where all of the NRA’s money comes from, exactly, remains opaque. As a 501(c)(4) non-profit social welfare organization, the NRA doesn’t have to disclose its donors. Membership dues like those collected at the conservative convention last week make up a portion of their funds, and “Ring of Freedom” donors like the Brownell family, which owns Brownells, an Iowa firearms distributor, or the gun-making Beretta family, are also big contributors. Then there are advertisers in the NRA’s magazines, like Illinois gun company Springfield Armory.

Because its legislative arm, NRA ILA, regularly lobbies Congress, however, it does file quarterly lobbying reports with the House and Senate that show how much it is spending on politicians.

The impact of all this cash has been profound in recent decades. Presidents have tried to pass sweeping gun safety laws before—in March of 2000, Bill Clinton signed what was expected to become an industry-wide agreement with Smith and Wesson, but thanks to NRA influence it was unwound after George W. Bush was elected later that year.

Months after the Sandy Hook shooting, Barack Obama’s gun safety proposals failed to get enough votes in the Senate to clear the 60-vote threshold, despite polls showing 90% of the country supported universal background checks. “It came down to politics—the worry that that vocal minority of gun owners would come after them in future elections. [Congress members] worried that the gun lobby would spend a lot of money and paint them as anti-Second Amendment,” Obama said in a speech afterward.

“Is our democracy broken?,” Florida congressman Ted Deutch said at a Feb. 22 town hall in response to a question from a Stoneman Douglas student whose sister had been killed in the high school shooting. “A little bit. A little bit, it is,” he said.

“When any organization spends tens of millions of dollars promoting the interests of gun corporations to influence what happens in our elections, then yes, our democracy is a little broken.”

In the last quarter of 2017 alone, the NRA spent over $900,000 lobbying members of Congress on 17 different bills, the group’s last Senate disclosure shows.

Attack, attack, attack ads

In the runup to elections, the NRA has also masterfully attacked candidates who support any gun control at all, even if they consider themselves defenders of the Second Amendment.

In the 2016 election, the only politician the NRA spent more on campaigning against than Hillary Clinton was Deborah Ross, the North Carolina candidate for senator. Ross hardly seems the election’s most obvious target—a former civil rights lawyer who defended individual liberties for a career, and member of the state legislature for 10 years, she supports allowing “concealed carry” of guns to licensed owners. But as a state politician, she voted against allowing concealed carry in bars and restaurants where alcohol was served, earning her an “F” grade from the NRA, which ran ads that said “Defend your freedom, defeat Deborah Ross.”

Ross, who got 45% of the vote to her opponents 51%, said she wasn’t surprised by the attacks. “The reason they don’t want me in Congress is that I won’t do what they want,” Ross said. The NRA’s influence on elections is one thing, Ross said. “The bigger issue is how they keep people they’ve helped to get elected in line,” she said. They “don’t give any wiggle room to the people who they support and they have a chokehold on them.”

Republicans elected to office with NRA money behind them fear being primaried in the next election, by another Republican candidate that the group stumps up millions to support instead, or they fear they could suffer the “wrath” of the group, Ross said. “Politicians don’t like to say no to people, and particularly to people who have done something for them,” she said.

The reason the NRA is so adamant about fighting absolutely every gun control law is their fear that even small concessions could lead to huge changes, explains one conservative activist who works with big-money Republican donors. “If you give the Dems an inch, they are going to want two inches more,” he said. Some conservatives “want to join the consensus” on common sense gun laws, he said, but “you know the left is just going to keep coming and coming.”

Trump’s actions in the coming days may test the organization’s influence. He has pledged to cross the NRA on several issues, including raising the age for assault rifle purchases to 21 and strengthening background checks. After Trump’s Oval Office meeting with NRA representatives on March 3, White House press secretary Sarah Huckabee walked back some of Trump’s promises, saying he supports stronger background checks, but not universal ones, and suggesting age limits for gun purchases might be easier to pass on a state level than a federal one.

Mobilizing its membership

Just as important as the money it spends on lobbying and ads, is the way the NRA energizes its base to urge politicians already in office to vote down gun safety legislation, and to pressure manufacturers not to agree to new safety measures.

Members are urged to send letters, make calls, and sometimes march. A September 2017 missive from the legislative arm, for example, encourages members to tell House representatives to vote for the “Concealed Carry Reciprocity Act,” which allows gun owners to take their weapons across state lines. “They have the money. But we have the numbers,” it says, despite the fact that polls and spending data show the opposite is true. “That’s why no gun owner can afford to sit out this fight.” The bill passed the House 231-198.

The way the NRA activates its base strongly resembles the American Association of Retired Persons, the 38-million strong group for retired people, says Dan Cassino, a political science professor at Fairleigh Dickinson University, and the head of experimental research at PublicMind. Both organizations are effective influencers of sitting politicians, because Congress members rely on protests, town halls, and, and direct interaction to understand their constituents.

Members of Congress “have very little data and are incredibly risk adverse,” Cassino said. “When they get a lot of calls on an issue, that overrides” everything else, he said.

NRA members also been mobilized against companies. After Smith and Wesson made its agreement with President Clinton, NRA joined a boycott that tanked the company’s sales, and resulted in it being sold off for a fraction of what its assets were worth. The CEO at the time got anonymous death threats.

NRA members are strident supporters of the group. In 1968, as the FBI was investigating whether the NRA should register as a lobbying organization, one sent a telegram, complaining of the “flagrant Gestapo authority of the FBI investigation of the NRA” to his local Congress member, the FBI’s online records show (page 12).

The NRA is “under attack for spurious reasons,” said the new NRA member Petrou at CPAC. Rather than blame the NRA for the Florida school massacre, she said, Americans should be trying to recreate the traditional family values and the close-knit neighborhoods it used to have. None of the gunmen in the US’s recent mass shootings were NRA members, added Fleming.

Fueled by “freedom” and fear

While the NRA directs millions of dollars towards political campaigns and steers calls to Congress, the group has used savvy marketing tactics to position itself as an authority on the role of guns in American society.

Since 2004, the company’s advertising agency, Oklahoma’s Ackerman McQueen, has been producing a NRA “news agency” for the group, as Quartz wrote earlier. Dedicated to “the most comprehensive video coverage of Second Amendment issues, events and culture,” the channel presents guns as a symbol of American freedom, and a core conservative identifier—while marketing weapons and accessories.

Its women’s channel, for example, produces Love at First Shot, a program to introduce women to guns and “the shooting lifestyle, from cooking to concealed carry:”

Other NRA videos focus on stoking anxiety and division in the United States. In one controversial video, spokeswoman Loesh seems to advocate violence against anyone who protests Trump’s policies, or disagrees with NRA members. Criticism was harsh, even from some NRA members.

“Such fear-based incitements to hate and violence are the province of cowards,” three US military veterans wrote in response. “The truth is that the NRA is engaging in shameless fear tactics to increase membership so they can put more money into the pockets of politicians in Washington so firearms manufactures can increase sales resulting in profits and returns to shareholders.”

Fear of gun restrictions appear to drive gun sales and fill NRA membership rolls. After the 2012 Sandy Hook massacre killed 20 children and six teachers, the organization claimed that 100,000 new members joined in 18 days. (The NRA doesn’t regularly make its member numbers public, and what it does disclose is disputed.)

Two weeks after the Florida shooting, on Feb. 27, the NRA published a new, ominous short video clip on its Facebook page (which has nearly two million followers):

“To all American gun owners, THIS IS A WAKE UP CALL,” text over the video reads, as horror-movie music plays in the background. “We’re under attack.” It has been viewed more than 630,000 times already. Hundreds of commentators underneath the clip said they’re renewing their memberships, or signing up anew.


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Wayne LaPierre Has Made a Fortune as CEO of the NRA. Here's What We Know About His Money Print
Friday, 02 March 2018 14:38

Tuttle writes: "Considering how wealthy he has become during his years at the helm of the NRA, LaPierre himself is arguably one of America's 'elites.' How much money does Wayne LaPierre make? What is Wayne LaPierre's net worth? Here's what we know about his money."

 (photo: Jim Watson/Getty)
(photo: Jim Watson/Getty)


Wayne LaPierre Has Made a Fortune as CEO of the NRA. Here's What We Know About His Money

By Brad Tuttle, TIME

02 March 18

 

ayne LaPierre, the head of the National Rifle Association for nearly 30 years, has often found himself at the center of controversy.

But over the last week, in the wake of a deadly Florida high school shooting that left 17 dead, LaPierre and the NRA have been under especially strong scrutiny. A growing number of companies have cut ties to the gun rights organization, ending their discounts programs for NRA members. Others who haven’t done so, like FedEx, are facing boycott calls.

At a conservative conference last week, LaPierre blamed the media and Washington insiders for exploiting “tragedy for political gain.”

“Their goal is to eliminate the Second Amendment and our firearms freedoms so they can eliminate all individual freedoms,” LaPierre said. “The elites don’t care one whit about school children. If they truly cared, they would protect them.”

But considering how wealthy he has become during his years at the helm of the NRA, LaPierre himself is arguably one of America’s “elites.” How much money does Wayne LaPierre make? What is Wayne LaPierre’s net worth? Here’s what we know about his money.

What Is Wayne LaPierre’s Net Worth?

According to an estimate from the website Celebrity Net Worth, Wayne LaPierre’s net worth is $10 million. The estimate is based on LaPierre’s earnings from the NRA, which average $1 million per year and have gone as high as $5 million, as well as royalties from book sales and engagements as a paid speaker.

How Much Money Does Wayne LaPierre Make?

Between 1985 and 1991, four different chiefs ran the NRA. But since Wayne LaPierre was named CEO in 1991, he has steadily led the organization to growing membership and revenue—and his pay has increased accordingly.

According to a 1995 Los Angeles Times story, the NRA was paying LaPierre $190,000 per year in the mid-1990s. More recently, the NRA has paid LaPierre an annual salary of roughly $1 million. But in some years, LaPierre has earned far more. In 2015, for example, LaPierre took home $5.1 million, the Washington Post reported. According to tax records, he collected $1,090,515 in base compensation that year, plus a $150,000 bonus, plus a special employee retirement plan payment of nearly $4 million.

“This is an employee funded deferred compensation plan and the $3.7 million distribution to Wayne LaPierre was required by federal law and properly reported,” NRA president Allan Cors explained in a statement.

NRA Money and Influence Expanded Under Wayne LaPierre

The history of the NRA dates back to 1871, when a pair of Civil War veterans created the organization for the purposes of improving marksmanship. For most of its existence, the NRA supported gun control regulations that would seem strict by today’s standards. “I do not believe in the general promiscuous toting of guns. I think it should be sharply restricted and only under licenses,” NRA president Karl Frederick said during a Congressional hearing in the 1930s, when concerns were high that Prohibition-era gangsters had too easy access to guns.

In the 1950s, the NRA’s motto was “Firearms Safety Education, Marksmanship Training, Shooting for Recreation,” according to Gunfight: The Battle Over the Right to Bear Arms in America, the 2010 book by UCLA Law School professor Adam Winkler. However, in 1977—about the time a young Wayne LaPierre became an NRA employee—a conservative faction took over NRA leadership focused on guaranteeing gun ownership as a legal right for all Americans, and not just members of a “well regulated militia” as mentioned in the Second Amendment. Under new leaders, the NRA motto was changed to: “The Right of the People to Keep and Bear Arms Shall Not Be Infringed.”

There is some dispute as to how many NRA members there are in any given year, but there is no question that NRA membership, money, and influence have expanded dramatically over the past four decades. The NRA claimed to have 2.5 million members in 1991, when LaPierre became CEO. Membership ranks grew to 3.4 million by 1995, and are now up to roughly 5 million, according to the NRA.

NRA revenues have climbed from $100 million in 1995, to $228 million in 2010, and up to $337 million in 2015. Less than half of the NRA’s money reportedly comes from membership dues—currently priced at one year for $40, five years for $140, or $1,500 for a lifetime. Instead, the lion’s share of NRA revenues comes from the gun industry and large corporations, which provide the group with grants, donations, and sometimes even a percentage of their firearm sales. Some gun manufacturers give away free NRA memberships to customers making qualified purchases as well.

According to OpenSecrets.org, the NRA spent $5.1 million in 2017 on lobbying politicians, up from about $1.5 million in the early ’00s. But this may not give a clear indication of the NRA’s influence. Total NRA expenditures reportedly hit $419 million in 2016, up from $312 million the prior year—including $30 million in support of Donald Trump’s presidential campaign. Trump is “the most openly pro-Second Amendment candidate in history,” LaPierre said.

And the NRA has been a heavily influential lobbying group long before the rise of Donald Trump. In 1999, Fortune named the NRA as the most powerful lobbying organization in Washington, D.C., as voted by lawmakers and political staffers. It was a title the group then held for three years in a row.

Firearm production and gun sales have increased steeply while Wayne LaPierre has been at the NRA. There were reportedly 5.6 million firearms produced in the U.S. by American gun companies in 1980, and production rose to 11 million by 2013. The number of FBI firearm background checks, which serves as a proxy for gun sales, has increased from 9 million in 1999 to an all-time high of 27.5 million in 2016.

Wayne LaPierre’s Personality and Personal Life

Much is unknown about Wayne LaPierre. He grew up in Roanoke, Virginia, received a bachelor’s degree from Siena College in upstate New York, and completed a master’s degree in government at Boston College. He was not known as a particularly active hunter or gun enthusiast, but worked on some gun legislation when he was a young aide to a Democratic state legislator in Virginia.

In 1995, the Los Angeles Times reported that LaPierre was divorced. He is currently married to Susan LaPierre, who is a co-chair of the NRA’s Women’s Leadership Forum and was named to the National Park Foundation Board of Directors in 2017. They are believed to live in wealthy suburbs of Washington, D.C., near the NRA headquarters in Fairfax, Virginia, and do not have any children.

Wayne LaPierre is best known for making controversial comments in staunch defense of gun owners, gun rights, and the Second Amendment. Shortly after a 1995 comment by LaPierre referring to “jack-booted government thugs [being given] more power to take away our constitutional rights, break in our doors, seize our guns, destroy our property, and even injure or kill us,” former president George H.W. Bush resigned as a lifetime member of the NRA.

NRA board member Cleta Mitchell told the New York Times in 2013 that LaPierre is much different in private than his public persona would suggest. “In real life, he’s one of the shyest, kindest, most unassuming, total lack of ego, nonconfrontational — he hates confrontation — individuals I have ever met,” she said.

In the 2010 book Outgunned: Up Against the NRA, the former NRA spokesperson Pat Aqualino said of LaPierre: “He’s hardworking, honest, good at what he does, and very smart. But he’s also naïve and innocent. He’s been cast as the Darth Vader of gun politics, but he’s more like Mother Teresa.”

Above all, many say that LaPierre is simply a professional political operator. “He represents a real departure for the NRA,” Osha Gray Davidson, the author of the 1993 book Under Fire: The, the NRA and the Battle for Gun Control, said in 1995, after LaPierre had been in charge of the NRA for a few years. “He’s the first leader for the NRA that doesn’t come from the shooting-sports and hunting area. He’s a politician.”


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Trump Has Done Nothing to Stop Russia From Meddling in the 2018 Midterms Print
Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=47231"><span class="small">Alex Ward, Vox</span></a>   
Friday, 02 March 2018 14:36

Ward writes: "President Donald Trump has barely acknowledged that Russians meddled in the 2016 presidential election, and now it looks like he's doing nothing to prevent Moscow from interfering again."

Russia's president Vladimir Putin and President Trump shake hands during a bilateral meeting on the sidelines of the G20 summit in Hamburg on July 7, 2017. (photo: Mikhail Metzel/Getty)
Russia's president Vladimir Putin and President Trump shake hands during a bilateral meeting on the sidelines of the G20 summit in Hamburg on July 7, 2017. (photo: Mikhail Metzel/Getty)


Trump Has Done Nothing to Stop Russia From Meddling in the 2018 Midterms

By Alex Ward, Vox

02 March 18


“You don’t just wait here and play defense, you also go out and stop this from happening again,” an expert said.

resident Donald Trump has barely acknowledged that Russians meddled in the 2016 presidential election, and now it looks like he’s doing nothing to prevent Moscow from interfering again.

Adm. Michael Rogers, who leads US Cyber Command, told lawmakers on Tuesday that Trump has yet to direct him to strike Russia’s cyber operations where they start. That means Russian President Vladimir Putin — who directed the campaign to disrupt the last US presidential election — has yet to see any serious repercussions for his country’s actions.

Worse, there are almost no substantive measures in place to prevent Russia from meddling in the upcoming 2018 midterm elections.

The problem, according to Rogers, is he needs specific authorization from the president to go on offense and directly disrupt the hackers’ operations. Without that, he sees no reason why Russia would stop trying to tamper with US elections anytime soon. Rogers did mention, however, that he already ordered some secret measures to defend against Russia’s interference before the next ballots are cast in a few months.

“If we don’t change the dynamic here, this is going to continue, and 2016 won’t be viewed as something isolated,” Rogers told the Senate Armed Services Committee. “This is something that will be sustained over time.”

Michael Sulmeyer, a former top cyber official at the Pentagon, also feels the US should target Russia’s election hackers. “You don’t just wait here and play defense, you also go out and stop this from happening again,” he told me.

White House press secretary Sarah Huckabee Sanders pushed back on Rogers’s comments. “Nobody is denying him the authority,” she said during a White House briefing on Tuesday, adding that the administration thinks there are multiple ways to protect the 2018 midterms. “We are looking at a number of different options.”

But Rogers’s testimony illustrates a broader problem: Trump’s unwillingness to listen to America’s national security leaders — including military commanders — about the threat Russia poses to the 2018 midterms. In effect, Trump — whose presidential campaign is under investigation for alleged collusion with the Russians to tilt the election in its favor — is putting the integrity of multiple elections this year in danger.

“Neither President Obama nor the congressional leadership did enough to combat this threat before the 2016 election, but that doesn’t absolve President Trump now,” Matthew Waxman, a former senior official in the George W. Bush administration, told me. “The measures taken to date fall far short of what’s needed to deal with this threat.”

There are several ways Trump could safeguard the 2018 midterm elections

Other top Trump national security officials have rung the alarm bell over Russia’s likely future meddling.

“There should be no doubt that Russia perceives that its past efforts have been successful, and views the 2018 midterm US elections as a potential target for Russian influence operations,” Dan Coats, the nation’s top spy, told lawmakers on February 13. “Frankly, the United States is under attack.”

In February, Vox’s Emily Stewart asked nine experts how to stop Russia’s election interference in 2018. They offered three broad options.

1) Protect election infrastructure. Trump should direct states to upgrade voter registration systems, voting machines, tally servers, and any other machinery that helps collect and verify votes. While federal officials have done a lot to improve the equipment since the 2016 election, the government could do a lot more.

“We need to replace outdated systems,” said Lawrence Norden, an elections expert at the Brennan Center for Justice at the New York University School of Law, including “replacing paperless electronic voting machines” and “conducting post-election audits to compare the paper records to software generated results.”

2) Improve transparency in social media. The Russians used fake social media accounts to sow divisions in the United States among racial, ethnic, gender, and partisan lines — in part by paying for bogus advertisements. The government could put more pressure on Twitter and Facebook to better identify where the money for ad buys come from, according to Claire Finkelstein, an elections expert at the University of Pennsylvania. Similarly, these companies could also help users better identify what is — and is not — “fake news.”

3) Deter Russia from interfering again. One way the US could do this is use covert action and information operations to make it harder for Russian hackers to do their job, Glenn Carle, a former CIA officer, told Stewart. If the hackers have to spend more time fighting off American attacks, they have less time to meddle in the election. Further, Sulmeyer told me that the US could empower members of its military cyber forces to attack Russian hackers. That would directly punish the people who most prominently tampered with the US election process.

The problem is the Trump administration has done little in each of these areas — and other leaders have started to take matters into their own hands.

Here are just a few examples: The Boston Globe reports Virginia election officials have returned to using paper ballots; Pennsylvania’s government wants election equipment to produce paper records of votes; and Georgia may also use paper instead of using touch screens.

There are good reasons for states to worry. Department of Homeland Security officials confirmed in a June 2017 Senate intelligence hearing that Russia targeted at least 21 states, and hackers probed their registration systems. However, only Illinois election officials testified to a breach — “a malicious cyber-attack of unknown origin” that hit the Illinois voter registration system and allowed hackers to access 90,000 voter registration records.

And according to a February 27 NBC News report, US intelligence officials found that Russian hackers “compromised” websites or voter registration databases in seven states ahead of the 2016 elections, although there’s no evidence the intrusions altered any votes.

Despite all this, the Trump administration hasn’t seriously punished Russia. Experts tell me that this is cause for concern. “A lack of blowback is a real serious problem. If there’s no consequences for Putin, then he’ll continue trying” to interfere, Douglas W. Jones, an elections expert at the University of Iowa, told me. “That’s definitely a failure,” he added.

But Trump’s treatment of Russia in this case is part of a broader trend — one where he repeatedly lets Russia off the hook.

The Russia threat is real. Trump doesn’t see it that way.

After Trump reluctantly signed legislation designed to punish Russia for its election meddling last August, he slammed the bill in a signing statement. He called it “seriously flawed,” and said that he could “make far better deals with foreign countries than Congress.”

Then, in January 2018, Trump declined to impose the legislation’s mandated sanctions on individuals who do business with Russian military or intelligence targets. He did release a list — a report from the Treasury Department — of more than 200 influential, wealthy Russians and senior government officials as part of a naming-and-shaming exercise to put top Russians on notice.

Throughout his presidential campaign, Trump repeated over and over his desire for closer Washington-Moscow ties. But he also believes that Russia didn’t interfere in the election — and that Democrats use the Trump-Russia narrative as an excuse for losing the election. He’s famously called special counsel Robert Mueller’s probe into, among other things, whether or not Trump’s campaign colluded with Russia, a “WITCH HUNT!”

“Trump is more concerned with deflecting the issue politically,” Waxman, now a professor at Columbia Law School, told me.

There’s a lot to deflect. In January 2017, the US intelligence community assessed that Russia did meddle in the election, and favored Trump throughout. And on February 16, 2018, Mueller filed charges — including the charge of criminal conspiracy to defraud the United States — against 13 Russian nationals and three Russian groups for interfering with the 2016 US elections.

The indictments led National Security Adviser H.R. McMaster on February 17 to say that it’s now “incontrovertible” that Russia interfered in the 2016 election. Trump swiftly rebuked him on Twitter later that day.

So, despite Trump’s feelings, the threat from Russia in 2018 is real — which leaves experts wondering if the administration will eventually do something to stop it before the next elections take place.

“I have to hope and believe that they’re doing something to keep us safe,” Sulmeyer told me.

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After Thousands of Years, Western Science Is Slowly Catching Up to Indigenous Knowledge Print
Friday, 02 March 2018 14:24

Nicholas writes: "Despite the wide acknowledgement of their demonstrated value, many scientists continue to have had an uneasy alliance with Indigenous oral histories."

The Malkawi Aboriginal painting site on Napabunna land in South Australia. (photo: Fairfax Media/Getty)
The Malkawi Aboriginal painting site on Napabunna land in South Australia. (photo: Fairfax Media/Getty)


After Thousands of Years, Western Science Is Slowly Catching Up to Indigenous Knowledge

By George Nicholas, YES! Magazine

02 March 18


New research about how birds use fire to get a broader food supply comes as no surprise to Indigenous people.

ur knowledge of what the denizens of the animal kingdom are up to, especially when humans aren’t around, has steadily increased over the last 50 years. For example, we know now that animals use tools in their daily lives. Chimps use twigs to fish for termites; sea otters break open shellfish on rocks they selected; octopi carry coconut shell halves to later use as shelters.

The latest discovery has taken this assessment to new heights, literally. A team of researchers led by Mark Bonta and Robert Gosford in northern Australia has documented kites and falcons, colloquially termed “firehawks,” intentionally carrying burning sticks to spread fire. While it has long been known that birds will take advantage of natural fires that cause insects, rodents and reptiles to flee and thus increase feeding opportunities, that they would intercede to spread fire to unburned locales is astounding.

It’s thus no surprise that this study has attracted great attention as it adds intentionality and planning to the repertoire of non-human use of tools. Previous accounts of avian use of fire have been dismissed or at least viewed with some skepticism.

While new to Western science, the behaviors of the nighthawks have long been known to the Alawa, MalakMalak, Jawoyn, and other Indigenous peoples of northern Australia whose ancestors occupied their lands for tens of thousands of years. Contrary to most scientific studies, Bonta and Gosford’s team foregrounded their research in traditional Indigenous ecological knowledge. They also note that local awareness of the behavior of the firehawks is ingrained within some of their ceremonial practices, beliefs, and creation accounts.

The worldwide attention given to the firehawks article provides an opportunity to explore the double standard that exists concerning the acceptance of Traditional Knowledge by practitioners of Western science.

Traditional knowledge

Our knowledge of the world comes from many sources. In my field, archaeologists have long depended upon ethnographic sources of information—detailed observations or information derived directly from communities studied—to help develop or test interpretations about past peoples’ lives.

In recent years, many scholars have become aware of the large body of information known as Traditional Knowledge (TK), Indigenous Knowledge (IK), or Traditional Ecological Knowledge (TEK), amongst other terms. These knowledge systems, developed over countless generations, are based on individual and collectively learned experiences and explanations of the world, verified by elders, and conveyed and guided experiential learning, and by oral traditions and other means of record keeping.

Traditional Knowledge has today become a highly valued source of information for archaeologists, ecologists, biologists, ethnobotanists, climatologists, and others. This information ranges from medicinal properties of plants and insights into the value of biological diversity to caribou migration patterns and the effects of intentional burning of the landscape to manage particular resources. For example, some climatology studies have incorporated Qaujimajatuqangit (Inuit traditional knowledge) to explain changes in sea ice conditions observed over many generations.

Despite the wide acknowledgement of their demonstrated value, many scientists continue to have had an uneasy alliance with TK and Indigenous oral histories. On the one hand, TK and other types of local knowledge are valued when they support or supplements archaeological, or other scientific evidence.

However, when the situation is reversed—when Traditional Knowledge is seen to challenge scientific “truths”—then its utility is questioned or dismissed as myth. Science is promoted as objective, quantifiable, and the foundation for “real” knowledge creation or evaluation while TK may be seen as anecdotal, imprecise, and unfamiliar in form.

Multiple ways of knowing

Are Indigenous and Western systems of knowledge categorically antithetical? Or do they offer multiple points of entry into knowledge of the world, past and present? In many cases, science and history are catching up with what Indigenous peoples have long known.

In the past two decades, archaeologists and environmental scientists working in coastal British Columbia have come to recognize evidence of mariculture—the intentional management of marine resources—that pre-dates European settlement. Over the course of thousands of years, the ancestors of the Kwakwaka'wakw and other Indigenous groups there created and maintained what have become known as “clam gardens”—rock-walled, terrace-like constructions that provide ideal habit for butter clams and other edible shellfish.

To the Kwakwaka'wakw, these were known as loxiwey, according to Clan Chief Adam Dick (Kwaxsistalla) who has shared this term and his knowledge of the practice with researchers.

As marine ecologist Amy Groesbeck and colleagues have demonstrated, these structures increase shellfish productivity and resource security significantly. This resource management strategy reflects a sophisticated body of ecological understanding and practice that predates modern management systems by millennia.

These published research studies now prove that Indigenous communities knew about mariculture for generations, but Western scientists never asked them about it before. Once tangible remains were detected, it was clear that mariculture management was in use for thousands of years. A move is underway by various Indigenous communities in the region to restore and recreate clam gardens and put them back into use.

A second example demonstrates how Indigenous oral histories correct inaccurate or incomplete historical accounts. There are significant differences between Lakota and Cheyenne accounts of what transpired at the Battle of Greasy Grass (Little Big Horn) in 1876, and the historical accounts that appeared soon after the battle by white commentators.

The Lakota and Cheyenne can be considered more objective than white accounts of the battle that are tainted by Eurocentric bias. The ledger drawings of Red Horse, a Minneconjou Sioux participant in the battle, record precise details such as trooper’s uniforms, the location of wounds on horses, and the distribution of Indian and white casualties.

In 1984, a fire at the battleground revealed military artifacts and human remains that prompted archaeological excavations. What this work revealed was a new, more accurate history of the battle that validated many elements of the Native American oral histories and accompanying pictographs and drawings of the events. However, without the archaeological evidence, many historians gave limited credence to the accounts obtained from the participating Native American warriors.

These examples, along with the firehawks study, demonstrate the reliability of Indigenous knowledge.

Opportunities at the intersection

As ways of knowing, Western and Indigenous Knowledge share several important and fundamental attributes. Both are constantly verified through repetition and verification, inference and prediction, empirical observations, and recognition of pattern events.

While some actions leave no physical evidence (e.g. clam cultivation), and some experiments can’t be replicated (e.g. cold fusion), in the case of Indigenous knowledge, the absence of “empirical evidence” can be damning in terms of wider acceptance.

Some types of Indigenous knowledge simply fall outside the realm of prior Western understanding. In contrast to Western knowledge, which tends to be text-based, reductionist, hierarchical, and dependent on categorization (putting things into categories), Indigenous science does not strive for a universal set of explanations but is particularistic in orientation and often contextual.

One key attribute of Western science is developing and then testing hypotheses to ensure rigor and replicability in interpreting empirical observations or making predictions. Although hypothesis testing is not a feature of TEK, rigor and replicability are not absent.

Whether or not traditional knowledge systems and scientific reasoning are mutually supportive, even contradictory lines of evidence have value. Employing TK-based observations and explanations within multiple working hypotheses ensures consideration of a variety of predictive, interpretive or explanatory possibilities not constrained by Western expectation or logic. And hypotheses incorporating traditional knowledge-based information can lead the way toward unanticipated insights.

The travels of Glooscap, a major figure in Abenaki oral history and worldview, are found throughout the Mi'kmaw homeland of the Maritime provinces of eastern Canada. As a Transformer, Glooscap created many landscape features. Anthropologist Trudy Sable (Saint Mary’s University) has noted a significant degree of correlation between places named in Mi'kmaw legends, oral histories, and recorded archaeological sites.

Indigenous peoples don’t need Western science to validate or legitimate their knowledge system. Some do appreciate the verification, and partnerships are developing worldwide with Indigenous knowledge holders and Western scientists working together.

This includes Traditional Ecological Knowledge informing government policies on resource management in some instances. But it is nonetheless problematic when their knowledge, which has been dismissed for so long by so many, becomes a valuable data set or used selectively by academics and others.

To return to the firehawks example, one way to look at this is that the scientists confirmed what the Indigenous peoples have long known about the birds’ use of fire. Or we can say that the Western scientists finally caught up with TK after several thousand years.


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