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The Intelligence Community's Bill Barr Moment Print
Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=6853"><span class="small">Frank Rich, New York Magazine</span></a>   
Monday, 24 February 2020 09:34

Rich writes: "This is another Barr moment, with the new acting intelligence director, the utterly unqualified loyalist hack Richard Grenell, serving as a placeholder in that job, much as the utterly unqualified loyalist hack Matthew Whitaker did as acting attorney general until Trump recruited Barr."

That invincible feeling. (photo: Evan Vucci/AP/Shutterstock)
That invincible feeling. (photo: Evan Vucci/AP/Shutterstock)


The Intelligence Community's Bill Barr Moment

By Frank Rich, New York Magazine

24 February 20


Most weeks, New York Magazine writer-at-large Frank Rich speaks with contributor Alex Carp about the biggest stories in politics and culture. Today, the start of Russia’s interference in the 2020 campaign, the prospects of Michael Bloomberg’s post-debate recovery, and Trump’s pardon spree.

he House Intelligence Committee was recently briefed that Russia has already begun interfering in the 2020 campaign “to try to get President Trump re-elected,” according to a report in the New York Times. In response, Trump apparently replaced the acting director of national intelligence with a loyalist. Is this the intelligence community’s Bill Barr moment?

It has not even been three weeks since the Republican Senate acquitted Trump, ratifying his belief that he is above the law. In that brief time, he has conducted a political purge in the White House, let felons with personal connections to him out of jail, and now this: squelching his intelligence chiefs’ warnings of Russia’s efforts to further his reelection campaign, a de facto collusion with Vladimir Putin to betray American democracy.

Of course this is another Barr moment, with the new acting intelligence director, the utterly unqualified loyalist hack Richard Grenell, serving as a placeholder in that job, much as the utterly unqualified loyalist hack Matthew Whitaker did as acting attorney general until Trump recruited Barr. Whoever the new intel director proves to be, we can be assured that they will do Trump’s political bidding. Nothing will be done to combat Russian efforts to fix the election. Congressional watchdogs and all other relevant officials will be kept in the dark about the nature of attacks. Should any news of Russian cyberwarfare somehow seep into the public sphere anyway, no doubt Trump and his lackeys will declare that the real culprit is Ukraine, with the aid of Hillary Clinton’s vintage server.

Trump’s breaches of the rule of law, all of them aided by the Vichy Republicans, are so profuse and so deleterious to the very idea of America that it’s getting hard to imagine how he could top himself. But surely the willful castration of national security when a foreign adversary seeks to sabotage an American election is his gravest act of lawlessness yet.

In the 24 hours or so since the all-out assault on Michael Bloomberg at the Nevada Democratic debate, the billionaire’s campaign manager has tried to argue that being the biggest target simply meant Bloomberg was the biggest threat to the field. Can Bloomberg defend himself well enough to stay in the running?

The Bloomberg debate debacle is reminiscent of what happened in Hollywood when sound movies arrived: Some suddenly sexy movie stars of the silent era lost their entire careers when audiences discovered what squeaky, low-powered voices they had. It’s not that dire for Bloomberg. He can stay in as long as he’s willing to spend. But to what end, beyond continuing to fracture the non-Bernie Sanders field, is unclear.

Bloomberg did accomplish two remarkable things on Wednesday night. He made Joe Biden look on top of it (sort of), and made one think nostalgically, if only for a millisecond, of Tom Steyer, a billionaire with far less reason to run for president than Bloomberg — but at least a guy who can speak in paragraphs. But the issue with Bloomberg is not simply a matter of performance. The truth is that the two issues for which he didn’t have answers — the treatment of women at his company and the treatment of black and Hispanic New Yorkers during his mayoralty — are the very two issues that stand in the way of his getting the Democratic nomination.

Bloomberg is not stupid. There’s no way he didn’t see these attacks coming. By all accounts he went through serious debate preparation — presumably the best that money could buy. That he failed to respond may have partially been a consequence of rhetorical rustiness, but was mainly a matter of bedrock substance. He revealed to the audience that he does patronize women even now — not just with lines like “Maybe they didn’t like a joke I told” but in his dismissive demeanor toward Elizabeth Warren, whom he refused to address by name. (For an incisive breakdown of the gender politics of this debate, including Buttigieg versus Klobuchar, do read Monica Hesse in the Washington Post.) Bloomberg also revealed that he still doesn’t understand the racism and cruelty of stop and frisk. Warren had it exactly right in her takedown when she said the problem isn’t how the policy “turned out” but “what it was designed to do to begin with” — targeting “black and brown men.”

It’s a measure of the power of Bloomberg’s unlimited campaign budget that despite all this, he’s drawn more African-American support in some polls than every Democrat except Biden. It would be crazy to count him out. Politico reports that his fallback strategy for seizing the nomination is to exploit a contested convention to become the standard-bearer of the anti-Bernie forces. Should he succeed, would the alienation of the Sanders base over such a last-minute power grab in a smoke-filled room (or smoke-free, in Bloomberg’s case) make the victory Pyrrhic? A fractured party cannot beat Putin and his American stooge.

At the end of a week in which Trump granted clemency to 11 people whose crimes bear close resemblance to the major accusations against himself and his aides — selling political favors, concealing extortion, tax fraud — Roger Stone was handed a prison sentence much shorter than federal prosecutors had initially suggested. Should Trump accomplices take this as a message that he will protect them or is this simply, as the Times put it, another “ad hoc scramble”?

Of course Trump will protect any criminals in his administration or in his circle, especially (if not exclusively) those whose criminal activity mirrors his own both at the Trump Organization and in the White House. If there was any ambiguity about that intention, it was vitiated by the GOP Senate’s protection of Trump in the impeachment trial. A reelected Trump will not only continue to pardon past and present criminals — surely Jared Kushner’s felonious father, Charles, will be first in line — but he will green-light further White House criminality by implicitly signaling to his entire cohort that they can break any laws they want with the certitude that no crime will lead to punishment.

Of all this week’s unpardonable pardons, perhaps special attention must be paid to Bernard Kerik’s. In addition to his crimes, this lowlife Giuliani police commissioner — “an American hero” in the recent words of the Fox News shill Geraldo Rivera — took advantage of the horror of 9/11 to conduct an extramarital affair in an apartment that (as the Times put it) had been “donated for the use of weary police and rescue workers who were helping at ground zero.” Next time around, no doubt, Kerik will be able to get a friends-and-family discount at the Trump hotel of his choice.

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Let the Boy Scouts Die Out, Already Print
Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=53435"><span class="small">Matt Farwell, The New Republic</span></a>   
Monday, 24 February 2020 09:34

Farwell writes: "I was an active Boy Scout as a teenager because I had strong motivation: getting myself the hell out of the Scouting movement. It was a cultural rite and a family thing, one I hated-but the rule was that I couldn't leave until I'd reached the highest rank."

Scout carries a campaign sign following the closing of the 2016 Republican National Convention in Cleveland, Ohio. (photo: Dominick Reuter/AFP/Getty Images)
Scout carries a campaign sign following the closing of the 2016 Republican National Convention in Cleveland, Ohio. (photo: Dominick Reuter/AFP/Getty Images)


Let the Boy Scouts Die Out, Already

By Matt Farwell, The New Republic

24 February 20


An Eagle Scout lays out how the organization was morally bankrupt long before it filed for Chapter 11 protection.

was an active Boy Scout as a teenager because I had strong motivation: getting myself the hell out of the Scouting movement. It was a cultural rite and a family thing, one I hated—but the rule was that I couldn’t leave until I’d reached the highest rank. My older brothers were Eagle Scouts, as were most of my cousins and nephews. Now the Boy Scouts of America are filing for bankruptcy, like USA Gymnastics and a bunch of Catholic dioceses in the United States before them, and for similar reasons. The Scouts’ motto, of course, is “Be Prepared,” but when it came to compensating a mere fraction of the victims of sexual assault in their dens, they weren’t. Now their finances will mirror their morals. 

Good, I thought, when I heard the news. I hope this means they’re dead as a cultural force. The entire Scouting ethos is based on predation. One guy from a Virginia Boy Scouts troop of mine later pleaded guilty to molesting children in a church building during his Mormon mission to Las Vegas. I lost track of most of the rest. I made Eagle at 14, and that was that. 

I’d started out early in the organization, in Germany; my dad was stationed at Bitburg Air Base, but our family lived out in town, which meant that, aside from school, Cub Scouts was where I hung out with Americans of my own age. I was indifferent to the group, but I loved the outdoors; I spent most of my time out in the woods or down by the river and traveled steadily up the ranks—Bobcat, Wolf, Bear, and Webelos, and Arrow of Light, for which I vaguely recall walking a thin, slightly raised platform meant to symbolize a bridge.

It wasn’t really my thing, but in the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter Day Saints it was the official youth program for boys, and a record of promotions through the organization was cultural currency—tangible evidence, like the accumulation of material goods, of your spiritual success. Having a family full of Eagle Scouts meant having a family full of righteous men, and training began early. It was simply something I knew I’d have to get through.

By the time we moved back to the States, I was 11, eligible to join the Boy Scouts; there wasn’t much choice in the matter. Scouting should’ve been a natural fit: I already enjoyed running around in the woods by my house wearing camouflage, playing Army man; I’d sewn my own ghillie suit. But Scouting was full of weirdos being babysat by man-children on power trips once a week on Wednesday night, with weekend campouts every couple of months, plus a week at a Scout camp in summer. 

I raced through the program as fast as possible, ready to quit once I’d gotten Eagle. My Boy Scout Requirements 1993–1995 book charts the minimum required progress for Eagle Scout: 16 months and a total of 21 merit badges. That’s what I did, carefully and cynically choosing the easiest elective merit badges, like Pets (“Requirement 3: Present evidence that you have cared for a pet for four months”) and Collections (“Requirement 2: Explain the growth and development of your collection”). These accompanied the required merit badges, like Personal Management (“Requirement 6: Tell how important credit and installment buying are to our economy and the individual and the family”). 

Doing this, I learned—and am reminded now, flipping through the merit badge requirements—how much the Boy Scouts were cultural predators. They ripped off and distorted Native American dress, customs, and cultures as shamelessly as Instagramming white girls in headdress at Coachella. The “Indian Lore” merit badge required a scout to give the history of one Indian tribe, make a full Indian costume, and visit a museum to see Indian artifacts but never once mentions talking to a Native person—there are only 2.9 million in the U.S.

A fraternity within Boy Scouts called Order of the Arrow is among the worst at such cultural appropriation: Its “tapping out” ceremony, described here by Native artist and Scout mother Ozheebeegay Ikwe, leans heavily on whites wearing redface. (“While American Indian attire has been the historic tradition used in OA ceremonies,” the Order announced in an update on its website last month, “circumstances may dictate that lodges use either the Scout Field Uniform or the Alternative Ceremonial Clothing.” The announcement concluded by assuring OA members that “Ceremony scripts and the core messages they possess are remaining the same.”)

The high cost of the Scouting program was another form of predation: It’s expensive to be a member. Today, a bare-bones short-sleeve Scout shirt sets parents back $36.99, a shoulder patch $3.49, a long-sleeve shirt and switchback canvas uniform pants each come in at $39.99, a belt $12.99, a neckerchief $10.99, and socks $9.99. Not that the uniform components were all required, but that resulted in a tiered uniform system that subtly distinguished the rich and upper-middle-class kids from the poor. Kids with money had better gear for camping, and it was never cheap to attend a national or international jamboree (which worked out for me, since I had little interest in going).

At my Eagle Scout board of review, I recall feeling uncomfortable as old men asked me what I would do if one of my friends told me they were gay (“Requirement 2: Demonstrate Scout Spirit by living the Scout Oath”). To my shame—to this day, it bothers me—I hedged, faced those stuffy codgers wearing $9 Boy Scout socks and matching bright kerchiefs, put on my most earnest expression, and said something to the effect that I would try to help my hypothetical gay friend not be so gay, if they didn’t want to be gay. This seemed to satisfy them, as did the thousand-plus books that my book drive collected for the Children’s Hospital of the King’s Daughters. I passed my review, got my terminal rank, had it presented in another weird ceremony, then kept my promise and promptly quit. Years later, when I enlisted in the Army, I entered at a slightly higher than usual rank, private first class, because I had been an Eagle Scout.

The whole Scouting organization was rotten, that’s been crystal clear to me since then; it seemed confirmed when disaster artist Robert Gates left the BSA presidency in 2016. When your outfit is abandoned by a Beltway maven who failed to predict the Soviet Union’s fall as an intel analyst, palled around with Iran-Contra conspirators as a CIA deputy director, and oversaw America’s post-9/11 wars of choice as the secretary of defense—twice—you know there’s some sinister shit afoot. Rats are always the first ones off a sinking ship.

The Boy Scouts have long known about the predators within their midst: Their own closely guarded “Perversion Files” tracked sexual abuse cases from 1944 to 2016. The numbers are staggering: 12,000 alleged victims—all children and teenagers—abused by 7,800 separately identified Scoutmasters. Think about those numbers, coming from an organization that held itself up as a pillar of American morality. That’s at least 72 years of horrifying, intimate abuse, hidden and concealed by an organization that taught its charges to “Do a good turn daily” while producing enough victims to fill an Army division. Many of these victims had no safe place to turn—as the new documentary The Church and the First Estate painfully shows. The film follows the story of Adam Steed, who was told by both his Scout and church leaders to forgive his abuser and forget the abuse but went to the police instead. The Scoutmaster accused by Steed admitted to molesting 24 other boys, ultimately receiving five months in jail and 15 years’ parole. It boggles the mind.

All this was going on while the Scouts fought unsuccessful battles in court to keep barring openly gay men from serving in their ranks. Meanwhile, the adult Scouting executives were making out like bandits—in 2009, a Charity Navigator report showed that the CEO of BSA was one of the top five earners in the nonprofit space, taking home a cool $1,577,600 in annual salary. The long con of Scouting paid off, until it didn’t. The glut of allegations and evidence is overwhelming—by the BSA’s count, it faces 275 abuse lawsuits across the U.S., plus thousands more additional claims, above and beyond the ones it’s already settled to the tune of $150 million it has paid in settlements since 2017. Even with $1.4 billion in assets, the organization faces so many credible abuse claims that its insurance policies are refusing to pay out.

Though I didn’t have the language to express it in my youth, I discovered that the Boy Scouts of America was full of men like Bob Gates: self-righteous, well-scrubbed creeps who kept their external aura of civic virtue shiny, obscuring the grubby evil in the institutions and traditions they oversaw. Reading through the lawsuits against the organization, it becomes clear that the BSA was an organization by predators for predators, optimized to groom and produce more predators. We should learn lessons from the victimized children’s stories, about accountability and justice: Judging from this preemptive bankruptcy, I doubt we ever will.

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How to Protect Democracy From Lawless Presidents Like Trump Print
Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=53434"><span class="small">Adam Schiff, The Los Angeles Times</span></a>   
Sunday, 23 February 2020 14:33

Schiff writes: "The impeachment trial of President Trump has ended, but the threat to our democracy continues. In the short time since the trial concluded, the president has proven that the House managers' warning to senators that he will never change was prescient."

Chairman Adam Schiff after a House Intelligence Committee hearing last week in Washington. (photo: Anna Moneymaker/NYT)
Chairman Adam Schiff after a House Intelligence Committee hearing last week in Washington. (photo: Anna Moneymaker/NYT)


How to Protect Democracy From Lawless Presidents Like Trump

By Adam Schiff, The Los Angeles Times

23 February 20

 

he impeachment trial of President Trump has ended, but the threat to our democracy continues. In the short time since the trial concluded, the president has proven that the House managers’ warning to senators that he will never change was prescient.

President Trump’s actions demonstrate the need to develop and pass legislative reforms to safeguard the checks and balances of our democracy. Building new guardrails to defend against authoritarian-minded presidents must now be a top priority for Congress.

Within days of the Senate vote, Trump began to exact revenge against officials who complied with lawful subpoenas and told the truth to Congress. He had a security escort remove Lt. Col. Alexander Vindman, a decorated combat veteran, from the White House’s National Security Council, along with his twin brother, who served as an ethics attorney.

The president’s vengeance against civil servants is disturbing enough, but it occurred alongside an even greater danger that has come into sharper focus this week: the politicization and potential weaponization of the Department of Justice.

Trump insists he has the absolute right to direct the actions of the department. His efforts to obstruct investigations into his own misconduct and that of his associates — firing FBI Director James B. Comey, seeking to fire Special Counsel Robert S. Mueller III and much more — are well documented. And now, the president has found his Roy Cohn in Atty. Gen. William Barr, who has shown himself willing to be the president’s political fixer and do his bidding at the expense of the department’s independence.

The severity of the threat to our democracy was made plain last week in a succession of troubling actions by the Justice Department.

Last Monday, the department recommended that Roger Stone, the president’s longtime political advisor and self-proclaimed “dirty trickster,” be sentenced according to standard federal guidelines for the serious crimes he committed. Mr. Stone was convicted last year on seven charges related to lying to Congress about his dealings with the president and WikiLeaks — the platform publishing Russian hacked emails beneficial to the Trump campaign — and witness tampering.

Late that same evening, the president tweeted in outrage, calling the recommendation “a miscarriage of justice.” The next morning, at Barr’s urging, the department reversed course and recommended a more lenient sentence, using language so unusual for the DOJ that it looked like it could have been written by Stone himself.

Barr claims he had planned to intervene in the case before reading the president’s tweet, but he does not deny his personal involvement. It is exceedingly rare for attorneys general to overrule the sentencing recommendation of their career prosecutors. Doing so in a case involving the president’s own wrongdoing may be unprecedented.

As a result, the career prosecutors on the case demonstrated something in short supply in the White House but abundant among public servants — moral courage. One by one, they withdrew from the case, and one resigned altogether.

By the end of the week, reports emerged that Barr had ordered the review of other “politically sensitive” criminal cases, including that of President Trump’s former national security advisor, Michael Flynn, who pleaded guilty to lying to federal investigators to cover up the nature of his own interactions with the Russians. This follows yet another Barr-ordered review intended to sow doubt about intelligence community findings that Russia interfered in the 2016 election to help then-candidate Trump, and a nearly successful effort to cover up the whistleblower complaint that ultimately led to Trump’s impeachment.

These interventions by Barr to benefit the president have profound implications for the rule of law and our democracy. With a willing attorney general and compliant congressional Republicans, Trump is attempting to utilize the instruments of justice for his political benefit, something that would give him immense power to punish and harass his political opponents and protect his friends.

We cannot let that succeed.

Institutions are only as strong as the people who protect them. Public servants, at personal cost, stepped forward in the impeachment inquiry and in the wake of the Stone sentencing reversal. Judges have also demonstrated a vital independence from this lawless president.

Congress must also do its part through vigorous oversight, and also by enacting a new set of reforms to prevent presidential abuses akin to those passed after Watergate. Work on these is already underway.

The president has continually taken advantage of the slow judicial review process to delay oversight of his administration. In response, Congress should enact legislation to expedite judicial review of congressional subpoenas, an idea House Republicans favored unanimously under President Obama.

There is also a clear need to legislate a stronger firewall between the Department of Justice and the White House, one secured by more than regulations or norms. One first step was introduced by my fellow House impeachment manager, Hakeem Jeffries, to require logging and disclosure of White House contacts with DOJ. But more will be required to prevent an unethical president from initiating or interfering in cases that involve the president’s enemies, allies or family members.

Along these lines, I have introduced legislation to constrain abuse of the pardon power. President Trump has repeatedly dangled pardons to his associates as they face federal criminal investigations. The bill would ensure that, in the event the president issues a pardon in a case related to him or his family members, the complete investigative files would be provided to Congress to ensure he could not obtain the corrupt benefit of covering up his own misconduct.

Some of these reforms may not become law while Trump remains in office, but that must not stop us from getting started. The future of our democracy depends on it.

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Oklahoma Will Require Its Schools to Teach the Tulsa Race Massacre of 1921 Print
Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=49678"><span class="small">Zak Cheney-Rice, New York Magazine</span></a>   
Sunday, 23 February 2020 14:33

Cheney-Rice writes: "Oklahoma's Education Department is adding the 1921 Tulsa race massacre to its curriculum for the first time, in what doubles as a contingency to stop the tragedy's centennial from devolving into a pile-on of the state's failure to fully reckon with the tragedy."

Images from Tulsa's Greenwood District, 1921. (photo: Hulton Deutsch/Corbis/Getty Images)
Images from Tulsa's Greenwood District, 1921. (photo: Hulton Deutsch/Corbis/Getty Images)


Oklahoma Will Require Its Schools to Teach the Tulsa Race Massacre of 1921

By Zak Cheney-Rice, New York Magazine

23 February 20

 

klahoma’s Education Department is adding the 1921 Tulsa race massacre to its curriculum for the first time, in what doubles as a contingency to stop the tragedy’s centennial from devolving into a pile-on of the state’s failure to fully reckon with the tragedy. CNN reports that the decision was announced on Wednesday, with State Senator Kevin Matthews describing the 99-year-old killings as “Tulsa’s dirty secret.” Students from elementary through high school will be required to learn about them starting this fall. A pilot program run by Tulsa Public Schools has provided the blueprint for how the incident will be taught, and helped administrators develop tools and resources to ensure that teachers are comfortable teaching it. Until now, lessons about the massacre have been inconsistent — some schools taught it, some didn’t. Its universalization this week marks something of a turnaround in how its centrality to Oklahoma’s history is understood there.

It’s also not the only related effort. Last year, Tulsa mayor G.T. Bynum, a Republican, had a team of scientists and forensic anthropologists investigate a structural anomaly in the Oaklawn Cemetery, located a few blocks from Tulsa’s Greenwood District, which was known colloquially in the early 20th century as “Black Wall Street.” The anomaly was first discovered in the late 1990s and seemed to indicate the presence of a mass grave. “We owe it to the community to determine if there are mass graves in our city,” Bynum said, according to the Washington Post. “We owe it to the victims and their family members.” Earlier this month, officials agreed to permit “limited excavations” in the cemetery to determine whether the anomaly contains the bodies of people killed in 1921. They clarified that there are no current plans to exhume the researchers’ findings. Taken in tandem, the curricular overhaul and mass-grave search seem to comprise an overdue deference on the part of local officials to an event whose magnitude and devastation had long been underappreciated.

The broad strokes of what happened in Tulsa in 1921 are perhaps more widely known today than ever before, owing in part to a fictionalized depiction of the tragedy in HBO’s Watchmen series. It commenced on May 31 of that year, when rumors circulated that a black man named Dick Rowland had sexually assaulted a white woman, Sarah Page, in an elevator. The allegations catalyzed what’s widely understood as a broader set of interracial resentments — namely those of Tulsa’s white residents toward the black denizens of Greenwood, a thriving business district marked by an unusual concentration of black wealth. Whites lay siege to the area, cordoning off its borders so that black people had trouble evacuating and shooting those they’d trapped. They set fire to around 40 blocks of homes and businesses, torching buildings from the ground while using airplanes to firebomb Greenwood from the sky. Forty-eight hours later, more than 300 black people were dead and 10,000 more were left homeless.

Though efforts to revitalize the Greenwood District over the subsequent century have come in spurts, of late they’ve been widely criticized for directing the spoils of redevelopment away from those who should benefit the most. From the Post:

[As] Tulsa prepares to commemorate the massacre’s centennial in 2021, a community still haunted by its history is being transformed by a wave of new development in and around Greenwood.

There’s a minor-league baseball stadium and plans for a BMX motocross headquarters. There’s an arts district marketed to millennials, and a hip shopping complex constructed out of empty shipping containers. There’s a high-end apartment complex with a yoga studio and pub.

While almost two-thirds of the neighborhood’s residents are African American, the gentrification has surfaced tensions between the present and the past.

This “tension” hints at a common dynamic that often complicates such historical commemorations — that the sincerity and reverence with which they’re pursued by some is, in as many ways, offset by their parallel function as a sort of capital-driven “boosterism,” to quote Rhodes College professor and lifelong Memphian Zandria Robinson, designed to remake their locations’ sullied image to appeal to potential investors. One can only hope that Oklahoma’s broadening education around the 1921 massacre, as indicated by its inclusion in the state curriculum, will produce minds better equipped to reckon with and offset it than previous generations have been.

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FOCUS: Russia Wants Trump Reelected, and May Be Making a Bet That Bernie Sanders Can't Defeat Him (They're Wrong) Print
Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=51519"><span class="small">Juan Cole, Informed Comment</span></a>   
Sunday, 23 February 2020 13:24

Cole writes: "It seems to me fairly obvious that Russian president Vladimir Putin desperately wants Trump reelected, as US intelligence concluded. At Helsinki, Putin freely admitted his support for Trump."

A demonstrator holds up a sign of Vladimir Putin during an anti-Trump March. (photo: Eduardo Alvarez/Getty)
A demonstrator holds up a sign of Vladimir Putin during an anti-Trump March. (photo: Eduardo Alvarez/Getty)


Russia Wants Trump Reelected, and May Be Making a Bet That Bernie Sanders Can't Defeat Him (They're Wrong)

By Juan Cole, Informed Comment

23 February 20

 

ulia Arciga at The Daily Beast writes that the Bernie Sanders campaign is convinced that notorious far right wing internet troll Richard Grenell, whom Trump wants to make acting Director of National Intelligence, is the source of the leak that Russia is backing the Sanders campaign.

At the same time, Trump lashed out because a government official briefed the House Intelligence Committee that Russia is making efforts to reelect Trump. Trump seems to have fired his acting Director of National Intelligence and installed Grenell over the House briefing.

Sanders had been briefed on the allegation, which is vague and was classified, and so he was not at liberty to disclose it.

It seems to me fairly obvious that Russian president Vladimir Putin desperately wants Trump reelected, as US intelligence concluded. At Helsinki, Putin freely admitted his support for Trump.

Indeed, that desire is almost certainly the reason that Moscow might be trying to help the Sanders campaign, if it is. Many Russian politicians and pundits are convinced that Sanders cannot win.

They are wrong in this glib conclusion. They don’t understand how much Trump is hated, including by white women who are usually a Republican bedrock. They don’t understand Bernie Sanders’ appeal to the white working class in the Rust Belt and to Hispanics in Texas and California.

Russian geopolitical analysis is often a mess, frequently consisting of half-cocked conspiracy theories and poorly grounded conjectures.

Moreover, judging from what we know of Russia’s behavior in 2016, Moscow mainly just wants US society to be polarized and for Americans to fight one another over race and religion rather than to be united. They hope a divided US will be less formidable in interfering with Russian goals like reassertion in the Middle East and Ukraine. That is, Putin doesn’t care so much who is president but wants the US weak.

This is clear from the activities of the GRU hacker Guccifer 2.0 in 2016. GRU is Russian military intelligence.

That any Russian tilt toward Sanders comes from Moscow’s profound desire for a Trump second term and a conviction that Sanders can’t win is clear from a cursory consideration of the Russian press.

BBC Monitoring reports that

On 1 August, Igor Dunayevsky at the Rossiyskaya Gazeta discussed the debate performance of Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren under the heading of “US-Style Utopia.”

On Feb. 5, RBC: Evgeny Pudovkin alleged at RosBiznesConsulting (RBC) that Sanders is a candidate of the youth, who want genuine change, but he saw Biden as the Establishment candidate.

On Feb 12, in the wake of the Senate’s refusal to impeach Trump and the chaos surrounding the Iowa Caucuses, the panel discussions at Bolshaya Igra and Rossiya 1 concluded that these two events showed that Trump is without doubt headed for a second term.

BBC Monitoring says, “On Bolshaya Igra, co-host Dmitry Simes and pro-Kremlin guest Andranik Migranyan appeared optimistic that this could result in US policy towards Russia changing for the better, arguing that upon his re-election, Trump will have a freer hand to pursue what the pair saw as his longstanding desire for rapprochement with Russia.”

Two other panelists demurred on the grounds that despite Trump’s obvious respect for Putin, the Washington Establishment will continue its anti-Russian vendetta, and Trump does not seem to care much about Russian issues one way or another. They all agree that the US is in decline as a global power, and that it is likely to lose out to China and Russia together in a strategic relationship.

On Feb. 13, on Bernie Sanders’ triumph in the New Hampshire primary, Alexei Nevelsky wrote in Vedomosti that for Sanders to have done so well increased the likelihood that Trump will be reelected.

Julia Davis at The Daily Beast comes to a similar conclusion.

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