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FOCUS: Who Are the Terrorists? Look and You'll See Why Bombing in Syria Won't Stomp Them Out |
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Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=5494"><span class="small">Steve Weissman, Reader Supported News</span></a>
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Sunday, 29 November 2015 12:57 |
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Weissman writes: "'If the Americans destroy Saddam Hussein and then leave, the situation will be explosive,' Dr. Olivier Roy warned back in 2002. 'Iraq won't be a stable country. Neither will the region.'"
Paris after the recent terrorist attacks. (photo: Martin Bureau/Getty Images)

Who Are the Terrorists? Look and You'll See Why Bombing in Syria Won't Stomp Them Out
By Steve Weissman, Reader Supported News
29 November 15
 f the Americans destroy Saddam Hussein and then leave, the situation will be explosive,” Dr. Olivier Roy warned back in 2002. “Iraq won't be a stable country. Neither will the region.”
A political scientist and leading scholar of Persian language and civilization, Dr. Roy helped persuade France’s center-right president Jacques Chirac, his foreign minister Dominique de Villepin, and other “cheese-eating surrender monkeys” not to buy into George W. Bush’s ill-fated invasion of Iraq.
Thirteen years have passed. Iraq, Syria, and much of the region have become even more unstable, just as Dr. Roy predicted would happen. Only now, France’s socialist president François Hollande is leading the effort to include Russia in a global coalition to intervene more forcefully, this time against both al-Qaeda and the Islamic State. Prescient as ever, Dr. Roy is warning the world not to expect the new intervention to stop terror attacks in Europe or, by extension, in the United States.
In France alone, he has identified some 1500 Islamist radicals who have become known to police and journalists over the past two decades. These radicals include Abdelhamid Abaaoud, or Abu Omar the Belgian, and most of the others in the November 13 attacks in Paris. Some “who jumped into action” went on jihad to Yemen, Syria, Iraq, or previously Bosnia or Afghanistan. Some perpetrated or were caught preparing terrorist attacks. Dr. Roy also looked at another 7000 who had manifested an intention to follow suit, but had not done so for a variety of reasons.
“Can we draw a general portrait of an Islamist radical?” he asked a week after the Paris attacks. “Can we define the conditions and circumstances under which he or she may become radical?”
In their life stories, Roy discovered some surprising patterns, along with a lack of patterns one might expect. “It is not the uprising of a Muslim community victim of poverty and racism,” he concludes. “Only young people join, including converts who did not share the ‘sufferings’ of Muslims in Europe.” The converts number about 25% of the 1500, and 37% of the 7000.
“In the USA,” he adds, “40 percent of those charged in 2011 for jihadist radicalization were converts to Islam, slightly more than the 35 percent of those charged since the 2001 attacks.”
This is not to deny the very real grievances that Muslims suffer, more so in Europe than in the United States. But the young French rebels Roy studied had “a loose or no connection” to the organized Muslim community, to the mosques, or to extremist imams. “None of the radicals has a past of piety,” Roy observes. “Most of them either broke with the Islam of their parents, or had no religious transmission from their parents.”
“Almost none followed a real process of religious education,” he says. “Their religious knowledge is low.” In fact, “few of them speak explicitly about paradise” and some carried with them the book “Islam for Dummies.”
“Many have a past of petty delinquency and drug dealing,” Roy finds. “Before turning born-again or converts, they shared a ‘youth culture’ which had nothing to do with Islam.”
“It is clearly a youth movement,” says Roy, “a youth revolt against society.” Psychologically, they share “frustration and resentment against society,” and they become radicals in “a small network of friends,” of peers, “where nominal Muslims and non-Muslims meet because they live in the same neighborhood, share the same patterns of petty delinquency, found themselves together in jail, or are members of the same family.”
“This puts them often at odds with the traditional view of family and women in Islam,” he adds. “These groups are often mixed in gender terms, and the women play often a far more important role than they themselves claim…. They intermarry between themselves, without the parents’ consent.”
Where, then, do Islamic State and al-Qaeda fit in?
“The main motivation of young men for joining jihad seems to be the fascination for a narrative: the small brotherhood of super-heroes who avenge the Muslim Ummah,” Roy concludes. This remains “global and abstract,” unconnected to real people either in Europe or the Middle East. They build their narrative “using schemes taken from the contemporary youth culture: video-games (Call of Duty, Assassins).” And they stage their super-hero fantasies using modern techniques and “very contemporary aesthetics, with a special role for aesthetics of violence.”
Al-Qaeda and the Islamic State offer them a narrative of heroism, while the religious dimension offers them a framework to restructure their lives: “the truth, the good, a clear set of norms, brothers in arms, a clear objective, and salvation.”
“Jihad is the only cause on the global market,” Dr. Roy explains with obvious disdain. “If you kill in silence, it will be reported by the local newspaper, if you kill yelling ‘Allahuakbar,’ you are sure to make the national headlines.”
In short, the radicals are there to be used, and neither al-Qaeda nor the Islamic State has any qualms about using them. “The eight knights brought Paris down on its knees, after years of French conceit in the face of Islam,” wrote the Islamic State in the latest issue of their English language magazine Dabiq. “A nationwide state of emergency was declared as a result of the actions of eight men armed only with assault rifles and explosive belts.”
The solution is not easy to see, though Dr. Roy knows what it is not.
“To promote a ‘moderate Islam’ to bring radicals back to the mainstream is nonsense,” he says. “They just reject moderation as such … and don’t care ‘what Islam really means.’”
“To ask the ‘Muslim community’ to bring radicals back to normal life is also nonsense. Radicals just don’t care about people they consider as ‘traitors,’ ‘apostates,’ or ‘collaborators.’”
“To consider Islam only through the lens of ‘fighting terrorism’ will validate the narrative of persecution and revenge that feeds the process of radicalization.”
Dr. Roy offers four alternatives: A more sophisticated intelligence system, which won’t waste time monitoring mosques, which the radicals rarely attend. Debunking the narrative of heroism, which – in my opinion – would require an extremely sophisticated use of humor. Breaking the “success story” of the Islamic State, which will require a lot more than dropping bombs. And, most important, letting Islam be a “normal’ religion.” Sadly, that is a direction that France, Europe, and nativist Americans are unwilling to take.

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FOCUS: What Foreign Policy "Debate" Means on "Face the Nation" |
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Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=29455"><span class="small">Glenn Greenwald, The Intercept</span></a>
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Sunday, 29 November 2015 11:51 |
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Greenwald writes: "Aside from the glaring demographic homogeneity - all middle-aged-or-older white people who have spent their careers in corporatized Washington establishments - there is a suffocating ideological and viewpoint homogeneity on this panel as well, particularly when it comes to foreign policy."
Glenn Greenwald. (photo: Occupy.com)

What Foreign Policy "Debate" Means on "Face the Nation"
By Glenn Greenwald, The Intercept
29 November 15
BS’ Face the Nation is the most-watched Sunday morning news television show in the U.S., attracting roughly 3 million viewers each week. On this Sunday morning, the show is focused on foreign policy, as it interviews Ben Carson, Jeb Bush and Lindsey Graham on the issues of ISIS and refugees. As it always does, the program has assembled a panel of “experts” to discuss those matters; one of them, Jeffrey Goldberg, proudly announced its composition this morning:
In addition to host John Dickerson and Goldberg himself, the rest of the panel is composed of former Bush 43 speechwriter and current Washington Post columnist Michael Gerson, Washington Post columnist David Ignatius, and former Bush 41 speechwriter and current Wall St. Journal columnist Peggy Noonan.
Aside from the glaring demographic homogeneity – all middle-aged-or-older white people who have spent their careers in corporatized Washington establishments – there is a suffocating ideological and viewpoint homogeneity on this panel as well, particularly when it comes to foreign policy. All of the panelists, for instance, were vocal, aggressive advocates of the invasion of Iraq (as were all three GOP presidential candidates featured on this morning’s show).
Goldberg, in a 2006 profile of Gerson, wrote that “Gerson, like Bush, has never wavered. ‘The people of the Middle East are not exceptions to this great trend of history, and, by standing up for these things, we are on the right side of history,’ he said.” Ignatius repeatedly used his Post platform to argue for the war: eight months after the invasion, he wrote a gushing profile of Paul Wolfowitz (“a rare animal in Washington — a genuine intellectual in a top policymaking job”) and decreed: “this may be the most idealistic war fought in modern times”; in 2004, he proclaimed: “I don’t regret my support for toppling Hussein.” Noonan, in February, 2003, told Slate: “I have come to the conclusion that we must move. I do not imagine an invasion will be swift and produce minimal losses. But I believe not stepping in is, at this point, more dangerous than stepping in.”
Other than Tom Friedman, Goldberg himself was probably the journalist most responsible for tricking Americans into supporting the war by circulating blatant falsehoods under the guise of “reporting,” using his New Yorker perch to legitimize claims of the non-existent Saddam/Al Qaeda alliance (which he continued to tout as late as 2010) and the Iraqi nuclear program. The Face the Nation host, John Dickerson, was a reporter for Time Magazine at the time and therefore pretended not to express opinions about Iraq, but he disseminated “objective” reporting like this:

TIME headline covering former President Bush's adminstration.
Many have observed that no American journalists or pundits (let alone political officials) other than Judy Miller paid any career price whatsoever for their dissemination of falsehoods about Iraq and the use of their platforms to vocally cheer for one of the worst, most destructive crimes of their generation. That’s true, but it’s worse than that.
To this day, being regarded in establishment circles as a serious and credible foreign policy expert for a journalist or pundit all but requires that one have supported the Iraq War along with subsequent military actions. The few public figures who opposed the war and are admitted to such circles are admitted despite that opposition, and a requirement is that they opposed the invasion on pragmatic and strategic grounds, not moral or legal ones.
This dynamic is particularly thriving right now in the U.K., as scores of political and media figures who cheered Tony Blair’s invasion of Iraq malign Jeremy Corbyn, who opposed it, as an “extremist.” In order to be a serious “moderate” in western imperial capitals, one must endorse the right of your government to invade, bomb and attack countries which haven’t attacked yours; only an “extremist” would oppose such a radical precept (anger at Corbyn is currently at its peak because he opposes UK bombing of Syria against ISIS). To see how this mentality works, watch this amazing 2003 BBC program as one of the UK’s most despised-among-the-establishment figures, George Galloway, debated the invasion of Iraq with numerous still-respected pro-war pundits; virtually everything Galloway said in opposition to the war proved prescient and virtually everything the war cheerleaders said proved utterly false, and yet they are still regarded as credible and serious while he is loathed and dismissed as an extremist.
There is, needless to say, an enormous amount of viewpoint, experience and mentality homogeneity among these Face the Nation panelists extending far beyond their vocal enthusiasm for the attack on Iraq. The fact that the nation’s most watched Sunday morning news TV show convenes such similar “experts” to comment on foreign policy illustrates how illusory is the supposed “free debate” which establishment media outlets permit.

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The Regime Change Problem in American Politics |
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Sunday, 29 November 2015 09:36 |
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Krugman writes: "This post isn't about what you think it's about. I'm not talking about a looming coup."
Paul Krugman. (photo: NYT)

The Regime Change Problem in American Politics
By Paul Krugman, The New York Times
29 November 15
his post isn’t about what you think it’s about. I’m not talking about a looming coup; I’m talking about the problems facing political science, which — it recently occurred to me — are a bit like the problems facing macroeconomics after 2008.
First things first: I’m a big admirer of political science, and a fairly heavy consumer of the more quantitative end. Larry Bartels, McCarty/Poole/Rosenthal, Alan Abramowitz, Andrew Gelman, and more have helped shape my understanding of what is going on in this country; I get more out of any one of their papers than out of a whole election cycle’s worth of conventional horse-race punditry. Studying what actually happens in elections, as opposed to spinning tales based on a few up-close-and personal interviews, is definitely the way to go.
Yet I don’t think I’m being unfair in saying that so far this cycle the political scientists aren’t doing too well. In particular, standard models of how the nomination process works seem to be having trouble with the durability of clowns. Things don’t seem to be working the way they used to.
READ MORE

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For Laquan McDonald and All Victims of Police Brutality, We Have to Win |
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Sunday, 29 November 2015 09:33 |
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Johnson writes: "Sixteen shots. Four hundred some-odd days. Countless tears and empty promises. Laquan was murdered by the state. And we have to recognize that this moment is not an isolated incident - not in Chicago and not in America."
Protesters shut down a Chicago highway last night during protests for Laquan McDonald. (photo: Aaron Cynic/Twitter)

For Laquan McDonald and All Victims of Police Brutality, We Have to Win
By Katelyn Johnson, In These Times
29 November 15
If the progressive movement can’t organize itself to fight back against racism and injustice in Chicago and around the country, police murders like those of Laquan McDonald, Freddie Gray and Rekia Boyd will never stop.
here is no ache more profound as the experience of losing a loved one, so my heart goes out to LaQuan McDonald's family. This young man is more than a symbol of a violent and morally bankrupt system—he was someone’s child. So, let my first words be words of love and condolences of his family.
Sixteen shots. Four hundred some-odd days. Countless tears and empty promises. Laquan was murdered by the state. And we have to recognize that this moment is not an isolated incident—not in Chicago and not in America. Anyone who believes that Chicago police chief Garry McCarthy, Mayor Rahm Emanuel or State’s Attorney Anita Alvarez care at all for this boy is deluded and disconnected from the realities our black communities face. These three have no concept of truth. They can’t handle the burden of admitting that they have failed in their most sacred duty, to protect and serve, and instead have become symbols of oppression, corruption and racism. Their pretty words are full of poison, and their villainous record speaks louder than any press conference. They never loved us, and they never will.
While this city erupted in pain and protest, Mayor Emanuel was at a Christmas tree lighting ceremony, keeping up the charade that everything is just fine in Chicago. Alvarez’ office waited over a year to charge Jason Van Dyke, the officer who shot McDonald, until a dogged journalist pried the dash cam video out of the department’s hands and forced them to release it to the public. And we all know her office let officer Dante Servin get away with 22-year-old Rekia Boyd’s 2012 murder for as long as they could get away with it. McCarthy’s blue wall of silence has Alvarez’s office on one side and city hall on the other. None of them can be trusted, and none of them should be able to keep their jobs.
But, those of us in the “movement” are not without blame. If “we who believe in freedom shall not rest,” that means as long as one of us is oppressed, none of us should rest comfortably. After marching in the streets last night, being led by the fearless leadership of Black youth in our city, I have been chastened to do better by my community. We have to examine how our own “liberal” and “progressive” systems allow oppression and privilege to taint our decisions, even in the midst of displays of solidarity. Last night, I saw the press flock to white allies, who were readily available with a soundbite, instead of redirecting the focus to the youth and Black folks who were leading the fight. If our theory of change is that the people most affected by the issues of injustice should be leading us, then we have to practice what we preach.
Being anti-racist means that you actively shift the dynamics of power that support racism. In the movement for Black lives, if you aren’t Black, you shouldn’t be clamoring for the limelight, leading marches or trying to be anyone’s savior; this is the time for you to listen, support and use your privilege to lift up Black leadership. This isn’t the time for elected officials to posture and grandstand—it’s time for them to stand up against the racist and classist systems and take to the streets with us. We have to humble ourselves in front of our brothers and sisters and listen to what they know, or else we show that we don’t really know anything at all.
I don’t want to hear any Black-on-Black crime statistics. Yes, violence in our communities is a real issue, and all black lives matter everywhere. But the root causes of crime and violence in our community is the poverty and lack of resources that have systematically destabilized our communities for decades. You know who controls the resources, stands in the way of equitable revenue solutions, supports the 1% and destroys public education? These same clowns who are now asking us all to be “peaceful, patient, and respectful.”
At the Chicago Teachers Union’s mass rally earlier this week, a Chicago Public Schools student took the microphone and mentioned that if we don’t pay attention to the intersectionality of issues, we will miss the forest for the trees. Everything is connected. We have to require the divestment of money from the policies and systems that uphold poverty (militarization of police, corporate loopholes and subsidies, tax cuts for the wealthy) and invest those funds into education and other programs and policies that will contribute to the long-term sustainability of our most marginalized communities. If a budget is a moral document, then our city's and state’s budgets should reflect the morality that people’s lives matter more than corporate greed. All this has happened before, and will happen again if we don’t interrupt the cycle.
After all of this anger is vented and emotions run dry, if we do not move this power into policy, we will have rattled our sabers for nothing. As long as we are letting our enemies dictate our tactics, box us in and keep us fighting amongst ourselves they will always be a step ahead of us. This movement cannot be scripted. Our talking points will ring hollow if they are not from the heart. The late Hueron Wilks, who was a long-time organizer at Action Now whom I had the pleasure of working with, always used to say “what comes from the heart touches the heart.” If we are speaking from our hearts, from a place of love, we will reach one another.
We will make mistakes, but that’s a part of growth. We will disagree, but that will challenge us to refine or reinforce our beliefs. We will miss opportunities, not get the “credit we deserve” and make all sorts of unsound decisions. But that can’t stop us. Let them call us disorganized, let them marginalize us “too young” or “too angry.” Let them call us irrelevant. We will challenge one another, sharpen each other’s words and actions, and become the precise and powerful instrument for justice that will lead us all towards liberation.
We have to use whatever platforms we have to redirect the narrative back to the demands of the community. We have to rearrange our priorities and demand that our elected officials do the same or else we are complicit in our own destruction. We are already standing on the shoulders of those who have fought before us. Let’s continue to uplift each other, stand up for each other, and fight back. Laquan McDonald and his family, and all the other Laquans and Rekia Boyds and Freddie Grays around the country are counting on us to get it together. We can't let the systems and people who killed him, kill our movement as well.

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