Harvey Wasserman writes: "What's peaked now, as Fukushima melts and burns and dumps its radioactive poisons into the air and the oceans and the people of this planet, is one financial reality: even with all its subsidies, nuclear power can no longer stand in the market place."
An anti-nuke flag is displayed at a protest in Kouenji, Japan, 04/10/11. (photo: SandoCap/Flickr)
Are We On the Brink of Burying Nuke Power Forever?
16 June 11
his may be the moment history has turned definitively against atomic energy.
To be sure: we are still required to fight hard to bury reactor loan guarantees in the United States. There are parallel struggles in China, Indian, England, France and South Korea.
The great fear is that until every single reactor on this planet is shut, none of us is really safe from another radioactive horror show.
Thus the moment is clearly marked at Fukushima by three reactors and a radioactive fuel pool still untamed after three months, with the horrific potential to do far more apocalyptic damage than we've seen even to date.
That image includes Japanese school children being issued Geiger counters to carry with them 24/7.
And Fukushima's radiation raining down on the United States, with links to reports of a heightened infant death rate in Seattle.
And by countless other on-going disasters and near-misses at reactors everywhere on the planet. Included is Fort Calhoun, in Nebraska, which got zero corporate media coverage as it was nearly flooded and did lose power to its radioactive fuel pool.
From well-reasoned fear, Japan, Germany, Switzerland, Italy, Israel and other critical players have announced they will build no more reactors. Some will start shutting the ones they have.
Japan and Germany are the third and fourth largest economies on Earth. Japan has long been at the core of the reactor industry. Germany's economy is the largest in Europe. Some European nations are rumbling about an alliance to shut the reactors among their nuclear neighbors.
All this could be happening merely in reaction to yet another Three Mile Island and Chernobyl. The corporate media has attempted to induce a coma over Fukushima by simply refusing the cover the on-going disaster.
But the worsening realities are as utterly relentless as they are terrifying. In the age of the internet, there is simply no way to totally suppress the horror of what is happening to our Earth, especially at its lethal, festering wound at Fukushima.
But what truly sets this moment apart is not just the radioactive nightmare. There have been others. There will certainly be more.
What's unique about now is the Solartopian flip side. It is the irrepressible fact that we have finally reached the green-powered tipping point.
For the first time in history, the financial, industrial and trade journals are filled with pithy, number-laden reports declaring the moment has come - and this can not be overemphasized - that solar power is definitively cheaper than nuclear.
It is an epic moment that future economic and technological historians will note as a true turning point.
In real terms, Solartopian technology - wind, solar, geothermal, ocean thermal, bio-fuels, wave, current, tidal, efficiency, conservation - has always been cheaper than nukes.
The "Peaceful Atom" has always been a creature of subsidies, a happy face painted on the Bomb. Its true health, safety and environmental costs can never be reliably calculated.
What, after all, will be the true price tag on Fukushima? How do we begin to calculate the costs in human agony and ecological destruction?
Already Japan is being torn apart by who will pay: the utility (it doesn't have enough assets), the government (it could go bankrupt) or the victims (who else?). The only thing certain is this once-powerful industrial nation will never recover.
It's no accident the reactor industry cannot get private capital for new reactor construction, or private liability insurance of real consequence, and cannot solve its waste problems without the federal government taking responsibility - which, in truth, even it cannot do.
The true installment cost of the US reactor fleet can't even be calculated, as much of the liability was dishonestly wiped off the books in the deregulation scam of 1999-2002.
What we're left with worldwide is 440 uninsured ticking time bombs, potential Chernobyls and Fukushimas, every one of them. There are 104 in the US. The only real question is when the next one will go off and how long it will take to actually hear about it.
Atomic energy also feeds global warming. Who will account for the enormous heat still rising from Fukushima? How much did Chernobyl spew? Carbon emissions come with the mining, milling, enrichment and ultimate disposal of radioactive fuel, not to mention the building and dismantling of the reactors themselves.
For yet another summer, nukes in France, Alabama and elsewhere must close because the infernal machines that "fight global warming" must shut shy of heating the rivers they use for cooling to 90 degrees Farenheit.
What's peaked now, as Fukushima melts and burns and dumps its radioactive poisons into the air and the oceans and the people of this planet, is one financial reality: even with all its subsidies, nuclear power can no longer stand in the market place.
The first option, of course, has become natural gas, whose price has plummeted. But the gas boom is based in large part on fracking, an unsustainable environmental disaster. Its momentum is huge, but so is its threat to the waters we need to survive.
In the long term, the future is with renewables. They are often subsidized as well. But the scale is not comparable, and does not fully compensate for the hidden realities of atomic power's uninsurability and its inability to solve its basic waste, health and eco-impacts.
Were the nuclear industry forced to fully insure itself, or were it charged the true cost of its invested capital, or what it does to the planet and the humans who live on it, not a single reactor owner could afford to keep a reactor running for a single day.
Small wonder Wall Street has long been more anti-nuclear than Main Street.
The numbers are now easy to find. WorldWatch has just issued the definitive End of Nuclear by Mycle Schneider, laden with charts, graphs, tables and all the financial data anyone needs to confirm the case. The Rocky Mountain Institute has long had similar material on file and at the tip of Amory Lovins's tongue.
Now we see Forbes, the Wall Street Journal and the core corporate press conceding the obvious.
In short, the bottom line has now become the bottom line. Reactor costs have doubled and tripled in the past few years even before Fukushima. Green energy costs continue to plummet.
The last barrier is that to understand how a Solartopian economy works, you have to be able to walk and chew gum at the same time.
Base-load power is readily available from geo-thermal, bio-fuels and a broad mix. One does need to balance the various intermittent sources - wind, solar, tidal - to keep the glass full.
But Fukushima has shown that nukes are also intermittent in the worst imaginable way.
Any sane for-profit player with the bucks enough to build a new reactor will now put them into renewables. Witness Google, now investing $280 million in a fund for installing solar panels on home rooftops, and millions more for undersea links to offshore wind farms.
The dream of a Solartopian future has become the capitalist present. Germany and Japan would not be committing to a green-powered future if its large corporations - Siemans, Enercon, Mitsubishi, Sharp - whose CEOs have run the numbers and decided nukes are a loser. And that the real profit center for the long-term energy biz is in green power.
What remains for us is to get the government out of the game. The $36 billion in loan guarantees Obama wants in the 2012budget must come out. We need to call the White House and Congress constantly until this happens.
Then we need to find a way to get the Chinese, Indians, Koreans, Brits and French to join Germany, Japan and the rest of us in a post-nuclear world.
How soon this gets done is up to us. Our fervent hope - and greatest incentive - is knowing this must be done before the next Fukushima strikes.
Harvey Wasserman's "Solartopia! Our Green-Powered Earth, A.D. 2030" is at www.solartopia.org. He is senior advisor to Greenpeace USA and the Nuclear Information & Resource Service, and writes regularly for www.freepress.org. He and Bob Fitrakis have co-authored four books on election protection, including "Did George W. Bush Steal America's 2004 Election?," "As Goes Ohio: Election Theft Since 2004," "How the GOP Stole America's 2004 Election & Is Rigging 2008," and "What Happened in Ohio."
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The first is, “Base-load power is readily available from geo-thermal, bio-fuels and a broad mix. One does need to balance the various intermittent sources - wind, solar, tidal - to keep the glass full.”
This is a wild exaggeration if you consider the lead time necessary to produce globally significant amounts of base-load power, and the power lines to distribute it. The potential is there, but building the facilities large enough and quickly enough will be a huge effort, and it will also involve just as much, and very probably more, greenhouse gas production, and a much larger environmental footprint than nuclear power plants. It also cannot be done nearly as rapidly as building new nuclear plants, which can also be located near the places where the power is needed. This leads us to the second issue:
“But Fukushima has shown that nukes are also intermittent in the worst imaginable way.”
This statement neatly summarizes the outrageously exaggerated criticism of nuclear energy that has become widespread since the Fukushima incident.
james38 is using the same old argument against change - his comments are an excuse not to change our thinking rather than a challenge to figure out how - we should expect much resistance from our stubborn and slow-to-change utilities who are heavily invested in base-load and light on real ideas leading to a better cleaner energy future
This is a terrible thing to do, since the world needs to stop burning fossil fuels as rapidly as possible, and Nuclear Power is clearly one of the most important sources we have for base-load power to replace oil, gas, and coal. In spite of Mr. Wasserman’s shrill emotional diatribe, Nuclear Power may indeed be the best way we have to rapidly replace base-load power.
There is enough uranium already mined; as ore, as waste, and as concentrated material up to and including weapons grade material in existing stockpiles, to provide world energy needs for some time. Another fact he ignores is that modern reactors can use Thorium as fuel, and that element is much more abundant and safer to mine than Uranium. Modern mining methods also reduce the amount of environmental damage and radiation danger. Modern reactors can be designed so that weapons grade material cannot be extracted or produced. They are smaller and less expensive to build than the former designs, and with their higher efficiencies are therefore significantly less expensive than Mr. Wasserman claims.
I hope Mr. Wasserman, and others who are concerned about the need for immediate replacement of gas, oil, and coal burning power plants, will get inspired to do honest and realistic studies of the alternatives available to us. Modern Nuclear Power is one of the best we have available. It can serve us well and safely for many years, and can provide global base-load power for centuries if necessary. Properly considered, we can determine which mix of power sources to use. We must remember that calm and honest discussion is needed. Mr. Wasserman will hopefully join that effort soon.
uranium cycle plants (waste products, danger of meltdown, production of
weapon-grade substances, etc.), nuclear energy would be the ideal answer to the
"energy crisis". Thorium-based reactors supposedly minimize or eliminate these problems. India and China have working reactors based on this principle, so I am led to believe. What is the problem, besides existing investment in uranium technology, that keeps thorium out of public discussion in the US? Even a recent issue of Scientific American explaining alternative nuclear energy proposals avoided mentioning it. Is there something I am missing? See:
http://www.cosmosmagazine.com/node/348/ - also
http://nextbigfuture.com/2008/08/indias-thorium-nuclear-reactor-and.html
Sorry, we have to do with different time zones on different continents, so I did not see your posting before now.
Never heard of Thorium being used in reactors? Well here is some news for you, about Thorium balls in reactors, about some of them missing. You may use Google Translate this into English. I haven't time to do translations for you, but you may try Google translations.
http://www.kernfragen.de/kernfragen/technik/04-Reaktortypen/4-06-Der-Thorium-Hochtemperaturreaktor.php
http://www.wdr.de/themen/politik/nrw04/atomkraft/110402.jhtml
http://www.contratom.de/2011/04/04/2285-brennelementkugeln-verschlampt/
Here is a quote from their site: "Lightbridge-de signed all-metal fuel technology can provide up to 30% power generation increase in current and next-generation pressurized water reactors. As a result, the initial capital cost per megawatt and the annual operations and maintenance costs per kilowatt-hour, which, in combination, typically account for over four-fifth of the total cost of nuclear power generation, are expected to be reduced."
The amount of research being done in modern reactor design is amazing, and everyone interested in this discussion should look up some articles on the subject.
The balls were used in a research reactor in Jülich, Germany. 290.000 of those balls were used in the Jülich research facility between 1967 and 1988. They are still there on the site, stored in so-called Castor containers, awaiting their end deposit - which has yet to materialize. The research facility is now being dismantled. The scandal of the missing balls is a hot political theme in Germany.
http://www.spiegel.de/spiegel/print/d-77855731.html
These are among the lessons we must learn from events that have occurred in the nuclear industry to the present. To say that the disasters and problems that have occurred must be interpreted as requiring the decision to eliminate future nuclear power development is absurd. That would be like saying that the necessary response to any future airplane crash must be to abandon all passenger flights immediately and forever.
PS You say that the experiments using the balls were run between the years 1967 and 1988. Those were early years for fast neutron reactors. The latest designs are much more efficient and much safer, and use more sophisticated fuel and cooling systems.
You suggested more arguments in a post below. I will continue the discussion there.
And, mhog, the word is shill, and you are exactly that for mindless repetition of propaganda. How about some facts to support your arguments? If you really look at the facts, you will be surprised at how different they are from the canned anti-"nuke" stuff you are repeating.
Talk about job security for the Nuke industry/fascis t security state!
If you take the trouble to read all of my posts, as I have done in responding to you, you will see that I do not limit my ideas to one topic. I recommend using all appropriate energy sources. Reading what the other person has said is just common courtesy, and is essential for a thoughtful discussion of an important topic.
Talk about job security for the Nuke industry/fascis t security state!"
1. Since plutonium and the other heavy elements are broken down into smaller elements, and none are left in the small amount of waste that remains after modern nuclear processing, the radioactive half life is short, the amount is small, and the storage problem is minimal. No fodder for excessive government. Also, Nuclear energy is used globally, and regulations must be global. France is running 58 reactors now, and has reduced its carbon footprint greatly. It gets 75.2% of its electricity from Nuclear Power. The Russian Federation has 32 active plants and is building 11 more.
See http://www.euronuclear.org/info/encyclopedia/n/nuclear-power-plant-europe.htm
for the global picture. We must not hide our heads in the sand and try to ignore the potential and reality of Nuclear Power. We can and should do major research to improve the efficiency and safety of the world nuclear industry. Refusing to participate is not the answer.
But your statement that we should get on with building green power devices is spot on. It's something that should have been done before nuclear energy ever got going. If we had started then using the resources that have gone into developing nuclear plants, by now we would be way ahead of the game instead of running desperately to catch up.
I wish I could say this is a unique, one-time occurrence; but this is the Nuke-pukes' M.O. ....power and profits before people! The public got along fine without them before and we'll get along fine without them from here out. BAN THE NUKE (and make them pay to clean up their own messes)!
We all should ask: what kind of society do we want? What costs are connected with blind continuation and augmentation of today's energy policies - in the dimensions of Economy, Environment, Politics home and abroad? Some problems you have mentioned, but without showing in-depth awareness of the almost insurmountable complexity we have to deal with in order to learn from your mistakes and make the right decisions for the future.
In the first place, I am far from being a “nuclear zealot”. For some years I was just as vehemently opposed to nuclear power as you. I have some scientific training in Nuclear Physics, and several other sciences, and I felt I knew enough to be certain that nuclear power was too dangerous and polluting to be used. However, by further study, I gradually found that my previous opinions were founded on incomplete information, and I was forced to change my opinion by the simple pressure of overwhelming evidence and facts. I did not let go of my previous opinions easily. They had to be chipped away bit by bit, but they were finally broken down as I checked and double checked the new facts I was learning.
The problem of how to communicate with “lay people” does exist, but there are some good books written by people who understand how to present the scientific information in a clear way for the reasonably intelligent non-scientist. Unfortunately there are also a plethora of books written by persons who fully intend to encourage lay people to become “fearful lay people” in order to advance their own opinions.
I find it amazing that a country as apparently well-educated as Germany can be so swayed politically by anti-nuclear propaganda that the entire country is about to make a decision to eliminate the industry. I particularly feel deep sympathy for your Prime Minister, Ms. Merkel, who as a person trained in Physics herself must feel excruciatingly caught between a rock and a hard place. She appears to know full well that Nuclear energy is viable and important to the nation of Germany and to the word in general, but she must compromise her knowledge because she simply does not have time to both survive politically and to re-educate the public.
“Yawn”, you say? Please, Gurka, as a person with the intellect to understand facts, take a step back from the involvement you have with the idea that your present negative opinions about Nuclear energy are complete and fully correct. Take the time to do more research. I am very sure that you will be surprised, as I was, to find that the emotional response you feel is justified now, is actually built on a foundation of sand. Dig deeper and you will find the bedrock of truth.
So - “Yawn?” Gurka? Take another look. Read Ms. Cravens’ book, for starters. I think you are intelligent enough so that you would really prefer to have opinions based on the complete facts, not on emotional energy fueled by a well-oiled propaganda machine. Many societies have been led down very destructive paths by propaganda. Italy is also being overwhelmed by the emotional and irrational rush to abandon nuclear energy. The folks at Greenpeace and other misguided organizations must feel quite pumped-up and excited by their “success”.
If we wait that long, Nuclear Power will be even more essential as part of the attempt to save human society and the planet than it already is. But at that point, the real question becomes, will there be time to ward off major additional disasters – by any means? The massive global scale of the problems we face are beyond the comprehension of most people. This is another education challenge those of us with the knowledge are facing now – akin to the one you brought up about how to speak clearly to lay people about nuclear energy.
AP IMPACT: Tritium leaks found at many nuke sites
The fact is that many of the older Nuclear Reactors need to be replaced. The reluctance to do so comes from several sources. One is that the power is needed, and the US nuclear program has been terribly slow to approve new reactors, in part because of the opposition we have been discussing here. Of course the companies that own the reactors are reluctant to shut them down, especially if it is difficult for them to get permission to build a replacement reactor. If they cannot build a replacement, their business is essentially ended.
This does not excuse poor maintenance policies, nor does it excuse extending the lifetime of an older reactor that needs to be retired. As I have said before, better regulations are needed, not just in the US, but Globally.
Of course there is another force involved, and that is profit. Keep the old facility running as long as possible, since the original investment is paid off, and the operation has become a cash cow. It is important to realize that this problem is not just a characteristic of the Nuclear energy industry; it is a problem of many industries, notably Coal Power.
That is short-sighted greed taken to an outrageous extreme. At least the Nuclear industry can “only” be accused of putting a relatively small area of the planet at danger, not the whole planet. Of course that is no excuse, but I mention all this so people with an anti-“nuke” attitude will not forget to see the whole picture. The report on Tritium leaks describes the terrible situation people with property near an old and leaking reactor are faced with. I have total sympathy with them. There is no excuse for continuing to operate a reactor without keeping it in perfect condition, since a properly run reactor has absolutely no radiation leakage problem. If a reactor is too old to keep in perfect repair, it absolutely needs to be retired and replaced.
Many countries are proceeding with nuclear programs. France is an excellent example, running 58 reactors producing over 75% of their electricity. If the US joins Germany and Italy in the rush to eliminate nuclear reactors, the world will suffer. We need to assume leadership in this industry, since ultimately, protecting the planet from further CO2 pollution is the most important issue of all.
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