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FOCUS: 5 Reasons Why Trump Will Win Print
Sunday, 24 July 2016 10:19

Moore writes: "I am sorry to be the bearer of bad news, but I gave it to you straight last summer when I told you that Donald Trump would be the Republican nominee for president. And now I have even more awful, depressing news for you: Donald J. Trump is going to win in November."

The filmmaker Michael Moore, near a closed factory in Flint, Michigan, where his father worked.  (photo: Fabrizio Costantini/NYT)
The filmmaker Michael Moore, near a closed factory in Flint, Michigan, where his father worked. (photo: Fabrizio Costantini/NYT)


5 Reasons Why Trump Will Win

By Michael Moore, Michael Moore's Website

24 July 16

 

riends:

I am sorry to be the bearer of bad news, but I gave it to you straight last summer when I told you that Donald Trump would be the Republican nominee for president. And now I have even more awful, depressing news for you: Donald J. Trump is going to win in November. This wretched, ignorant, dangerous part-time clown and full time sociopath is going to be our next president. President Trump. Go ahead and say the words, ‘cause you’ll be saying them for the next four years: “PRESIDENT TRUMP.”

Never in my life have I wanted to be proven wrong more than I do right now.

I can see what you’re doing right now. You’re shaking your head wildly – “No, Mike, this won’t happen!” Unfortunately, you are living in a bubble that comes with an adjoining echo chamber where you and your friends are convinced the American people are not going to elect an idiot for president. You alternate between being appalled at him and laughing at him because of his latest crazy comment or his embarrassingly narcissistic stance on everything because everything is about him. And then you listen to Hillary and you behold our very first female president, someone the world respects, someone who is whip-smart and cares about kids, who will continue the Obama legacy because that is what the American people clearly want! Yes! Four more years of this!

You need to exit that bubble right now. You need to stop living in denial and face the truth which you know deep down is very, very real. Trying to soothe yourself with the facts – “77% of the electorate are women, people of color, young adults under 35 and Trump cant win a majority of any of them!” – or logic – “people aren’t going to vote for a buffoon or against their own best interests!” – is your brain’s way of trying to protect you from trauma. Like when you hear a loud noise on the street and you think, “oh, a tire just blew out,” or, “wow, who’s playing with firecrackers?” because you don’t want to think you just heard someone being shot with a gun. It’s the same reason why all the initial news and eyewitness reports on 9/11 said “a small plane accidentally flew into the World Trade Center.” We want to – we need to – hope for the best because, frankly, life is already a shit show and it’s hard enough struggling to get by from paycheck to paycheck. We can’t handle much more bad news. So our mental state goes to default when something scary is actually, truly happening. The first people plowed down by the truck in Nice spent their final moments on earth waving at the driver whom they thought had simply lost control of his truck, trying to tell him that he jumped the curb: “Watch out!,” they shouted. “There are people on the sidewalk!”

Well, folks, this isn’t an accident. It is happening. And if you believe Hillary Clinton is going to beat Trump with facts and smarts and logic, then you obviously missed the past year of 56 primaries and caucuses where 16 Republican candidates tried that and every kitchen sink they could throw at Trump and nothing could stop his juggernaut. As of today, as things stand now, I believe this is going to happen – and in order to deal with it, I need you first to acknowledge it, and then maybe, just maybe, we can find a way out of the mess we’re in.

Don’t get me wrong. I have great hope for the country I live in. Things are better. The left has won the cultural wars. Gays and lesbians can get married. A majority of Americans now take the liberal position on just about every polling question posed to them: Equal pay for women – check. Abortion should be legal – check. Stronger environmental laws – check. More gun control – check. Legalize marijuana – check. A huge shift has taken place – just ask the socialist who won 22 states this year. And there is no doubt in my mind that if people could vote from their couch at home on their X-box or PlayStation, Hillary would win in a landslide.

But that is not how it works in America. People have to leave the house and get in line to vote. And if they live in poor, Black or Hispanic neighborhoods, they not only have a longer line to wait in, everything is being done to literally stop them from casting a ballot. So in most elections it’s hard to get even 50% to turn out to vote. And therein lies the problem for November – who is going to have the most motivated, most inspired voters show up to vote? You know the answer to this question. Who’s the candidate with the most rabid supporters? Whose crazed fans are going to be up at 5 AM on Election Day, kicking ass all day long, all the way until the last polling place has closed, making sure every Tom, Dick and Harry (and Bob and Joe and Billy Bob and Billy Joe and Billy Bob Joe) has cast his ballot?  That’s right. That’s the high level of danger we’re in. And don’t fool yourself — no amount of compelling Hillary TV ads, or outfacting him in the debates or Libertarians siphoning votes away from Trump is going to stop his mojo.

Here are the 5 reasons Trump is going to win:

  • 1. Midwest Math, or Welcome to Our Rust Belt Brexit.  I believe Trump is going to focus much of his attention on the four blue states in the rustbelt of the upper Great Lakes – Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Four traditionally Democratic states – but each of them have elected a Republican governor since 2010 (only Pennsylvania has now finally elected a Democrat). In the Michigan primary in March, more Michiganders came out to vote for the Republicans (1.32 million) that the Democrats (1.19 million). Trump is ahead of Hillary in the latest polls in Pennsylvania and tied with her in Ohio. Tied? How can the race be this close after everything Trump has said and done? Well maybe it’s because he’s said (correctly) that the Clintons’ support of NAFTA helped to destroy the industrial states of the Upper Midwest. Trump is going to hammer Clinton on this and her support of TPP and other trade policies that have royally screwed the people of these four states. When Trump stood in the shadow of a Ford Motor factory during the Michigan primary, he threatened the corporation that if they did indeed go ahead with their planned closure of that factory and move it to Mexico, he would slap a 35% tariff on any Mexican-built cars shipped back to the United States. It was sweet, sweet music to the ears of the working class of Michigan, and when he tossed in his threat to Apple that he would force them to stop making their iPhones in China and build them here in America, well, hearts swooned and Trump walked away with a big victory that should have gone to the governor next-door, John Kasich.

From Green Bay to Pittsburgh, this, my friends, is the middle of England – broken, depressed, struggling, the smokestacks strewn across the countryside with the carcass of what we use to call the Middle Class. Angry, embittered working (and nonworking) people who were lied to by the trickle-down of Reagan and abandoned by Democrats who still try to talk a good line but are really just looking forward to rub one out with a lobbyist from Goldman Sachs who’ll write them nice big check before leaving the room. What happened in the UK with Brexit is going to happen here. Elmer Gantry shows up looking like Boris Johnson and just says whatever shit he can make up to convince the masses that this is their chance! To stick to ALL of them, all who wrecked their American Dream! And now The Outsider, Donald Trump, has arrived to clean house! You don’t have to agree with him! You don’t even have to like him! He is your personal Molotov cocktail to throw right into the center of the bastards who did this to you! SEND A MESSAGE! TRUMP IS YOUR MESSENGER!

And this is where the math comes in. In 2012, Mitt Romney lost by 64 electoral votes. Add up the electoral votes cast by Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. It’s 64. All Trump needs to do to win is to carry, as he’s expected to do, the swath of traditional red states from Idaho to Georgia (states that’ll never vote for Hillary Clinton), and then he just needs these four rust belt states. He doesn’t need Florida. He doesn’t need Colorado or Virginia. Just Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. And that will put him over the top. This is how it will happen in November.

  • 2. The Last Stand of the Angry White Man. Our male-dominated, 240-year run of the USA is coming to an end. A woman is about to take over! How did this happen?! On our watch! There were warning signs, but we ignored them. Nixon, the gender traitor, imposing Title IX on us, the rule that said girls in school should get an equal chance at playing sports. Then they let them fly commercial jets. Before we knew it, Beyoncé stormed on the field at this year’s Super Bowl (our game!) with an army of Black Women, fists raised, declaring that our domination was hereby terminated! Oh, the humanity!

That’s a small peek into the mind of the Endangered White Male. There is a sense that the power has slipped out of their hands, that their way of doing things is no longer how things are done. This monster, the “Feminazi,”the thing that as Trump says, “bleeds through her eyes or wherever she bleeds,” has conquered us — and now, after having had to endure eight years of a black man telling us what to do, we’re supposed to just sit back and take eight years of a woman bossing us around? After that it’ll be eight years of the gays in the White House! Then the transgenders! You can see where this is going. By then animals will have been granted human rights and a fuckin’ hamster is going to be running the country. This has to stop!

  • 3. The Hillary Problem. Can we speak honestly, just among ourselves? And before we do, let me state, I actually like Hillary – a lot – and I think she has been given a bad rap she doesn’t deserve. But her vote for the Iraq War made me promise her that I would never vote for her again. To date, I haven’t broken that promise. For the sake of preventing a proto-fascist from becoming our commander-in-chief, I’m breaking that promise. I sadly believe Clinton will find a way to get us in some kind of military action. She’s a hawk, to the right of Obama. But Trump’s psycho finger will be on The Button, and that is that. Done and done.

Let’s face it: Our biggest problem here isn’t Trump – it’s Hillary. She is hugely unpopular — nearly 70% of all voters think she is untrustworthy and dishonest. She represents the old way of politics, not really believing in anything other than what can get you elected. That’s why she fights against gays getting married one moment, and the next she’s officiating a gay marriage. Young women are among her biggest detractors, which has to hurt considering it’s the sacrifices and the battles that Hillary and other women of her generation endured so that this younger generation would never have to be told by the Barbara Bushes of the world that they should just shut up and go bake some cookies. But the kids don’t like her, and not a day goes by that a millennial doesn’t tell me they aren’t voting for her. No Democrat, and certainly no independent, is waking up on November 8th excited to run out and vote for Hillary the way they did the day Obama became president or when Bernie was on the primary ballot. The enthusiasm just isn’t there. And because this election is going to come down to just one thing — who drags the most people out of the house and gets them to the polls — Trump right now is in the catbird seat.

  • 4. The Depressed Sanders Vote. Stop fretting about Bernie’s supporters not voting for Clinton – we’re voting for Clinton! The polls already show that more Sanders voters will vote for Hillary this year than the number of Hillary primary voters in ’08 who then voted for Obama. This is not the problem. The fire alarm that should be going off is that while the average Bernie backer will drag him/herself to the polls that day to somewhat reluctantly vote for Hillary, it will be what’s called a “depressed vote” – meaning the voter doesn’t bring five people to vote with her. He doesn’t volunteer 10 hours in the month leading up to the election. She never talks in an excited voice when asked why she’s voting for Hillary. A depressed voter. Because, when you’re young, you have zero tolerance for phonies and BS. Returning to the Clinton/Bush era for them is like suddenly having to pay for music, or using MySpace or carrying around one of those big-ass portable phones. They’re not going to vote for Trump; some will vote third party, but many will just stay home. Hillary Clinton is going to have to do something to give them a reason to support her  — and picking a moderate, bland-o, middle of the road old white guy as her running mate is not the kind of edgy move that tells millenials that their vote is important to Hillary. Having two women on the ticket – that was an exciting idea. But then Hillary got scared and has decided to play it safe. This is just one example of how she is killing the youth vote.
  • 5. The Jesse Ventura Effect. Finally, do not discount the electorate’s ability to be mischievous or underestimate how any millions fancy themselves as closet anarchists once they draw the curtain and are all alone in the voting booth. It’s one of the few places left in society where there are no security cameras, no listening devices, no spouses, no kids, no boss, no cops, there’s not even a friggin’ time limit. You can take as long as you need in there and no one can make you do anything. You can push the button and vote a straight party line, or you can write in Mickey Mouse and Donald Duck. There are no rules. And because of that, and the anger that so many have toward a broken political system, millions are going to vote for Trump not because they agree with him, not because they like his bigotry or ego, but just because they can. Just because it will upset the apple cart and make mommy and daddy mad. And in the same way like when you’re standing on the edge of Niagara Falls and your mind wonders for a moment what would that feel like to go over that thing, a lot of people are going to love being in the position of puppetmaster and plunking down for Trump just to see what that might look like. Remember back in the ‘90s when the people of Minnesota elected a professional wrestler as their governor? They didn’t do this because they’re stupid or thought that Jesse Ventura was some sort of statesman or political intellectual. They did so just because they could. Minnesota is one of the smartest states in the country. It is also filled with people who have a dark sense of humor — and voting for Ventura was their version of a good practical joke on a sick political system. This is going to happen again with Trump.

Coming back to the hotel after appearing on Bill Maher’s Republican Convention special this week on HBO, a man stopped me. “Mike,” he said, “we have to vote for Trump. We HAVE to shake things up.” That was it. That was enough for him. To “shake things up.” President Trump would indeed do just that, and a good chunk of the electorate would like to sit in the bleachers and watch that reality show.

(Next week I will post my thoughts on Trump’s Achilles Heel and how I think he can be beat.)


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Ending the Violence: Public Safety and the Policing Crisis Print
Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=40228"><span class="small">Cedric Johnson, Jacobin</span></a>   
Sunday, 24 July 2016 08:25

Johnson writes: "The current policing regime was produced over the course of decades, through a powerful alliance of Republican and New Democratic politicians, anti-drug crusaders, specific business interests, and citizens' groups, and it will take an even more powerful force to create public safety predicated on democratic accountability and nonviolence."

A police officer checks in on a fellow officer.(photo: Richard Burkhart/Savannah Morning News)
A police officer checks in on a fellow officer. (photo: Richard Burkhart/Savannah Morning News)


Ending the Violence: Public Safety and the Policing Crisis

By Cedric Johnson, Jacobin

24 July 16

 

Genuine public safety and social justice will come from projects that build popular consensus and organize for real power.

he Fourth of July week was bloody and heartbreaking. Even as Chicago celebrated a less violent holiday weekend than we had endured in previous years, such “success” was promptly followed by the police killings of Alton Sterling, a thirty-seven-year-old black man, in Baton Rouge after midnight on July 5, and Philando Castile, a thirty-two-year-old black man, in the Falcon Heights suburb of St Paul, Minnesota a day later.

The holiday week concluded with more horror: a mass shooting carried out by a lone gunman, Micah Xavier Johnson, who targeted Dallas police officers assigned to an anti–police brutality march. Loose talk of race war drifted through the ether and airwaves.

Unlike the phalanx of heavily armored police who routinely confront protesters in other cities, in Dallas many officers donned plain dress uniforms and did not wear flak jackets. In the end, Johnson killed five officers, and wounded six others. After an extended standoff, he was killed when police equipped a robot to deliver a bomb.

Johnson’s actions brought together all the contradictions of the seemingly intractable problem of violence in America. And in one night of carnage, he may have threatened the efforts of those who want to see the demilitarization of policing in this country, and the beginnings of real public safety.

The Orlando massacre, the rising death toll from police shootings and other violence, and the Dallas massacre are all grim reminders of how little has been done to address America’s gun problem and the interconnected problem of policing. But the aftermath of each of these events, and the outpouring of mourning and protests reflects the diverse, growing body of citizens demanding substantive changes.

Rightfully, various advocates of criminal justice reform have called for renewed struggle, and since the Dallas incident mass demonstrations and marches have been held across the country. The Dallas massacre has shifted the terrain, however, with demonstrators facing police repression in Baton Rouge, Rochester, and elsewhere over the past week, and a torrent of right-wing attacks and misinformation intended to derail any movement for reform.

How might progressive forces respond to these developments? What are some of the new social contradictions and political possibilities in the wake of Dallas and this latest wave of public debate and protests?

In the morning after the Dallas shootings, images of Johnson circulated widely, with most corporate news opting for the picture of Johnson giving a black power salute and wearing a purple dashiki, rather than photos of him in military dress. The Right has quickly seized this tragedy to discredit the wave of anti–police brutality campaigns that have spread across the country since the killing of Michael Brown in Ferguson, Missouri two years ago.

Former New York City mayor Rudolph Giuliani, the supreme booster of “broken windows” policing, was quick to attack Black Lives Matter activists, claiming that BLM is “inherently racist because, number one, it divides us.” He also chastised activists for allegedly ignoring violence within black communities and suggested that they were responsible for civilian-police conflicts because their criticism “puts a target on the backs of” police officers.

Other conservatives have echoed claims that the Obama administration and Black Lives Matter protests have created dangerous conditions for police officers. They are wrong. Policing is not the most hazardous occupation in the United States. In fact, it is not even in the top ten.

And contrary to the claim that the Obama administration — no unwavering supporter of anti–police brutality efforts — has enabled anti-police sentiment, violence against police officers has decreased during Obama’s tenure, especially when compared to the George W. Bush years. Over 70 percent of the violence against law enforcement that has occurred so far this year has been carried out by white men.

Finally, anti–police brutality struggles should not be reduced to the “movement for black lives.” Surely the hashtag and slogan, and the network of activists who align with BLM, have been instrumental in drawing national and international attention to the issue of police violence, but on the ground, protests are comprised of all manner of people representing victims’ families, traditional civil rights organizations, neighborhood and community groups, labor unions, civil liberties advocates, youth and student organizations, various left political tendencies, and solitary actors. And organizing against police brutality has a much longer lineage, one that certainly predates the birth of BLM’s millennial spokespersons.

In the hands of conservatives, Black Lives Matter has become an easy foil for dismissing a longer-standing set of struggles against police violence and mass incarceration. The willful distortions of the Right should be contested anywhere and everywhere, but our side has a few distortions of its own that need to be jettisoned.

The Isolated Gunman

In the wake of Dallas, I’ve heard some friends and acquaintances draw comparisons of Johnson’s assault on police to earlier, Black Power–era advocates of armed self-defense. As we all tried to make sense of the Dallas massacre, one academic colleague of mine made a passing reference to the Black Liberation Army (BLA), a splinter organization of the Black Panther Party, which wanted to wage guerrilla warfare and engaged in deadly skirmishes with police.

These comparisons couldn’t be less helpful or more misleading. The only similarity here is that neither the Black Liberation Army nor Micah Johnson had any popular legitimacy, not even among black people, for their armed confrontations. Aside from this immediate commonality, I think such comparison is a disservice to the BLA, whose actions grew out of more deeply held political commitments and protracted engagement with black urban social struggles during the sixties.

From what we can gather so far, Johnson has more in common with Colin Ferguson, the shooter in the 1993 Long Island Railway massacre; Christopher Dorner, a former Los Angeles Police Department officer who killed several law enforcement and civilians in a 2013 standoff; and maybe most closely, Mark Essex, an AWOL navy man with Panther sympathies who killed nine people, five of them police officers, and wounded over a dozen others in New Orleans in 1973.

All embraced sound bites and symbols of black political rhetoric, but we must reject associating their words and actions with left democratic, popular struggle, whether such comparisons come from the Right or the Left. These black mass shooters were all disturbed and out of step with the popular movements whose slogans they parroted, and the will of the majority of African Americans. Comparisons like this only aid the other side, especially at this moment of right-wing backlash and attempts to distract from the growing popular unease and opposition to libertarian gun culture.

Micah Xavier Johnson’s actions were a grotesque misrepresentation of the issues at hand, a caricature that seemed directly conjured up by the enemies of left popular struggles to transform policing in the United States. The isolated gunman is the polar opposite of the peaceful protestor. The former is alienated and seeks resolution through death, while the latter are drawn together en masse in defense of life, sharing a vision of social transformation and a better world.

In the street demonstrations and marches that have fanned out across the country over the past years from Ferguson to Baltimore, Chicago and Baton Rouge, we see a different set of values in motion — not anger, hate, and despair, but optimism, solidarity, and exuberance.

Antiracism Is Not Enough

Although the slogan “Black Lives Matter” has become a powerful rallying cry, the implicit diagnosis of the problem is limited as a means for ending the policing crisis. During the July 4 week, corporate and social media, activists, and many progressive writers focused primarily on the slaying of Sterling which was captured from multiple angles by cell phone and store surveillance videos, and the police shooting of Castile, whose girlfriend Diamond Reynolds had the presence of mind and incredible composure to begin live-streaming immediately after he was shot.

Because of the widely circulated video, the deaths of these two men became the flashpoints for street protests, but in total, ten civilians were killed by police during that week: Delrawn Small in Brooklyn, Dylan Noble in Fresno, Anthony Nuñez in San Jose, Pedro Erik Villanueva in the Canoga Park section of Los Angeles, Raul Saavedra-Vargas in Reno, Melissa Ventura in Yuma County, Arizona, Vinson Ramos in Los Angeles County, and Alva Braziel in Houston.

The deaths of five Latinos and a white youth at the hands of police were totally ignored by mainstream corporate media and some activist networks. The killing of two black victims, Small and Braziel received less attention, as well. The problem of framing here stems in part from media, whether the incident was captured on video, and how rapidly it was circulated publically, but it is also a problem of ideology.

Some have argued that there has been less mobilization around Latino deaths because in many of the communities where these conflicts occur, residents fear speaking out because of immigration status and the prospect of further state harassment.

This may be part of the problem, but the dominant framing, which presupposes that blacks are the primary, and for some, exclusive targets of mistreatment and violence by police has had the effect of mystifying social reality.

The slogan “Black Lives Matter” and the assertion from celebrities and activists that police are an “occupying army” within black communities speaks to the grim fact of systematic racial bias and concentrated risks, that blacks are killed by police at a rate twice that of whites.

Such rhetoric, however, often neglects the fact that police violence is widely felt across racial and ethnic groups. And contrary to the refrain that unlike blacks, whites can never understand what it’s like to be hyper-surveilled and policed — Marco Rubio and Newt Gingrich have now jumped on this bandwagon too — many whites do understand what it’s like because they and their families have been on the receiving end of repressive policing as well.

In fact, white victims made up a plurality of arrest-related deaths recorded in the United States in 2015 — 581 of 1146 victims, more than the raw numbers for blacks and Latinos combined. And when we isolate the rate of police killings of white Americans, they are still much higher than other mostly white nations. For instance, white Americans are twenty-six times more likely to die at the hands of police than are Germans.

Some see such facts as a distraction, a means of evading a focus on racial injustice as the core problem. They should not. These actually existing social relations should be seen as an opening for building an even broader, and potentially more powerful, coalition capable of changing the nation.

We should think through these complex social realities and develop an analysis of the root causes of the current crisis that do not limit themselves to the older discourse of the Civil Rights Movement. The scale, intensity, and nature of policing today have more immediate origins.

It is commonplace nowadays to hear many trace a direct line from the slave-catching patrols of the antebellum era through the police repression of nonviolent civil rights marchers and the urban rebellions of the late sixties to the video-recorded police killings of our current moment.

For some, policing seems to have derived almost exclusively as a means of securing white domination. As Bryan D. Palmer and others have illustrated, however, the institution of modern policing originated and evolved as a means of protecting the interests of capital more broadly, whether that meant recovering the troublesome human “property” of the Southern landlord class, or crushing worker rebellion in mines, docks, and factories during the period of industrial expansion.

The “new Jim Crow” rhetoric posits universal black injury where in fact, police violence and the carceral state are experienced more broadly across the working class, and more intensively among the most submerged segments of the black population.

It is the black poor who bear the brunt of police violence. The class character of many well-publicized police shootings of blacks is often brought to our attention through reactionary attempts to demonize the victims by pointing to their criminal convictions.

When we look closely at the biographical details of victims, a common portrait of dire material conditions comes into focus. Eric Garner sold loose cigarettes outside a storefront for income. Alton Sterling sold CDs and DVDs in front of a gas station and convenience store. Walter Scott ran away when he encountered a police officer because he was behind on child support payments, only to be shot in the back.

The unemployed, the homeless, those who work within the informal economy, or who live in zones where that economy is dominant are more likely to be regularly surveilled, harassed, and arrested. This is not to say that middle-class blacks cannot be racially profiled or victims of police abuse.

Many of us have horror stories to tell, but a black professional is less likely to face regular contact and conflict with police than an unemployed black youth or a sex worker of any color. Under the current policing regime, some black lives matter, and others do not. And if we engage in any useful class analysis, some white lives matter, and others do not.

The root cause of the contemporary policing crisis is not the prevalence of new Jim Crow racism, but rather the advent of zero-tolerance policing and prisonfare as the dominant means of managing relative surplus population in an age where the nation has abandoned the use of state power to guarantee a modicum of material comfort and worker protection from market volatility. By surplus population, I am referring to those strata of the working class who have been dispossessed and made obsolete through technological change and deindustrialization.

Of course, the revival of the liberal welfare state is itself inadequate to address the current malaise. Today’s movements must go beyond the limited social amenities extended by mid-twentieth-century capital, and create a society where there are no disposable people, and where the right to health care, education, housing, and to one’s creative capacity, leisure, and life are not determined and circumscribed by compulsory wage labor.

A first step, however, as many activists have insisted, is to decriminalize poverty and the ways that the working poor rely on the informal economy to survive.

Activists across the country have been struggling to make effective addiction treatment an alternative to incarceration. Some states have already moved towards decriminalization of marijuana possession, although in places like Chicago the law is administered in a racially biased manner with blacks receiving disproportionate misdemeanor arrests and citations.

In New Orleans, Women with a Vision and other organizations worked to end a retrograde policy of placing convicted sex workers on the sex offenders registry, a practice predicated on an archaic, two-hundred-year-old “crimes against nature” statute. This measure punished and further stigmatized working-class, minority, and trans women, making it more difficult for them to obtain housing and engage in basic activities like volunteering at their child’s school.

Activism aimed at decriminalizing the means of basic survival should be expanded, and seen as a central part of any viable pro-labor politics. We need to address inequality through public works and living wage legislation, rather than punish those who rely on the informal economy to survive.

Ending the current crisis also requires shrinking the police’s sphere of activity, and transforming how we approach mental health and other medical emergencies. There are any number of incidents, like the 2012 police shooting of Stephon Watts, a teenager with Asperger’s syndrome, and the 2014 killing of Laquan McDonald, both in Chicago, which show why the police should be out of situations where other trained technicians are better prepared to defuse personal or domestic crises nonviolently.

The deteriorating conditions around mental and other health services are the result of decades-long raids on the public sector. We cannot expect to change the current situation, a form of policing rooted in the decimation of social welfare and municipal infrastructures, without also advancing a broader social-democratic urban agenda, addressing deep inequality in wages, education, and health.

A More Just Order

How do we develop popular consensus and political pressure capable of producing public safety standards comparable to other liberal democratic capitalist countries? The Dallas massacre is a clear reminder that there can be no end to the policing crisis without the transformation of the very notion and practice of policing.

And in this, anti–police brutality campaigns may find solidarity with police as workers. Policing emerged as a mechanism for defending capitalist property relations, but the actual working lives of police are more contradictory than this larger societal function.

Should activists pursue something akin to the old G.I. coffeehouse model, which provided a means for building anti–Vietnam War sentiment among those who bore the psychological and personal weight of its violence — the soldiers themselves?

I am not suggesting police-youth basketball leagues, precinct-level meet and greet socials, or some other means of defusing social conflict without addressing inequality, but rather sustained efforts to build opposition to the current order that would include minority law enforcement professional organizations, whistleblowers, and dissident officers, and other progressive elements who are also searching for an alternative that will make their work less hazardous and unpopular, and more meaningful.

Mass demonstrations have played a powerful role thus far in raising public consciousness and opposition, but to achieve real power, the capacity to realize a different vision of society, deeper solidarity is needed.

That will not be achieved solely through social media debates nor at the barricades, but by the less publicized, but no less crucial work of honest, patient, and sustained conversation among activists, victims’ families, and reformist elements within police unions and departments. Perhaps spaces like this can embolden internal dissent, widening the ranks of those willing to break the “blue code of silence” and counter the most vocal, reactionary police elements.

None of this is to suggest support for entrenched police unions, but it is to say that officers are neither monolithic nor devoid of internal contradictions. It is clear that some are unfit to work with the public and especially in minority and working-class communities.

Others however come to the profession out of an earnest desire to serve, and like millions of other Americans, they tolerate alienating conditions in exchange for some semblance of job security, decent pay, health care, and a pension. They often bear less visible scars of occupation, and beyond the haunting video imagery of police assaults, most of what they do in a typical day, e.g. filing reports, criminal investigations, escorting parades and funerals, providing emergency medical services, cataloging evidence, responding to domestic complaints, managing traffic incidents, etc. — are tasks which cannot be simply subsumed under the meta-narrative of state violence.

When we lose sight of either their humanity and predicament as workers, or our responsibility to provide useful analysis of our historical moment, we doom ourselves to irrelevance. We need to develop a left politics which is intimately connected to the world that we live in and yet ruthlessly dedicated to creating a more just order.

Activists around the country have proposed all manner of policy remedies for the demilitarization of police departments, such as the rerouting of funds earmarked for policing to youth programming and the revival of older ideas like community policing and civilian review boards.

Without the capacity to compel city councils or state legislatures, let alone a recalcitrant GOP-controlled Congress, these ideas will remain largely symbolic appeals.

Ruling elites in different cities have responded to mass protests through criminal charges of some accused officers, firings and suspensions, internal investigations, and technological remedies like body cameras. After Dallas, we should be especially leery of the technocratic fix, because if history is any indication, such fixes may only serve to make police violence less susceptible to democratic pressure and accountability.

Against the Technological Fix

Another disturbing dimension of the Dallas massacre, one with long-term consequences, was the use of a drone to end the standoff with Johnson. This has been reported as a first in American history. If so, it further perpetuates what has been the technological relationship between the military-industrial complex and domestic policing for some time.

The hardware of international war-making always seems to find a domestic market, cycling from foreign battlefields back to urban police departments and rural counties, and from there into the military surplus stores, gun shows, and pawn shops.

As the details of that decision become more well-known, many questions must be answered. Why wasn’t the robot equipped with non-lethal weapons, e.g. concussion grenades, tear gas, rubber bullets, etc.? Such options would have provided a way to end the standoff quickly and avoid putting officers any further in harm’s way. If as the Dallas police originally assumed, they were dealing with a group of conspirators, why wouldn’t they have tried to apprehend the suspect alive, in the hopes of securing more information and revealing others involved in the plot?

The use of a robot to end the standoff immediately reminded me of Neill Blomkamp’s 2004 short film Tetra Vaal. Here, Blomkamp workshopped the unique visual style that would become a centerpiece of films like District 9, an ultra-realistic aesthetic that employs CGI to create a likely dystopia, one that integrates futuristic technology and megacity slum conditions.

The short is presented as a corporate advertisement where Blomkamp imagines the use of robots to police the black poor in South African townships. I’ve been somewhat disappointed with Blomkamp’s bigger budget films, which despite their bold class analyses always seem to slide back into a liberal politics of individual heroism and self-actualization, but his formative short film is chilling and prophetic.

In Tetra Vaal, we glimpse a slender robotic guard patrolling township dwellers as they go about their daily lives, and they appear either acclimated to or dominated by its presence. We even momentarily view the urban landscape of traffic-choked streets, smoldering barrel stoves, goat herds, playing children, and market stalls, all from the robot’s perspective, before witnessing it engage in an intense firefight with an unseen combatant.

An unnamed narrator, perhaps the robots’ designer or maybe a corporate pitchman, reassures the viewer that unlike a highly-skilled human officer who may be affected by stress, cold, fatigue, and other conditions, this fully-automated alternative is “unbeatable.”

Scientists, military, and law enforcement personnel have debated the ethics of using robotics and artificial intelligence in the field for some time now, but with the exception of fleeting protests over the use of weaponized drones, much of the US public still sees unmanned weaponry as the realm of science fiction. What we witnessed in Dallas has troubled civil libertarians, anti-police brutality protesters, and some law enforcement officials alike, but I fear that it may be the remedy some are looking for.

The use of drones either with remote operation, artificial intelligence, or some combination of these, replaces human judgment and responsibility with algorithmic decision-making and bureaucratic detachment, potentially evading the legal morass that might stem from shootings committed by flesh-and-blood officers.

One could easily see the fiscal appeal of such technical fixes to the policing crisis for departments in places like Chicago, which has paid out $642 million since 2004 in court settlements with victims of police abuse.

We already have an exhaustive network of surveillance cameras, shot-locators, and the like throughout the urban terrain, but have we glimpsed the next phase in Dallas? And are we prepared to counter with a more humanistic and socially just vision of how to maintain public safety?

Building deep solidarity that stretches beyond mass protests and the ranks of the most “woke” activists will be crucial to achieving any real gains and bringing an effective end to the policing crisis. Despite their rhetorical power, antiracist arguments are too imprecise to describe the origins and dynamics of the current policing crisis.

Inasmuch as activists and citizens can popularize criticism of over-policing that reveals its class character and widely felt burden, they can effectively counter the divisive rhetoric of pro-policing voices on the Right, who will continue to reach into their yellowing, tattered playbook of racist blame-labeling and anti-poor invective.

We must continue to propose concrete solutions to the current crisis, those that both demand greater public oversight and department accountability, and attempt to dismantle the carceral state. As such, we must work to decriminalize poverty, and remove the various measures that penalize the poor economically and socially. At the same time, we should defend and expand progressive state interventions in the realm of labor rights, wages, education, and health care.

Progressive elements of the police may be an unexpected ally in crafting more just forms of public safety. Like other public workers, they are increasingly expendable, and subject to the same pressures of fiscal austerity, expected to “do more with less” especially in large urban jurisdictions.

Perhaps a more ominous challenge for anti-police violence organizers and reformers going forward may well be the resistance of affluent urban settlers, large real estate developers, and their politicians who rely on the current regime to secure their downtown commercial cores, gentrified zones, and tourist playgrounds.

The current policing regime was produced over the course of decades, through a powerful alliance of Republican and New Democratic politicians, anti-drug crusaders, specific business interests, and citizens’ groups, and it will take an even more powerful force to create public safety predicated on democratic accountability and nonviolence.


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The Un-United State of America Print
Saturday, 23 July 2016 14:28

Galindez writes: "If you had been on the streets of Cleveland this week, you would have witnessed a country being torn apart at the seams by ... Americans. Members of the KKK and right-wing hate groups clashing across police lines with progressives and liberals of all races. Then there were the folks from Westboro Baptist Church and other religious fanatics telling everyone that they were going to Hell."

People cheer as delegates gather on the floor of the Republican National Convention Monday in Cleveland. (photo: John Locher/AP)
People cheer as delegates gather on the floor of the Republican National Convention Monday in Cleveland. (photo: John Locher/AP)


The Un-United State of America

By Scott Galindez, Reader Supported News

23 July 16

 

f you had been on the streets of Cleveland this week, you would have witnessed a country being torn apart at the seams by … Americans. Members of the KKK and right-wing hate groups clashing across police lines with progressives and liberals of all races. Then there were the folks from Westboro Baptist Church and other religious fanatics telling everyone that they were going to Hell.

Divisions on the right and the left were on display. People with the same long-term goals were arguing about how to achieve them. Yes, I did say the left too. There was no one unifying event that sent a strong message to the Republicans convening in the city, and they too did not have an event that showed any unity.

Donald trump and Hillary Clinton ... Really? Two extremely divisive figures are vying to lead our country. I know Jill Stein is running, but the system is rigged against anyone who isn’t a Democrat or a Republican. That goes for Gary Johnson too.

I am sitting at an outdoor cafe on 4th Street in Cleveland. The mood is tense. Hare Krishna drums can be heard as people mill about. It is a narrow street that leads to the arena where Donald Trump is about to accept the Republican nomination. There are hundreds if not thousands of people passing by. Some supporters of “The Donald” and many protesters. There are also some here to just witness the spectacle.

Twenty-four hours ago, the festive atmosphere was shattered when police and protesters clashed during a flag-burning by the Revolutionary Communist Party. It was timed to take place amidst hundreds of Trump supporters on their way to the convention. Eighteen arrests were made, and for a brief time there was a melee with police tackling protesters and holding back delegates who wanted to implement their own justice.

Overall it has been an uneventful week. The big excitement was Ted Cruz being booed and Melania Trump getting caught plagiarizing. I heard that the Texas delegates came to blows. Members of the KKK had urine thrown on them by protesters, and that’s about it. I think there were under 50 convention-related arrests in Cleveland.

The week started for me on a high note. The People’s Peace and Justice Conference got off to a great start with a rousing speech from the Rev. Jawanza Colvin. Colvin closed with a litany of motions that he would like put in a party platform.

On Day 2, we went to a rally of black nationalists and Cornel West. Former New Black Panther Party leader Malik Shabazz was a lead organizer of the event. “Mr. Trump is an uncouth racist. But it’s not just Mr. Trump,” Shabazz told about 200 protesters on hand. “It’s an indictment on America. That a racist can be a hair away from being in the White House is an embarrassment for America.”

Shabazz wasn’t enthused by presumptive Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton either. “Hillary Clinton and her slick, sly politicized speech … she isn’t that much better,” Shabazz said. “She’ll just kill you nicely.”

Day 3 was Sunday, and the mood was shattered by news of the shooting in Baton Rouge. I was reflecting on Day 2 and realizing that Dallas and Baton Rouge will not be isolated incidents. I was in a downtown that had had police from all over the country patrolling. That night there was a concert with Mary Mary and the Roots. Cornel West spoke, and to my surprise so did Jim Brown. Their words on the killings were perfectly timed.

Day 4 for us was Day 1 of the convention. In the streets, Prophets of Rage led the largest demonstration of the week as thousands rallied to protest Donald Trump’s candidacy and to "End Poverty Now, March for Economic Justice.” Anti-poverty activists and performers spoke from a stage in an empty lot on East 45th Street. The crowd continued to slowly build as word got out that Prophets of Rage, the new Super group formed by Rage Against the Machine guitarist Tom Morello, would perform a pop-up concert there. Public Enemy’s Chuck D, who is part of the newly formed group, shouted “The party is over!” as the group started their set. Following the concert they marched with the crowd to Perk Plaza near the convention site. Morello said they were not there “to speak to Donald Trump but instead to provide wind in the sails of the anti-poverty movement.”

On Tuesday and Wednesday we spent a lot of time in Public Square, where people on all sides of the issues shouted at each other and accomplished nothing. There were no highlights; it was disunity at its best. You can look at our raw footage and see for yourself what happened. That brings us back to tonight.

Tonight Donald will tell everyone that he is our voice. Most of us know who he is really talking to. Let’s add it up: Birthers, he speaks for them, all right. Anti-Muslim groups, he speaks for them. People who don’t like Mexicans, he speaks for them. Racists like David Duke ... Trump is okay with David Duke when the South is voting like he was days before super Tuesday, but not okay with them when it hurts his campaign. Still, he speaks for them. The 1% of which he is a member, he speaks for them. Let’s be clear, Donald Trump is the establishment. They are uneasy with him because they don’t control him, but they know he is one of them.

I have higher hopes for the streets of Philadelphia and the events around the Democratic Convention. There will be a unifier there who really is my voice. And I am trying hard to be his voice. On to the next phase of the political revolution.



Scott Galindez attended Syracuse University, where he first became politically active. The writings of El Salvador's slain archbishop Oscar Romero and the on-campus South Africa divestment movement converted him from a Reagan supporter to an activist for Peace and Justice. Over the years he has been influenced by the likes of Philip Berrigan, William Thomas, Mitch Snyder, Don White, Lisa Fithian, and Paul Wellstone. Scott met Marc Ash while organizing counterinaugural events after George W. Bush's first stolen election. Scott will be spending a year covering the presidential election from Iowa.

Reader Supported News is the Publication of Origin for this work. Permission to republish is freely granted with credit and a link back to Reader Supported News.

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Don't Blame Refugees for the Munich Shooting Print
Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=20061"><span class="small">Tara Culp-Ressler, ThinkProgress</span></a>   
Saturday, 23 July 2016 13:23

Culp-Ressler writes: "The shooter who killed nine people and wounded 27 others in a shopping mall in Munich on Friday had no connections to ISIS or to refugee issues, according to German police, who described the mass shooting as 'a classic act by a deranged person.'"

Refugee children from Syria. (photo: Reuters)
Refugee children from Syria. (photo: Reuters)


Don't Blame Refugees for the Munich Shooting

By Tara Culp-Ressler, ThinkProgress

23 July 16

 

he shooter who killed nine people and wounded 27 others in a shopping mall in Munich on Friday had no connections to ISIS or to refugee issues, according to German police, who described the mass shooting as “a classic act by a deranged person.”

The 18-year-old shooter, who had dual German and Iranian citizenship, was raised locally in Germany. Authorities said they found no evidence that his actions were driven by religious extremism or by the controversies surrounding immigration in Western Europe.

Instead, the shooter appears to have had “an obsession with violent attacks,” according to reporting from the New York Times. He collected newspaper clippings about other acts of mass violence and was interested in school shootings. He reportedly had a particular fascination with Anders Behring Breivik, who killed 77 people in Norway exactly five years ago. There’s some evidence that the teen had previously been treated for depression.

The shooting was initially described as an act of terror, and Donald Trump supporters were quick to point to the tragedy to justify the GOP presidential candidate’s harsh rhetoric about cracking down on immigrants. In his speech at the Republican National Convention on Thursday night, Trump called to halt all immigration from “countries compromised by terrorism.” He has previously pushed for a total ban on Muslims entering the country.

But the Munich attack actually follows a pattern that doesn’t fit that narrative. Recent acts of mass violence in Western countries have largely been perpetrated by people with deep ties to those countries.

The massacre in Nice, in which a truck driver plowed into a busy crowd and killed more than 80 people, was committed by a legal resident of France who was born in Tunisia. The men linked to the Paris attacks last fall were either French or Belgian citizens and had spent most of their lives in Europe. The Brussels bombers were all raised in Brussels; two of them were born there.

It's the same story here in the United States. Syed Rizwan Farook, the San Bernardino shooter who attacked an office holiday party, was born in Illinois and lived in California. Omar Mateen, the Orlando shooter who attacked a gay nightclub, was born in New York and lived in Florida. Many other mass shooters who are considered ethnically white -- including a man who targeted a Planned Parenthood clinic, a man who killed elementary school students, and a man who murdered women who romantically rejected him -- were born and raised here.

In fact, there hasn't been a single refugee arrested in the United States for domestic terrorism since the September 11th attacks, despite subjecting groups of Middle Eastern origin to increasing levels of scrutiny.

Tensions have been particularly high in Germany recently, where there's been a rise in anti-immigrant sentiment and an increasing number of hate crimes targeted at refugees. Multiple people have thrown hand grenades into or set fire to refugee shelters; some apparent arsons have provoked crowds of supporters cheering and clapping as the building goes up in flames. According to a recent report from human rights group Amnesty International, German officials haven't done a good enough job investigating the racist motives behind attacks on refugees in the country.

Fears of immigrants are particularly swelling after a 17-year-old Afghan attacked about 20 passengers on a train with an axe in northern Barvaria last Monday. It's the rare example of violence perpetrated by an asylum-seeker -- no refugees have been identified in any of the other attacks in Europe -- but it's reigniting the conversation over whether Germany should shut its borders to people fleeing violence and upheaval in their home countries.

The country's leaders, however, are urging Germans to resist responding to the recent violence by curtailing democratic freedoms. "Uncertainty and fear must not be allowed to gain the upper hand," Bavarian State premier Horst Seehofer told reporters on Friday.

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FOCUS: Will NYT Retract Latest Anti-Russian 'Fraud'? Print
Saturday, 23 July 2016 11:54

Parry writes: "In covering the new Cold War, The New York Times has lost its journalistic bearings, serving as a crude propaganda outlet publishing outlandish anti-Russian claims that may cross the line into fraud."

The New York Times Building in New York City. (photo: AP)
The New York Times Building in New York City. (photo: AP)


Will NYT Retract Latest Anti-Russian 'Fraud'?

By Robert Parry, Consortium News

23 July 16

 

In covering the new Cold War, The New York Times has lost its journalistic bearings, serving as a crude propaganda outlet publishing outlandish anti-Russian claims that may cross the line into fraud, reports Robert Parry.

n a fresh embarrassment for The New York Times, a photographic forensic expert has debunked a new amateurish, anti-Russian analysis of satellite photos related to the shoot-down of Malaysia Airlines Flight 17 over eastern Ukraine in 2014, labeling the work “a fraud.”

Last Saturday, on the eve of the second anniversary of the tragedy that claimed 298 lives, the Times touted the amateur analysis asserting that the Russian government had manipulated two satellite photos that revealed Ukrainian anti-aircraft missiles in eastern Ukraine at the time of the shoot-down.

The clear implication of the article by Andrew E. Kramer was that the Russians were covering up their complicity in shooting down the civilian airliner by allegedly doctoring photos to shift the blame to the Ukrainian military. Beyond citing this analysis by armscontrolwonk.com, Kramer noted that the “citizen journalists” at Bellingcat had reached the same conclusion earlier.

But Kramer and the Times left out that the earlier Bellingcat analysis was thoroughly torn apart by photo-forensic experts including Dr. Neal Krawetz, founder of the FotoForensics digital image analytical tool that Bellingcat had used. Over the past week, Bellingcat has been aggressively pushing the new analysis by armscontrolwonk.com, with which Bellingcat has close relationships.

This past week, Krawetz and other forensic specialists began weighing in on the new analysis and concluding that it suffered the same fundamental errors as the previous analysis, albeit using a different analytical tool. Given Bellingcat’s promotion of this second analysis by a group with links to Bellingcat and its founder Eliot Higgins, Krawetz viewed the two analyses as essentially coming from the same place, Bellingcat.

“Jumping to the wrong conclusion one time can be due to ignorance,” Krawetz explained in a blog post. “However, using a different tool on the same data that yields similar results, and still jumping to the same wrong conclusion is intentional misrepresentation and deception. It is fraud.”

A Pattern of Error

Krawetz and other experts found that innocuous changes to the photos, such as adding a word box and saving the images into different formats, would explain the anomalies that Bellingcat and its pals at armscontrolwonk.com detected. That was the key mistake that Krawetz spotted last year in dissecting Bellingcat’s faulty analysis.

Krawetz wrote: “Last year, a group called ‘Bellingcat’ came out with a report about flight MH17, which was shot down near the Ukraine/Russia border. In their report, they used FotoForensics to justify their claims. However, as I pointed out in my blog entry, they used it wrong. The big problems in their report:

“–Ignoring quality. They evaluated pictures from questionable sources. These were low quality pictures that had undergone scaling, cropping, and annotations.

“–Seeing things. Even with the output from the analysis tools, they jumped to conclusions that were not supported by the data.

“–Bait and switch. Their report claimed one thing, then tried to justify it with analysis that showed something different.

“Bellingcat recently came out with a second report. The image analysis portion of their report heavily relied on a program called ‘Tungstène’. … With the scientific approach, it does not matter who’s tool you use. A conclusion should be repeatable though multiple tools and multiple algorithms.

“One of the pictures that they ran though Tungstène was the same cloud picture that they used with ELA [error level analysis]. And unsurprisingly, it generated similar results — results that should be interpreted as low quality and multiple resaves. … These results denote a low quality picture and multiple resaves, and not an intentional alteration as Bellingcat concluded.

“Just like last year, Bellingcat claimed that Tungstène highlighted indications of alterations in the same places that they claimed to see alterations in the ELA result. Bellingcat used the same low quality data on different tools and jumped to the same incorrect conclusion.”

Although Krawetz posted his dissection of the new analysis on Thursday, he began expressing his concerns shortly after the Times article appeared. That prompted Higgins and the Bellingcat crew to begin a Twitter campaign to discredit Krawetz and me (for also citing problems with the Times article and the analysis).

When one of Higgins’s allies mentioned my initial story on the problematic photo analysis, Krawetz noted that my observations supported his position that Bellingcat had mishandled the analysis (although at the time I was unaware of Krawetz’s criticism).

Higgins responded to Krawetz, “he [Parry] doesn’t recognize you’re a hack. Probably because he’s a hack too.”

Further insulting Krawetz, Higgins mocked his review of the photo analyses by writing: “all he has is ‘because I say so’, all mouth no trousers.”

Spoiled by Praise

Apparently, Higgins, who operates out of Leicester, England, has grown spoiled by all the praise lavished on him by The New York Times, The Washington Post, The Guardian and other mainstream publications despite the fact that Bellingcat’s record for accuracy is a poor one.

For instance, in his first big splash, Higgins echoed U.S. propaganda in Syria about the Aug. 21, 2013 sarin gas attack — blaming it on President Bashar al-Assad — but was forced to back down from his assessment when aeronautical experts revealed that the sarin-carrying missile had a range of only about two kilometers, much shorter than Higgins had surmised in blaming the attack on Syrian government forces. (Despite that key error, Higgins continued claiming the Syrian government was guilty.)

Higgins also gave the Australian “60 Minutes” program a location in eastern Ukraine where a “getaway” Buk missile battery was supposedly videoed en route back to Russia, except that when the news crew got there the landmarks didn’t match up, causing the program to have to rely on sleight-of-hand editing to deceive its viewers.

When I noted the discrepancies and posted screenshots from the “60 Minutes” program to demonstrate the falsehoods, “60 Minutes” launched a campaign of insults against me and resorted to more video tricks and outright journalistic fraud in defense of Higgins’s faulty information.

This pattern of false claims and even fraud to promote these stories has not stopped the mainstream Western press from showering Higgins and Bellingcat with acclaim. It probably doesn’t hurt that Bellingcat’s “disclosures” always dovetail with the propaganda themes emanating from Western governments.

It also turns out that both Higgins and “armscontrolwonk.com” have crossover in personnel, such as Melissa Hanham, a co-author of the MH-17 report who also writes for Bellingcat, as does Aaron Stein, who joined in promoting Higgins’s work at “armscontrolwonk.com.”

The two groups also have links to the pro-NATO think tank, Atlantic Council, which has been at the forefront of pushing NATO’s new Cold War with Russia. Higgins is now listed as a “nonresident senior fellow at the Atlantic Council’s Future Europe Initiative” and armscontrolwonk.com describes Stein as a nonresident fellow at the Atlantic Council’s Rafik Hariri Center for the Middle East.

Armscontrolwonk.com is run by nuclear proliferation specialists from the Middlebury Institute for International Studies at Monterey, but they appear to have no special expertise in photographic forensics.

A Deeper Problem

But the problem goes much deeper than a couple of Web sites and bloggers who find it professionally uplifting to reinforce propaganda themes from NATO and other Western interests. The bigger danger is the role played by the mainstream media in creating an echo chamber to amplify the disinformation coming from these amateurs.

Just as The New York Times, The Washington Post and other major outlets swallowed the bogus stories about Iraq’s WMD in 2002-2003, they have happily dined on similarly dubious fare about Syria, Ukraine and Russia.

And just as with the Iraq disaster, when those of us who challenged the WMD “group think” were dismissed as “Saddam apologists,” now we’re called “Assad apologists” or “Putin apologists” or simply “hacks” who are “all mouth, no trousers” – whatever that means.

For instance, in 2013 regarding Syria, the Times ran a front-page story using a “vector analysis” to trace the sarin attack back to a Syrian military base about nine kilometers away, but the discovery of the sarin missile’s much shorter range forced the Times to recant its story, which had paralleled what Higgins was writing.

Then, in its eagerness to convey anti-Russian propaganda regarding Ukraine in 2014, the Times even returned to a reporter from its Iraq-falsehood days. Michael R. Gordon, who co-authored the infamous “aluminum tubes” article in 2002 that pushed the bogus claim that Iraq was reconstituting a nuclear weapons program, accepted some new disinformation from the State Department that cited photos supposedly showing Russian soldiers in Russia and then reappearing in Ukraine.

Any serious journalist would have recognized the holes in the story since it wasn’t clear where the photos were taken or whether the blurry images were even the same people, but that didn’t give the Times pause. The article led the front page.

However, only two days later, the scoop blew up when it turned out that a key photo supposedly showing a group of soldiers in Russia, who then reappeared in eastern Ukraine, was actually taken in Ukraine, destroying the premise of the entire story.

But these embarrassments have not dampened the Times’ enthusiasm for dishing out anti-Russian propaganda whenever possible. Yet, one new twist is that the Times doesn’t just take false claims directly from the U.S. government; it also draws from hip “citizen journalism” Web sites like Bellingcat.

In a world where no one believes what governments say the smart new way to disseminate propaganda is through such “outsiders.”

So, the Times’ Kramer was surely thrilled to get fed a new story off the Web that claimed the Russians had doctored satellite photographs of Ukrainian Buk anti-aircraft missile batteries in eastern Ukraine just before the MH-17 shoot-down.

Instead of questioning the photo-forensic expertise of these nuclear proliferation specialists at armscontrolwonk.com, Kramer simply laid out their findings as further corroboration of Bellingcat’s earlier claims. Kramer also mocked the Russians for trying to cover their tracks with “conspiracy theories.”

Ignoring Official Evidence

But there was another key piece of evidence that the Times was hiding from its readers: documentary evidence from Western intelligence that the Ukrainian military did have powerful anti-aircraft missile batteries in eastern Ukraine on July 17, 2014, and that the ethnic Russian rebels didn’t.

In a report  released last October, the Netherlands’ Military Intelligence and Security Service (MIVD) said that based on “state secret” information, it was known that Ukraine possessed some older but “powerful anti-aircraft systems” and “a number of these systems were located in the eastern part of the country.” MIVD added that the rebels lacked that capacity:

“Prior to the crash, the MIVD knew that, in addition to light aircraft artillery, the Separatists also possessed short-range portable air defence systems (man-portable air-defence systems; MANPADS) and that they possibly possessed short-range vehicle-borne air-defence systems. Both types of systems are considered surface-to-air missiles (SAMs). Due to their limited range they do not constitute a danger to civil aviation at cruising altitude.”

Since Dutch intelligence is part of the NATO intelligence apparatus, this report means that NATO and presumably U.S. intelligence share the same viewpoint. Thus, the Russians would have little reason to fake their satellite photos showing Ukrainian anti-aircraft missile batteries in eastern Ukraine if the West’s satellite photos were showing the same thing.

But there is a reason why the Times and other major mainstream publications have ignored this official Dutch government document – because if it’s correct, then it means that the only people who could have shot down MH-17 belong to the Ukrainian military. That would turn upside-down the desired propaganda narrative blaming the Russians.

Yet, that blackout of the Dutch report means that the Times and other Western outlets have abandoned their journalistic responsibilities to present all relevant evidence on an issue of grave importance – bringing to justice the killers of 298 innocent people. Rather than “all the news that’s fit to print,” the Times is stacking the case by leaving out evidence that goes in the “wrong direction.”

Of course, there may be some explanation for how both NATO and Russian intelligence could come to the same “mistaken” conclusion that only the Ukrainian military could have shot down MH-17, but the Times and the rest of the Western mainstream media can’t ethically just pretend the evidence doesn’t exist.

Unless, of course, your real purpose is to disseminate propaganda, not produce journalism. Then, I suppose the behavior of the Times, other MSM publications and, yes, Bellingcat makes a lot of sense.

[For more on this topic, see Consortiumnews.com’s “MH-17: Two Years of Anti-Russian Propaganda” and “NYT Is Lost in Its Ukraine Propaganda.”]



Investigative reporter Robert Parry broke many of the Iran-Contra stories for The Associated Press and Newsweek in the 1980s. You can buy his latest book, America’s Stolen Narrative, either in print here or as an e-book (from Amazon and barnesandnoble.com).

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