FOCUS: Hillary Clinton Is Almost Certain to Be President
Friday, 21 October 2016 11:19
Abramson writes: "In the last debate of the election, Hillary Clinton emerged the way she hoped she would, as the all-but-certain first female president of the United States."
Hillary Clinton. (photo: Robert F. Bukaty/AP)
Hillary Clinton Is Almost Certain to Be President
By Jill Abramson, Guardian UK
21 October 16
In the final debate, Donald Trump blew his last best chance to present himself as a remotely credible candidate. Clinton now stands on the brink of historic power
n the last debate of the election, Hillary Clinton emerged the way she hoped she would, as the all-but-certain first female president of the United States.
By refusing to pledge that he would accept the results of the election, Donald Trump all-but-certainly disqualified himself for the position of president. The peaceful transfer of power after a presidential election has been the pillar of our democracy. By refusing to accept the results of the vote, Trump would be flouting the tradition of American politics and the democratic beliefs of almost all voters.
Like the two earlier debates, this one was contentious and marked by sniping between Trump and Clinton. But Trump’s claims were often far-fetched and lacked a shred of factual evidence. Especially bizarre was his baseless charge that the Clinton campaign was behind the allegations of nine women that Trump improperly groped or kissed them, charges that Trump has denied.
Some analysts thought Trump may have lost the election the day the disgusting tape of him bragging about his ability to kiss women and “grab them by the pussy” became public. His standing in battleground states and national polls did drop precipitously and steadily after the tape became public.
But his constant claims of a rigged election and refusal to join his running mate, Mike Pence, in saying he’d accept the election results are equally, if not more, outrageous. They are intended to damage people’s confidence in the election process itself.
So Trump blew his last best chance to present himself as a credible president, while Clinton, who maintained her composure throughout, radiated solidity.
Going into Wednesday’s debate, her stature as a candidate was much greater than in the previous two. Most national polls of late show her with a prohibitive lead over Trump. With 20 days remaining before election day, it is all but impossible for him to make up the lost ground necessary to win the presidency.
So the debate had far lower stakes for Clinton than Trump. Her strategy was fairly simple: show Trump as not fit for the presidency, defend herself without seeming defensive or evasive and, most important, maintain the demeanor of an all-but-president.
She did a masterful job of not letting Trump’s sharp attacks rile her. She did not assault Trump with as much sting as she had in the two past debates, though she still obviously got under his skin. He blurted out that she is “a nasty woman”.
Trump began the debate talking in a quiet voice and scoring some points against Clinton on issues like trade. But he soon lost focus and eventually fell to pieces, denying, when there is tape to prove it, that he had demeaned the appearances of his female accusers and interrupting Clinton repeatedly, practically shouting “wrong” after some of her assertions about his record.
There was substantive discussion of issues, on foreign policy, the supreme court, the US budget deficit and abortion. Clinton repeated her support for a woman’s right to control her body, while Trump showed his revulsion of late-term abortions and repeatedly described it as “rip[ping] the baby out of the womb”.
Clinton evaded direct answers posed by the moderator, Fox’s Chris Wallace about her ethics and used her answers to accuse Trump of being Vladimir Putin’s “puppet,” a remark that clearly rankled with him.
But she was careful to be positive, too, saying that America is great because “its people are good”. She said she had devoted her life’s work to women and children and would devote her presidency to protecting them. Trump again provided a very dark vision of the United States.
At times Clinton projected an almost regal bearing. She wore an elegant suit in white, a color she has favored at other key moments in her climb to the White House, including her Brooklyn victory rally after the primaries and at her acceptance speech at the Democratic convention. She clearly knows she is on the brink of making history once again.
Reich writes: "Amid all the focus on the presidential race it's also important to keep in mind Democrats have a fighting chance to take back the Senate in November. There are at least 12 races in play. Win five, and Democrats are in control regardless of the outcome of the presidential election."
Robert Reich. (photo: Getty)
Take Back the Senate!
By Robert Reich, Robert Reich's Blog
21 October 16
mid all the focus on the presidential race it’s also important to keep in mind Democrats have a fighting chance to take back the Senate in November. There are at least 12 races in play. Win five, and Democrats are in control regardless of the outcome of the presidential election.
Many of of the Democrats on the ballot this year are progressives who have been fighting to raise the minimum wage, expand Social Security, provide paid sick leave and paid parental leave. Many are women and people of color who will make the Senate look more like the rest of America.
Win five of these races and we’d have a chance for a Supreme Court that would prioritize the rights and needs of average Americans rather than big corporations and overturn Citizens United!
Win five of these races and we’d put Senate oversight of the government back into the hands of people who care that government actually works.
We’d strengthen the ranks of progressives like Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders, Jeff Merkley, Sherrod Brown, and others – who we are counting on in the fight to get big money out of politics, reduce income and wealth inequality, confront devastating climate change, and push a progressive foreign policy.
A Democratic Senate would also give us a line of defense, a countervailing power in budget showdowns, foreign policy lock downs, and threatened government shutdowns.
If Hillary Clinton becomes president, a Democratic Senate will help push her positive agenda, and hold her accountable if she veers away from it. If Donald Trump becomes president – well, let’s just say we’ll need a Democratic Senate more than ever.
So please remember what’s at stake. And Vote on November 8th!
Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=40776"><span class="small">Dan Rather, Dan Rather's Facebook Page</span></a>
Thursday, 20 October 2016 14:06
Rather writes: "I suspect the headline out of tonight may very well be Donald Trump's refusal to guarantee that he will accept the decision of the voters on November 8. It is a horrifying and destabilizing betrayal of the norms of American politics. But it was just one part of the final debate in a campaign that seems to be firmly in the Twilight Zone."
Dan Rather. (photo: Mark Sagliocco/Getty)
This Is Not What Our Democracy Should Be
By Dan Rather, Dan Rather's Facebook Page
20 October 16
suspect the headline out of tonight may very well be Donald Trump’s refusal to guarantee that he will accept the decision of the voters on November 8. It is a horrifying and destabilizing betrayal of the norms of American politics. But it was just one part of the final debate in a campaign that seems to be firmly in the Twilight Zone. This is not what our democracy should be, but it is where we are today. I wonder if many minds were changed. I doubt it.
Hillary Clinton has been judged the winner of the first two debates. Tonight, many felt Trump needed a knockout to get back in the race. But I think this was Clinton’s best performance - perhaps by far. I think she wanted this to be a preview of her presidency. Her tone was the most straightforward and direct I have yet seen. She didn’t try to run away from her policy expertise. She embraced it. It was as if she was saying, “I am here. I am smart. I am qualified. I will not be intimidated or silenced. And I am ready to be president.”
The format of tonight’s debate favored depth over breadth on the number of topics. This meant that a lot of important issues (climate change?) were left unquestioned, but the benefit was that the able moderator Chris Wallace could drill down to real policy with the most important quality of an interviewer - the follow up question. And he used it to good effect.
There has been a silly trope floating around the coverage of the Clinton campaign about "likeability". Many critics have claimed that the very notion is sexist. I agree. Yet tonight, Clinton seemed to throw those worries aside. There were fewer anecdotal flights of storytelling about her interactions with "average families" that you often hear about on the stump. Clinton was steely, determined, forceful. I think this will be the tone of her presidential face, and I think it is one she wears well and naturally.
Clinton hit Trump hard on issue after issue with knowledge and facts - on Russia, the Supreme Court, nuclear weapons, immigration, and the list goes on. You could disagree with her on policy, but you can’t question whether she knows what she’s talking about. One big line that I think will play on was in the dust up over Russia. Who would have thought that years after the end of the Cold War the specter of Russia would loom over an American presidential campaign? But there you have it. When the discussion turned to Wikileaks and who was responsible for the hack, Trump, disagreeing with the assessment of the U.S. intelligence agencies, said we don’t know who is behind it. Clinton fired back - He would rather believe Vladimir Putin than the military professionals and intelligence officials. It’s a line you could expect from Ronald Reagan.
By contrast, Trump has been skating through the campaign on buzzwords and applause lines that fire up his base. Tonight the format asked for more substance and he struggled. He often left topics dangling, meandered through head-scratching sentences, and fumbled with thoughts that went nowhere - all lines of thoughts wavering in the wind. Often his most cogent statements were cheap shots. When he would stop talking, I sometimes had to ask myself what was he talking about?
Trump’s millions of eager followers will continue to cheer as the majority of Americans seem to be turning the page on this ugly campaign. They have seen all they need from Trump and they have had enough. There were many lines from this debate that could make for powerful Clinton campaign ads. But I am not sure she will need them.
Trump may not agree to abide by the results of the election. But hopefully the rest of the country can act with a bit more maturity and decency.
What Michael Moore Understands About Hillary Clinton
Thursday, 20 October 2016 13:53
Brody writes: "At its best, 'Michael Moore in TrumpLand' is a moving act of devotion, a motivating turn of rhetoric of potentially historic import."
The filmmaker in a still image from 'Michael Moore in TrumpLand.' (photo: Dog Eat Dog Films)
What Michael Moore Understands About Hillary Clinton
By Richard Brody, The New Yorker
20 October 16
ichael Moore in TrumpLand” isn’t quite the film that I expected it to be, and that’s all to the good. Moore is, of course, a genius of political satire, deploying his persona—as a populist socialist skeptic with a superb sense of humor and a chess player’s skill at media positioning—to deeply humane ends that are mainly detached from practicality, policy, and practical politics. The very idea of the new film—a recording of Moore’s one-man show from the stage of a theatre in a small, predominantly Republican town in Ohio—runs the risk of self-parody, being a feature-length lampooning of Trump, laid out with meticulously researched facts set forth with the sublime derision of which Moore is a master. It would have been a highly saleable version of preaching to the converted.
Instead, Moore—a well-known and outspoken supporter of Bernie Sanders during the Democratic primary campaign—has done something different, better, and even majestic. He has made a film that, at its frequent best, raises his own celebrity to a political object and transforms that celebrity into a mode of combative yet deeply empathetic practical politics, even turns it into a political weapon of the sort that’s seemingly ready-made to combat Trump, whose candidacy, after all, is itself purely a product of the celebrity industry.
Moore’s film—gestating for a year, made in twelve days, filmed on October 7th (four hours, Moore said in a Q. & A., after the Trump/Billy Bush tape broke), and completed on Tuesday morning, just hours before its première, at IFC Center—is centered on the Murphy Theatre, in Wilmington, Ohio, a site that, Moore notes in the film, is doubly ironic. First, Wilmington is the county seat of Clinton County; second, the theatre’s renovation had the financial backing of Glenn Beck. There, Moore brought together an audience of diverse political persuasions—Trump supporters, Clinton supporters, third-party supporters, and even nonvoters—and, in his way, sought, at different points in his highly performative talk, to address them all.
Moving between a podium, a desk, and an armchair on a stage decorated with mural-sized black-and-white photographs of Hillary Clinton in her younger days, Moore acknowledges the political diversity of the audience (not much ethnic diversity—almost everyone is white) and then yields to some easy political theatre—explaining that, to put Trump supporters at ease, the Mexicans in the audience are seated separately, in the balcony (and then placed behind a cardboard wall), as are the Muslims in attendance (who are kept under video surveillance by a drone flying above them). He jokes about Trump supporters by joking about liberals, mocking himself and his fellow-progressives as uncertain and deferential and praising conservatives for at least being “decisive, organized, and disciplined”—they get up at five in the morning, he says, while “we” only see 5 A.M. after a night of partying.
Then he gets to the heart of the matter, which has two parts. The first is to address Trump supporters from his own heart. He begins with a series of jokes addressing and warmly mocking “vagenda of manocide”-type masculine paranoia, culminating in jokes about the internment camps for men that would arise during a Clinton Presidency. But he then turns earnest and reads a text that, he says, he wrote that very day (and it’s actually handwritten)—one in which he addresses Trump supporters, “the dispossessed,” who are members of the “former middle class,” people who’ve lost jobs and health insurance, who may have lost their homes and their savings, and who, he says, have “lost everything but the right to vote.” Moore describes Trump as “the Molotov cocktail, the hand grenade thrown into the system that screwed them.” Moore acknowledges that many of Trump’s supporters are all the more motivated by the hatred that Trump arouses among the nation’s élites—the overlords of the institutions that have presided over these voters’ misery. He calls the prospect of a Trump Presidency “the biggest fuck-you ever recorded in human history.” He then compares it to a similar recent electoral fuck-you: Brexit (“they used the ballot as an anger-management tool, and now they’re fucked”), and sees a Trump Presidency as a similar, though incomparably greater, disaster—the election of “the last American President.” (A comic video parody of a Trump inauguration doesn’t do much to add to the litany of Trump’s self-inflicted ridicule, however.)
Soon thereafter, Moore makes his way to the second part of his grand design. Having made the empathetic case for anger at the status quo, he sets out his case for Hillary Clinton. His idea is simple: what wins elections isn’t numbers per se but motivation, passion, enthusiasm. Clinton, he fears, won’t win, despite the polls, because Trump’s supporters are “decisive, organized, and disciplined,” and, what’s more, mad as hell. He makes clear that he never voted for Bill Clinton (Nader in ’96, he says), that he voted for Barack Obama in the 2008 primary and for Bernie Sanders this year, and he’s up-front about his particular political differences with Hillary Clinton. Then he gets rolling, and his blend of showman’s bravado and rhetorical flair is a thing of beauty.
Moore’s prime argument for Hillary is an argument from character. The first good thing that he can say about Hillary Clinton is that she likes him. He refers to the chapter “My Forbidden Love for Hillary” from his 1996 book “Downsize This!” and describes the White House dinner to which he was invited as a result—in particular, dwelling on the frank and surprisingly specific enthusiasm that Bill Clinton expressed for Moore’s work and the even greater show of enthusiasm with which Hillary followed it. The apparent element of vanity actually plays exactly in the opposite direction—what Moore’s doing here, deftly, is endowing Hillary with longstanding progressive bona fides, bringing her alongside him to share in his fan base.
Moore reinforces that point with a scintillating coup de théâtre: he refers to a scene in his film “Where to Invade Next,” in which he visits a hospital in Estonia to learn why the rate of mortality for women in childbirth is lower there than it is in the United States. While there, he says, he saw a picture on the wall, of Hillary Clinton and the hospital personnel, from the early nineteen-nineties—she was there, Moore says, for the same reason he was. Moore’s enthusiastic praise of Clinton’s health-care initiatives during her husband’s Presidency is matched by his righteous fury at its rejection, at the current state of affairs that deprives so many citizens of adequate health care.
Moore then pivots to his decisive point, a masterstroke of political psychology that he extracts from a sharp history lesson. Citing the personal attacks that Hillary endured while pushing for health care during Bill Clinton’s first Administration and the mockery that she bore for her unwillingness to play the traditional domestic role of a First Lady, he then goes back over her entire career to consider the attacks that she has borne—not over politics but as an ambitious and independent-spirited woman and as Bill Clinton’s wife, living with him in Arkansas and going against her principles to take his last name in the interest of his political career. Moore goes back to Hillary’s student days, playing a clip of her commencement address at her college graduation, and evokes the opposition that an entire generation of early feminists faced as they attempted to speak out for women’s equality at a time when sexual harassment and male prerogatives were utterly commonplace, unaddressed and unredressed.
And then he hits the mark, explaining that women of Hillary’s generation were raised by a generation of mothers, many of whom took jobs during the Second World War to fill positions left vacant when men went off to fight. After the war, he says, most of them returned to domestic life—but they maintained the spirit of self-reliance, of independence, of worldly capability and achievement that they had gained during the war, and they passed it along to their daughters, Hillary among them. With this brilliant idea, Moore wrenches feminism away from the dubiously debated sixties and makes it the work of the Greatest Generation, the achievement not of the vacillating hedonists whom Moore lumps himself in with at the start but of the hard-fighting, hardworking, profoundly earnest and sternly principled ancestors who serve as heroic models for exactly the kind of people who might vote for Trump.
Moore’s final rhetorical stroke is to add that the lifetime of struggle that Hillary has faced (and he cites the struggles of Pope Francis as a comparison) has left her bitterly resentful of the status quo, profoundly progressive in temperament, deeply intent on making decisive changes when, finally, she realizes her lifelong goal of being in a position to make them. In effect, Moore presents a Hillary Clinton whose progressivism arises from no mere butterfly idealism but embodies the hard-won experience of the best American tradition.
Then he can’t help but ice the cake: he dreams of her flurry of executive orders (a conservative’s nightmare); he envisions that she’ll replace old enemies (“Iran and North Korea”) with new ones (“Monsanto and Wells Fargo”); and he puts his own enthusiasm for Clinton on the line with a celebrity-fuelled vow—that if, in two years, she doesn’t deliver on the progressive vision that she promises, he himself will run for President in 2020. (He quickly piles the comedy onto this notion—his first promise is that all electronic devices will use the same charger cord.)
But, by that point in the film, the point at which Moore’s personality and prejudices assert themselves over his principle, the argument has been made and won. Within the carnivalesque atmosphere and high-spirited revelry of Moore’s show, there’s a master of political rhetoric at work, and he devotes that mastery to a high patriotic calling. At its best, “Michael Moore in TrumpLand” is a moving act of devotion, a motivating turn of rhetoric of potentially historic import. The movie, Moore says, will be on view in “three dozen” cities and will become available, in a day or two, on a nationwide streaming platform. At the very least, as the joke goes, it couldn’t hurt.
Hillary Clinton's Incredibly Powerful Defense of Women's Right to Choose
Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=20061"><span class="small">Tara Culp-Ressler, ThinkProgress</span></a>
Thursday, 20 October 2016 13:44
Culp-Ressler writes: "Hillary Clinton mounted a passionate defense of abortion rights at the final presidential debate on Wednesday night - and articulated a progressive vision for approaching the complex policy issue, despite host Chris Wallace's best attempts to frame the conversation in conservative terms."
Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton answers a question during the third presidential debate. (photo: John Kocher/AP)
Hillary Clinton's Incredibly Powerful Defense of Women's Right to Choose
By Tara Culp-Ressler, ThinkProgress
20 October 16
Finally, on the national stage, Clinton reframed the policy issue.
illary Clinton mounted a passionate defense of abortion rights at the final presidential debate on Wednesday night?—?and articulated a progressive vision for approaching the complex policy issue, despite host Chris Wallace’s best attempts to frame the conversation in conservative terms.
The exchange about abortion marked the first time a debate moderator has posed a question on the issue to the presidential candidates.
Clinton, who has staked out an incredibly progressive stance on reproductive rights issues over the course of this campaign, was quick to emphasize that she will “defend women’s rights to make their own health care decisions” because “we have come too far to have that turned back now.”
But the most impressive part of her response was her thoughtful engagement with a complicated subject many Democrats prefer to avoid: abortions that occur later in pregnancy. These procedures are an uncomfortable topic for many people, even those who are broadly supportive of abortion rights.
“The kinds of cases that fall at the end of pregnancy are often the most heartbreaking, painful decisions for families to make,” she said. “I have met with women who, toward the end of their pregnancy, get the worst news one could get?—?that their health is in jeopardy if they continue to carry to term, or that something terrible has happened or just been discovered about the pregnancy.”
Several of the questions from Wallace, a Fox News veteran, started out from a right-leaning place, and abortion was no exception.
Wallace asked Clinton to defend her support for “partial-birth abortion,” which is not a real medical term but rather a misleading phrase coined by anti-abortion groups to garner support for banning a specific type of abortion procedure that occurs after the first trimester.
Centering the conversation about reproductive rights on these later procedures is a very popular tactic among abortion opponents. Even though so-called “late-term abortions” are actually quite rare in policy terms?—?the vast majority of abortion patients have their procedures sometime in the first trimester; many of them are early enough in their pregnancies that they can swallow a pill?—?the anti-choice community hones in on these cases as a way of construing abortion as gruesome, upsetting, and bloody.
Focusing on later abortions helps stoke outrage over the moral implications of a medical procedure that falls squarely in a gray area for most Americans. And once a conversation about abortion gets steered to an emotional place, it can be difficult to reel it back in and refocus on the policy matters at hand.
But Clinton was unfazed. Instead of equivocating about whether the government should restrict the later abortion procedures that may sound upsetting to an outside observer, or apologizing for her support for a procedure that some Americans may feel uncomfortable with, she focused on the difficult real-world circumstances that may lead a couple to end a pregnancy in the second or third trimester.
And when Donald Trump eagerly raised the specter of “late-term abortion,” claiming that Hillary Clinton supports babies being “ripped” from their mother’s wombs in the ninth month of pregnancy, she didn’t blink. Clinton sharply rebuked Trump’s inflammatory language.
“That is not what happens in these cases, and using that kind of scare rhetoric is just terribly unfortunate,” she said. “You should meet with some of the women I’ve met with?—?the women I’ve known over the course of my life.”
FYI: "ripping baby from womb in 9th month" is called C-section. #VaginaEducation
After decades of mostly male politicians debating whether women should have autonomy over their bodies, it’s no small thing for the first female presidential nominee of a major political party to focus on the lived experiences of women facing complicated pregnancy decisions.
Clinton centered women in a debate that usually treats them as an afterthought. And she defended one of the most controversial aspects of abortion policy without ceding any ground to conservative abortion opponents who would rather talk about the humanity of fetuses than the humanity of women.
This ability to humanize an issue that’s personal to millions of people across the country who grapple with decisions about pregnancy is one of the most important aspects of her candidacy, argues Slate’s Christina Cauterucci.
“When Clinton’s on the stage, it becomes about flesh and blood: women’s bodies and their most private, sacred rights to determine the courses of their own lives,” Cauterucci wrote on Wednesday night. “Of all the reasons it benefits the nation to have more women in politics, this may be the biggest?—?the shift of women’s lives from the realm of hypotheses into the real world.”
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