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FOCUS: This Country Was Born in Incivility. Being 'Civil' Won't Save It Now. Print
Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=11104"><span class="small">Charles Pierce, Esquire</span></a>   
Sunday, 24 June 2018 11:31

Pierce writes: "I was saying to a friend on Wednesday night that what was sustaining me in this time of trouble and woe was reading the works of my favorite uncivil Americans - Tom Paine, Mercy Otis Warren, Frederick Douglass, William Lloyd Garrison, late-period Mark Twain, a touch of Mencken here and there."

Abu Ghraib. (photo: Getty Images)
Abu Ghraib. (photo: Getty Images)


This Country Was Born in Incivility. Being 'Civil' Won't Save It Now.

By Charles Pierce, Esquire

24 June 18


Neither will burying the truth under false equivalences between bad words and racism.

was saying to a friend on Wednesday night that what was sustaining me in this time of trouble and woe was reading the works of my favorite uncivil Americans—Tom Paine, Mercy Otis Warren, Frederick Douglass, William Lloyd Garrison, late-period Mark Twain, a touch of Mencken here and there. Thus, I was able to read this incredible pile of piffle in The New York Times with comparative equanimity, which is to say without lighting my laptop on fire.

Mr. Trump’s coarse discourse increasingly seems to inspire opponents to respond with vituperative words of their own. Whether it be Robert De Niro’s four-letter condemnation at the Tony Awards or a congressional intern who shouted the same word at Mr. Trump when he visited the Capitol this week, the president has generated so much anger among his foes that some are crossing boundaries that he himself shattered long ago. The politics of rage that animated Mr. Trump’s political rise now dominate the national conversation, as demonstrated repeatedly during the debate over his “zero tolerance” immigration policy that separated children from parents apprehended at the border.

Bear in mind—I think the NYT is still a great newspaper that still does great work. There is no better reporter working than Charlie Savage. It has the time and the resources and, by and large, it knows how to use them. Just this week, I’ve linked and commented on at least three stories from the paper that would have flown completely under the radar if the NYT hadn’t dug in on them. But its flaws are obvious and manifest, and they are illustrated clearly by this bit of analysis, which has been flambéed on the electric Twitter machine for nearly a full day. I mean, Jesus, baby jails? If you’re being civil, you’re not paying attention.

I blame Lincoln, actually. If he hadn’t delivered the greatest speech ever by an American president, his Second Inaugural Address, we might not be quite as addicted to premature “healing” as we are. But Lincoln had an excuse. The country was trying to reassemble itself after the incredibly sanguinary effort necessary to crush treason and eliminate chattel slavery.

In my time, I’ve seen “healing” used to excuse all manner of mischief: the Warren Commission; “Bring Us Together” as a slogan for Nixon, of all people; the Nixon pardon; the largely bipartisan effort to defang the Iran-Contra scandal; the elite discouragement of righteous outrage at the Florida hijack in 2000 or the chicanery in Ohio in 2004; the refusal of the Obama people to hold the officials of the previous administration responsible for malfeasance and nonfeasance in office, “Looking ahead, not back.”

All of these were undertaken on the theory, I believe, that The American People are made of fragile glass, and that they must not be encouraged to anger over the misuse of their right to self-government, lest it upset the salons of D.C. or the quiet anesthesia of our finer think-tanks. It must not frighten the horses, or David Brooks, who is only half of one.

Can anybody truly say that these exercises in civility and healing made our politics better? Is America a better place because we let the torturers go unpunished? Can’t it be argued that torture coarsened American culture worse than Robert DeNiro’s bad words at the damn Tony Awards? Is it that hard to trace a cultural line from the cells of Abu Ghraib to the cages of Brownsville, and to conclude that the implicit absolution of the former led to support of the latter?

Good lord, the country was born in incivility. There are monuments to, well, monumental incivility not 12 miles from this very keyboard. Sam Adams was extremely uncivil. The pamphlets of the time were positively slanderous, and they helped make a revolution that changed the entire world. Read the criticisms of the abolitionists in the years leading up to the Civil War. They would have fit in with those chin-strokers that the Times quoted in that piece on Thursday.

Gary Payne, who teaches sociology at Central Lakes College in Brainerd, Minn., said that he opposed the president, his policies and also the trading of crude insults on both sides. “People are looking for the simplest signals to go by,” Mr. Payne said as he stood outside the arena after trying unsuccessfully to attend the rally. “People pay more attention to demeanor than they do to policy.”

Fck off.

Perhaps, and I’m just spitballing here, we shouldn’t equate the words of the goddamn President* of the United States with the comments of television stars and aging actors. Maybe what the president* said from a podium in Duluth carries more weight behind it than what Peter Fonda said in Cannes? The Times piece poses an interesting question that it is far too timid to answer.

This approach traces back to the day Mr. Trump first announced his campaign for president in 2015, when he labeled many Mexican immigrants as “rapists,” a portrayal that drew furious protests.
Mr. Trump recalled that controversy just this week and doubled down on it. “Remember I made that speech and I was badly criticized? ‘Oh, it’s so terrible, what he said,’ ” he said with derision during a speech to the National Federation of Independent Business on Tuesday. “Turned out I was 100 percent right. That’s why I got elected.” Indeed, the lesson that Mr. Trump took from his nastier-than-thou campaign was that the more outrageous he was, the more incendiary his rhetoric, the more attention he drew and the more votes he received. Any expectation that he would put the harsh language aside to become more of a moral leader as president has proved illusory.

Maybe the country is full of enough racists, xenophobes, nativists, and angry idiots that it elected a dangerous buffoon to lead it, and maybe that’s a more important subject than whether or not somebody said a mean thing to Ivanka Trump. Maybe calling the Trump voters what they are, based on what they’ve done to the rest of us, is more important to the survival of the Republic than what three jamokes in a diner think of brown people who are coming to murder them in their beds.

Jesus, Duluth is 1676 miles from the southern border at Brownsville and, anyway, immigration has been good for Duluth’s local economy. So why did people there on Wednesday night applaud wildly this brand of truthless slander?

"The Democrats want open borders. Let everybody come in. Let everybody pour in, we don't care, let them come in from the Middle East, let them come in from all over the place. We don't care. We're not going to let it happen. Today I signed an executive order. We are going to keep families together, but the border is going to be just as tough as it's been. Democrats don't care about the impact of uncontrolled migration on your communities. Democrats put illegal immigrants before they put American citizens. What the hell is going on?"

I guarantee you it wasn’t because Kathy Griffin made a video.

I wish our politics were less wild, less driven by fear and hate and greed. But, alas, they are, and only one side leveraged fear and hate and greed so successfully through the years as to put a gibbering racist in the White House. Forgive me if I put civility on the back shelf for a while and, instead, take as my navigating star the words of William Lloyd Garrison, writing in the first issue of The Liberator.

I am aware that many object to the severity of my language; but is there not cause for severity? I will be as harsh as truth, and as uncompromising as justice. On this subject, I do not wish to think, or to speak, or write, with moderation. No! no! Tell a man whose house is on fire to give a moderate alarm; tell him to moderately rescue his wife from the hands of the ravisher; tell the mother to gradually extricate her babe from the fire into which it has fallen; — but urge me not to use moderation in a cause like the present. I am in earnest — I will not equivocate — I will not excuse — I will not retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.

That will do for now.


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FOCUS: The Shameless Fakery of Trump's Retreat on Family Separations Print
Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=6853"><span class="small">Frank Rich, New York Magazine</span></a>   
Sunday, 24 June 2018 10:44

Rich writes: "While roughly two-thirds of Americans oppose his Draconian immigration measures, nearly 60 per cent of Republicans approve of them and expect their representatives in the Capitol to obey their Dear Leader."

A child in detention at the U.S./Mexico border. (photo: Getty Images)
A child in detention at the U.S./Mexico border. (photo: Getty Images)


The Shameless Fakery of Trump's Retreat on Family Separations

By Frank Rich, New York Magazine

24 June 18


Most weeks, New York Magazine writer-at-large Frank Rich speaks with contributor Alex Carp about the biggest stories in politics and culture. Today, Trump’s retreat on family separations, Michael Bloomberg’s $80 million gift to Democrats, and the emerging schisms at Fox.

fter repeatedly saying that he could not single-handedly end family separation at the border, Donald Trump has signed an executive order that ends the practice, replacing it with indefinite detainment of parents and children together. Is this the first major retreat of his presidency?

It is a major retreat, but only a rhetorical retreat. When talking heads on CNN and MSNBC say Trump has caved, they have irrefutable evidence to back it up: a kaleidoscope of video clips of him and his White House cohort claiming that “only Congress” could end this humanitarian horror show when in truth it could have been ended by a presidential phone call. Indeed, even the executive order Trump signed, with its Freudian misspelling of the word “seperation” in its title, wasn’t needed. It was a prop intended to wipe the images of caged children from the screen. And a favorite Trump prop: He loves few things more than displaying his signature, whether on executive orders or pardons, to try to spin the illusion that he is governing. Not to mention the added bonus that the big signature distracts the audience from the small fingers he uses to wield the pen.

But back in the real world, this crisis is far from resolved. Only the same idiots who bought Trump’s post-summit tweet that there’s “no longer a Nuclear Threat from North Korea” would think so. Some 2,300 children remain separated from their parents with no clear prospects for reunification. There will be legal and bureaucratic chaos, accompanied by further human suffering, as ill-equipped government agencies now move to incarcerate families intact under the still-standing Trump–Jeff Sessions–Stephen Miller “zero-tolerance” policy. Already today the Trump administration has been forced to temporarily suspend migrant family prosecutions because of the case overload. Next up: There will be bloody new battles in the civil war among Republicans in Congress as they once again try and fail to find an overall “fix” for American immigration policy with the Election Day countdown clock ticking. It can never be forgotten that Trump is no outlier in his own party: While roughly two-thirds of Americans oppose his Draconian immigration measures, nearly 60 per cent of Republicans approve of them and expect their representatives in the Capitol to obey their Dear Leader.

What’s also ahead are more ugly pictures of the type that finally pushed Trump to about-face and sign that order. (Trump has not for a second indicated he gives a damn about the children in those pictures; he only cares about the pictures’ political fallout.) Thus far the government has done an impressive job of suppressing photographic evidence of what has been going on inside these internment camps, especially photos that might show infants, toddlers, or girls in those so-called “tender age” facilities. But if the Abu Ghraib photos can get out, these will too, soon enough, as will more audio and video recordings. There will be more images added to the mix when “zero tolerance” incarcerations overwhelm a jerry-built (at best) hodgepodge of already overrun refugee detention centers that in the summer’s blazing heat may start to make the New Orleans Superdome of Katrina notoriety look like a Holiday Inn. The Texas Tribune is even now reporting a long history of incidents of physical and sexual child abuse in existing immigrant shelters.

If anything remotely good came out of this debacle, it’s that for the first time Trump was forced to recognize that he cannot always refute or suppress visual evidence of his duplicity as easily as Fox News can. Starting with his Day One insistence that photos of his unimpressive Inaugural Day crowds were a fake-news hoax, he’s assumed that Americans will believe him over what they see with their own eyes. His base still does of course — Ann Coulter called the wailing refugee children “child actors” — but Independents and those few wavering Republican voters (about 10 percent are down on Trump) do not. That’s why even the likes of Ted Cruz called for an end to splitting up families. (It’s a measure of how creepy Cruz is that on those rare occasions when he says something you agree with, you for a second find yourself questioning your own beliefs.)

Another small but useful side effect of this crisis has been to expose just how deeply the psychosis of compulsive lying has spread through the administration’s ranks. The Homeland Security secretary Kirstjen Nielsen destroyed her reputation this week as her mentor John Kelly had before her with her ludicrous purported ignorance of both the origins of the separation policy and its horrendous human fallout on the border. As Aaron Blake of the Washington Post pointed out, Nielsen was already a serial liar, having previously publicly claimed that she didn’t know Norway was a white-majority country when Trump said he preferred Norwegian immigrants to those from “shithole countries” and having testified before Congress she was unaware of the American intelligence finding that Russia had tried to boost Trump in the 2016 election.

Nielsen is a product of the Georgetown School of Foreign Service and University of Virginia School of Law, and was once thought to be among the “adults” in Trump’s ranks. She’s now so dug into the alternative reality of his bunker that it never occurred to her that a Mexican restaurant might not be the ideal choice for dinner after her grotesque press conference. Then again, even as the tape of refugee children crying for their parents was playing out 24/7, United Nations Ambassador Nikki Haley decided to announce that America was pulling out of the U.N.’s Human Rights Council and Secretary of State Mike Pompeo released a statement honoring World Refugee Day. To paraphrase a favorite line from a classic American film comedy, Preston Sturges’s The Palm Beach Story, irony is not only dead but decomposed.

Former New York City mayor Michael Bloomberg has committed $80 million to help Democrats take control of the House in November. How does his money change the midterm forecast?

Bloomberg’s commitment is significant not because it changes any midterm election forecast; after all, his spending to further the cause of gun control has had limited effects. But it is a strong and highly welcome departure from the feckless evenhandedness with which too many centrist politicians and centrist and conservative pundits have on one hand deplored Trump and on the other stopped short of calling for voters to cast ballots for Democrats as the most practical way of derailing him. (A classic example of this cowardly disingenuousness, as always, comes from Mitt Romney, who recently revealed that he chose to write in Ann Romney for president in 2016.)

Yes, the Democrats often leave much to be desired, but we are in a crisis that threatens our country. Moderate Republican politicians and opinion columnists who talk about rebuilding the GOP with John Kasich or whoever’s left once Trump is gone are not just daydreaming but sidestepping any concrete action to deal with the present-day threat to America posed by a lunatic in the White House. While Washington is burning, and threatening to take the world with it, they would rather preen and advertise their own evenhanded civic virtuousness. Bloomberg has now decidedly left that fatuous club, and so has Steve Schmidt, the longtime GOP campaign operative who this week took the step of announcing his support for a Democratic electoral wave on the grounds that the Democratic Party is “the only party left in America that stands for what is right and decent and remains fidelitous to our Republic, objective truth, the rule of law and our Allies.” You can’t argue with that, even if some Democrats and Democratic policies, often with good reason, drive you berserk.

Internal divisions have come to the surface at 21st Century Fox, as show creators including Modern Family’s Steve Levitan and Family Guy’s Seth MacFarlane speak of “disgust” at working under the same umbrella as Fox News. Is this a short-term squabble or a sign of larger things to come?

No one knows, but Judd Apatow deserves credit for cheerleading this stampede of public statements in Hollywood. He has called for a complete boycott of all Fox products including “movies, TV, sports, business, books.” That will never happen of course, but tarnishing the Fox brand as a whole could over time hit the Murdoch family, which, in Apatow’s words, “has made billions lying and manipulating our citizens for personal financial gain” even to the point of “supporting the kidnapping of children” at the border.

The Times has pointed out that to some extent this protest becomes moot once either of Fox’s two corporate suitors, Disney and Comcast, wins the bidding war to buy most of the Murdochs’ entertainment assets. But even after that sale, Murdoch will likely retain not just Fox News but the Fox broadcast network, which will likely continue to broadcast Family Guy among other shows run by liberals like MacFarlane. (Modern Family is aired on ABC.) If Trump is still president by the time that sale is final — possibly a good year away — this just might get bloody.


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RSN: Trump Isn't The Problem, He's the Manifestation of America's Id Print
Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=20877"><span class="small">William Boardman, Reader Supported News</span></a>   
Sunday, 24 June 2018 08:29

Boardman writes: "In an apparently deliberate exercise of hatred and bigotry, the Trump administration is committing crimes against humanity."

Economist Paul Krugman. (photo: Reuters)
Economist Paul Krugman. (photo: Reuters)


Trump Isn't The Problem, He's the Manifestation of America's Id

By William Boardman, Reader Supported News

24 June 18


The speed of America’s moral descent under Donald Trump is breathtaking. In a matter of months we’ve gone from a nation that stood for life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness to a nation that tears children from their parents and puts them in cages.

– Paul Krugman, New York Times column, June 21, 2018

conomist Paul Krugman is a smart Princeton professor who won a Nobel Prize, and most of what he says in this column is heartfelt, decent, and humane. His argument is relatively simple: since there is no present immigration crisis, there is no basis – practical, moral – no decent basis whatsoever for the current government’s inhumane, illegal, brutal treatment of immigrants and their children. In an apparently deliberate exercise of hatred and bigotry, the Trump administration is committing crimes against humanity.

That’s all quite true, quite obvious, and millions of people already recognize the government’s mindless cruelty for what it is – mindless cruelty that stimulates the mindlessly cruel base of Trump supporters from the cabinet on down.

But the way Krugman opens his column is mind-bogglingly delusional at best, dishonestly partisan at worst. Yes, “America’s moral descent under Donald Trump is breathtaking,” but not because of its speed. America’s moral descent has been with us from the beginning. America’s beginning was a struggle to ascend from the accepted moral order rooted in slave-holding authoritarianism, where inequality was God-given and women and children were property. The big difference between now and then is that then the angry white men making a revolution had enlightened ideals that were in conflict with the darker angels of their nature. The core dynamic of American history has always been the struggle between those who want to realize American ideals and those who don’t. The record is decidedly mixed, but the big victories mostly belong to the exploiters and killers. Trump is clearly in that line of descent.

Krugman asks us to believe that, in January 2017, America was “a nation that stood for life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness.” This is just a fantasy. These are words from the Declaration of Independence and have no weight in law that defines the nation. The preamble to the Constitution sets our national goals as a more perfect Union, Justice, domestic Tranquility, the common defence, general Welfare, and the Blessings of Liberty. In January 2017, our common defence was secure, except in the paranoid rantings of demagogues. Every other aspiration of the Constitution was in a shambles of long duration.

As he rose to the Presidency, Donald Trump was not so much a unique persona in triumph as he was the cobbled-together excrescence of more than 40 years of collective struggle by right-wing operatives trying to build their own fantasy of America, which Trump now embodies, perhaps imperfectly in the eyes of the idealist right. But he’s their Frankenstein creation and the rabble loves him, contradictory sewn-together bits and all.

Trumpenstein was a long time in the making, but one could see the first bits taking shape at least as early as Ronald Reagan’s presidential campaign. The racist veins were pulsing clearly at the kick-off in Philadelphia, Mississippi, in quiet celebration of the lynching of the three civil rights workers, Goodman, Chaney, and Schwerner, who went unmentioned.The racism of the right has only grown with race-based drug laws, race-populated prisons, race-based poverty, police executions, and on and on. The Clintons were shameful accomplices. No president since Reagan has dialed back American racism. Obama spoke eloquently about race, but that didn't keep Republicans from racializing politics, much to the glee of the Tea Party, and Obama never pushed back effectively, instead becoming the deporter-in-chief after blessing the military coup in Honduras that later fed the immigration wave fleeing oppression and murder.

Yes, we are now officially “a nation that tears children from their parents and puts them in cages.” We are also a nation that took years to notice our official brutality to immigrants, especially asylum seekers, and most especially those seeking asylum from brutal dictatorships we nurture and support. American brutality on the border is hardly a serious departure from American brutality in Iraq or Vietnam or Korea or in nations of Native Americans where we took children and put them in cages we called Christian schools.

Krugman surely knows all this and more, so why won’t he see it or say it? It’s as if he’s drunk the kool-aid of American Exceptionalism and must deny anything not pre-blessed by our cultural cult. Republicans were rabid to impeach Clinton for lying about a blow-job, Democrats couldn’t even impeach Bush for lying us into war (a war we’ve yet to escape). Obama couldn’t even close Guantanamo, but he refused to prosecute the torturers, and now one of them runs the CIA. It’s taken America years of bipartisan betrayal to get where we are now, but how can we change if we can’t even say clearly and directly who we are and how we got this way?

Krugman is wholly justified in any moral outrage he may feel about the Trump administration, but he is not justified, morally or intellectually, in making Trump a scapegoat embodying longstanding American evils long promoted by the right with little opposition. Trump is a mirror for the country, and if the country doesn’t like what it sees, the country needs to change.



William M. Boardman has over 40 years experience in theater, radio, TV, print journalism, and non-fiction, including 20 years in the Vermont judiciary. He has received honors from Writers Guild of America, Corporation for Public Broadcasting, Vermont Life magazine, and an Emmy Award nomination from the Academy of Television Arts and Sciences.

Reader Supported News is the Publication of Origin for this work. Permission to republish is freely granted with credit and a link back to Reader Supported News.

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Cuba Has a New President. It's Clear He's Got His Work Cut Out for Him. Print
Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=48492"><span class="small">Andres Pertierra, Jacobin</span></a>   
Sunday, 24 June 2018 08:19

Pertierra writes: "The difficult truth is that right now nobody knows what his ascension means for Cuba. Perhaps not even Díaz-Canel himself."

Miguel Diaz-Canel and his wife stand in line before he casts his vote during an election, in Santa Clara Cuba March 11, 2018. (photo: Reuters)
Miguel Diaz-Canel and his wife stand in line before he casts his vote during an election, in Santa Clara Cuba March 11, 2018. (photo: Reuters)


Cuba Has a New President. It's Clear He's Got His Work Cut Out for Him.

By Andres Pertierra, Jacobin

24 June 18


Cuba has a new president. No one knows how he plans to change Cuba — but it’s clear he’s got his work cut out for him.

n April 19, for the first time in decades, Cuba ceased to have a head of state surnamed Castro. Miguel Díaz-Canel Bermúdez is now president.

This has sparked endless speculation about what kind of man he is and how the new administration will function. Some of this commentary has offered genuinely interesting insight into his background while much else has indulged in speculation. The difficult truth is that right now nobody knows what his ascension means for Cuba. Perhaps not even Díaz-Canel himself.

There are two main reasons for this. First, as many have noted, Díaz-Canel is not nearly as well-known as his predecessors. Though he is a career politician, we have seen little more than glimpses of his thought process and character. For most of his time in public life he has been a middling official, largely limited to carrying out policies set by the Communist Party Central Committee. It is unclear what he will be like at the helm of government.

The second reason his government’s trajectory is so difficult to predict is that unlike Fidel — or, to a lesser extent, Raúl Castro — Cuba’s new head of state faces numerous checks on his ability to act unilaterally. The mechanisms by which the Cuban government cultivated legitimacy in the past have been weakening for years and some of them, such as personal prestige for having overthrown Batista, simply cannot be transferred to anyone new.

The Díaz-Canel government can — and is trying to — wrap itself in the legitimacy of being the recognized successor to the Fidel and Raúl Castro governments, but this will yield limited results. It will have to sink or swim on its own merits. Only two or three years into Raúl Castro’s tenure as head of state, I was already hearing Cuban officials complain that “gratitude is not hereditary” and that the government could no longer rally people around the achievements of the past. Under Díaz-Canel, this issue is even more pressing. This crisis of legitimacy makes it difficult for a new government to push forward controversial or unpopular policies, especially those that might ask for new sacrifices from an already beleaguered Cuban people.

The limitations imposed on the new government by this crisis of legitimacy are reinforced by other checks, such as Raúl Castro’s continued presence in politics. He continues to head the Communist Party of Cuba and, through his family and other connections in institutions of the Cuban government, continues to exercise substantial power. Díaz-Canel has also made a show of saying that Raúl would be consulted on major policy issues. This means that the new president will most likely be on a short leash for a time, especially given that much of what legitimacy he does have is rooted in being Raúl’s hand-picked successor.

It remains to be seen what new dynamics will emerge within the Cuban state’s governing bodies. The Council of Ministers, for example, is made up of the heads of the various ministries (analogous to “agencies” or “departments” in the US government) that administer much of the Cuban economy on a day-to-day basis. The Council of State, on the other hand, directs policy and makes the decisions that the ministers must implement within their respective jurisdictions. Since the country’s legislative body, the National Assembly, meets only twice a year, the Council of State can issue decrees to address urgent issues. Hyper-centralization under Fidel and, to a lesser extent, Raúl, meant that these bodies typically did not show much initiative, at least publicly. With Díaz-Canel commanding less popular support and legitimacy than his predecessors, he might find members of these councils — especially the Council of State — taking more proactive roles and acting as checks on his power. From a largely personal style of government, Cuba’s leadership may be transitioning into a self-reproducing junta in which consensus is far more important.

While the Council of State has been noticeably shaken up, changes in the Council of Ministers have been postponed until July. In both cases, the trend seems to be moving towards younger and more pointedly diverse representatives (in terms of race and gender) in positions of power, which Raúl Castro explicitly recognized as a goal of the new government. Although there have been noteworthy survivals from the old guard, such as Ramiro Valdés, who fought in the guerrilla war against Batista, for the most part the long-awaited “generational change” appears to have finally arrived after a relatively seamless transition. As astute observers have already noted, “First Vice President” Salvador Valdés Mesa is currently next in the line of succession but is already a man in his seventies, meaning that he too will likely be replaced soon enough.

Only time will tell what kind of government Díaz-Canel will aim for and, more importantly, will be permitted to undertake. Rather than engaging in endless speculation, it seems more fruitful to focus on the objective challenges and political strategies that Díaz-Canel has inherited from his predecessors. The character of his soul and the dynamics of the new government will become clear on their own in the coming months.

After a period of warming US-Cuba relations under the Obama administration, the Trump administration has managed to inaugurate a new ice age.

During the 2016 campaign, then-candidate Trump promised to roll back some of Obama’s new Cuba policies, likely in an attempt to appeal to GOP voters in important swing states like Florida. While Trump himself does not appear to have strong feelings on Cuba (he once looked into the possibility of opening a Trump Hotel there), there are several figures buzzing around him who do take strong hard-line positions against the island. Cuban-American Senator Marco Rubio’s attempts to influence Trump on Cuba are an obvious example. Also troubling is John Bolton’s recent appointment as White House National Security Advisor, despite his notorious efforts to exaggerate evidence of supposed WMD programs in a number of countries, including Cuba and Venezuela. Mike Pompeo, who was narrowly confirmed as Secretary of State after a short stint as CIA director, also has a far from encouraging track record on Cuba.

Compounding this clutch of reactionaries pushing Trump toward harsh Cuba policies are the infamous “health attacks” against US and Canadian diplomats and their families in Cuba. Although the White House initially dubbed them “sonic attacks,” the theory that sonic weapons were used to target diplomats has largely been discredited, even by the FBI. Three University of Michigan researchers claim to have reverse-engineered the sounds reportedly related to these “attacks,” suggesting that they could have originated from dueling eavesdropping devices whose conflicting signals suddenly made them audible to the human ear. However, it remains unclear how this would cause the wide-ranging and severe symptoms reported by diplomats and their families. While some have speculated that the attacks were a complete fabrication, this seems unlikely since Canadian diplomats and their families were also affected, to the point that the Canadian government has withdrawn foreign-service families currently posted to Cuba. As a longtime economic partner of Cuba, it remains unclear what Cuba would gain by attacking Canadian diplomats or what Canada would gain by fabricating such attacks. The US government is now alleging that its diplomats in China have suffered similar “attacks.” In short, the entire affair remains a convoluted mess.

Whatever the truth, the “health attacks” have served as the perfect pretext for the Trump administration to take a harsher stance against Cuba, and depending on what happens next, they may be serious enough to hamstring even a more engagement-oriented US administration in the future.

As bad as things are, Cuba’s efforts to push the needle in Washington towards further normalization aren’t entirely stymied. Havana has wisely bet on the cynical self-interest of Congressmen who, even in GOP-controlled states, can easily see the benefits of trade with Cuba. Representatives from states like Kentucky and Texas have traveled to Cuba or at least expressed interest in expanding links with the island. The possibility of exporting meat and agricultural products to Cuba, or setting up a factory to produce machine parts there, are powerful incentives for business interests that can pressure representatives to swallow any ideological objections they may have. Such trade prospects are slowly chipping away at the congressional GOP’s ability to stay united against normalization. The wisdom of this Cuban strategy and the powerful draw of economic self-interest make this approach viable for the foreseeable future.

In addition to worsening relations with Washington, Cuba has been hit hard by Venezuela’s economic collapse. As Reuters noted last year, merchandise trade between the two countries had plummeted by 70 percent since 2014. Cuba depends on trade with Venezuela in large part because the latter is a major source of cheap oil. While Cuba extracts some oil for domestic use, it doesn’t produce as much as it needs. Venezuelan oil satisfies Cuban domestic demand and Caracas allows Cuba to re-export some of the oil at market value, which is an important source of hard currency.

After the collapse of the USSR and the other Communist governments of Eastern Europe, Cuba was suddenly bereft of most of its foreign trade, especially oil, which it needed to sustain its own farming sector. The years that followed became known as the “special period” and were characterized by brutal shortages of every kind. Even when Cubans managed to find extra sources of income, such as work in the tourist sector or overseas family remittances, there was simply nothing to buy in the stores. Tens of thousands of Cubans fled the island on anything that floated. Cuba’s partial recovery in the late 1990s and early 2000s was largely due to its political and economic ties to Venezuela.

As the crisis in Venezuela has deepened over the past several years, many Cubans have told me of their fears of a return to the dark years of the special period. What will ultimately happen in Venezuela remains unclear, but it has at the very least put pressure on the government to diversify its trade and, in particular, its sources of oil.

While Venezuela’s crisis has certainly harmed the Cuban economy, Raúl’s government did not simply sit on its hands over the past few years. The so-called “oil for doctors” program, which sent Cuban experts abroad at subsidized prices in exchange for preferential prices for oil and other resources, is a model that Havana can easily reproduce elsewhere. Cuba has already used this model to import significant quantities of oil from Algeria and maintains links to other oil-exporting African countries, such as Nigeria and Angola. While these countries may not necessarily have the same compelling reasons to offer Cuba especially beneficial rates, such efforts can at least partially insulate Cuba from the worst fluctuations of global oil markets.

Cuba has also strengthened its ties to Russia and China, both important trading partners and possible strategic counterweights to the US. Russia recently agreed to export significant quantities of oil to Cuba and has served as a key source of capital for Cuban infrastructure projects, and these renewed connections leave the door open to further military and strategic agreements. For its part, China overtook Venezuela as Cuba’s main trading partner in 2016. It maintains major investments in the Caribbean country, and represents a potential strategic ally for Cuba on political and military issues. Stronger ties with Cuba may even give Beijing leverage over Washington in their clashes over China’s expanded presence in the South China Sea.

The Cuban government has also been trying to attract foreign capital for projects ranging from hotels to the Mariel Special Development Zone (ZEDM). The government plans to turn the port of Mariel, a short drive from the west of Havana, into a major industrial hub where foreign companies can set up factories on terms not permitted for foreign businesses elsewhere in Cuba. Potential benefits include taxes on businesses operating in the ZEDM, which could become a significant revenue stream, as well as relatively high wages (compared to government employment), which could provide jobs to skilled Cuban workers and stem the tide of emigration. Thus far, companies from Spain, the Netherlands, and France to Brazil, Mexico, and South Korea have all set up shop in the ZEDM, though the amount invested remains below the Cuban government’s stated goals.

Under a less reactionary US administration, it seems likely that more American companies would take advantage of this opportunity; having no other ideology than the dollar, they might well strengthen US support for warmer relations with the island.

When Eastern European socialism collapsed in the early 1990s and Cuba was left almost entirely alone to face the horrors of the “Special Period,” the Cuban economy was far more vulnerable than it is today. It had lost its key economic partners as well as its main guarantor against US aggression, the USSR. The Soviet presence in Cuba was the central issue bringing the US to the table on lifting the embargo and moving towards normalized relations, since Washington wanted to limit Moscow’s presence in the Caribbean and Havana could leverage that fact to its advantage. While Venezuela has played a major role in helping Cuba’s economy to recover, Havana doesn’t depend it to the degree it once depended on Moscow. Although it is difficult to discern what will happen in the years to come, Cuba seems in a much better position than it was in 1991.

The Home Front

While the international front presents a host of problems and opportunities for the new government, things on the home front seem positively grim. Most state salaries remain insufficient to cover even basic needs. According to the National Office of Statistics. the average salary among workers in Cuba’s state sector and mixed public-private companies was 740 Cuban pesos (CUP) in 2016. At the current exchange rate that’s about $29.60 a month. The ration card (libreta de abastecimientos) does not cover — indeed, is not meant to cover — all of Cubans’ basic needs.

With the average state salary, a Cuban must spend less than a dollar a day to get by. Given that a pound of pork is often over a dollar, a pound of tomatoes costs 25 cents or more, and cooking oil is sold in stores for well over a dollar, it’s no wonder than many Cubans in the state sector have historically turned to the black market to survive. This can mean maintaining a side hustle in the black market (por la izquierda), reselling state-sector goods, or offering services using state-sector resources. This can lead to frequent absences from work, and it has unsurprisingly fostered a culture of corruption that seems to have seeped into every level of the economy.

As bad as state sector jobs are, many Cubans do scrape by on a combination of token salaries and black-market activities. When, in 2010, the Cuban government proposed laying off half a million or more of its state workforce in an attempt to stem losses in state-owned firms, the outrage and opposition was so great that the measure was only partially implemented. Mass layoffs may still be in the cards under Díaz-Canel, but it is one of those massively unpopular policies that would have been easier for Raúl to sell.

The failure of the Cuban government to provide a living wage to its workers also undermines some of the Revolution’s historic achievements, such as its health care system and universal free education. The “gifts” Cuban patients often give to doctors to ensure quality treatment have, unsurprisingly, also reproduced class differences in Cuba, as those who can pay doctors and nurses often get better treatment than those who can’t. The abysmal salaries many Cuban doctors and nurses receive leave the county particularly vulnerable to a “brain drain” of skilled professionals. To prevent this, the government has historically placed heavy restrictions on travel for those who work in the health sector, especially doctors. After briefly experimenting with more open travel policies, it reinstated harsh restrictions in 2015 to stop the flight of medical experts from the island. While wages for doctors have gone up in recent years, they remain woefully insufficient.

Meanwhile, both basic and higher education are hemorrhaging personnel. Stop-gap efforts like the profesores emergentes program have tried and failed to solve the crisis for more than a decade. In my time in Cuba, private payments to teachers for “tutoring” grew increasingly common, giving wealthier children an edge and sometimes serving as a fig leaf for what were in effect bribes in exchange for grades. Until living wages are established, it is unlikely that Cuba will be able to reproduce the high level of educational quality it achieved in the ‘70s and ‘80s before the slow decline that began in 1991.

The state sector as a whole, including health care and education, continues to employ a majority of Cuban workers, so resolving the problem of inadequate salaries remains an urgent priority for most of the population. Yet the government’s dual-currency regime represents a serious obstacle to any solution.

In Cuba, there are two official currencies: The “national currency” peso (abbreviated as CUP) and the “convertible” peso (abbreviated as CUC). Prior to the collapse of the USSR, Cuba’s sole legal tender was the “national currency” peso, but it lost most of its value after much of the country’s foreign trade and subsidies disappeared in the early 1990s. The initial response was the partial dollarization of the economy, with “national currency” pesos and American dollars both accepted by government-owned corporations. Once the worst was over, the government stopped accepting dollars and began pushing its “convertible” peso, whose value is pinned to that of the US dollar, as a substitute.

As a result, government money-changing houses (CADECAs) becoming a staple of everyday Cuban life. Since some businesses accepted only “convertible” pesos while others accepted only “national currency” pesos, and salaries were almost always paid in the latter, spending extended periods of time under the hot sun waiting in line to change money became a requirement to get by. Under Raúl, this consequence of the dual currency system was partially resolved as stores began increasingly accepting either currency and listing prices in both.

However, that was just the easy part of the slow process of currency unification. The true problem lies in how the government has been accounting for these currencies in state-sector businesses. Although the value of “national currency” pesos has slowly increased at changing houses, the government has been systematically overvaluing them for accounting purposes, creating the illusion that imports are cheaper than they actually are. According to one study by economists at the University of Havana, as much as 38 percent of state-sector businesses may actually be insolvent when realistic exchange rates are applied. The practice also makes workers’ salaries seem much higher than they really are.

To raise wages and rationalize state sector companies, the Cuban government is going to have to figure out a way to untie this Gordian knot. Its ultimate resolution will impact how these companies are run, how many people they employ, what goods they buy, how much, and from whom. Despite Raúl’s repeated statements about the urgency of this issue, in the end, he left it unresolved. Now, the headache and potentially high political cost has been left to Díaz-Canel. While not discussed as much as the other issues facing his new administration, given its centrality in righting the state sector of the economy, it may play a key role in the success or failure of his government.

Compounding these problems is the abysmal condition of the country’s infrastructure. During my five years in Cuba between 2008 and 2013, it was normal periodically to hear of partial or even complete building collapses. The waterlines in Cuba are old, cracked, and full of holes. They leak significant amounts of water every day, which is especially troubling given the chronic droughts Cuba has faced recently. The Alamar neighborhood, to the east of Havana, has had to use water trucks on and off for years to compensate for failing infrastructure. Electrical outages remain a part of everyday life. Some of them are planned, to facilitate repairs and maintenance or (especially in summer) to save electricity. Others are caused by unexpected equipment breakdowns, often compounded by human error, such as the massive blackout that left much of western Cuba without electricity in 2012. Hospital conditions have continued to deteriorate as well. The main highway connecting eastern and western Cuba, la carretera central, has up to eight lanes as it leaves Havana, but shrinks to as little as two lanes (one in each direction) further east. If Cuba could update its train system so that it offered a reliable, cheap alternative to taking air travel or insufferable and expensive fourteen-hour bus rides through winding roads, it would make intra-provincial travel and goods transport far easier than they are today. But this remains a project that will require significant further investment.

Another major hurdle facing the government is the incomplete nature of many of Raúl’s reforms to the private sector. For example, the lack of stores where products can be purchased at wholesale prices by Cuban private businesses forces them to compete for basic goods with everyday Cubans who are just trying to get by. This simply compounds long-running issues with keeping shelves stocked with consumption goods. The result is that many in-demand products, like Malta soda or cooking oil, can suddenly disappear from shelves almost as soon as they arrive. If private businesses have under the table deals with workers at the state-run stores, the goods may not even make it to shelves in the first place.

Another less-discussed aspect of the reforms are the urban cooperatives. The idea behind promoting cooperatives is to allow the Cuban government to take less of a role in day-to-day administration while not leaving all the space abandoned by state-run enterprise to the private sector. However, progress has been slow, and the government has complained that some cooperatives were in fact being run as de facto private businesses. They also suffer from a relative lack of capital compared to private business, excessive restrictions on their functioning, and supply problems.

There are countless other domestic concerns. The government’s chronic failure to communicate plans and projects to the public has resulted in sudden radical policy shifts being announced out of the blue. Grievances in the culture sector have boiled over to the point that debates over censorship that once would have taken place behind closed doors are now being aired publicly. And the government has been unable to adapt to a new era in which it has lost the near-monopoly of news and information it enjoyed through the 1980s, due to spreading access to the internet and the paquete semanal (the exchange of media in digital format through hard drives and flash drives).

There are a thousand fires raging, all urgent. It is unclear how the government can deal with them all.

Legitimacy

There is every reason to believe that the Cuban government is aware of the challenges it faces. As noted above, it has been diversifying its trade, undertaking massive investment projects, such as the Mariel industrial hub, and refining and expanding existing economic reforms. But it would be an error to ignore how the government is, at the very least, attempting to reform its political system as well. As Cuban intellectual Rafael Hernández has correctly pointed out, even under Raúl we began to see the government experiment with new mechanisms designed to create a sense of popular participation in the decision-making process.

The nationwide debates about the creation of the lineamentos under Raul’s administration are one significant example. The lineamentos, or “guidelines,” were a series of broad political and economic objectives that the government was supposed to pursue. They were crafted in part through a series of local events held across the country. While the original draft of the “guidelines” was not produced through this process, the final published version incorporated numerous changes in response to criticism. The constitutional reforms set to begin in July of this year are another signal that the government is aware of its ebbing legitimacy.

Everyday Cubans are increasingly alienated from a government that neither encourages significant popular participation nor uses older legitimation mechanisms, such as the near-constant mass rallies and speeches under Fidel. Representative of this sentiment, one young Cuban told me “lo que yo quiero es vigilar por mi pedacito” (what I want is to take care of my piece [of the world]). He went on to say that as long as the government pushed the economy forward, he didn’t care too much about political changes. This is a dangerous mentality for the new administration since no government can guarantee unending growth. Whether due to its own decisions or to events that take place far from its shores, a major economic crisis will arrive eventually. Like it or not, Cuba is inserted into the global dynamics of capitalism.

When the Special Period of the 1990s hit its nadir, the maleconazo erupted. Numerous Cubans expressed their exasperation with shortages, constant blackouts, and hunger by taking to the streets. In response, Fidel mobilized a counterprotest and headed it in person, which together with police action defused the situation. While support for the government has never been universal, Fidel’s legitimacy among his own supporters was at least substantial enough to serve as a counterweight to a disunited opposition and the many ordinary people in the middle who weren’t particularly political but just wanted to take care of themselves and their friends and family. Most importantly, his legitimacy was never based on ephemeral economic prosperity. He could demand sacrifices of his supporters, and impose sacrifices on the rest of the population, because the government’s legitimacy was based on loyalty to Fidel personally, support of socialism as a universal political project, and the government’s claim to protect Cuban national sovereignty from foreign imperialism.

Building legitimacy solely on economic prosperity is like building a house on sand; the rain will come down, the streams will rise, the wind will blow, and the house will come crashing down. The government is at a crossroads. If it focuses solely on economic reforms and limits political reform to cosmetic or ineffectual changes, it will be like cast iron: hard, but brittle. Only by creating new means of legitimation — such as making the National Assembly of Popular Power a real organ for governance and decision making instead of a glorified rubber-stamp committee — will the government manage to survive. And only by instituting democratic reforms can the Revolution finally live up to the promises made during the struggle against Batista in the Sierra Maestra. Expediency and morality go hand-in-hand.

These structural factors are pushing the government towards change, regardless of what it might want. The question remains whether Cuba’s leaders will anticipate change by leading it themselves, or whether they will swim against the current, slowly drifting downstream until exhausted and swept away.


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Trump's Opponents Aren't Arguing for "Open Borders" - but Maybe They Should Print
Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=46742"><span class="small">Masha Gessen, The New Yorker</span></a>   
Saturday, 23 June 2018 14:22

Gessen writes: "Now seems like a good moment to admit that we don't know what we are talking about when it comes to immigration. President Trump has signed an executive order that is intended to stop the separation of families at the border, but not the policy of prosecuting and detaining everyone who is seen as crossing the border illegally."

The Bridge of the Americas connects Ciudad Juarez, Mexico, to El Paso, Texas. (photo: Chip Somodevilla/Getty)
The Bridge of the Americas connects Ciudad Juarez, Mexico, to El Paso, Texas. (photo: Chip Somodevilla/Getty)


Trump's Opponents Aren't Arguing for "Open Borders" - but Maybe They Should

By Masha Gessen, The New Yorker

23 June 18

 

ow seems like a good moment to admit that we don’t know what we are talking about when it comes to immigration. President Trump has signed an executive order that is intended to stop the separation of families at the border, but not the policy of prosecuting and detaining everyone who is seen as crossing the border illegally. If the Administration has its way, asylum seekers will be warehoused together with their family members. The number of ICE facilities will grow, as will the number of people whom this country incarcerates without a clear legal procedure, and without an end in sight. And, if the recent history of the immigration debate is any indication, the opposition to Trump will have little to say about that.

During the weeks of controversy surrounding the policy of separating families at the border, the Trump Administration has succeeded in framing the debate as one between supporters of enforcing immigration law and supporters of open borders. When he cited the Bible as justification for the family-separation policy, Attorney General Jeff Sessions also used it to attack his imaginary opponents: “I don’t think there is a scriptural basis that justifies any idea that we must have open borders in the world today.” At a rally in Minnesota on Wednesday, Trump declared, “The Democrats want open borders.” Sadly, this is not true: no voice audible in the American political mainstream is making the argument for open borders. Since Trump’s apparent concession on the issue of separating families, two prominent commentators on the right have argued for fortified border security, and even for the wall itself; some pundits have encouraged Democrats to move further to the right on immigration. No counterargument has emerged from the left. The existence of borders, and the need and right to police them, are among the unquestioned assumptions in the conversation. Other assumptions are that meaningful and necessary distinctions exist between refugees and asylum seekers on the one hand and economic migrants on the other, and between political and non-political persecution.

Earlier this month, Sessions reversed an Obama-era policy of granting asylum to victims of domestic and gang violence. He explained that “the asylum statute does not provide redress for all misfortune.” Government persecution might be grounds for seeking asylum, he wrote, but “private violence” is not. Opponents of the decision argue that when governments fail to protect citizens from violence in the home or in the street, victims can be viewed as suffering from political persecution. But both sides of the argument assume that for a person to qualify for the right to seek refuge in another country, the persecution has to be political.

The logic of dividing refugees from other migrants took root in the aftermath of the Second World War and was enshrined in the 1951 United Nations Convention and Protocol Relating to the Status of Refugees, which defined a refugee as a person possessing “a well-founded fear of being persecuted for reasons of race, religion, nationality, [or] membership of a particular social group or political opinion.” Still, who can possibly proffer a meaningful way to distinguish between economic and political disenfranchisement? What about a well-founded fear of violence and death? Does a seriously ill girl from Honduras deserve to die more than does a gay man who could be executed in Iran? Does a taxi-driver from Brazil deserve to risk violence at the hands of a gang more than a Russian journalist deserves to risk it at the hands of the government? Does a woman deserve to face rape and beatings at the hands of her husband more than a Syrian man deserves to be executed by ISIS? These questions are impossible to answer, and the comparisons, of course, are absurd. To avoid thinking about them, we fall back on the artificial distinctions between immigrants and refugees, or between public and private violence. Or, even more simply and cruelly, on the certainty that every state has a right to protect its borders against outsiders.

Outside the political mainstream, activists and academics have questioned the certainty that borders must be protected, or that those who live within the borders are automatically entitled to enforce them. In a recent academic collection, Kieran Oberman, a political theorist at the University of Edinburgh, makes the case for a human right to immigration. He argues that the right to enter a country and spend any amount of time there—though not necessarily the right to obtain citizenship—flows naturally from universally declared human rights to freedom of movement, freedom of association, and freedom of occupational choice. In an interconnected world, it is often necessary to cross borders for personal, professional, and political reasons. The last is the most interesting part of Oberman’s argument: the right to meaningfully participate in politics—to exercise the human right to freedom of assembly—increasingly requires individual action, and movement, across borders.

Sarah Fine, a political philosopher at King’s College, in London, who is working on a book on the “right to exclude,” or the right of states to keep people out, has raised another provocative argument. If democracy is a system that guarantees the right of the governed to participate in the governing process, then democracy confined to protected national borders contains an internal contradiction. Those who are banned from entering a country are, in effect, governed—the Central American mother at the border whose child is ripped away from her by U.S. Border Patrol agents is being governed in the extreme—yet they have no say in the rules, or in the election of those who make them.

Neither Oberman’s nor Fine’s lines of thought are arguments for open borders, though perhaps they should be. And, contrary to official declarations, opposition to Trump’s war on immigrants does not rest on the defense of open borders. But thoughtful opposition should include at least questioning the facile dichotomies and the unchallenged premises that undergird the current immigration conversation.


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