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In Fighting All Oversight, Trump Has Made His Most Dictatorial Move Print
Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=9643"><span class="small">Robert Reich, Guardian UK</span></a>   
Tuesday, 30 April 2019 08:38

Reich writes: "'We’re fighting all the subpoenas,' says the person who is supposed to be chief executive of the United States government. In other words, there is to be no congressional oversight of this administration."

Robert Reich. (photo: Unknown)
Robert Reich. (photo: Unknown)


In Fighting All Oversight, Trump Has Made His Most Dictatorial Move

By Robert Reich, Guardian UK

30 April 19


The president is treating Congress with contempt. This cannot stand – and Congress must fight back

e’re fighting all the subpoenas,” says the person who is supposed to be chief executive of the United States government.

In other words, there is to be no congressional oversight of this administration: no questioning officials who played a role in putting a citizenship question on the 2020 census. No questioning a former White House counsel about the Mueller report.

No questioning a Trump adviser about immigration policy. No questioning a former White House security director about issuances of security clearances.

No presidential tax returns to the ways and means committee, even though a 1920s law specifically authorizes the committee to get them.

Such a blanket edict fits a dictator of a banana republic, not the president of a constitutional republic founded on separation of powers.

If Congress cannot question the people who are making policy, or obtain critical documents, Congress cannot function as a coequal branch of government.

If Congress cannot get information about the executive branch, there is no longer any separation of powers, as sanctified in the US constitution.

There is only one power – the power of the president to rule as he wishes.

Which is what Donald Trump has sought all along.

The only relevant question is how to stop this dictatorial move. And let’s be clear: this is a dictatorial move.

The man whose aides cooperated, shall we say, with Russia – the man who still refuses to do anything at all about Russia’s continued interference in the American political system – refuses to cooperate with a branch of the United States government that the Constitution requires him to cooperate with in order that the government function.

Presidents before Trump occasionally have argued that complying with a particular subpoena for a particular person or document would infringe upon confidential deliberations within the executive branch. But no president before Trump has used “executive privilege” as a blanket refusal to cooperate.

How should Congress respond to this dictatorial move?

Trump is treating Congress with contempt – just as he has treated other democratic institutions that have sought to block him.

Congress should invoke its inherent power under the constitution to hold any official who refuses a congressional subpoena in contempt. This would include departmental officials who refuse to appear, as well as Trump aides. (Let’s hold off on the question of whether Congress can literally hold Trump in contempt, which could become a true constitutional crisis.)

“Contempt” of Congress is an old idea based on the inherent power of Congress to get the information it needs to carry out its constitutional duties. Congress cannot function without this power.

How to enforce it? Under its inherent power, the House can order its own sergeant-at-arms to arrest the offender, subject him to a trial before the full House, and, if judged to be in contempt, jail that person until he appears before the House and brings whatever documentation the House has subpoenaed.

When President Richard Nixon tried to stop key aides from testifying in the Senate Watergate hearings, in 1973, Senator Sam Ervin, chairman of the Watergate select committee, threatened to jail anyone who refused to appear.

Congress hasn’t actually carried through on the threat since 1935 – but it could.

Would America really be subject to the spectacle of the sergeant-at-arms of the House arresting a Trump official, and possibly placing him in jail?

Probably not. Before that ever occurred, the Trump administration would take the matter to the supreme court on an expedited basis.

Sadly, there seems no other way to get Trump to move. Putting the onus on the Trump administration to get the issue to the court as soon as possible is the only way to force Trump into action, and not simply seek to run out the clock before the next election.

What would the court decide? With two Trump appointees now filling nine of the seats, it’s hardly a certainty.

But in a case that grew out of the Teapot Dome scandal in 1927, the court held that the investigative power of Congress is at its peak when lawmakers look into fraud or maladministration in another government department.

Decades later, when Richard Nixon tried to block the release of incriminating recordings of his discussions with aides, the supreme court decided that a claim of executive privilege did not protect information pertinent to the investigation of potential crimes.

Trump’s contempt for the inherent power of Congress cannot stand. It is the most dictatorial move he has initiated since becoming president.

Congress has a constitutional duty to respond forcefully, using its own inherent power of contempt.

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The Racist - and High Tech - Origins of America's Modern Census Print
Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=50684"><span class="small">Yasha Levine, Medium</span></a>   
Tuesday, 30 April 2019 08:32

Excerpt: "The tools built to conduct the U.S. Census fueled Nazi genocide, internment, and state-sanctioned racism - and helped usher in the digital age."

'Robert Porter, head of the 1890 census, who had overseen the adoption of Hollerith’s tabulator machines, was deeply impressed by their power to sort immigrant and non-white populations based on numerous demographic variables.' (photo: Getty Images)
'Robert Porter, head of the 1890 census, who had overseen the adoption of Hollerith’s tabulator machines, was deeply impressed by their power to sort immigrant and non-white populations based on numerous demographic variables.' (photo: Getty Images)


The Racist - and High Tech - Origins of America's Modern Census

By Yasha Levine, Medium

30 April 19


How the tools built to conduct the U.S. Census fueled Nazi genocide, internment, and state-sanctioned racism?—?and helped usher in the digital age

n a freezing day in December 1896, an American inventor by the name of Herman Hollerith rushed to catch a train out of the Russian city of St. Petersburg. He wore a fur cap and a thick fur-lined coat with a huge collar buttoned up all the way over his ears. It covered his mouth as well as his big droopy mustache?—?leaving just a bit of pink flesh peeking out at the world.

Hollerith was a hypochondriac who preferred staying at home with his wife and mother-in-law, tinkering with inventions. He hated travel, and he hated traveling in Europe most of all. Like a 19th-century version of a tech bro, he was obsessed with efficiency and mocked the locals for being bogged down by time-wasting traditions. “They are all living in what happened thousands of years ago,” he wrote to his wife from Italy. “I saw them cutting lumber on the road from Naples to Pompeii, and, when I got to Pompeii, I found paintings on walls showing exactly the same way of cutting lumber.”

For all his grumbling about travel, the inventor had come far in his own life. Hollerith was only 36 years old and had been raised in a modest home by a widowed mother in New York, yet he had just spent weeks rubbing shoulders with aristocrats from one the most exotic royal dynasties in the world. And now he was on his way back home with a fat and juicy contract for his new business venture.

A few years earlier, Russian Czar Nicholas II issued an imperial decree ordering his ministers to carry out the Russian Empire’s first countrywide census. With the 1897 deadline looming, they were scrambling to comply. They knew it was going to be a monumental task?—?and perhaps an impossible one.

The people in charge of the census knew the only way to finish the job in a reasonable amount of time would be to use the most advanced technology on the market. And that’s where the 36-year-old Hollerith came in.

The Russian Empire had a population estimated between 100 million and 200 million people, a range that might tell you why the czar needed to carry out a census. It stretched from Europe through the full length of Asia, a landmass almost three times the size of the United States. To count all these people, census takers would have to travel to extremely isolated regions and poll people in dozens of different languages. And there was trouble brewing already. Tatar Muslim communities in Southern Russia saw the planned count as a secret czarist plot to convert them to Christianity, while some Russian Orthodox sects saw the census as a sign of the Antichrist and vowed they would sooner burn themselves alive than submit to such blasphemy.

Making the count was just the half of it. The data also needed to be tallied and analyzed. The czar wanted the census to be as modern as possible?—?including information on age, literacy, gender, nationality, place of birth, residency, and occupation. It was a bureaucrat’s worst nightmare.

The people in charge of the census knew the only way to finish the job in a reasonable amount of time would be to use the most advanced technology on the market. And that’s where the 36-year-old Hollerith came in.

A few years earlier, working for the U.S. Census Bureau, Hollerith had developed the world’s first functional mass-produced computer: the Hollerith tabulator. An electromechanical device about the size of large desk and dresser, it used punch cards and a clever arrangement of gears, sorters, electrical contacts, and dials to process data with blazing speed and accuracy. What had taken years by hand could be done in a matter of months. As one U.S. newspaper described it, “with [the device’s] aid some 15 young ladies can count accurately half a million of names in a day.”

Russia was not the only country interested in Hollerith’s computer technology. He had set up shop in New York just a few years earlier but was already known in rarified bureaucratic circles around the globe. Canada, Germany, and Norway were eager to lease his machines. A company in Austria was trying to pirate his designs and offer them to European governments at a lower cost.

Hollerith’s tabulators could work with any kind of data and adapt to any large information-intensive corporate enterprise. Railroad and insurance companies were lining up outside Hollerith’s door for their own custom-built data solutions.

Hollerith’s invention caught the zeitgeist of the Second Industrial Revolution?—?a time of rapid automation and mechanization. It was an era of railroads, giant steamer ships, telegraphs, radio, electricity, massive factories, and unprecedented real-time international communication. Shipping schedules, train timetables, complex banking data, actuary tables, social welfare programs, and government budgets were all proliferating faster than humans could keep track of them. Information was king, and data processing was in constant demand.

Within a few years, Hollerith was the multimillionaire owner of a company that would eventually launch the U.S. computer industry. A few decades after returning from Russia, his technology would form the backbone of International Business Machines, or IBM?—?a global conglomerate that for almost a century would be synonymous with information processing and computer technology. Sold under IBM’s brand name, Hollerith’s technology would power civilian governments, militaries, and corporations around the world, crunching numbers into the Cold War and all the way to the dawn of the internet in the 1960s. The world did not simply use Hollerith’s tabulators; it became addicted to them and was shaped by them.

Hollerith was hailed as a genius. Many believed his invention was part of a larger data-driven technology revolution that would lead to a better, more efficient, and more harmonious world. One leading American statistician predicted it would usher in an age of “universal justice” and “make international wars impossible.”

But for all the utopian talk about Hollerith’s computers, the technology had dark roots.

Dreaming of MAGA

The U.S. Census?—?specifically mandated by the Constitution to take place every 10 years?—?is back in the news not only because the next count kicks off in 2020 but because, as it often has in the past, the census is a political flashpoint with inevitable racial undertones.

The current controversy revolves around a plan devised by Donald Trump’s former advisor Steve Bannon to add a citizenship question to the 2020 census form. On the surface, it seems like an inconsequential detail. But there is wide agreement that adding it will have profound political implications for a decade to come.

Aggregated population data provided by the census is a critical component in our democratic system. Its most important function is to apportion Congressional representation for the coming decade, but it also determines the structure of the Electoral College and guides the distribution of hundreds of billions in federal spending. Objections to the addition of a citizenship question are based on concerns about undercounting. The fear, widely shared by former census officials, is that asking people for their citizenship status will push some immigrants and Latinos to avoid taking part in the census altogether. A large enough undercount of a specific minority or socio-economic group will skew how seats are apportioned in the House of Representatives, shifting political power and federal resources away from districts where these groups reside.

The Trump administration has claimed that the citizenship question is being added for a good cause: to help the federal government enforce the Voting Rights Act and protect minorities from voter discrimination. But many immigrant advocates don’t buy this logic. They see the citizenship question as part and parcel of Trump’s larger anti-immigrant agenda.

For most of its history, the census?—?and the constitutionally mandated government bureaucracy that carries it out?—?has been intertwined with nativism, bigotry, and fear of “the other

Arturo Vargas, executive director of the National Association of Latino Elected and Appointed Officials, put it this way: “The decision by Secretary of Commerce Wilbur Ross to force the last-minute addition of an untested question on citizenship will result in an undercount of Latinos. While we do not know the true motivation behind these actions, we know the impact: as a consequence of these actions, Census 2020 is on track to significantly undercount the Latino population in the United States.”

Others are more direct.

“Our president, the face of our federal government, which oversees the census, has based his candidacy on a deeply anti-immigrant platform,” says Betsy Plum, vice president of policy at the New York Immigration Coalition, one of the organizations trying to stop the Trump administration from adding the question. “What the citizenship question did was it took a much broader fear and focused it right onto the census. The risk to a place like New York’s congressional representation cannot be understated.”

Demographic shifts are already expected to result in Northeastern states losing several congressional seats, and the added question may make the situation worse. “I think this is absolutely the intent of really weaponizing the census against immigrant communities. Places like New York and places like California are very much the target.”

But there is another, less discussed dimension to the issue. Based on a close reading of internal Department of Commerce documents tied to the census citizen question proposal, it appears the Trump administration wants to use the census to construct a first-of-its-kind citizenship registry for the entire U.S. population?—?a decision that arguably exceeds the legal authority of the census.

“It was deep in the documentation that was released,” Robert Groves, a former Census Bureau director who headed the National Academies committee convened to investigate the 2020 census, told me by telephone. “No one picked up on it much. But the term ‘registry’ in our world means not a collection of data for statistical purposes but rather to know the identity of particular people in order to use that knowledge to affect their lives.”

Given the administration’s posture toward immigration, the fact that it wants to build a comprehensive citizenship database is highly concerning. To Groves, it clearly signals “a bright line being crossed.”

Multiple states have challenged the Trump administration’s plans, and their lawsuits are headed to the Supreme Court, which is scheduled to hear the case in April. Meanwhile, at an oversight hearing in March, Democratic U.S. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez dug into Wilbur Ross, Trump’s multi-millionaire Secretary of Commerce, who oversees the U.S Census Bureau. She accused him of conspiring with nativists and white supremacists to add the citizenship question?—?and of overstepping his authority. “Why are we violating law to include this question?” she demanded.

Whatever the courts ultimately decide, the latest debate over the census is hardly new. For most of its history, the census?—?and the constitutionally mandated government bureaucracy that carries it out?—?has been intertwined with nativism, bigotry, and fear of “the other.”

The dark and ugly history of the census makes it a uniquely telling weathervane of race politics in America. That the census simultaneously played a central role in the development of the computer age more than 130 years ago makes it doubly relevant, offering a glimpse into how computers, surveillance, and racist government policies have been linked from the very beginning.

Counting for democracy

Governments have been counting their people since the beginning of recorded history. You can find descriptions of censuses in the Old Testament, on Sumerian cuneiform tablets, and in the writings of the ancient Greeks. There were censuses in pre-modern Europe. Most American colonies kept population records, too. Governments counted people for two main reasons: raising state revenue and waging war. They needed to know who and what to tax, and they needed to know how many fighting-age men could be mobilized. It was the U.S. Constitution that added a third and novel reason for counting people: representational democracy.

When the drafters of the U.S. government’s founding set of principles met in Philadelphia in 1787, one of the first things they hammered out was a clause mandating that the population be counted every 10 years. This directive for a decennial census appears up at the top of the Constitution, long before the document gets around to laying out the structure of the government. To the framers of the Constitution, the census came first because it determined taxation and the balance of congressional political power.

Under the Constitution, the number of seats in the House of Representatives apportioned to each state would be based on population, which meant the government needed to know the precise number of people living in each state.

By the end of the 1800s, the bureaucratic problem had become untenable: The census was taking nearly 10 years to complete, meaning the results were outdated even before they came in.

The first census took place in 1790 and was overseen by Thomas Jefferson, who was then serving as Secretary of State. It was mostly a straightforward head count designed to meet the constitutional mandate. The whole enterprise was expected to take no more than nine months to complete. But despite its simplicity and our nation’s tiny population, it took nearly two years to fully tabulate. And it only got worse from there.

With every passing decade, the census took longer to complete. It was filled with errors and undercounts, which led to nasty scandals and accusations that the data was being manipulated for political ends. By the end of the 1800s, the bureaucratic problem had become untenable: The census was taking nearly 10 years to complete, meaning the results were outdated even before they came in.

When the first census was carried out, there were 3.9 million people living in 13 states. By 1890, the U.S. encompassed 42 states and had a population of 63 million?—?increasing 16 times over in the span of a century. Never before had a country swelled so much so quickly. Still doing their work the old-fashioned way?—?with pen and paper?—?census workers struggled to keep up. They were drowning in data.

Meanwhile, on top of having to enumerate a rapidly growing population, government officials began to cram the census with more and more questions: data on occupations, literacy levels, criminal histories, medical conditions, home ownership, economic trends, and a whole lot of probing about people’s race and immigration status.

As the 19th century drew to a close, census officials had started transforming what should have been a simple head count into a system of racial surveillance.

Anglo-American superiority

It was a different U.S. back then: smaller and mostly rural and rapidly expanding along the western frontier. The Civil War had come to an end, and with it, the U.S. Army shifted its resources to fighting and exterminating Native Americans west of the Mississippi. Transcontinental railroads were connecting huge swaths of the country?—?shrinking time and space and shifting economic power to a new set of financial and railroad business elites.

The country’s demographics and race politics were rapidly changing, too.

Slavery had been abolished, allowing millions of blacks to freely move, attempt to take charge of their own destinies, and play a role in the country’s political life. Immigration was making itself felt. Well into the 19th century, free immigration into the U.S. had been largely dominated by English settlers. But starting in the 1850s, that pattern began changing drastically. Millions of Irish peasants streamed into the country to escape the potato famine, which killed over one million people. Millions more were fleeing the crushing poverty of Southern Italy and the eastern territories of the Russian Empire. Chinese laborers were arriving on the West Coast en masse to build U.S. railroads.

This influx was a boon to an emerging industrial oligarchy, a source of never-ending cheap labor. But it was also a source of political instability. Widespread inequality and exploitation led to massively popular movements for change. There were labor protests and strikes, the emergence of the populist movement, and a nationwide self-help organization created by dirt-poor farmers. Socialist and anarchist ideas achieved broad adherence. Black civil rights activism emerged.

America’s political establishment looked on this instability, social unrest, and change with horror. They saw the masses of free blacks and Chinese, Jewish, Irish, and Italian immigrants?—?and their tattered clothes, alien languages, unnatural religions, and demands for better treatment and political rights?—?as a threat.

Grasping about for solutions, many settled on various strains of race science quackery. So-called social Darwinists relied on a twisted version of the theory of evolution to explain why the poor and marginalized should remain that way while the wealthy and successful deserved to rule unchallenged. Taking this notion a step further, adherents of eugenics fervently believed that naturally superior Anglo-Americans were on the verge of being wiped out due to the high birth rates of “degenerate” and immigrant stock. To head off this threat, they advocated strict controls on reproduction?—?breeding humans for quality in the same way that farmers did cows and horses.

These were not fringe ideas but were firmly embraced by the American cultural and political mainstream. From future presidents like Theodore Roosevelt, Herbert Hoover, and Calvin Coolidge to robber barons like J.P. Morgan and Leland Stanford to writers like H.G. Wells and progressive activists like Margaret Sanger, eugenics was all the rage.

In the first decades of the 20th century, 32 states passed sterilization laws to deal with the threat of genetic degradation?—?laws that were upheld by the Supreme Court. And few worried more about the threat of genetic degradation than the officials at the U.S. Census Bureau.

Purity police

Born into a wealthy Boston family, Francis A. Walker served in the Civil War as a general, dabbled in journalism, and ultimately made a name for himself as an influential Progressive Era economist and statistician who would later become president of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

As a professional economist, Walker had a keen interest in the nation’s changing demographics?—?and he was horrified by what he saw. Like most upper-class Americans at the time, Walker believed that the country’s original English colonists had evolved to be the most superior race on the planet?—?superior even to the original English race from which they sprang.

To him, Anglo-Americans stood on the pinnacle of the world’s race pyramid. He and his people were “as far ahead of the English as the English were ahead of any other branch of the Teutonic race, which was in turn far ahead of the Slavs or the Celts,” he wrote.

He believed that the influx of poor immigrants from Ireland and Italy as well as Jews and Slavs from Eastern Europe was diluting the United States’ superior racial stock and threatening to drag American genetic superiority back into a cesspool of degradation and decline. He blamed these immigrants?—?“vast hordes of brutalized peasants”?—?for the social and political unrest that was happening around him.

“They are beaten men from beaten races; representing the worst failures in the struggle for existence,” he declared. “They have none of the ideas and aptitudes which fit men to take up readily and easily the problem of self-care and self-government.”

He not only pushed to restrict immigration in order to prevent what he viewed as Anglo-American “race suicide,” but also advocated forced sterilization. “We must strain out of the blood of the race more of the taint inherited from a bad and vicious past,” he wrote. “The scientific treatment which is applied to physical diseases must be extended to mental and moral disease, and a wholesome surgery and cautery must be enforced by the whole power of the state for the good of all.”

In addition to his other contributions to U.S. life, Walker served as superintendent of both the 1870 and 1880 U.S. Census.

Limits of technology

The census had been a racial instrument from its inception, beginning with the original constitutional clause that instructed census officials to count black slaves separately from whites and to assign them a value of only three-fifths of a person.

With each decade, new “racial” categories were invented and added to the mix: “free colored males and females” and “mulatto” were counted, including subdivisions like including “quadroon” and “octoroon.” Categories for Chinese, “Hindoo,” and Japanese were added, as were “foreign” and “native born” designations for whites. The census slowly expanded to collect other demographic data, including literacy levels, unemployment statistics, and medical ailments, such as those who were “deaf, dumb, and blind” and the “insane and idiotic.” All of it was broken down by race.

Most of these questions were included in a haphazard fashion. They were overtly political, added in response to whatever particular racial fear gripped the national ruling elite at the time.

The census needed to improve drastically. What it needed was a talented inventor, someone young and ambitious who would be able to come up with a method to automate tabulation and data analysis. Someone like Herman Hollerith.

A racial category for Chinese was added after railroad companies began importing cheap, exploitable laborers from China. Categories for “mulatto” came after the abolition of slavery caused a panic about the dangers of racial mixing. Questions about mental health and race were first added at the behest of a Southern senator right before the outbreak of Civil War. The results seemed to show that free blacks living in Northern states were on average 11 times more likely to be insane than Southern blacks living in slavery. Such questionable statistics were taken up by Southern politicians to bolster racist theories and argue against abolition.

To Walker, these early efforts didn’t go nearly far enough. As an economist and statistician, he wanted to collect and process more data and to professionalize and standardize the effort. He wanted it to be a proper, scientific “national inventory”?—?not a haphazard collection of facts.

But his dreams kept running up against a hard limit: technology. The census was still counted and analyzed by hand. The work was slow and limited. Sophisticated analysis was next to impossible.

The census needed to improve drastically. What it needed was a talented inventor, someone young and ambitious who would be able to come up with a method to automate tabulation and data analysis.

Someone like Herman Hollerith.

The inventor

Hollerith was born in Buffalo, New York, in 1860. His father, a classics teacher, died when he was a child, and he was raised by his mother. In 1879, when he graduated from the Columbia School of Mines with a degree in engineering, he was immediately recruited to help compile economic statistics for the 1880 census, which was being run by Walker.

At his new job, Hollerith, who had developed a reputation as an inventive engineer in college, was encouraged by senior census officials to study the enumeration process and come up with a solution to speed it up. After the 1880 census was complete, he quit his job for a teaching position at MIT —following Walker, who had recently been appointed president.

Hollerith kept tinkering with his invention, and before long, he came up with a design that separated the enumeration process into parts. The first involved converting data into a format that could be read by a machine. This he accomplished by punching holes on a piece of paper. The second step involved processing the data. This was accomplished by feeding the paper through a machine that, through a combination of pins and dials, read the number and position of the holes. At first, Hollerith experimented with using a continuous strip of paper?—?like the recent invention of ticker tape, which was widely used to transmit stock prices via telegraph. But he wasn’t happy with the results.

“The trouble was that if, for example, you wanted any statistics regarding Chinamen, you would have to run miles of paper to count a few Chinamen,” Hollerith later explained in a letter. Race was never far from his mind when working on his contraption.

He eventually hit upon a much better idea: Each person would be represented by their own punch card?—?an idea he picked up while taking a train. “I was traveling in the West and I had a ticket with what I think was called a punch photograph… the conductor… punched out a description of the individual, as light hair, dark eyes, large nose, etc.,” he explained, noting that he’d simply done the same thing.

The dawn of data

In March 1890, Hollerith’s machines were installed at the Inter-Ocean Building on Ninth Street in Washington, D.C., not far from the White House. He oversaw the installation himself, running around and barking orders to workmen who were hoisting creaky wooden crates from the street to the third floor.

Soon the property was transformed from a nondescript office space into the bustling headquarters of the 11th census. Hundreds of clerks worked around the clock in shifts, taking raw census data collected in the field and transferring it onto cards using specially designed hole punch machines and then passing the cards to another set of clerks who worked the tabulators and sorters. Hollerith’s machines clanked away all day and all night, with clerks crammed together like sweatshops workers.

Newspapers sent their correspondents to gawk at these futuristic contraptions. Because of the miserable track record of earlier censuses, the press was awash with predictions of incompetence and failure. They were wrong.

It would take a full four years to finish and release the reports. It was an amazing improvement over the previous census, which took nearly a decade.

The 1890 census?—?the nation’s 11th?—?was the most ambitious yet. It contained 35 questions, 10 more than the previous census, on a whole range of data: literacy levels, sizes of household, professions, the value of a family’s property, and whether they rented or owned. Perhaps most important was the racial dimension. The census collected stats on native and foreign-born Americans and broke them into multiple racial categories: white, colored, Chinese, Japanese and “civilized Indian” (i.e., a Native American no longer living in a tribal society). It was the first census to include a complete count of Native Americans living on tribal lands. It asked for data on unemployment history, fertility rates, citizenship status, criminal history, literacy, and English language proficiency.

Despite the long list of questions and requirements for calculating a whole slew of new stats, including birth, unemployment, and causes of death divided up by race, the basic population count was completed in just six weeks. It would take a full four years to finish tabulating and editing all other categories of data and release the reports. It was an amazing improvement over the previous census, which took nearly a decade.

It wasn’t just the speed that set Hollerith’s invention apart. It was its ability to mine and sift through data and even combine multiple data points. Such fine-grained analysis on a mass scale was completely unprecedented, and it made Hollerith’s machines an immediate hit with the United States’ race-obsessed political class.

Robert Porter, head of the 1890 census, who had overseen the adoption of Hollerith’s tabulator machines, was deeply impressed by their power to sort immigrant and non-white populations based on numerous demographic variables. He was particularly pleased about being able to analyze the three things most feared by the “race suicide” crowd: immigration rates, immigrant fertility rates, and mixed race marriages (or what the census called the “conjugal condition”), all of which could be broken down by age, race, literacy levels, and naturalization status.

Simon Newton Dexter North, a longtime wool industry lobbyist who would head the 1900 census, was also dazzled by the power of Hollerith’s tabulators. Like Walker and other census colleagues, he was obsessed with immigration and cross-breeding. He believed they were diluting the country’s superior Anglo-American stock and destabilizing society.

“This immigration is profoundly affecting our civilization, our institutions, our habits and our ideals,” he warned in 1914. “It has transplanted here alien tongues, alien religions, and alien theories of government; it has been a powerful influence in the rapid disappearance of the Puritanical outlook upon life.”

North believed that bureaucrats and statisticians like him were fighting a new kind of war?—?a war for America’s genetic purity. And Hollerith’s tabulator technology was a vital weapon?—?an “epoch-making” invention?—?without which this fight would be lost.

Feeding the nativist beast

Overnight, Hollerith’s tabulator technology had transformed census taking from a simple head count into something that looked very much like a crude form of mass surveillance. To the race-obsessed political class, it was a revolutionary development. They could finally put the nation’s ethnic makeup under the microscope. The data seemed to confirm the nativists’ worst fears: Poor, illiterate immigrants were swarming America’s cities, breeding like rabbits, and outstripping native Anglo-American birth rates.

Immediately following the census, the states and the federal government passed a flurry of laws that heavily restricted immigration.

It started with the Immigration Act of 1891, which set up the first federal agency to oversee immigration and border control and turned an unused island on the southern tip of Manhattan into an elaborate screening center for immigrants. It continued through the passage of a half-dozen major immigration bills, including one that stripped women of U.S. citizenship if they married non-naturalized foreigners, culminating in the Immigration Act of 1924?—?a landmark piece of legislation that introduced race immigration quotas.

This suite of laws gave immigration officials the power to ban just about anyone, including “idiots, imbeciles, and feeble-minded persons” or those who exhibited “constitutional psychopathic inferiority” or were “mentally or physically defective.” Anarchists and socialists were banned outright as was anyone from the “Asiatic Barred Zone,” which included most of Asia, the sub-continent, the Middle East, and parts of eastern Russia. Meanwhile, immigration from European countries was constrained by hard limits based on the 1890 census?—?the first census processed by Hollerith technology. Combined with the anti-Chinese bills passed in the late 19th century, these new laws created a virtual wall around the U.S. Immigration rates plunged.

North dreamed of the day when detailed racial data could be collected and analyzed for the whole world and be used to guide human genetic development. His dream would soon be realized in Europe.

The data provided by Hollerith’s invention did not cause the racism, nativism, and eugenics that saw class and poverty through the lens of breeding rather than politics and economic policy. But it gave those fears concrete shape?—?and it provided data to which those fears could be hitched.

To some U.S. bureaucrats, this data-driven eugenics system was just the beginning. North, who directed the U.S. Census Bureau from 1903 to 1909, dreamed of the day when detailed racial data could be collected and analyzed for the whole world and be used to guide human genetic development.

“The need for restraining the genetically deficient classes and families from the function of reproduction, is recognized as imperative,” he wrote in 1918 from his perch at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace as World War I was coming to an end. “It is the dream of the true statistician that the day will some time arrive when the facts of demography will be available on identical bases for the entire globe. When that dream is realized, when comparable international statistics actually and everywhere exist, then we shall know the laws which determine human progress and can effectively apply them.”

His dream would soon be realized in Europe.

Hollerith goes global

The immediate success of his invention made Hollerith wealthy and famous. But that was just the beginning. In 1911, he sold his Tabulating Machine Company for a $2.3 million to Charles Flint, an infamous venture capitalist known in his day as the “Father of Trusts.”

Flint bought out Hollerith, combined his company with several other businesses that made precision mechanical contraptions?—?clocks, cash registers, coffee grinders, and butcher scales?—?to create a computational monopoly and handed this new conglomerate over to an ambitious young executive by the name of Thomas J. Watson.

As Hollerith slowly went senile in retirement, Watson ruthlessly leveraged the aging inventor’s computer technology to crush competition and establish a global monopoly in the early computation market. The result was International Business Machines, the company we now know as IBM, founded in 1911.

Installed in factories, corporate offices, and city and military bureaucracies, his tabulator computers not only sped up accounting but greatly reduced labor costs. Businesses and local and federal government agencies ordered Hollerith machines by the truckload. Insurance companies relied on them for accounting and calculating actuary tables. Railroads used them to route freight and work out schedules. At one railroad company, a single Hollerith machine operated by two people replaced the full time work of 20 clerks. They personified the blazing efficiency and automation of the technological revolution sweeping the Progressive Era.

Nowhere was this as obvious as the Social Security Administration, one of the signature programs of the New Deal.

President Franklin D. Roosevelt signed the Social Security Act into law on Aug. 14, 1935, creating America’s first old-age pension program. The Social Security Act brought about a massive need for accounting and data processing for both businesses and the federal government. Businesses suddenly had to keep meticulous records on their employees. They needed to track salaries and Social Security contributions and file that information with the federal government. The government, in turn, had to process all that data. It needed to monitor contributions to each individual Social Security account over the lifetime of each individual. And then, when they hit retirement age, it had to cut monthly checks to millions of Americans.

As soon as the legislation passed, businesses queued up at IBM to get the proper tabulator payroll systems to meet federal accounting requirements. Phones at IBM’s sales offices rang off the hook. A Woolworth executive complained to IBM that handing the paperwork to comply with the Social Security Act alone would cost the company a quarter of a million dollars a year?—?$4.5 million today.

IBM won the contract to oversee accounting for the Social Security Administration, beating out competitors like Remington Rand. It was the only computer company at the time that had the experience and production capacity to undertake a project of that size. As one official IBM history put it, “the Social Security project catapulted IBM from a midsize corporation to the global leader in information technology.”

Naturally, the military was a big fan of the technology. In peacetime, the Department of War used the machines to keep track of enlistment data and track military pensions. When the U.S. entered the war, IBM’s Hollerith tech became a vital part of the Allied military effort.

Hollerith machines were involved in almost every part of the war, from designing the atomic bomb to managing troop deployment. Special “portable” IBM machines installed on trucks landed with U.S. troops in Normandy, Tunisia, Sicily, and Italy. They were used on the home front as well.

Hollerith tabulators were a big hit all over the world. But one country was particularly enamored with them: Nazi Germany.

Following the attack on Pearl Harbor, the U.S Census Bureau hauled out the punch cards from the 1940 census and reprocessed them to produce block-by-block population lists on Japanese-Americans in a half-dozen states, including California. Ultimately 130,000 Japanese-Americans were forced to move to concentration camps.

The head of the Census Bureau at the time, James Clyde Capt, was ecstatic with the data they were able to generate. For instance, he wrote to a subordinate, if the data showed “there were 801 Japs in a community and [authorities] only found 800 of them, then they have something to check up on.”

Nazis and numbers

Hollerith tabulators were a big hit all over the world. But one country was particularly enamored with them: Nazi Germany.

Adolf Hitler came to power on the back of the economic devastation that followed Germany’s defeat in World War I. To Hitler, however, the problem plaguing Germany was not economic or political. It was racial. As he put it in Mein Kampf: “The state is a racial organism and not an economic organization.” The reason Germany had fallen so far, he argued, was its failure to tend to its racial purity. There were only about a half-million Jews in Germany in 1933?—?less than 1% of the population?—?but he singled them out as the root cause of all of the nation’s problems.

Hitler and the Nazis drew much of their inspiration from the U.S. eugenics movement and the system of institutional racism that had arisen in slavery’s wake. Their solution was to isolate the so-called mongrels, then continuously monitor the racial purity of the German people to keep the volk free of further contamination.

The only problem: How to tell who is really pure and who is not?

The U.S. had a ready solution. IBM’s German subsidiary landed its first major contract the same year Hitler became chancellor. The 1933 Nazi census was pushed through by Hitler as an emergency genetic stock-taking of the German people. Along with numerous other data points, the census focused on collecting fertility data for German women?—?particularly women of good Aryan stock. Also included in the census was a special count of religiously observant Jews, or Glaubensjuden.

Nazi officials wanted the entire count, estimated to be about 65 million people, to be done in just four months. It was a monumental task, and German IBM officials worked around the clock to finish it. So important was the success of the contract to IBM that CEO Thomas J. Watson personally toured the giant Berlin warehouse where hundreds of female clerks worked in rotating seven-hour shifts 24 hours a day.

Watson came away greatly impressed with the work of his German managers. They had pulled off a seemingly impossible assignment, one that was complicated by a custom-enlarged punch card format necessary for “political considerations”?—?IBM’s coded explanation for the extra data demands the Nazi regime required.

As Hitler’s Nazi Party tightened its grip on Germany, it launched all sorts of additional data-gathering programs to purify the German nation. And IBM helped them do it.

“[T]he precondition for every deportation was accurate knowledge of how many Jews in a particular district fitted the racial and demographic descriptions in Berlin’s quotas,” write David Martin Luebke and Sybil Milton in “Locating the Victim,” a study into Nazi use of the tabulator machines. “Armed with these data,” they said, “the Gestapo often proved able to anticipate with remarkable accuracy the total number of deportees for each racial, status, and age category.”

Germany’s vast state bureaucracy and its military and rearmament programs, including the country’s growing concentration camp/slave labor system, also required data processing services. By the time the U.S. officially entered the war in 1941, IBM’s German subsidiary had grown to employ 10,000 people and served 300 different German government agencies. The Nazi Party Treasury; the SS; the War Ministry; the Reichsbank; the Reichspost; the Armaments Ministry; the Navy, Army and Air Force; and the Reich Statistical Office?—?the list of IBM’s clients went on and on.

This history reveals an uncomfortable and fundamental truth about computer technology.

“Indeed, the Third Reich would open startling statistical venues for Hollerith machines never before instituted?—?perhaps never before even imagined,” wrote Edwin Black in IBM and the Holocaust, his pioneering 2001 exposé of the forgotten business ties between IBM and Nazi Germany. “In Hitler’s Germany, the statistical and census community, overrun with doctrinaire Nazis, publicly boasted about the new demographic breakthroughs their equipment would achieve.” (IBM has criticized Black’s reporting methods, and has said that its German subsidiary largely came under Nazi control before and during the war.)

Demand for Hollerith tabulators was so robust that IBM was forced to open a new factory in Berlin to crank out all the new machines. At the facility’s christening ceremony, which was attended by a top U.S. IBM executive and the elite of the Nazi Party, the head of IBM’s German subsidiary gave a rousing speech about the important role that Hollerith tabulators played in Hitler’s drive to purify Germany and cleanse it of inferior racial stock.

“We are very much like the physician, in that we dissect, cell by cell, the German cultural body,” he said. “We report every individual characteristic…on a little card. These are not dead cards, quite to the contrary, they prove later on that they come to life when the cards are sorted at a rate of 25,000 per hour according to certain characteristics. These characteristics are grouped like the organs of our cultural body, and they will be calculated and determined with the help of our tabulating machine.”

On the surface, it may seem like the story of Herman Hollerith and the U.S. census are historical relics, an echo from a bygone era. But this history reveals an uncomfortable and fundamental truth about computer technology. We can thank nativism and the census for helping to bring the computer age into existence. And as the battle over the 2020 census makes clear, the drive to tally up our neighbors, to sort them into categories and turn them into statistics, still carries the seed of our own dehumanization.

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Robert Mueller's Take Care Clause Print
Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=49422"><span class="small">Quinta Jurecic, Lawfare</span></a>   
Monday, 29 April 2019 13:02

Jurecic writes: "I'm interested less in whether Mueller's legal reasoning is correct, and more in what that reasoning says about how the special counsel seems to understand both the presidency and this specific president."

Special Council and former FBI director Robert S. Mueller III. (photo: AP)
Special Council and former FBI director Robert S. Mueller III. (photo: AP)


Robert Mueller's Take Care Clause

By Quinta Jurecic, Lawfare

29 April 19

 

hen it was finally unveiled, the structure of the Mueller report was consistent with what onlookers expected: As Attorney General William Barr promised, Special Counsel Robert Mueller put together one volume on possible conspiracy between the Trump team and the Russian government and another on obstruction. Tucked into the back of the obstruction volume was a small, 12-page section in which the special counsel’s office tackled the legal arguments made by President Trump’s attorneys in his defense.

Mueller’s legal analysis—examining the interaction between Article II and the obstruction statutes—is a rich text, and there’s plenty to debate about his conclusions. But here I’m interested less in whether Mueller’s legal reasoning is correct, and more in what that reasoning says about how the special counsel seems to understand both the presidency and this specific president. Of particular interest is the special counsel’s reliance on the Take Care Clause—an evocative portion of the Constitution to focus on in a report concerning a man who has shown little inclination to “take Care that the Laws be faithfully executed.”

Barr’s June 2018 memo to the president set out the argument that this section seems to counter: The president cannot obstruct justice by taking actions solely under his Article II authority. From the Mueller report, it appears that the president’s lawyers made a similar case over the course of several letters sent to the special counsel’s office. (Two of those letters have been published by the New York Times.) Mueller also addresses a statutory argument by the president’s team regarding the scope of 18 U.S.C. § 1512(c), the general obstruction statute—but the real attraction is the constitutional analysis.

The Take Care Clause plays a central role in Mueller’s constitutional argument. Jack Goldsmith and John Manning have studied the “protean” nature of the clause and the many contradictory interpretations that courts have adopted; here, Mueller’s analysis has some resemblance to the understanding set out by Andrew Kent, Ethan Leib and Jed Shugerman, who argue that the Take Care Clause imposes a “duty of fidelity” on the president. Mueller does adhere to well-established readings of the clause as empowering the president to exercise prosecutorial discretion and to remove officers. But he also reads it as constraining presidential action, writing that “the concept of ‘faithful execution’ connotes the use of power in the interest of the public, not in the office-holder’s personal interests.” The duty to “take care” can also be, as Kent, Leib and Shugerman write, a limitation on discretion.

The core of Mueller’s argument is that a presidential action taken with the “corrupt intent” necessary for an obstruction offense by definition violates the Take Care Clause. “‘Corruptly’ sets a demanding standard,” Mueller writes, and “[t]hat standard parallels the president’s constitutional obligation to ensure the faithful execution of the laws.” On this basis, Mueller is able to argue that “[a] general ban on corrupt action does not unduly intrude” on the president’s responsibilities: Congress’s constitutional interest in defining the law, and the interests of the judiciary and the grand jury in “being protected against obstructive acts,” weigh heavily against the relatively limited restriction on presidential actions imposed by the “requirement that he not act for corrupt personal purposes.”

What about the risk that applying the obstruction statutes to core Article II conduct will chill otherwise acceptable presidential behavior? Mueller is unconcerned—strikingly so, in fact, given the potentially hairy complications. His reasons why are equally striking. For one thing:

virtually everything the President does in the routine conduct of office will have a clear governmental purpose and will not be contrary to his official duty. Accordingly, the President has no reason to be chilled in those actions because, in virtually all instances, there will be no credible basis for suspecting a corrupt personal motive.

Investigations of the president, he notes, are surpassingly rare. “And it is rarer still for circumstances to raise even the possibility of a corrupt personal motive for arguably obstructive action through the President’s use of official power.”

This last argument is a bit of an understatement, given the many unprecedented legal questions President Trump’s behavior has engendered over the course of the Russia investigation. But that’s just the point. By arguing that “virtually everything the President does” will not raise questions of obstruction, and underlining the unusualness of the current situation, Mueller locates Trump far, far outside the norm of presidential behavior. There isn’t a need to fret over the precise line where good-faith exercise of Article II authority blurs into corrupt intent, not only because Trump has so far overshot that line but because other presidents, past and future, by and large have been and will be of good enough faith to stay well within the acceptable boundaries. Trump is not doing what presidents do; he is not acting like a president is bound by the Constitution to act.

Compare this to another example of official action that could have been construed as obstruction—but that nobody understood as such. In 2010, the U.S. government arrested 10 Russian agents in what became known as “Operation Ghost Stories.” Shortly afterward, then-U.S. Attorney Preet Bharara, whose office was set to prosecute some of the cases, learned that the government was negotiating with the Kremlin for a spy swap. As the New York Times later reported, Bharara’s office was plunged into debate over whether it was “appropriate” for the U.S. Attorney’s Office for the Southern District of New York to acquiesce to the deal before even bringing an indictment. Bharara ultimately determined that the deal was “acceptable and just,” the Times wrote, and worked to obtain guilty pleas before the swap took place. But the Times also noted that his team debated “what would happen if the office were asked to dismiss a prosecution for less noble reasons.”

President Obama had authorized the swap. Could this be considered obstruction under Mueller’s framework? It was, after all, the use of Article II authority to influence an official proceeding by pushing Bharara’s office to speedily obtain guilty pleas. But the question is obviously absurd: There is no serious argument that Obama was acting on the basis of anything other than, as Mueller puts it, “a clear governmental purpose,” with “no credible basis for suspecting a corrupt personal motive.”

In the early days of the Trump presidency, Benjamin Wittes and I argued that the fundamental difference between Trump and normal presidents came down to the oath of office: Trump, we said, could not be trusted to uphold his, not the least because he had shown little to no ability to understand what it would mean to “faithfully execute the Office of President of the United States” and “preserve, protect and defend the Constitution.” While Mueller doesn’t point to the oath of office, it’s notable that Kent, Leib and Shugerman situate the Take Care Clause alongside the oath as “the twin commands of faithful execution,” emphasizing the president’s “duty of fidelity” to the law.

Wittes and I understood the presidential oath as the essential animating factor behind the presumption of regularity—the idea that, as the Supreme Court wrote in 1827, “[e]very public officer is presumed to act in obedience to his duty until the contrary is shown.” (In their own work on applying the obstruction statutes to Article II, Daniel Hemel and Eric Posner understand the demonstration of corrupt intent on the part of the president as an overcoming of the presumption of regularity, though they don’t rely on the Take Care Clause or the oath to reach this point.) To return to the Ghost Stories example, there was nothing about Obama’s actions in that case that overcame the presumption of regularity—in part, I would argue, because both the public and other officeholders, including Bharara, trusted Obama’s oath of office.

Mueller does use the notion of the presumption of regularity, though he applies it to the actions of prosecutors, not of the president. But the concept is a useful way of framing how Mueller’s legal reasoning contextualizes Trump’s actions. To locate Trump so far outside the norm and to argue that future presidents will likely not be hampered by the precedent set by Mueller’s reasoning is also to insist, in part, on reestablishing the presumption of regularity for the office of the presidency more broadly—if not for the current officeholder.

As long as future presidents honor their oaths, Mueller suggests, the center will hold. These presidents will not need to worry that their conduct could be construed as obstructive—because, unlike Trump, they will rigorously maintain the distinction between actions taken for the good of the public and actions taken for corrupt personal purposes.

This is a profoundly conservative position on Mueller’s part, in the apolitical sense of maintaining and caring for established institutions. In this, it’s of a piece with the general conservatism of Mueller’s approach: He chose to abide by the Office of Legal Counsel opinion barring the indictment of a sitting president and to color well inside the lines of what his mandate allowed, marking himself, as Paul Rosenzweig has written, as “at his core ... an institutionalist.”

The conservatism of Mueller’s Article II analysis is less obvious given that it does, in some ways, break new ground. But his focus on the Take Care Clause suggests that the problem undergirding the chaos of the past few years is rooted not in some failure of the constitutional structure but in the person of Donald Trump.

Yet in making the normative case that Trump’s presidency will remain an aberration, Mueller also seems to be making a prediction: He suggests that there will be no more presidents as particularly unsuited to the office as Trump, or at least that they will be few and far between. Specifically, he writes the obstruction statutes will not overly chill the president’s exercise of Article II duties because investigations of the president will be “rare” and occur only in “highly unusual circumstances.” But this will be true only if the majority of other presidents act in good faith rather than following Trump’s model.

In arguing that investigations of the president will remain rare, Mueller notes that “[p]rosecutorial action enjoys a presumption of regularity[.]” That is, law enforcement can be trusted not to embark on tendentious obstruction investigations into official presidential acts because law enforcement officials will occupy the same moral universe as the president. There is a mutual presumption of regularity: Law enforcement accepts the president’s oath, and the president accepts that law enforcement will understand when it is obviously absurd to begin an obstruction investigation into an action taken in good faith. Consider Bharara’s conclusion that the Ghost Stories spy swap was consistent with the interests of justice.

No one would accuse Mueller of being naive. Yet it seems very sanguine, under the administration of a man who derides former civil servants at his own Justice Department as traitors and “scum,” to imagine that the country could return to a place of mutual understanding between the president and law enforcement. (To say nothing of the public: In 2017, the Daily Caller published a piece falsely suggesting that the spy swap was orchestrated not for the good of the public but in connection with a Russian payoff to then-Secretary of State Hillary Clinton.) As an actor within a system founded on the presumption of regularity, perhaps Mueller has little choice but to assume that regularity on the part of the president. But the extent to which he’s bound by this assumption underlines the fragility of the system as a whole.

Writing about the oath of office, Wittes and I wondered whether Trump’s oathless administration was “the beginning of a profound institutional change to the presidency and our expectations of it.” Mueller’s answer is that it is not. The risk is that his view may be not just conservative, but overly optimistic as well.

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Remembering the American Workplace's Victims Print
Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=50679"><span class="small">Joe Allen, Jacobin</span></a>   
Monday, 29 April 2019 12:58

Allen writes: "Today, on Workers Memorial Day, we should remember that thousands die on the job every year - deaths made all the more tragic because they could have been prevented by bosses who valued workers' lives."

The workplace in the United states is a dangerous place. (photo: Heinrock/Flickr)
The workplace in the United states is a dangerous place. (photo: Heinrock/Flickr)


Remembering the American Workplace's Victims

By Joe Allen, Jacobin

29 April 19


Today, on Workers Memorial Day, we should remember that thousands die on the job every year — deaths made all the more tragic because they could have been prevented by bosses who valued workers' lives.

n February, 15, Gary Martin shot and killed five coworkers and wounded five police officers at the Henry M. Pratt Company in Aurora, Illinois. Martin, a forty-five year old African-American man and a fifteen-year employee of the company, faced — for the second time — termination from his job.

Martin had worked as an assembler for Pratt in Illinois’s second-largest city forty miles west of Chicago. His mother and sister told several media outlets that Gary was “very depressed” at losing his job, which meant also losing health care and much of his pension. Since Martin was also a convicted felon from the mid-1990s in Mississippi, the likelihood of finding a similar well-paying job was bleak.

The ferocity of the Aurora massacre was shocking even by the standards of workplace violence in the United States. Martin’s handgun, for example, was mounted with a green laser sight so he could shoot more accurately. Among Martin’s victims was Russell Beyer, the machinists union representative, who previously helped Martin get his job back after he was fired the first time, and Trevor Wehner, a human resources intern, killed on his first day on the job. Martin then brazenly fired upon approaching police officers before he fled into the Pratt Company’s 29,000-square-foot cavernous warehouse, where he hid for nearly ninety minutes before police shot him dead.

The chief executive of Mueller Water Products, which owns Pratt, called the Aurora massacre the worst day in the company’s history, but only he vaguely spoke of the reasons for Martin’s termination. He issued a press release stating that the firing was the “culmination of various workplace rules violations,” but didn’t mention Martin’s first firing. The Chicago Sun-Times interviewed Russell Beyer’s father Ted, himself a former union chair at Pratt, and observed, “Though angry that Martin killed his son, he suggested built-up frustration with the company led to Friday’s [February 15th] attack.”

“It’s real easy to sit there and blame him [Martin],” Beyer said. “You work for the company fifteen years and there’s no justice because there’s games being played between the union and the company. It’s a shame when they have to desecrate somebody like that instead of getting down to the root cause.”

Ted Beyer is right: getting down to the root cause is one of the most difficult things about addressing workplace violence in the United States. Today is Workers Memorial Day, an international day of remembrance and solidarity for to workplace deaths, injuries, and illness.

Workers Memorial Day

Death has always stalked the American workplace, and some of this has made its way into the public memory. For example, Upton Sinclair’s classic 1906 book The Jungle was dedicated to the “Workingmen of America,” is required reading. According to labor lawyer Jonathan D. Karmel in his book Dying to Work: Death and Injury in the American Workplace, “The Jungle was intended as an expose of the lives and working conditions of immigrant workers, with vivid passages describing meatpackers falling into rendering vats and being sold for lard.”

But the immediate reaction to the book had less to do with the safety of the meatpackers than with the food safety. Comprehensive national legislation protecting worker safety would have to wait sixty-four years with the creation of the Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA).

In 1989, the AFL-CIO chose April 28 as “Workers Memorial Day,” because on that day in 1970, President Richard M. Nixon signed the Occupational Safety and Health Act into law. Five decades later, it is still the most significant of federal legislation that regulates workplace health and safety.

It wasn’t an accident that 1970 was the year that OHSA came into being. By the late 1960s, a new awareness of workplace deaths and injuries had taken hold. As Daniel M. Berman put it in his 1978 book Death on the Job:

With the exceptions of the United Mine Workers’ activities and sporadic local uprisings, unions have been seriously involved in health and safety issues only in the last decade, since they mobilized to pass the Occupational Safety and Health Act of 1970. The OSHA law was made possible by a tight labor market, worker dissatisfaction, the new environmental consciousness, the aid of progressive professionals, and a climate of general social unrest.

The general social unrest included, among other things, the Black Power insurgency, the rank and file rebellion in major industrial unions, and opposition to the Vietnam War. Wartime casualties highlighted the industrial slaughter in the workplace. The documentary The Story of OSHA makes that clear:

In 1968, at the height of the war in Vietnam, 14,000 Americans were killed and 46,000 were wounded. That same year, another 14,000 Americans were killed here in the United States, because those American men and women were killed at work — on the job. Another two and one half million American workers suffered disabling injuries — fifty-four times the number we had wounded in Vietnam that year.

But rank-and-file action were key to OSHA’s passage. In 1969, according to Trish Kahle, “over 60,000 miners — more than one-third of the mining workforce — participated in wildcat strikes, demanding safer working conditions and protections from black lung, a deadly (and completely preventable) respiratory disease that comes from inhaling coal dust. That year, 70,000 miners marched on the West Virginia capital to demand black lung legislation.” The miners won their demands.

A month before Nixon signed OSHA into law, a national postal workers wildcat strike started in New York City and spread across the country, eventually involving over 200,000 workers and paralyzing the national postal service. Nixon bumbled the affair by federalizing the National Guard and sending them in deliver the mail (with predictably disastrous results). The American workplace was in rebellion, and OSHA was a concession from a president known for anti-communism and hostility to labor.

From the beginning, OSHA was an underfunded agency whose inspectors were overwhelmed by their task of keeping the millions of varied workplaces in the United States safe and healthy. Despite this daunting task, OSHA had a dramatic impact on worker safety. The US Department of Labor reported,

it is estimated that in 1970 around 14,000 workers were killed on the job. That number fell to approximately 4,340 in 2009. At the same time, U.S. employment has almost doubled and now includes over 130 million workers at more than 7.2 million worksites. Since the passage of the OSH Act, the rate of reported serious workplace injuries and illnesses has declined from 11 per 100 workers in 1972 to 3.6 per 100 workers in 2009.

While such dramatic decline was laudable and saved many workers’ lives, the US still suffered horrendous and unnecessary workplace deaths since OSHA’s creation. In 1991, North Carolina witnessed one of the worst in US history. When fire broke out at a Hamlet, North Carolina, Imperial Food Products plant, according to the Smithsonian magazine, and workers tried to escape, only to find the exits locked. Workers collapsed into piles as the carbon monoxide overtook them; twenty-five died and forty were injured.

If the Hamlet massacre highlighted the need for a better-funded OSHA, the opposite push was happening in Washington. OSHA was always a grudging concession that the major employers sought to undermine, usually through underfunding and limiting the scope of its jurisdiction. However, in the mid-1990s, it faced down extinction following the triumph of New Gingrich’s Republican revolution of 1994 with its takeover of the House of Representatives.

“Most employers would describe OSHA as the Gestapo of the federal government,” declared Rep. John Boehner (R-Ohio), one of Gingrich’s chief lieutenants in 1995.

OSHA was weakened but survived the onslaught. Under Trump the number of OSHA inspectors declined during his first year in office. NBC reported last year that after Trump’s inauguration, OSHA “lost 40 inspectors through attrition and made no new hires to fill the vacancies as of Oct. 2 [2017],” 4 percent of OSHA’s total force.”

The workplace in the United states is a dangerous place. Karmel argues,

The risk of workplace death is much greater than dying in a plane crash, or being a victim of a terrorist attack. The odds of dying in a plane crash are 1 in 11 million. The odds of being killed in a terrorist attack in the United States are 1 in 20 million.

In 2015, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that 4,836 workers were killed, or thirteen workers every day; the Center for Disease Control and Prevention reported in that same year that fifty thousand deaths annually are related to the workplace, or an average of 137 death a day. Compare those numbers to the thirteen years of the Iraq War from the invasion in 2003 to 2016, where the US suffered 4,424 U.S. combat-related deaths.

No discussion of workplace deaths and injuries is complete, however, without adding that violence in the workplace particularly that American phenomenon ­— the mass workplace shootings or rage killings. The AFL-CIO reports,“Workplace violence is the third-leading cause of death on the job, resulting in nearly 29,000 serious, lost-time injuries for workers each year.”

In 1992, OSHA started began tracking workplace violence related deaths, in response to a decade of growing public awareness of murder in the workplace. The phenomena was glibly referred to in the media as “going postal,” after a series of workplace mass killings at post offices across the country starting in 1986. Why the post office? In his book Going Postal: Rage, Murder, and Rebellion From Reagan’s Workplaces to Clinton’s Columbine and Beyond, Mark Ames argued that deregulation and privatization created the climate of extreme workplace stress in which workers snapped.

Combined with President Ronald Reagan’s breaking of the Air Traffic Controllers union (PATCO) in 1981, that opened the floodgates for union-busting and concessions, the American workplace has become a living hell for the last four decades. The most extreme manifestation: murder in the workplace. From 1992 to 2010, there almost fourteen thousand workplace homicides.

Work in America

American history is peppered with a long history of workplace deaths and injuries. But workers have also always fought to save their lives. Recently, amidst the carnage of General Motors plant closings and layoffs since last fall, only a handful of journalists recalled that the struggles of the rank and file workers at Lordstown GM plant in the early 1970s provided a different direction for the American workplace.

Will Bunch was one of the few. He wrote last fall that Lordstown wasn’t just notable for providing workers with decent paying jobs, but that workers could “fight for a workplace that had meaning, and where they actually had a say in what happened there.”

The work in auto plants was always dangerous, dirty, and violent. When GM build Lordstown, Jeremy Milloy recounts it was to be the symbol of the modern efficient auto plant. However, the young workers, many of whom were Vietnam war veterans, rebelled against the inhumane, oppressive working conditions. They struck GM for twenty-two days in March 1972. The UAW leadership in Detroit was cool to hostile to the strike from the beginning.

Yet it was clear that the strike was different. Fear of a “Lordstown Syndrome” spreading throughout the industrial sector caused panic in corporate boardrooms.”This wasn’t about more pay or shorter hours, which had been the historical struggle of the labor movement,” recalled historian Jefferson Cowie, “These guys basically wanted a better life on the job. They wanted to re-envision work and how work was done,” studying worker co-ops in Sweden and other models. The UAW and GM regained control of the plant, but not without giving the auto workers concessions on the brutal conditions in the plant.

Congress held hearings on the Lordstown strike and a special report on “Work in America’ was produced on the quality of work life in the United States. Yet, the discussion Lordstown strikers began was subsumed during the 1970s by recession, layoffs, and narrow-minded trade unionism.

Four decades later, Americans still go to work every day in dangerous and alienating conditions. On Workers Memorial Day, we should remember we don’t have to.

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FOCUS: Michael Cohen's Last Days of Freedom Print
Monday, 29 April 2019 10:59

Toobin writes: "These days, the President's former lawyer, and the fall guy in his web of misconduct, looks like a victim as well as a perpetrator."

Michael Cohen, from center, President Donald Trump's former personal lawyer, leaves federal court after pleading guilty to charges related to lying to congress in New York on Nov. 29, 2018. (photo: Justin Lane/EPA)
Michael Cohen, from center, President Donald Trump's former personal lawyer, leaves federal court after pleading guilty to charges related to lying to congress in New York on Nov. 29, 2018. (photo: Justin Lane/EPA)


Michael Cohen's Last Days of Freedom

By Jeffrey Toobin, The New Yorker

29 April 19


These days, the President’s former lawyer, and the fall guy in his web of misconduct, looks like a victim as well as a perpetrator.

t takes some time for Michael Cohen to work his way to a table at the grillroom of the Loews Regency Hotel, on Park Avenue. He’s been a regular at the hotel’s famous power breakfasts for more than two decades, and on several recent visits staff members reached out to him for handshakes and bro hugs. These days, the restaurant, with its twenty-seven-dollar pancakes and sumptuously upholstered banquettes, represents a welcome refuge for the erstwhile “Personal Attorney to the President,” as Cohen used to describe himself. Outside the friendly cocoon of the hotel, he has attracted a bipartisan coalition of adversaries—Democrats who remember his years of service as Donald Trump’s fierce and profane fixer, and Republicans who abhor Cohen’s transformation into a vocal Trump critic. Robert Mueller, the special counsel, apparently has a different view of him. Cohen pleaded guilty, last year, to campaign-finance and financial-fraud crimes in the federal court for the Southern District of New York, in Manhattan, and Mueller got Cohen to plead guilty to lying to Congress. But Mueller referred to Cohen’s testimony more than a hundred times in the recently released report of his investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 election, and he used Cohen’s testimony to establish one of his central conclusions: that Trump and his allies may have obstructed justice, by attempting to steer Cohen into protecting the President.

On May 6th, Cohen will begin serving a three-year sentence at the federal prison in Otisville, New York, seventy-five miles north of Manhattan, leaving in his wake a grieving family, vanishing wealth, and gloating enemies. In hostile tweets, the President has called him a “rat” who “makes up stories,” and insinuated that Cohen’s family members had committed other crimes. Rudolph Giuliani, Trump’s lawyer, told me last week, about Cohen, “I think he is a pathological, dumb liar.” Prosecutors in the Southern District have rebuffed Cohen’s attempts to offer evidence against Trump and others, thwarting his hope of reducing his sentence or delaying his surrender date. Congressional committees continue to demand his time. Cohen, who is fifty-two, has an unlined face, more or less permanently set in a hangdog scowl, and a voice that retains the unmistakable trace of his childhood on Long Island. In conversation, he jumps from topic to topic in a jittery staccato. To sit with him today is to listen to a fugue of self-pity and rage, from a man who also exhibits some understandable bewilderment at his plight. “I now have congressional committees asking me for more information based upon information that I had already given,” he told me at the Regency. “I’m not going to take another minute out of my family’s time with me in order to do anything anymore without knowing what benefit there is now to me.”

Cohen is one of only two people to receive a substantial prison sentence in the investigation that arose out of the 2016 election. In August of last year, Paul Manafort, Trump’s former campaign chairman, was convicted of financial fraud and avoiding taxation on millions of dollars in income, among other crimes, and he is currently serving seven and a half years. Unlike Manafort, Cohen wasn’t the principal beneficiary of most of his crimes; Donald Trump was. Cohen pleaded guilty to violating campaign-finance law by orchestrating a payment of a hundred and thirty thousand dollars to the porn actress Stormy Daniels “at the direction” of Trump. Cohen also acknowledged violating banking laws to obtain the money to pay Daniels; he admitted to a campaign-finance charge regarding a hundred-and-fifty-thousand-dollar payment to silence the former Playboy Playmate Karen McDougal, to benefit Trump’s Presidential campaign; and he pleaded guilty to making a false statement to Congress about negotiations to build a Trump tower in Moscow, so that he could align his account with Trump’s own false public statements on the subject. In charges unrelated to Trump, Cohen also pleaded guilty to tax evasion.

Cohen chose to do Trump’s bidding for a decade, and that included lying to reporters and others as well as committing felonies on his boss’s behalf. In pleading guilty to all the counts against him, he surrendered his right to contest the charges before a jury. In the light of all this, Cohen has at best a modest claim on our sympathies. And yet there can be little doubt that he is a fall guy in Trump’s web of misconduct, and these days he looks like a victim as well as a perpetrator.

***

For many years, Michael Cohen’s life amounted to a realization of the American Dream: personal happiness and financial success on a grand scale. His father, Maurice, escaped from Poland during the Holocaust, and found his way to Canada, where he went to medical school. A head-and-neck surgeon, he moved to New York, met Sondra, a nurse, whom he married, and settled with her in Lawrence, one of the Five Towns, on Long Island. There, the couple raised four children, all of whom became lawyers. Michael graduated from American University in 1988, and from Thomas M. Cooley Law School, in Michigan, in 1991. In New York, he worked at a negligence-and-malpractice law firm for five years, until his fortunes turned when he became acquainted with the Shusterman family.

Fima Shusterman and his family emigrated to the United States from Ukraine in the early seventies, and, in New York, he first made ends meet by driving a cab. He did a stint in the garment business and started buying taxi medallions when they were rapidly appreciating in value. Shusterman’s rise was only slightly slowed when he pleaded guilty, in 1993, to participating in a tax-evasion scheme. After he testified against his accountant, in Brooklyn federal court, he received a sentence of probation. Around this time, Cohen met Laura Shusterman, Fima’s daughter, and the two were married. Cohen ultimately joined forces with the Shusterman family in the medallion business.

Cohen prospered during the post-9/11 recession, which particularly affected the New York City taxi industry. Many Sikh drivers, who wore turbans and beards, felt threatened by anti-Muslim sentiment and left the business. Cohen picked up more medallions at depressed prices, and he and his father-in-law came to control almost three hundred of them. In time, Cohen was worth some ninety million dollars on paper. In the early two-thousands, Cohen and his in-laws bought apartments in Trump World Tower, at 845 United Nations Plaza. The families later bought other Trump apartments as investments, and Cohen met and became friendly with Donald Trump, Jr.

At the time, the Trump Organization was dealing with a rebellion of the condominium board at Trump World Tower, and Don, Jr., suggested to his father that Cohen, who was still practicing law, might help to resolve it. Cohen told me, “They wanted to take his name off the building, and we quietly got enough votes where we got rid of that board and inserted our own. That’s how I got to meet Mr. Trump, and then he asked me to do some other things for him.” Trump never paid Cohen for resolving the board controversy, but, in 2007, he hired Cohen to work for the Trump Organization. Cohen’s title—executive vice-president and special counsel—reflected his unique position at the company. “My role was specifically for him, as his special counsel—anything that came up, that upset him, that related to him, that others wouldn’t be able to deal with or needed special handling,” Cohen said. He was to take care of any matters, personal or professional, that Mr. Trump, as Cohen still always refers to him, wanted him to address.

In the decade before Trump became President, Cohen used intimidation, threats, and bluster to do his bidding. Cohen frequently dealt with the press. On one oft-recounted occasion, Tim Mak, then a reporter for the Daily Beast, asked him about the allegation by Trump’s first wife, Ivana, which she later recanted, that Trump had raped her. Cohen told Mak, “I’m warning you, tread very fucking lightly, because what I’m going to do to you is going to be fucking disgusting.” Cohen earned a reputation for extreme devotion, even sycophancy, toward Trump, who repaid him, on occasion, with disdain. In 2009, when Trump was dissatisfied with Cohen’s performance, he cut his salary from four hundred thousand dollars per year to two hundred thousand. (Two years later, he restored the salary.) Notwithstanding the slights, Cohen remained loyal to Trump. As he told me, “I actually enjoyed him, interestingly enough. When he’s good, he’s great. When he’s horrible, he’s the worst human being on the planet. I mean it. He has no heart and no soul when he’s mean.”

***

In 2016, Cohen helped arrange the payments of hush money to Daniels and McDougal. In his efforts to keep their stories under wraps, Cohen and Trump had an important ally—David Pecker, a longtime friend of Trump’s, who was the chief executive of American Media, Inc., the parent company of the National Enquirer. The government’s charging document states that Pecker committed to “assisting the campaign in identifying such stories so they could be purchased and their publication avoided.” Cohen was the go-between connecting Trump and Pecker. (Pecker declined to comment.)

In June, when McDougal began attempting to sell the story of her months-long relationship with Trump, which had taken place a decade earlier, Cohen urged Pecker to buy her account and then bury it—a practice, in the argot of tabloids, known as “catch and kill.” Cohen promised Pecker that Trump would reimburse A.M.I. for the cost of McDougal’s silence. As Cohen told me, “Trump was supposed to pay them back.” In August, 2016, A.M.I. bought McDougal’s story for a hundred and fifty thousand dollars, with the understanding that the Enquirer would never publish it.

According to Cohen, he worked on the plan with Allen Weisselberg, the long-tenured chief financial officer of the Trump Organization. Cohen’s version of the payment plan to McDougal is backed up by an audio recording that he made of a conversation with Trump at the time. On the recording, Cohen says to Trump, “I’ve spoken to Allen Weisselberg about how to set the whole thing up with—” Trump interrupts: “So, what do we got to pay for this? One-fifty?” Cohen answers, “Yes.”

A.M.I. bought the rights to publish McDougal’s fitness columns and to feature her on the covers of two of its fitness magazines, and so Cohen and Pecker said that Trump would be liable for only a hundred and twenty-five thousand dollars of the company’s payment to her. But Trump never paid anything to A.M.I. According to Cohen, McDougal’s appearance on the cover of one of the magazines, Muscle & Fitness Hers, led to a sizable increase in sales, and Trump decided that A.M.I. had received its money’s worth in the deal. Cohen told me, “It sold over two hundred and fifty thousand dollars’ worth of print, which was the highest for the whole year. So you invest a hundred and fifty, you make two hundred and fifty, you still have her for another cover, and for two years on the blog. It was a good deal.” Pecker didn’t pursue Trump for failing to pay, but, Cohen said, he used to yell at Cohen about it. Cohen told me that he would say to Pecker, “David, why are you yelling at me? Go yell at Trump.” Other sources suggested that A.M.I. stopped asking for reimbursement on the advice of its lawyers. In any event, the National Enquirer never disclosed Trump’s relationship with McDougal.

Cohen stepped into the Stormy Daniels story in September, 2016, just weeks before Election Day. Daniels’s attorney was demanding that Trump himself pay to suppress her account of a one-night stand with him, which took place in 2006, shortly after his wife, Melania, gave birth to the couple’s son. Cohen took charge of the negotiations, protecting Trump from making a direct payment to Daniels. Cohen told me that he worked through a series of possible scenarios with Weisselberg. “He was involved right from the very beginning,” Cohen said. “I wanted Allen to pay the money—I didn’t want to take it from my account. He wanted me to find somebody who wanted to become a member of a golf club or was going to have a party at one of the functions and they could take the hundred and thirty off of the bill that way and then they could pay me—I mean, he came up with a hundred different ideas.” (Weisselberg, through his attorney, declined to comment.)

In the end, Cohen put up a hundred and thirty thousand dollars of his own to buy Daniels’s silence, and set up a shell company called Essential Consultants L.L.C. to disguise the source of the money. He withdrew the funds from a home-equity line of credit. “I didn’t want my wife to know that I was taking a hundred and thirty thousand dollars out of the account,” he explained. “She’s going to say, ‘Michael, what’s a hundred and thirty thousand dollars out of the account for?’ ‘Well, I really can’t tell you.’ That’s not something that she would accept. That’s not something that any wife would accept.”

Cohen said that Trump promised to reimburse him for the payment to Daniels, and that Weisselberg would take care of the logistics: “The amount of money that they were going to pay back was created by him. How they were going to pay me the money back was created by him. And then the two of us went, as we did throughout the entire process, to Trump’s office, and he approved it.” Cohen put a hundred and thirty thousand dollars from his home-equity line into the shell entity on October 26th, and, on November 1st, a week before Election Day, Daniels signed an agreement not to talk. Trump got what he wanted.

***

It’s easy to see why the prosecutors in the Southern District regarded the money paid to the two women as unlawful campaign contributions. The purpose of both payments was to help Trump win the election. Each payment exceeded the twenty-seven-hundred-dollar maximum contribution allowed by any individual, and neither payment was reported to the Federal Election Commission as a campaign contribution. But, if that was the crime, who were the criminals? Pecker put up his company’s money, so he would be a suspect. And Weisselberg, according to Cohen’s testimony and his recording with Trump, helped design both schemes, so he would be one, too. Later, when Cohen testified before Congress, he produced copies of the checks that were used to reimburse him for his payment to Daniels. The checks were signed by Weisselberg, Donald Trump, Jr., and the President. Cohen’s recording proved that Trump knew of the McDougal payment as well, and he alone was the beneficiary of the entire arrangement. For this reason, he, too, might be implicated.

The Southern District prosecutors declined to comment, but one can speculate about why they gave passes to Pecker, Weisselberg, Don, Jr., and the President. The prosecutors were clearly trying to pressure Cohen into coöperating, and they needed a witness who could tie him to a scheme to make illegal campaign contributions. Pecker fit that bill, so the prosecutors were willing to give him immunity. Weisselberg had much to offer prosecutors about the full range of the President’s financial life, so they may have wanted to avoid charging him, too. Don, Jr.,’s role may have been too minor to merit prosecution.

When we met, Cohen remained outraged that he was prosecuted and Trump was not. “You are going to find me guilty of campaign finance, with McDougal or Stormy, and give me three years—really?” Cohen said. “And how come I’m the only one? I didn’t work for the campaign. I worked for him. And how come I’m the one that’s going to prison? I’m not the one that slept with the porn star.”

The Southern District prosecutors did acknowledge that Trump orchestrated the hush-money operation. As they wrote in advance of Cohen’s sentencing, “In particular, and as Cohen himself has now admitted, with respect to both payments, he acted in coordination with and at the direction of Individual-1”—that is, Donald Trump. Under Justice Department policy, a sitting President cannot be indicted, though it is possible that Trump could be charged in the hush-money case after he leaves office.

***

After Trump was elected, Cohen did not go to work for his Administration. In his testimony before Congress earlier this year, he said that this was his choice. “I did not want to go to the White House,” Cohen told the House Committee on Oversight and Reform. But, in an interview with CNN in November, 2016, he said that he would go to Washington if he were asked. In any event, Cohen agreed to represent Trump as an outside lawyer, and he opened a law and consulting practice in New York in which he sold himself as the President’s personal attorney. At first, Cohen cashed in on his proximity to Trump. In the mordant words of the prosecutors in the Southern District, “Cohen also secured a substantial amount of consulting business for himself throughout 2017 by marketing to corporations what he claimed to be unique insights about and access to Individual-1. But while Cohen made millions of dollars from these consulting arrangements, his promises of insight and access proved essentially hollow. Documents obtained by the Government and witness interviews revealed that Cohen performed minimal work, and many of the consulting contracts were ultimately terminated.”

On May 17, 2017, eight days after Trump fired James Comey as F.B.I. director, Rod Rosenstein, the Deputy Attorney General, appointed Robert Mueller to be special counsel. Mueller turned his attention to Cohen almost immediately. On July 18th, before Mueller had finished assembling a staff, he obtained a search warrant for Cohen’s personal e-mails during 2016 and 2017. Under Mueller’s direction, the F.B.I. began an extraordinarily meticulous examination of Cohen’s life and finances. Later that year, Cohen had to face the crucible of sworn testimony before the House and the Senate Intelligence Committees.

The committees were investigating Russia’s interference in the 2016 election, specifically Trump’s connections to business and government leaders in Moscow. During the campaign, Trump said that he had no business interests in Russia, and, in 2017, Cohen told Congress that, by the time of the Iowa caucuses, in February, 2016, he and Trump were no longer in negotiations for a Trump tower in Moscow. On August 28, 2017, Cohen wrote a letter to Congress about the Moscow project, stating, “The proposal was under consideration at the Trump Organization from September 2015 until the end of January 2016. By the end of January 2016, I determined that the proposal was not feasible for a variety of business reasons and should not be pursued further. . . . I did not ask or brief Individual-1 or any of his family, before I made the decision to terminate further work on the proposal.”But Cohen had continuing discussions about the project well into 2016 and had kept Trump fully informed. Indeed, Cohen had discussed the Moscow project extensively in e-mails, which Mueller’s prosecutors had in their possession.

Cohen told me the same set of lies in early 2018, when I was working on a story about the 2013 Miss Universe contest, which took place in Moscow. Trump co-owned the beauty pageant from 1996 to 2015, and, in 2015 and 2016, he spoke to local oligarchs about plans to build a tower in Moscow; Cohen was his point person for the Trump Organization at the time. I spoke with Cohen while I was on vacation with my family in Arizona, and I could arrange a phone call only while we were driving to the Grand Canyon. During the call, my wife and son were in the front of the car, and I was in the back, and, when I asked about Trump’s building plans in Moscow, Cohen defended Trump so loudly that they could hear him even though the phone was pressed against my ear. He also displayed the gangsterish belligerence that was his hallmark, saying of Eric Swalwell, the California congressman who is a persistent critic of Trump, “That lunatic Swalwell deserves a beating and a half.”

In February, 2018, without Cohen’s knowledge, Mueller’s office began sharing evidence with the United States Attorney for the Southern District of New York. Cohen learned the magnitude of his legal problems on April 9, 2018, when federal agents executed search warrants at his law office, his apartment, and a suite at the Regency, where his family was living at the time. (Their apartment was being renovated.) In order to obtain the warrants, the F.B.I. and the U.S. Attorney’s office submitted an affidavit of more than two hundred pages describing Cohen’s potential criminal liability for bank fraud and illegal campaign contributions. The affidavit made it obvious that Cohen would likely be subject to criminal charges. So Cohen was presented with a dilemma familiar to every underling facing pressure to coöperate with law enforcement—whether or not to flip.

***

In the aftermath of the raid on Cohen’s property, the Southern District’s investigation of Cohen intersected with Mueller’s investigation of Trump. The President and his allies had a strong interest in persuading Cohen not to coöperate with law enforcement, and Mueller’s report raises the question of whether Trump broke the law in that effort. This kind of Presidential misconduct has a clear history. The first article of impeachment against Richard Nixon, which was passed by the House Judiciary Committee, before his resignation, accused him of “endeavouring to cause prospective defendants . . . to expect favoured treatment and consideration in return for their silence or false testimony, or rewarding individuals for their silence or false testimony.”

Trump’s behavior after the raid on Cohen’s property was an important focus in Mueller’s investigation. On the day of the search, Trump told reporters that Cohen was a “good man” and called the investigation “a real disgrace.” A few days later, according to the Mueller report, the President called Cohen and told him to “hang in there” and “stay strong.” Trump followed those conversations with a tweet that said, “Michael is a businessman for his own account/lawyer who I have always liked & respected. Most people will flip if the Government lets them out of trouble, even if it means lying or making up stories. Sorry, I don’t see Michael doing that despite the horrible Witch Hunt and the dishonest media!”

Cohen sought advice from several lawyers, and he established a frequent e-mail correspondence with Robert Costello, who was an especially persistent provider of guidance. In their conversations, Costello emphasized that he was a good friend and a former colleague of Rudolph Giuliani, who had just been retained as one of President Trump’s personal lawyers. As Costello put it in an April 19th e-mail to Cohen, “I told you my relationship with Rudy which could be very very useful to you.” Two days later, Costello told Cohen that he had just spoken with Giuliani “and told him I was on your team. Rudy was thrilled and said this could not be a better situation for the President or you.”

Costello’s e-mails to Cohen, which are now in the hands of congressional investigators, raise the question of whether Costello was doing the bidding of his putative client or that of Giuliani and his client, Trump. Was Costello trying to keep Cohen in the President’s camp because that was in Cohen’s interest, or in Trump’s? In another e-mail, on April 21st, Costello wrote, “I spoke with Rudy. Very Very Positive. You are ‘loved.’ . . . They are in our corner.” He went on, “Sleep well tonight, you have friends in high places. Bob. P.S. Some very positive comments about you from the White House.” As Cohen told me, about his dealings with Costello and Giuliani, “It meant that I was still within the circle, that I was being protected. I should stay on message, part of the team, and we’re going to get through this, together, as a group.”

Costello and Giuliani insist that they were simply trying to calm someone who was on the verge of suicide because he so feared alienating the President. “There was no dual loyalty. The loyalty was to our client,” Costello told me. Giuliani called the Mueller report “totally unfair about the President and Michael.” He said, “We all told him we couldn’t discuss pardons. We were nice to him because he was suicidal and telling people he was going to jump out a window. He thought the President was angry with him, and we told him that wasn’t true, that we saw him as a victim, that Michael is still loved. That’s not obstruction of justice.”

Mueller, it appears, disagrees. He concluded that the efforts of Trump and his allies did represent a potential obstruction of justice. The possible dangling of a Presidential pardon if Cohen stayed on the team was at the heart of Mueller’s evidence. The report states that, based on several conversations that Cohen had about pardons with Trump’s lawyers, Cohen understood “that as long as he stayed on message, he would be taken care of by the President, either through a pardon or through the investigation being shut down.” According to Mueller, there is evidence that “could support the inference that the President intended to discourage Cohen from cooperating with the government because Cohen’s information would shed adverse light on the President’s campaign-period conduct and statements.”

Still, Mueller acknowledged weaknesses in a possible case against the President. He said that Trump’s status as the President gave him unique powers to involve himself in law-enforcement investigations, that the evidence did not establish that there was an underlying crime that Trump might be covering up, and that many of Trump’s actions, such as his tweets, occurred in public view, which might suggest the difficulty of proving criminal intent.

Nonetheless, Mueller noted one key factor in favor of a finding that Trump obstructed justice. His office concluded that, taken together, various discrete acts by the President—his firing of Comey, his attempts to remove Mueller as special counsel, his overtures to Cohen—may have constituted obstruction. Mueller wrote that “it is important to view the President’s pattern of conduct as a whole. That pattern sheds light on the nature of the President’s acts and the inferences that can be drawn about his intent. Our investigation found multiple acts by the President that were capable of exerting undue influence over law enforcement investigations.”

***

Throughout the summer of 2018, Cohen worried that those close to Trump weren’t really standing behind him. Trump’s company and his campaign had paid approximately $1.5 million in Cohen’s attorneys’ fees, but they stopped paying in June. Costello wrote to Cohen on June 14th, “It seems clear to me that you are under the impression that Trump and Giuliani are trying to discredit you and throw you under the bus to use your phrase. I think you are wrong because you are believing the narrative promoted by the left wing media.”

In July, Costello gave up representing Cohen. He sent him an itemized bill for $43,857.85 in legal services, which included thirteen phone calls and one meeting with Giuliani. (Cohen refused to pay the bill, on the ground that he had never signed a retainer agreement with Costello.) When the news broke, on July 20th, that Cohen had recorded the phone call with Trump about the McDougal payment, the breach with the President was all but final. By this point, Cohen had hired as his criminal-defense attorney Guy Petrillo, a former Southern District prosecutor with no ties to Giuliani. He also retained Lanny Davis, a Washington lawyer best known for his work for the Clinton Administration. Through his lawyers, Cohen began exploring the possibility of coöperating with the Southern District.

But there was a hitch. The U.S. Attorney’s office has a rule that it will accept only total coöperation from witnesses; if a witness wants to put any subjects off limits, the prosecutors will refuse to talk to him. When Cohen offered to coöperate, he said he wouldn’t promise to answer every question. The Southern District rejected Cohen’s offer of partial coöperation and raised the pressure, giving immunity to Pecker and Weisselberg, who could be witnesses against Cohen in a prosecution for campaign-finance violations.

And Cohen had another problem. Prosecutors had discovered that, between 2012 and 2016, he had understated his income by more than four million dollars, thus avoiding $1.4 million in federal taxes during those five years. Worse yet, the tax returns had also been signed by his wife, potentially exposing her to prosecution as well. Petrillo tried to dissuade the prosecutors from filing charges, pointing out that Cohen had made no effort to hide this income—there were no foreign bank accounts or cash transactions. Cohen asserted that he had provided accurate information to his accountant, and that the error was his. (The government disputed this.) Petrillo pointed to other cases with even larger tax deficiencies than $1.4 million over five years in which the government decided to proceed civilly rather than criminally. But the prosecutors were unmoved.

Protecting his wife was uppermost in Cohen’s mind, he told me. “If they would have asked me to plead guilty to the Lufthansa heist, I would have pled guilty to that, too,” he said, referring to the notorious robbery at John F. Kennedy International Airport, in 1978. “She’s the love of my life. What am I going to do? You think I’m going to let them bring her into this craziness? Not a chance.” His temporizing had led him into disaster. On August 21st, he pleaded guilty to multiple charges. In doing so, he passed up the opportunity of winning an acquittal; by failing to coöperate fully, he lost any hope of receiving a significant reduction in his sentence.

***

When the news leaked that Cohen was thinking of coöperating, Trump reacted with fury. On July 27th, he tweeted, “Sounds to me like someone is trying to make up stories in order to get himself out of an unrelated jam (Taxi cabs maybe?). He even retained Bill and Crooked Hillary’s lawyer. Gee, I wonder if they helped him make the choice!” On August 22nd, Trump contrasted Cohen’s guilty plea with Paul Manafort’s refusal to coöperate, tweeting, “I feel very badly for Paul Manafort and his wonderful family. ‘Justice’ took a 12 year old tax case, among other things, applied tremendous pressure on him and, unlike Michael Cohen, he refused to ‘break’—make up stories in order to get a ‘deal.’ Such respect for a brave man!” (Manafort later pleaded guilty and attempted to coöperate with Mueller’s prosecutors, who subsequently voided the deal, saying that Manafort had lied to them.)

In a series of tweets, Trump wrote of Cohen, “He makes up stories to get a GREAT & ALREADY reduced deal for himself, and get his wife and father-in-law (who has the money?) off Scott Free.” He added later, “Remember, Michael Cohen only became a ‘Rat’ after the FBI did something which was absolutely unthinkable & unheard of until the Witch Hunt was illegally started.” In an interview with Fox News, Trump said that Cohen “should give information maybe on his father-in-law, because that’s the one that people want to look at because where does that money—that’s the money in the family.” (Except for his father-in-law’s guilty plea twenty-six years ago, there is no evidence that Cohen’s family is involved in criminal activity.)

Mueller regarded Trump’s tirades against Cohen, and especially his implications about Cohen’s family, as further evidence that the President could have obstructed justice. “The President’s statements insinuating that members of Cohen’s family committed crimes after Cohen began cooperating with the government could be viewed as an effort to retaliate against Cohen and chill further testimony that might be damaging to the President by Cohen or others,” Mueller wrote. “The timing of the statements supports an inference that they were intended at least in part to discourage Cohen from further cooperation.”

As Cohen approached his sentencing date before Judge William H. Pauley III, the true cost of his failure to cut a deal with the Southern District became apparent. When the Probation Department set Cohen’s sentencing-guideline range at fifty-one to sixty-three months, Petrillo sought a sentence of probation. The Southern District prosecutors responded with a scathing memorandum, writing that Cohen “committed four distinct federal crimes over a period of several years. He was motivated to do so by personal greed, and repeatedly used his power and influence for deceptive ends. Now he seeks extraordinary leniency—a sentence of no jail time—based principally on his rose-colored view of the seriousness of the crimes; his claims to a sympathetic personal history; and his provision of certain information to law enforcement.”

Mueller’s team gave Judge Pauley a much more benign portrait of Cohen’s behavior, saying that he “has taken significant steps to mitigate his criminal conduct” and provided “credible and consistent” coöperation. On December 12th, Pauley gave Cohen some credit for his dealings with the government and imposed a sentence of thirty-six months. He ordered Cohen to pay $1.39 million in restitution, five hundred thousand dollars in forfeitures, and a hundred thousand dollars in fines. Parole has been abolished in the federal system, so even with good behavior Cohen will be obliged to serve at least eighty-five per cent of his sentence.

***

Abandoned and ridiculed by Trump, Cohen decided to exact a very public form of revenge. On February 27th of this year, he gave a full day of dramatic testimony before the House Committee on Oversight and Reform. In his opening statement, he denounced Trump as passionately as he had once defended him, calling him a racist, a con man, and a cheat. Democrats embraced him and Republicans disparaged him as a turncoat and a liar. During one exchange, Cohen said, “I’m responsible for your silliness because I did the same thing that you’re doing now for ten years. I protected Mr. Trump for ten years.” Cohen offered tantalizing clues about other misconduct by Trump, including possible bank and insurance fraud. (He said that Trump had submitted false financial statements to a bank in connection with an application for a loan in order to buy the Buffalo Bills, and to insurance companies in order to lower his rates.) But Giuliani asserted that Cohen had undermined his credibility by failing to acknowledge that he had sought a job in the Trump Administration, and by refusing to admit that he had discussed pardons. Giuliani told me, “He gave an interview on CNN when he said that he wanted a job in the Administration. The Mueller report says he talked about pardons. Those are the lies of someone who can’t help himself.” Cohen’s testimony, for all the attention it received, didn’t have any effect on his legal predicament, or on his prison sentence.

Cohen’s legal problems have been compounded by financial setbacks. The rise of Uber and other ride-sharing services has caused the value of his taxi medallions to plummet, just when he needs to raise funds to pay his debts to the government and to provide for his family while he is in prison. (After his guilty pleas, his law license was revoked.) In the months following Cohen’s congressional testimony in February, his lawyers offered to bring him in to the Southern District to assist in its ongoing investigations, but prosecutors refused to meet with him. Under the federal criminal rules, the only way Cohen’s sentence can be reduced or delayed now is if the prosecutors ask for it—and this, it has become clear, is not something they are going to do. The prosecutors may regard Cohen as unreliable, or they may believe that there are few outstanding issues left to resolve. The Southern District, on which so many of the President’s adversaries have pinned their hopes, may have limited potential to bring him down.

F. Scott Fitzgerald wrote, about the fictional Buchanan family, that they “smashed up things and creatures and then retreated back into their money or their vast carelessness, or whatever it was that kept them together, and let other people clean up the mess they had made.” For a decade, Michael Cohen cleaned up Donald Trump’s messes. He embraced Trump so uncritically that he wound up committing crimes on his behalf. Thus far, Trump, like the Buchanans, has escaped the wreckage he leaves behind.

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