|
FOCUS: Killing the Pax Americana |
|
|
Sunday, 12 May 2019 10:49 |
|
Krugman writes: "O.K., they weren't supposed to start the trade war until I got back from vacation. And I really have too many kilometers to cover and hills to climb to weigh in on a regular basis or at great length."
Economist Paul Krugman. (photo: Getty Images)

Killing the Pax Americana
By Paul Krugman, The New York Times
12 May 19
Trump’s trade war is about more than economics.
.K., they weren’t supposed to start the trade war until I got back from vacation. And I really have too many kilometers to cover and hills to climb to weigh in on a regular basis or at great length. But since I’m currently sitting in an outdoor cafe with my coffee and croissant, I thought I might take a few minutes to address two misconceptions that, I believe, are coloring discussion of the trade conflict.
By the way, I don’t mean Trump’s misconceptions. As far as I can tell, he isn’t getting a single thing about trade policy right. He doesn’t know how tariffs work, or who pays them. He doesn’t understand what bilateral trade imbalances mean, or what causes them. He has a zero-sum view of trade that flies in the face of everything we’ve learned over the past two centuries. And to the (small) extent that he is making any coherent demands on China, they’re demands China can’t/won’t meet.
But Trump’s critics, while vastly more accurate than he is, also, I think, get a few things wrong, or at least overstate some risks while understating others. On one side, the short-run costs of trade war tend to be overstated. On the other, the long-term consequences of what’s happening are bigger than most people seem to realize.
READ MORE

|
|
Joe Biden Is Stuck in the Past When It Comes to Climate Change |
|
|
Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=19600"><span class="small">Bill McKibben, Guardian UK</span></a>
|
|
Sunday, 12 May 2019 08:37 |
|
McKibben writes: "One of the first real debates of the Democratic primary broke out on Friday - and in both timing and substance it raised anew the half-suppressed doubts about whether frontrunner Joe Biden is too stuck in the past to be a credible standard-bearer."
Joseph R. Biden Jr. in Wilmington, Delaware. (photo: Jessica Griffin/AP)

Joe Biden Is Stuck in the Past When It Comes to Climate Change
By Bill McKibben, Guardian UK
12 May 19
Biden thinks fracked gas is an acceptable way to reduce emissions. He is too stuck in the past to be a credible standard-bearer for the Democratic party
ne of the first real debates of the Democratic primary broke out on Friday – and in both timing and substance it raised anew the half-suppressed doubts about whether frontrunner Joe Biden is too stuck in the past to be a credible standard-bearer.
A Reuters story Friday morning said that Biden’s energy policy team was looking for what the reporter called a “middle ground” on climate change, and in particular that it planned to rely on expanding the use of fracked natural gas as a way to reduce emissions. This is, to put it plainly, a return to the all-of-the-above energy strategy that marked the Obama years, and a terrible idea.
As is now entirely clear, increasing fracking increases the flow of methane to the atmosphere, and since methane is a potent greenhouse gas it drives up the rate of global warming. In the early days of the Obama years, when we knew far less about the chemistry of methane, it was a perhaps-defensible plan; in 2019 it’s embarrassing, the equivalent of idling your muscle car outside the Earth Day picnic. There is no “middle ground” on climate change—there’s only meeting the demands of physics and chemistry (and justice), or watching the temperature soar.
A few hours after the story, as environmental activists (and primary opponents) tweeted their dismay, the Biden team seemed to blush. Biden’s energy advisor Heather Zichal said that the Reuters reports were wrong, and that instead he planned to “enact a bold policy to tackle climate change in a meaningful and lasting way.” But the fact that it was Zichal making the statement essentially confirmed the accuracy of the original story: in the early Obama years, she’d headed up an interagency working group to promote the development of domestic natural gas.
The working group had been formed after pressure from the American Petroleum Institute, the chief fossil-fuel lobbying group, and Zichal, in a talk to an API gathering, said: “It’s hard to overstate how natural gas—and our ability to access more of it than ever—has become a game changer.” Zichal left her White House job in 2013; one year later, she took a gig on the board of Cheniere Energy, a leading exporter of fracked gas, which has earned her over a million dollars.
And Zichal said Biden was also turning for advice to former energy secretary Ernest Moniz, who oversaw the rise of the United States to its position as the biggest oil and gas producer on the planet and continues to recommend natural gas development, and Frank Verrastro, co-author of a report on fracking that found no “unmanageable risk that would require widespread reconsideration of current recommended practices.” In short, he’s relying on people deeply attached to the status quo.
The timing of the gaffe couldn’t have been more stunning—it came just 72 hours after the UN released a report pointing out that climate change would help wipe out a million species in the decades ahead. Secretary of State Michael Pompeo later that day lauded the rapid melt of the Arctic, saying it would increase access to gold and diamonds, not to mention make it easier to ship junk from China. You couldn’t have asked for a much better opportunity to draw a contrast, not search for a “middle ground.”
As recently as 2016, climate was seen as a losing issue. It was a distant problem, with unclear consequences, that would require huge sacrifices to solve. But then California caught fire, Puerto Rico got ravaged by a hurricane, and people woke up to the fact that this was clear and present danger. The IPCC report hammered home the threat. And with ideas like the Green New Deal gaining prominence, people have understood that solving the problem won’t require sacrifice as much as it will create opportunity. Why would we stay in the “middle of the road” when the left lane promises solutions that will not only help the climate, but also our economy, public health, and national security?
But Biden’s team apparently is fixated on the relatively small number of workers in the building trades unions who want to keep on constructing natural gas pipelines (and perhaps, since he hasn’t signed the No Fossil Fuel Money pledge, on big donors from the hydrocarbon sector). This is old-school thinking at its best: throw young voters, overwhelmingly fixated on climate change, under the dirty diesel bus in an effort to win a narrowing pool of union leaders, who gathered in the Oval Office with Trump to celebrate in the early days of his presidency.
Obviously Biden will be better than Trump on this (and every other) issue; obviously everyone who cares about the earth should support him if he’s the nominee. (That paramount need is why I’ve been running the #DemUnityTwitterProject these past weeks). And he’s got time to turn his policies around—I remember when he gave a wink and a nod support to those fighting the Keystone pipeline, well in advance of Obama’s eventual veto of the project. His credibility with union workers is understandably high, which is why he would be the perfect person to push for large-scale retraining programs for clean energy jobs.
But for now Biden has done precisely the thing you’d think he’d be trying his hardest to avoid: showing that he’s stuck in the dirty energy past. If he’s going to mount a serious challenge to Trump, he’s going to need the huge number of Americans for whom climate change has become the issue. On the biggest issue our civilization’s ever faced, we need him thinking like it’s 2030, not 2010.

|
|
|
Mother's Day: The World Is Scary for Girls. But There's Never Been a Better Time to Parent |
|
|
Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=50761"><span class="small">Candice Pires, Guardian UK</span></a>
|
|
Sunday, 12 May 2019 08:35 |
|
Pires writes: "I can't shield my daughter from sexism and racism. But she will be more empowered to confront it than I ever was."
'There have always been awful and scary things - today we're setting up kids to better handle confronting the inevitable.' (photo: Keila Batista/EyeEm/Getty Images)

Mother's Day: The World Is Scary for Girls. But There's Never Been a Better Time to Parent
By Candice Pires, Guardian UK
12 May 19
I can’t shield my daughter from sexism and racism. But she will be more empowered to confront it than I ever was
few months ago I met my husband and five-year-old daughter at one of those soft-play centres. This one has two storeys of obstacle course for the kids behind a floor-to-ceiling net on one side; and on the other side, Wifi and cheap wine for the parents. While my husband had been working at a small table, our daughter had befriended two kids – a brother and sister – in the ball pit.
“That boy keeps asking me to play a game with him and I don’t want to,” she came out and told us.
“That’s OK,” I said. “You don’t have to.”
The boy looked to be around her age and the girl a little older. Shortly after, we left the centre and in the car on the way home she said again that the boy kept asking her to play a game. And then she said it again.
“What game did he want to play?” I asked from the front seat.
“Sits,” she said.
“Sits?” I said. “What’s that?”
“He said one person lies down and the other pulls down their underwear and sits on top of them and moves around.”
My husband and I looked at each other and I turned to face her. We’d talked theoretically about what to do when you don’t feel safe and who is allowed to touch your private parts, but this was the first time any of it was put into practice.
She told us how she kept saying no and how his sister kept saying that she didn’t have to do it.
My words stuck to the inside of my mouth. There was relief that our daughter had handled the situation well, but repulsion at what this boy had suggested.
That evening I talked to her about it more, I asked how she felt, told her she responded well and we practiced saying no – even when we feel scared by the person we’re saying no to. It’s a conversation we’ve revisited.
People talk about how we have to protect our children more than ever, but abuse has always happened; the biggest difference is that we are more likely to talk about it now, and are hopefully making progress at holding perpetrators to account. I went to a Catholic school where rumours were rife about abuse by a teacher; but we were not encouraged to question adults, especially not those in authority.
One morning, when I was 14, I was walking to school with a friend and there was a man jogging on the other side of the road. He was wearing a T-shirt and Wallace and Gromit boxers and masturbating as he watched us. When we got into school, we hung back after registration and told a teacher, who we respected and loved, what had happened. She told us not to make a fuss and distractedly tidied her desk. I didn’t tell my parents. Not because they wouldn’t have listened or believed me; we are close and they would have. But because when I was growing up, these conversations were rare. Children weren’t shown how to use their voice to challenge adults.
But it’s not just abuse, as a society we’re rethinking power, race and gender (and so much else). My daughter has so many questions about all these things. And so do I. Talking to her about it helps me in my thinking. While the conversations with my adult friends about #MeToo, Black Lives Matter and living under Trump are more nuanced, the conversations I have with my daughter are crystalized. Someone told her in the playground that Trump puts kids in cages, she came home and said she didn’t think it’s true – is it?
Last year, she was at a predominantly white school and told me she didn’t like her brown skin. While I hated hearing her say that, I was glad we were able to talk about it, rather than glossing over how we look and are different to the people around us. A couple of years ago she was given a children’s book about Rosa Parks. At first I put it up on a high shelf because I didn’t want to expose her to such overt racism. Introducing children to hateful imagery can feel like we’re robbing them of innocence. But having read it to her recently, and having her want to talk about why black people were treated differently in the book, I hope it can make her question why black people are treated differently today. Again, structural racism and even police brutality aren’t anything new, they’re just more openly discussed now.
As I’m unlearning a lifetime’s beliefs of what gender is, she’s learning it for the first time, quicker. She fields direct but flippant questions at me over whether there are rules over who can wear a skirt, or if men can have babies. I try not to miss a beat in my response but often I’m still figuring out the answer myself. She has her own response to the clothes question now: “Girls can wear skirts, boys can wear skirts, everyone can wear what they want.” And plenty of boys she knows do. Classrooms are more naturally accepting of difference than workplaces.
She has the word “vagina” in her vocabulary (albeit she’s only just stopped pronouncing it “bagina”). When I was at school we all had so many euphemisms for it – and similarly for penis – that I wonder if we were all even talking about the same things. I think I’d still blush to look my mum in the eye and say vagina out loud. I danced around like a politician when my daughter asked how babies come out until one day when I was sitting down she locked eyes with me and said, “Is it the belly button?” I told her the truth, she grimaced and moved on.
And when it comes to gender roles, on the whole this generation is far more used to the sight of fathers pushing strollers, taking paternity leave and sharing childcare. My friends who are bringing up boys are encouraging them to be aware and expressive of their feelings.
How we’re listening to kids is changing in society, too. The students of Parkland are being applauded by millions of adults and children for their work to reform the US gun laws, and making millions of others angry. Young campaigners such as the 16-year-old climate change activist Greta Thunberg are entering public discourse and being listened to. In the past, children in the media have been subordinates or celebrities. I can’t think of one who was considered a voice worthy of taking seriously.
I’m not Pollyanna-ish about the world. The macro picture where we all feel so insecure about the future makes it also an incredibly difficult time to parent. Especially if your child is a minority. And I’m fully aware that far from every parent is having these conversations. But there have always been awful and scary things that we want to protect children from – and today by increasingly acknowledging their existence, we’re setting up kids to better handle confronting the inevitable.

|
|
Elizabeth Warren Knows What It Will Take to End the Drug War |
|
|
Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=47721"><span class="small">Ashley Reese, Jezebel</span></a>
|
|
Sunday, 12 May 2019 08:33 |
|
Reese writes: "It's an ambitious proposal that, in typical Warren fashion, rises to meet the scope of the crisis."
Elizabeth Warren. (photo: Daniel Acker/Bloomberg)

Elizabeth Warren Knows What It Will Take to End the Drug War
By Ashley Reese, Jezebel
12 May 19
arlier this week, Senator Elizabeth Warren released an updated version of the Comprehensive Addiction Resources Emergency (CARE) Act, a bill she first proposed with Congressman Elijah Cummings in 2018 to address the opioid crisis. The proposal would dole out $100 billion over the next decade to provide resources to public health departments, researchers, first responders, and communities around the country.
The CARE Act will also go after pharmaceutical companies that have lied to the public and fueled America’s opioid crisis. “The ongoing opioid crisis is about health care,” Warren wrote in a Medium post announcing the proposal. “But it’s about more than that. It’s about money and power in America?—?who has it, and who doesn’t. And it’s about who faces accountability in America?—?and who doesn’t.”
The basic premise of the proposal—which is correct, according to public health experts—is that current piecemeal efforts and the limited funding made available to address the issue have been wildly insufficient. Here’s the annual breakdown of new funding under Warren’s proposal:
$4 billion for states, territories, and tribal governments;
$2.7 billion for the hardest hit counties and cities, including $1.4 billion to counties and cities with the highest levels of overdoses;
$1.7 billion for public health surveillance, research, and improved training for health professionals;
$1.1 billion for public and nonprofit entities on the front lines, including those working with underserved populations and workers at high risk for addiction, and to support expanded and innovative service delivery of treatment, recovery, and harm reduction services;
$500 million to expand access to naloxone and provide this life-saving overdose reversal drug to first responders, public health departments, and the public.
It’s an ambitious proposal that, in typical Warren fashion, rises to meet the scope of the crisis. And Warren is correct about the ultra-wealthy people whose greed and deception helped fuel the current crisis—but there is more to be done than just increasing funding and holding pharmaceutical companies accountable. For a candidate like Warren, whose proposals often work in conversation with one another to point a more holistic portrait of a problem, there’s still an opportunity to do that on the opioid crisis and the War on Drugs.
In a statement emailed to Jezebel, Grant Smith, deputy director of national affairs at the progressive Drug Policy Alliance, described the CARE Act as groundbreaking. “This legislation presents a bold federal plan of action to address this national emergency of overdose deaths by prioritizing the public health needs of local communities, including long-term investments in effective treatment, harm reduction, and supportive services,” Smith wrote.
Warren is right to direct resources to harm reduction, a public health approach that rejects abstinence-focused enforcement in favor of policy and services that reduce the negative (and preventable) health and legal consequences of drug use. The approach has long existed in underground networks across the United States, but is far more legally established elsewhere in the world. As an example, in Vancouver, Canada supervised injection sites—facilities where people can use drugs in a medically-supervised and safe environment—led to a 35 percent decline in fatal overdoses in the surrounding area and a 96 percent decline in new HIV infections. Additionally, there was a 30 percent increase in users seeking detox treatment. There’s a direct correlation between containing the spread of hepatitis C and HIV with clean needle exchanges programs: This was the case in Indiana, where a clean needle program controlled an HIV outbreak in 2015.
There’s no reason this can’t happen on a large scale in the United States, and Warren’s plan offers a glimpse into what the future of drug policy in America could look like: a framework that prioritizes empathetic measures over punitive ones. But politically, in the United States, harm reduction is often unevenly applied: many of the gold standard strategies—including needle exchange, safe injection sites, and decriminalization—are still illegal in many places and considered politically untenable at the federal level.
Which is why some experts on public health and harm reduction hoped Warren’s proposal would provide more specificity about the approaches she would like to see put into practice as part of this rethinking of the opioid crisis. She has done some of this work in her capacity as a senator, but should bring this perspective more directly into her campaign proposals and how she addresses the issue on the trail.
Abdullah Shihipar, a masters of public health candidate at Brown University—whose New York Times op-ed “The Opioid Crisis Isn’t White” articulated why and how black people are erased from mainstream media and political narratives about the opioid crisis—told Jezebel that, while the plan is a step in the right direction, a large gap remains. “More people are dying from illicit drugs than prescription drugs at the moment, especially with fentanyl,” Shihipar said. “So we need things like safe injection sites, changing the law to allow that, needle exchange, and of course decriminalizing drug laws in general.”
“Pharma companies definitely made the crisis worse,” he explained. “But they just built onto a framework created by the war on drugs. It would be wrong to ignore the harms a punitive war on drugs has caused on the current overdose crisis because of criminalization and fear of criminalization.” As an example, Shihipar referenced how people are often fearful of calling the police to report an overdose—“even in cases where there are laws on paper to protect them.” This is a very real threat in a country where several states have drug-induced homicide laws on the books that often contradict the intent of so-called Good Samaritan laws meant to encourage people to call for medical assistance if they witness an overdose. The current system of criminalization provides a breeding ground for regressive treatment options and disproportionate punishments doled out to black, brown, and poor people.
In her plan, Warren rightfully attacks Sackler-owned Purdue Pharma, which pushed OxyContin despite ample warnings about risk of addiction—and made a fortune doing so, writing: “This crisis has been driven by greed, pure and simple.”
But to couch this crisis as a uniquely pharma-driven phenomenon is reductive of the full scope of the issue. As Zachary Siegel wrote last year at Longreads:
Purdue Pharma did not invent addiction in America. Especially true in Appalachia, where families have generations of substance use. Meth and alcohol have long had a grip on rural America. Opioids are merely the newest iteration in the pursuit of oblivion, a more effective reliever of emotional and physical pain. As reprehensible as it is, Purdue exploited, profited, and even targeted this vulnerability.
“We do need major investments to address this emergency and Warren’s scope is far closer to what is appropriate than anyone else,” said Leo Beletsky, an associate professor of Law and Health Sciences at Northwestern. He also lauded Warren for her inclusion of harm reduction language in the proposal. But, he added: “This plan does not make the necessary bold steps to repair broken systems and reform drug policy that has caused this crisis in the first place.”
“Simply throwing money at jurisdictions may not have the intended impact. In some cases, it just means building on top of very broken systems rather than fixing those systems,” said Beletsky.
In his research, Beletsky notes that “structural drivers” such as poverty, depression, economic hardship, and poor health also fuel the opioid crisis, not solely overprescribing. Warren’s 2020 platform already largely aspires to address these ills, but that connection needs to be brought into how she rolls out her opioids plan.
We already know how to make drugs use safer. We already know how to make drug policy less punitive for marginalized people. What we don’t know is whether there’s a 2020 candidate who is ready to forcefully advocate for these measures. Warren’s agenda and history in the Senate has set her up with the potential to be that candidate, but only if she wants to be.

|
|