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FOCUS: Pete Buttigieg Took One for the Anti-Bernie Team Print
Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=43875"><span class="small">Branko Marcetic, Jacobin</span></a>   
Monday, 02 March 2020 11:25

Excerpt: "Pete Buttigieg has always been a calculating careerist. By ending his campaign yesterday, he may have sacrificed his short-term presidential ambitions - but he did so for the greater good of a Democratic Party establishment that is hell-bent on sabotaging Bernie Sanders."

Former South Bend, Indiana, mayor Pete Buttigieg announces he is ending his campaign to be the Democratic nominee for president during a speech at the Century Center on March 01, 2020 in South Bend, Indiana. (photo: Scott Olson/Getty Images)
Former South Bend, Indiana, mayor Pete Buttigieg announces he is ending his campaign to be the Democratic nominee for president during a speech at the Century Center on March 01, 2020 in South Bend, Indiana. (photo: Scott Olson/Getty Images)


Pete Buttigieg Took One for the Anti-Bernie Team

By Branko Marcetic, Jacobin

02 March 20


Pete Buttigieg has always been a calculating careerist. By ending his campaign yesterday, he may have sacrificed his short-term presidential ambitions — but he did so for the greater good of a Democratic Party establishment that is hell-bent on sabotaging Bernie Sanders.

ete Buttigieg was a company man to the end. With no path forward for his campaign, and recognizing that staying in the race could only help Bernie Sanders win big on Super Tuesday, Buttigieg yesterday ended his bid for the Democratic nomination on the grounds of “responsibility.”

“We have a responsibility to consider the effect of remaining in this race any further,” he told supporters in South Bend last night.

The message wasn’t hard to decipher. Buttigieg had used his distant third-place speech in Nevada to attack Sanders for promoting an “inflexible, ideological revolution” and bringing a “tenor of combat and division and polarization.” These attacks were paired by Buttigieg with some mild red-baiting in the last Democratic debate, warning that Sanders was too radical to win, and, at one point, obnoxiously babbling over Sanders’s entire reply.

Positioning him as the candidate to stop both Sanders and Trump, a February 25 campaign memo outlined a strategy to “shrink Sanders’s margin of victory coming out of Super Tuesday” and prevent him from getting “too great a lead in the delegate race for anyone to catch up.” Unnamed sources already told CNN his decision was motivated by concern over aiding Sanders’s victory.

All this despite a prize-winning high school essay a youthful Buttigieg once authored praising Sanders as a “successful and popular mayor” and his work as a “peacemaker between divided forces in Washington,” embodying John F. Kennedy’s ideals of “compromises of issues, not of principles.”

Alas, Buttigieg sacrificed himself. As he explained to disappointed supporters, the math simply didn’t add up. Left unstated was an entirely different calculation: that with slim prospects of winning in the contests ahead, the best option for his political future involved showing fealty to the party establishment and sacrificing his campaign to help them in their years-old plan to deny Sanders the nomination. By dropping out, the hope goes, Buttigieg will release his voters to put Joe Biden — now the last great hope of the party’s corporate wing — over the 15 percent polling threshold in California and boost his chances in other crucial Super Tuesday states.

That Buttigieg’s last act in this campaign should be to kiss the party’s ring is not surprising. His entire adulthood and career have been at the service of crass political ladder-climbing — what Politico’s John Harris termed his “implacable careerism” and “a facile exercise in box-checking.” This was, after all, the same candidate who chose, after his time at Harvard, his term as a Rhodes Scholar, and a stint as a McKinsey consultant, to enlist in the then nearly decade-long Afghanistan War, a somewhat unusual tenure that involved no combat but provided “more time for reflection and reading” than he was used to.

The party clearly saw something in him. Eight years of Barack Obama had already established the formula for a winning candidate: young, charismatic, well credentialed, with at least one history-making mark of diversity, and an indistinct centrist politics built on vaguely inspiring-sounding twaddle, mostly about “unity” and “healing.” Buttigieg strained to emulate the former president right down to cadence and vocal timbre, even borrowing lines from his speeches. He was rewarded by being invited to party insiders’ secret discussions last year about how to stop Sanders from winning.

And with money — lots and lots of money. Not only was Buttigieg in the running for the title of most billionaire donors throughout the election, he soon became the chosen conduit for big-money contributors, as the Democratic Party’s wealthy funders, spooked by Biden’s incoherent debate performances and embroilment in the impeachment saga, desperately looked for an alternative to invest in.

Buttigieg and his staff soon began touring the country, begging for cash from big-money interests; by July, he was second to Biden among health insurance and pharmaceutical employees, and would remain so to the end; by December, he led the field in Wall Street contributions. By January 2020, CNN reports, his small donor share had dropped from 65 percent a year earlier to a mere 29 percent. He even started a “national investors circle,” promising, among other kinds of access, quarterly and monthly briefings with him and his staff to financiers who raised at least $250,000 for his campaign. The excuses Buttigieg used to get away with this ranged from the easy to the breathtakingly cynical: that Obama did it, too, and that opening his campaign to the corrupting influence of billionaire cash was living out the ethos of “belonging, not exclusion.”

Coincidentally, the more money Buttigieg took, the more he started to sound like a different candidate. In 2018, Buttigieg had positioned himself as a staunch backer of Medicare for All. “Buh? When/where have you ever heard me oppose Medicare for All?” he asked in February 2018, after being accused of not supporting the policy. “Gosh! Okay .?.?. I, Pete Buttigieg, politician, do henceforth and forthwith declare, most affirmatively and indubitably, unto the ages, that I do favor Medicare for All.”

By early 2019, he was already nonsensically insisting to George Stephanopoulos that he both supported a single-payer system and that the private insurance system would stay intact. That gave way to the last phase of his evolution, in which he spent the last fall and winter relentlessly attacking and fearmongering over the policy and those advocating it, completing his transformation into a wholesale corporate marionette.

So far, so Obama. Like the former president, Buttigieg made a public health insurance option (an option defeated under Obama by the same industry now funding his own run) his plan of choice, one that would leave people uninsured and rely on an even more regressive version of the hated Obamacare mandate. He, too, had the peculiar ability to win the backing of right-wing columnists. And just as Obama’s longtime friendship with and eventual hiring of neoliberal Svengali Rahm Emanuel raised questions about his progressive bona fides, Buttigieg’s leading political operative had once worked for a faction of New York Senate Democrats whose raison d’ętre was working with Republicans to block anything progressive from coming through the pipeline.

But Buttigieg differed from Obama in one key respect: while Obama was able to win the loyalty of African-American voters despite his staid centrism, Buttigieg’s standing with voters of color was abysmal; he failed to get the support of a single black voter in one South Carolina poll. Maybe it was the fact that he demoted the city’s first black police chief. Maybe it was his administration forcing unpopular urban redevelopment plans on communities of color. Maybe it was the furor that erupted over a South Bend police killing midway through his campaign. Either way, his campaign’s habit of making up support from black leaders didn’t help — a matter Buttigieg was heroically saved from having to address by debate moderators who preferred to ask the 347th question about “Bernie Bros” and how Medicare for All would be funded.

Buttigieg’s final play was a smart one. Unable to organically win the support of African Americans, he instead poured his resources into the Iowa race, betting that a good showing there would translate into momentum in New Hampshire and the states that followed. And it nearly worked, except for the brick wall of diversity the campaign ran into in Nevada and South Carolina, where voters of color stubbornly continued to back Sanders and Biden, leading Buttigieg to come in a disappointing third and fourth place, failing to reach the 15 percent threshold in either. With no realistic path forward, Buttigieg has fallen on his sword, hoping his act of political seppuku will smooth Biden’s way to the White House — and bring with it a plum appointment, no doubt.

It may well be too little too late. Ironically, given this last-minute assist to anti-Sanders party elites, Buttigieg’s greatest impact in the race was siphoning money and voter support from the leading establishment candidate, Biden, who was hobbled right out of the gate by his losses to Buttigieg in Iowa and New Hampshire, taking a hit to the manufactured aura of “electability” he and his boosters had been cultivating for all of 2019. It may not even help: at least according to Morning Consult, Sanders is the top second choice of Buttigieg supporters, though this isn’t the case in every poll. His sacrifice will no doubt smooth things over with the party, but it won’t change the fact that Buttigieg did more than arguably anyone to assist Sanders’s road to the nomination.

Ever the company man, Buttigieg has bet on the house. By striving, even with his campaign’s dying breath, to defeat Sanders and guarantee four more years of corporate centrism on behalf of party elites, he has positioned himself to be handsomely rewarded, while signaling he will loyally say and do whatever the party establishment and the industries that fund it want him to. But it comes with a risk: should Sanders win the nomination and then the presidency, Buttigieg’s political future will involve navigating a party whose standard-bearer and agenda he did everything in his power to oppose. Maybe he’s hoping voters will forget. Be sure you don’t.

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When a Pandemic Meets a Personality Cult Print
Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=51503"><span class="small">Paul Krugman, The New York Times</span></a>   
Monday, 02 March 2020 09:23

Krugman writes: "So, here's the response of the Trump team and its allies to the coronavirus, at least so far: It's actually good for America."

Economist Paul Krugman. (photo: Getty Images)
Economist Paul Krugman. (photo: Getty Images)


When a Pandemic Meets a Personality Cult

By Paul Krugman, The New York Times

02 March 20


The Trump team confirms all of our worst fears.

o, here’s the response of the Trump team and its allies to the coronavirus, at least so far: It’s actually good for America. Also, it’s a hoax perpetrated by the news media and the Democrats. Besides, it’s no big deal, and people should buy stocks. Anyway, we’ll get it all under control under the leadership of a man who doesn’t believe in science.

From the day Donald Trump was elected, some of us worried how his administration would deal with a crisis not of its own making. Remarkably, we’ve gone three years without finding out: Until now, every serious problem facing the Trump administration, from trade wars to confrontation with Iran, has been self-created. But the coronavirus is looking as if it might be the test we’ve been fearing.

And the results aren’t looking good.

READ MORE

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Creating a National Insecurity State: Spending More, Seeing Less Print
Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=53502"><span class="small">Mandy Smithberger, TomDispatch</span></a>   
Monday, 02 March 2020 09:23

Smithberger writes: "The Trump administration continues to give the Pentagon free reign over taxpayer dollars."

A US Marine Corps F-35B drops a laser-guided bomb during a test at Edwards Air Force Base in California. (photo: Reuters)
A US Marine Corps F-35B drops a laser-guided bomb during a test at Edwards Air Force Base in California. (photo: Reuters)


Creating a National Insecurity State: Spending More, Seeing Less

By Mandy Smithberger, TomDispatch

02 March 20

 


Who doesn’t remember, as a child, making that Christmas wish list for Santa and his elves? As it happens, in this century -- and in the post-Christmas season, no less -- a Pentagon already sporting the highest budget ever is still making such wish lists, officially known as “unfunded requirements lists,” for the orange-haired Santa in the White House and especially his Mitch McConnellized elves in Congress. (The hope: to up the already sky-high presidentially recommended national security budget by an additional $18 billion).

The U.S. Navy, for instance, has a modest $6 billion wish list that includes yet more of the most expensive weapons system in history, the F-35 jet fighter (who cares if it actually works or not!), more Northrop Grumman E-2D Hawkeye surveillance aircraft, as well as more Boeing-Textron V-22 Ospreys. And don’t forget that extra little under-the-tree favorite, a $2.7 billion Virginia-class submarine from General Dynamics and Huntington Ingalls!

Who could resist that Army wish list coming in at $7 billion, a mere bagatelle (or, as Jackie Gleason used to say on The Honeymooners, “a mere bag of shells”). It includes “an additional 60 upgraded Stryker double V-hull combat vehicles” for only $375 million, eight new AH-64 Apache attack helicopters for just $283 million, and so on. The Air Force (knowing its president) asked for a modest extra billion dollars for his new Space Force -- and then there was the request (pretty please!) from the Missile Defense Agency (who knew we even had one?) for more missile interceptors and a new missile defense battery for a little more than a billion extra dollars.

I mean, what a deal! Anyway, who could resist the cute little guys who just want another seasonal gift or two (or three or four or five or more) and another surprise visit from Santa? And is it really too much to request when, as director of the Center for Defense Information at the Project On Government Oversight and TomDispatch regular Mandy Smithberger points out today, the full “defense” budget is a modest trillion-dollar-plus affair. No wonder the kids are just so damn eager to add a few extra bucks and gifts to it.

-Tom Engelhardt, TomDispatch


old on to your helmets! It’s true the White House is reporting that its proposed new Pentagon budget is only $740.5 billion, a relatively small increase from the previous year’s staggering number. In reality, however, when you also include war and security costs buried in the budgets of other agencies, the actual national security figure comes in at more than $1.2 trillion, as the Trump administration continues to give the Pentagon free reign over taxpayer dollars.

You would think that the country’s congressional representatives might want to take control of this process and roll back that budget -- especially given the way the White House has repeatedly violated its constitutional authority by essentially stealing billions of dollars from the Defense Department for the president’s “Great Wall” (that Congress refused to fund). Recently, even some of the usual congressional Pentagon budget boosters have begun to lament how difficult it is to take the Department’s requests for more money seriously, given the way the military continues to demand yet more (ever more expensive) weaponry and advanced technologies on the (largely bogus) grounds that Uncle Sam is losing an innovation war with Russia and China.

And if this wasn’t bad enough, keep in mind that the Defense Department remains the only major federal agency that has proven itself incapable of even passing an audit. An investigation by my colleague Jason Paladino at the Project On Government Oversight found that increased secrecy around the operations of the Pentagon is making it ever more difficult to assess whether any of its money is well spent, which is why it’s important to track where all the money in this country’s national security budget actually goes.

The Pentagon’s “Base” Budget

This year’s Pentagon request includes $636.4 billion for what’s called its “base” budget -- for the routine expenses of the Defense Department. However, claiming that those funds were insufficient, Congress and the Pentagon created a separate slush fund to cover both actual war expenses and other items on their wish lists (on which more to come). Add in mandatory spending, which includes payments to veterans’ retirement and illness compensation funds and that base budget comes to $647.2 billion.

Ahead of the recent budget roll out, the Pentagon issued a review of potential “reforms” to supposedly cut or control soaring costs. While a few of them deserve serious consideration and debate, the majority reveal just how focused the Pentagon is on protecting its own interests. Ironically, one major area of investment it wants to slash involves oversight of the billions of dollars to be spent. Perhaps least surprising was a proposal to slash programs for operational testing and evaluation -- otherwise known as the process of determining whether the billions Americans spend on shiny new weaponry will result in products that actually work. The Pentagon’s Office of Operational Test and Evaluation has found itself repeatedly under attack from arms manufacturers and their boosters who would prefer to be in charge of grading their own performances.

Reduced oversight becomes even more troubling when you look at where Pentagon policymakers want to move that money -- to missile defense based on staggeringly expensive futuristic hypersonic weaponry. As my Project On Government Oversight colleague Mark Thompson has written, the idea that such weapons will offer a successful way of defending against enemy missiles “is a recipe for military futility and fiscal insanity.”

Another proposal -- to cut A-10 “Warthogs” in the Pentagon’s arsenal in pursuit of a new generation of fighter planes -- suggests just how cavalier a department eager for flashy new toys that mean large paydays for the giant defense contractors can be with service members’ lives. After all, no weapons platform more effectively protects ground troops at a relatively low cost than the A-10, yet that plane regularly ends up on the cut list, thanks to those eager to make money on a predictably less effective and vastly more expensive replacement.

Many other proposed “cuts” are actually gambits to get Congress to pump yet more money into the Pentagon. For instance, a memo of supposed cuts to shipbuilding programs, leaked at the end of last year, drew predictable ire from members of Congress trying to protect jobs in their states. Similarly, don’t imagine for a second that purchases of Lockheed Martin’s F-35 Joint Strike Fighter program, the most expensive weapons system in history, could possibly be slowed even though the latest testing report suggests that, among other things, it has a gun that still can’t shoot straight. That program is, however, a pork paradise for the military-industrial complex, claiming jobs spread across 45 states.

Many such proposals for cuts are nothing but deft deployments of the “Washington Monument strategy,” a classic tactic in which bureaucrats suggest slashing popular programs to avoid facing any cuts at all. The bureaucratic game is fairly simple: Never offer up anything that would actually appeal to Congress when it comes to reducing the bottom line. Recently, the Pentagon did exactly that in proposing cuts to popular weapons programs to pay for the president’s wall, knowing that no such thing would happen.

Believe it or not, however, there are actually a few proposed cuts that Congress might take seriously. Lockheed Martin’s and Austal’s Littoral Combat Ship program, for instance, has long been troubled, and the number of ships planned for purchase has been cut as problems operating such vessels or even ensuring that they might survive in combat have mounted. The Navy estimates that retiring the first four ships in the program, which would otherwise need significant and expensive upgrades to be deployable, would save $1.2 billion.

The Pentagon’s Slush Fund: the Overseas Contingency Operations Account

Both the Pentagon and Congress have used a war-spending slush fund known as the Overseas Contingency Operations account, or OCO, as a mechanism to circumvent budget caps put into place in 2011 by the Budget Control Act. In 2021, that slush fund is expected to come in at $69 billion. As Taxpayers for Common Sense has pointed out, if OCO were an agency in itself, it would be the fourth largest in the government. In a welcome move towards transparency, this year’s request actually notes that $16 billion of its funds are for things that should be paid for by the base budget, just as last year’s OCO spending levels included $8 billion for the president’s false fund-the-wall “national emergency.”

Overseas Contingency Operations total: $69 billion

Running tally: $716.2 billion.

The Nuclear Budget

While most people may associate the Department of Energy with fracking, oil drilling, solar panels, and wind farms, more than half of its budget actually goes to the National Nuclear Security Administration, which manages the country’s nuclear weapons program. Unfortunately, it has an even worse record than the Pentagon when it comes to mismanaging the tens of billions of dollars it receives every year. Its programs are regularly significantly behind schedule and over cost, more than $28 billion in such expenses over the past 20 years. It’s a track record of mismanagement woeful enough to leave even the White House’s budget geeks questioning nuclear weapons projects. In the end, though -- and given military spending generally, this shouldn’t surprise you -- the boosters of more nuclear weapons won and so the nuclear budget came in at $27.6 billion.

Nuclear Weapons Budget total: $27.6 billion

Running tally: $743.8 billion

“Defense-Related” Activities

At $9.7 billion, this budget item includes a number of miscellaneous national-security-related matters, including international FBI activities and payments to the CIA retirement fund.

Defense-Related Activities total: $9.7 billion

Running tally: $753.5 billion

The Intelligence Budget

Not surprisingly, since it’s often referred to as the “black budget,” there is relatively little information publicly available about intelligence community spending. According to recent press reports, however, defense firms are finding this area increasingly profitable, citing double-digit growth in just the last year. Unfortunately, Congress has little capacity to oversee this spending. A recent report by Demand Progress and the Project On Government Oversight found that, as of 2019, only 37 of 100 senators even have staff capable of accessing any kind of information about these programs, let alone the ability to conduct proper oversight of them.

However, we do know the total amount of money being requested for the 17 major agencies in the U.S. intelligence community: $85 billion. That money is split between the Pentagon’s intelligence programs and funding for the Central Intelligence Agency and other “civilian” outfits. This year, the military’s intelligence program requested $23.1 billion, and $61.9 billion was requested for the other agencies. Most of this funding is believed to be in the Pentagon’s budget, so it’s not included in the running tally below. If you want to know anything else about that spending you’re going to need to get a security clearance.

Intelligence budget total: $85 billion

Running tally: $753.5 billion

The Military and Defense Department Retirement and Health Budget

While you might assume that these costs would be included in the defense budget, this budget line shows that funds were paid by the Treasury Department for military retirement programs (minus interest and contributions from those accounts). While such retirement costs come to $700 million, the healthcare fund costs are actually a negative $8.5 billion.

Military and Department of Defense Retirement and Health Costs total: -$7.8 billion

Running tally: $745.7 billion

The Veterans Affairs Budget

The financial costs of war are far greater than what’s seen in the Pentagon budget. The most recent estimates by Brown University’s the Costs of War Project show that the total costs of the nation’s main post-9/11 wars through this fiscal year come to $6.4 trillion, including a minimum of $1 trillion for the costs of caring for veterans. This year the administration requested $238.4 billion for Veterans Affairs.

Veterans Affairs Budget: $238.4 billion

Running tally: $984.1 billion

The International Affairs Budget

The International Affairs budget includes funds for both the State Department and the U.S. Agency for International Development. Numerous defense secretaries and senior military leaders have urged public support for spending on diplomacy to prevent conflict and enhance security (and the State Department also engages in a number of military-related activities). In the Obama years, for instance, then-Marine General James Mattis typically quipped that without more funding for diplomacy he was going to need more bullets. Ahead of the introduction of this year’s budget, former chairman of the joint chiefs of staff Admiral Mike Mullen told congressional leaders that concerns about great-power competition with China and Russia meant that “cutting these critical investments would be out of touch with the reality around the world.”

The budget request for $51.1 billion, however, cuts State Department funding significantly and proposes keeping it at such a level for the foreseeable future.

International Affairs Total: $51.1 billion

Running tally: $1,035.2 billion

The Homeland Security Budget

The Department of Homeland Security consists of a hodgepodge of government agencies, including the Federal Emergency Management Agency, the Transportation Security Administration, the U.S. Secret Service, Customs and Border Protection, and the Coast Guard. In this year’s $49.7 billion budget, border security costs make up a third of total costs.

The department is also responsible for coordinating federal cyber-security efforts through the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency. Despite growing domestic cyber concerns, however, the budget request for that agency has fallen since last year’s budget.

Homeland Security total: $52.1 billion

Running tally: $1,087.3 billion

Interest on the Debt

And don’t forget the national security state’s part in paying interest on the national debt. Its share, 21.5% of that debt, adds up to $123.6 billion.

Interest on the debt total: $123.6 billion

Final tally: $1,210.9 billion

The Budget’s Too Damn High

In other words, at $1.21 trillion, the actual national security budget is essentially twice the size of the announced Pentagon budget. It’s also a compendium of military-industrial waste and misspending. Yet those calling for higher budgets continue to argue that the only way to keep America safe is to pour in yet more tax dollars at a moment when remarkably little is going into, for instance, domestic infrastructure.

The U.S. already spends more than the next seven countries combined on a military that is seemingly incapable of either winning or ending any of the wars it’s been engaged in since September 2001. So isn't it reasonable to suggest that the more that’s spent on what’s still called national security but should perhaps go by the term “national insecurity,” the less there is to show for it? More spending is never the solution to poor spending. Isn’t it about time, then, that the disastrously bloated “defense” budget experienced some meaningful cuts and shifts in priorities? Shouldn’t the U.S. military be made into a far leaner and more agile force geared to actual defense instead of disastrous wars (and preparations for more of the same) across a significant swath of the planet?



Mandy Smithberger, a TomDispatch regular, is the director of the Center for Defense Information at the Project On Government Oversight (POGO).

Follow TomDispatch on Twitter and join us on Facebook. Check out the newest Dispatch Books, John Feffer’s new dystopian novel (the second in the Splinterlands series) Frostlands, Beverly Gologorsky's novel Every Body Has a Story, and Tom Engelhardt's A Nation Unmade by War, as well as Alfred McCoy's In the Shadows of the American Century: The Rise and Decline of U.S. Global Power and John Dower's The Violent American Century: War and Terror Since World War II.

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Elon Musk Is Not the Climate Leader We Need Print
Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=53505"><span class="small">Brian Calvert, High Country News</span></a>   
Monday, 02 March 2020 09:22

Excerpt: "His ideas are certainly ambitious. They're also misguided, and actively dangerous."

Elon Musk. (photo: Mike Blake/Reuters)
Elon Musk. (photo: Mike Blake/Reuters)


Elon Musk Is Not the Climate Leader We Need

By Brian Calvert, High Country News

02 March 20


His ideas are certainly ambitious. They’re also misguided, and actively dangerous.

ack in 2009, nearly 3 in 4 Americans believed climate change was real. In the runup to the 2008 presidential election, Sen. John McCain, a Republican, even had climate action as part of his election platform. After Barack Obama’s election, however, Republicans changed their tune on the climate, to denialism. When the message changed, the number of those surveyed who believed “global warming is happening” plunged, from 71 percent in 2009 to around 57 percent the following year, according to surveys by the Yale Project on Climate Change. Anthony Leiserowitz, who directs the Yale program, told the Harvard Business Review recently that the drop was driven by “political elite cues,” which, he said, “is just a fancy way of saying that when leaders lead, followers follow.” 

That means we need good leaders, leaders who consider the consequences of their actions and rhetoric. Elon Musk, the billionaire businessman, is not that leader. But a look at his rhetoric can help separate big thinking from bad thinking. Musk’s two biggest ideas—electric vehicles and the settlement of Mars—are underpinned with fallacies as specious as those of land speculator Charles Wilber, who claimed in 1881 that the arid West could be colonized because “rain follows the plow.” 

Consider Musk’s electric vehicles. Musk regards technology as a kind of wonder, citing science fiction author Arthur C. Clarke, who said, “A sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic.” But tech isn’t magic; it’s material. And it requires material resources. A world full of electric vehicles (which, granted, would have some environmental benefits) would also demand a massive power grid, and that would require either burning more fossil fuels, building more nuclear facilities, or plastering open spaces with solar panels, wind turbines, and hydrodams. It would also require huge amounts of rare materials, aggressively mined at great cost to landscapes, wildlife, plants, and people. 

Tesla is currently being sued, along with Apple, Dell, Google, and Microsoft, for allegedly contributing to dangerous forced child labor in the cobalt mines of Congo. Musk’s massive battery factory east of Reno, Nevada, meanwhile, will use as much water as a small city. A recent USA Today investigation found a high rate of injury in the so-called Gigafactory, which has also strained Reno’s first responders, exacerbated a housing shortage and, ironically, clogged roads with traffic. Musk has suggested “high-quality” mobile homes as an answer, but so far, none have been built. 

Musk, who was born in South Africa in 1971 and arrived in California in 1995, made a fortune with digital endeavors, including the development of PayPal. Like many successful entrepreneurs, he espouses a jingoistic brand of Americanism. In explaining his desire to expand into space exploration, Musk expresses a deterministic view of American greatness that is deeply problematic. “The United States,” he told Caltech graduates in 2012, “is a nation of explorers … [and] a distillation of the spirit of human exploration.” This romantic view of imperialism echoes John O’Sullivan, the man who coined the term “Manifest Destiny” and who declared in 1839: “The expansive future is our arena. … We are entering on its untrodden space, with the truths of God in our minds. … We are the nation of human progress, and who will, what can, set limits to our onward march? Providence is with us, and no earthly power can.” Such thinking was used to justify the genocide of North American Indigenous peoples. 

Musk’s romantic worldview holds another assumption: that humans would be inherently better off as a multiplanet species, rather than a single-planet one. Thus colonization of other planets will help us in case this planet fails. “I think things will most likely be OK for a long time on Earth,” Musk told the Caltech graduates (a dubious claim in itself). But on the small chance that Earth won’t be OK, he said, we should “back up the biosphere” and create “planetary redundancy” on Mars. That’s not great thinking. Consider the stellar wisdom of astronomer Lucianne Walkowicz, at a 2015 TED Talk: “For anyone to tell you that Mars will be there to back up humanity is like the captain of the Titanic telling you that the real party is happening later on the lifeboats.” There is no reason to assume a cosmic destiny toward expansion, just as there is no reason to assume that American colonialism is attributable to an inherent benign spirit. 

Musk’s “elite cues” are misdirections. They may not be as despairingly cynical as the GOP’s climate denialism, but they are dangerous nonetheless. Those of us concerned with the climate crisis need a vision of the future that admits the trouble humanity is in and understands the myth of progress. We need a vision that does not require magic vehicles or the settlement of inhospitable planets. We need to seek out and support leaders who point us in the right direction—and that direction, I suspect, is earthbound. 

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Bernie Sanders Isn't Going to Destroy the Democratic Party. He Just Might Save It Print
Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=32808"><span class="small">Robin Abcarian, Los Angeles Times</span></a>   
Sunday, 01 March 2020 15:05

Abcarian writes: "The overheated claims that Sanders can't win because he embraces 'Medicare for all' and the end of private health insurance, or because he wants public colleges and universities to be tuition-free or because he wants to ban fracking, just don't hold up."

Bernie Sanders campaigns in Birmingham, Ala.(photo: Brynn Anderson/AP)
Bernie Sanders campaigns in Birmingham, Ala.(photo: Brynn Anderson/AP)


Bernie Sanders Isn't Going to Destroy the Democratic Party. He Just Might Save It

By Robin Abcarian, Los Angeles Times

01 March 20

 

fter Bernie Sanders led the popular vote in the Iowa caucuses, the emails started trickling in.

Alarmed Democrats, and excited Republicans, saw in Sanders a ghost that has loomed over the Democratic Party for decades: George McGovern.

McGovern, the 1972 Democratic presidential nominee, suffered a historic defeat that year. He lost every state, save Massachusetts. Richard Nixon was reelected in a landslide.

If the senator from Vermont becomes the Democrats’ nominee, my correspondents predict, the party will go down in flames. Trump will enjoy Nixonian reelection numbers, down-ballot Democrats will suffer needless losses and the party will have to rise from the ashes once again.

This, to quote South Carolina’s favorite Democratic hopeful, is a bunch of malarkey.

While Sanders and McGovern may be ideological brethren, a potential matchup between Sanders and Trump bears little resemblance to the matchup between McGovern and Nixon.

Here’s why:

During Nixon’s first term, the American economy was booming — economic growth was strong, personal income was up. His popularity was high — about 60%. While McGovern campaigned to end the Vietnam War, Nixon could boast that he had drastically drawn down the number of U.S. troops fighting what had become by then a deeply unpopular conflict. He courted Democrats by vowing to lower taxes for the working class.

McGovern made some consequential mistakes: He chose a running mate, Sen. Thomas Eagleton of Missouri, who would later be forced off the ticket after it was disclosed that he had been treated for depression with electroshock therapy. After vowing to support Eagleton “1,000%,” McGovern shoved him aside to make room for Peace Corps founder Sargent Shriver, a Kennedy in-law.

Conventional wisdom holds that McGovern was too far left, and that voters specifically rejected his ideology. They then used his defeat to craft self-serving narratives.

“What happened is that critics of progressive policies — whether economic or social or racial — picked the ones they were opposed to before McGovern, then pointed to them as the reason for his loss,” said the American political historian Joshua Mound, a postdoctoral fellow at the University of Virginia.

“In reality,” Mound says, when you add up Nixon’s positives, “any Democrat was doomed to lose.” I spoke to him on Friday morning after reading a 2016 essay he wrote for the New Republic: “What Democrats Still Don’t Get About George McGovern.” The Democratic Party, wrote Mound, “could have resurrected FDR, and Nixon would have trounced him in 1972.”

McGovern’s loss drove Democrats to the middle. The Clinton years of “triangulation” and moderation would bring a shift away from the party’s principles of standing up for the working class and the oppressed. Clinton pushed NAFTA amid rosy promises of massive job retraining for the blue-collar workers whose jobs went south. He vowed to end “welfare as we know it,” signed the homophobic Defense of Marriage Act, and triangulated his way to the untenable “don’t ask, don’t tell” policy for the military.

While the Democratic Party may have moved rightward, American sentiment has been drifting left.

“With each passing decade,” Mound wrote in the New Republic, “the types of voters drawn to McGovern’s 1972 campaign have become a larger and larger share of the American electorate, while the issues championed by McGovern have become more and more salient.”

Donald Trump is no Richard Nixon.

He is unpopular and the self-proclaimed steward of an economy that has a shiny exterior (record corporate profits, a heretofore humming stock market and low unemployment) but a rotting core (stagnant wages, skyrocketing costs, pessimism about the future).

The overheated claims that Sanders can’t win because he embraces “Medicare for all” and the end of private health insurance, or because he wants public colleges and universities to be tuition-free or because he wants to ban fracking, just don’t hold up.

Since 2016, according to the Kaiser Family Foundation, most Americans support the concept of Medicare for all; that is, “a national health plan in which Americans would get their insurance from a single government plan.”

Most Americans also support tuition-free public college and the forgiving of at least some college debt, which is a terrible drag on the economy and a serious impediment to the financial success of millennials who are saddled with the untenable loans.

As for fracking, even in Pennsylvania voters are deeply ambivalent about the practice although it employs thousands.

Democrats — like the dozens of freaked-out super-delegates interviewed by the New York Times this week — who threaten to edge out Sanders if he arrives at the party convention with a mere plurality rather than majority of delegates are making a big mistake.

After all, most polls say that Sanders can beat Trump.

Sanders’ polling strength undercuts the oft-repeated claim that he can be destroyed because he calls himself a democratic socialist. Besides, if the Republicans haven’t already neutered the word “socialist” through overuse, they soon will. Also, when he is given the chance, Sanders makes a perfectly cogent case that he is ideologically in tune with most Americans, whether they realize it or not.

I mean, come on: You will receive, or already are receiving, Social Security and Medicare without complaint, and now you’re gonna scream about the evils of socialism?

Unlike Sanders, McGovern was always the underdog in 1972. His ghost may hang over this election, but only because so many Democrats have come to appreciate his progressive ideas.

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