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Republican Reform? |
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Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=10204"><span class="small">Jonathan Chait, New York Magazine</span></a>
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Saturday, 04 January 2014 13:48 |
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Chait writes: "If John Boehner's support for immigration reform is a kind of Prague Spring for the mainstream of the elected Republican Party, the equivalent among conservative intelligentsia can be found in the latest issue of National Affairs, which launches a double-barreled assault on conservative dogma."
Who will win the internal struggle in the GOP? (photo: Win McNamee/Getty Images)

Republican Reform?
By Jonathan Chait, New York Magazine
04 January 14
f John Boehner's support for immigration reform is a kind of Prague Spring for the mainstream of the elected Republican Party, the equivalent among conservative intelligentsia can be found in the latest issue of National Affairs, which launches a double-barreled assault on conservative dogma. The first is an essay by Bush administration veterans Michael Gerson and Peter Wehner, setting the philosophical and historical precedent for a non-dogmatic Republican domestic agenda. The second is a manifesto by the American Enterprise Institute's Michael Strain laying out a Republican agenda to aid the jobless.
The two pieces represent an important moment in the conservative reform movement, displaying a heretofore rare confidence of the party's movement to frontally attack their own party's shibboleths. They also display the dodges and compromises that make conservative reform both so infuriating and so useless in breaking the fever that has gripped the party throughout the Obama era.
In his book Do Not Ask What Good We Do, Robert Draper reported that leading Republicans met the night of President Obama's inauguration and decided that their path to regaining power lay in opposing every bill that Obama put forward. The political strategy formulated by Washington Republicans was quickly subsumed within a larger flowering of reactionary ideology, flowing from tea-party devotees to highbrow conservative pundits and back: Barack Obama was undermining the basic fabric of the Constitution, threatening an imminent Greek-style collapse and choking out liberty itself.
Gerson and Wehner assail the historical and philosophical underpinnings of this whole line of thought. The Founders, they point out, were not proto-libertarians — the staunch ideological opponents of a flexible national government were actually the opponents of the Constitution. The Founders "would have little toleration for politicians who are committed to abstract theories even when they are at odds with the given world and the welfare of the polity." They proceed to assail dogmatic opposition to any position for the state, arguing for a government role in furthering "the common good," "equality of opportunity," and even "ensure broad access to modern health care."
Gerson and Wehner confine themselves to broad strokes, but Strain's companion piece supplies plenty of details. Strain takes a machete to every nostrum of post-recessionary conservative thought: that the Federal Reserve must prioritize low inflation over faster growth; that short-term deficits must be slashed rather than increased; and that the best solution to high unemployment lies in implementing the same low-tax, low-regulation policies that conservatives favor all the time.
The common thread of both pieces is a call for a Republican Party that designs its platform as a response to observed real-world conditions, rather than waging an eternal war against the size of government regardless of any real-world effect. In the modern political context, this is a revolutionary manifesto. For five years, Republicans have defined their agenda as lower taxes and lower spending, disregarding any appeal to solve non-ideological problems, like unemployment or lack of access to health care. In the world imagined by Gerson, Wehner, and Strain, Republicans and Democrats might not care about the same list of problems, and they wouldn't propose identical solutions. Republicans would still want a lower and more regressive tax code, more private provision of social goods, and so on. But compromise would become imaginable. President Obama would disagree with parts of Strain's jobs agenda, but he would sign it into law in a heartbeat.
Yet, even while they demolish the philosophy and history undergirding tea-party Republicanism, they leave its political strategy intact. Conservative reformers have a persistent tic of signaling their partisan bona fides to suspicious Republicans by exaggerating their indictment of the Democrats. Wehner and Gerson assert, for instance, "The Obama years have set a high-water mark for the size and reach of the federal government, including a post-World War II record for federal spending as a percentage of gross domestic product at 25.2%."
Well, yes. Spending surged to 25.2 percent of GDP for one year, when the economic crisis drove up the numerator (by automatically increasing the number of Americans eligible for public assistance) and drove down the denominator. Since then, government spending has quickly receded to levels lower than the Reagan era:

Perhaps deeming this measure inefficient, Gerson and Wehner proceed to argue that his campaign's "Life of Julia" graphic, rather than some mid-level campaign staffer's slightly clumsy attempt to demonstrate the practical benefits of several Obama initiatives, is actually the Rosetta Stone of Obama's left-wing grandiosity.
It's perfectly understandable that the Republican reformers don't endorse Obama's program. That's why they're Republican reformers, not converted Democrats. What's more slippery is the selective parameters of their case. When they describe their idealized policies, they compare them favorably to actually existing Republican policies, or to actually existing Democratic policies. Both essays present this new GOP agenda as a sensible middle ground between Obama's liberalism run amok and tea-party extremism.
What they refuse to do is compare actually existing Obama policies to actually existing Republican policies. The reason for their refusal is obvious: It would force them to forfeit their claim to partisan loyalty by defending the Democratic agenda. After all, if they consider broad access to medical care a worthy goal, isn't Obamacare — while perhaps suboptimal — better than nothing (which is the plan Republicans have repeatedly voted for)? If they favor fiscal stimulus to reduce unemployment, even if they quibble with the particular design of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act, isn't it a radical improvement over the Republican program of fiscal anti-stimulus?
At this very moment, the Republican Party does not lack for an agenda toward the jobless, the poor, and the sick. It has an agenda: Republicans are denying Medicaid to 5 million poor Americans in states they control, proposing $40 billion in cuts to food stamps, and cutting off unemployment benefits to workers who can't find jobs. Obama can't pass innovative new plans to help the unfortunate because he is fighting Republican proposals to punish them.
Obama's goal from the outset of his presidency has been to identify Republicans who are able to define their goals in pragmatic terms, split them off from the far right, and negotiate compromises with them. This method requires, among other things, a moderate Republican wing that is able not only to define differences with the far right but to repudiate and break from the party's total opposition strategy.
As an exercise in long-term intra-party positioning, the reformers' caution may be correct. Perhaps they need to mete out their heterodoxy with caution, so they can remain comfortably enough within their party tent and gain the ear of the next Republican presidential nominee. But in the meantime, they're giving up any chance to stop their party from doing a great deal of harm.

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6 Bill de Blasio Lines You'll Hear Again Between Now and 2016 |
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Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=23815"><span class="small">Chris Cillizza, The Washington Post</span></a>
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Saturday, 04 January 2014 13:47 |
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Cillizza writes: "Given all of the emphasis on what de Blasio might mean for the Democratic party - and, in particular, the fight for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2016, it's worth looking through what he said in his inaugural address for hints of the rhetoric to come from Democrats."
Former President Bill Clinton administers the oath of office to Mayor-elect Bill de Blasio as his wife Chirlane McCray, second from right, Dante de Blasio, center, and Chirlane McCray watches on the steps of City Hall Wednesday, Jan. 1, 2014, in New York. (photo: Frank Franklin II/AP)

6 Bill de Blasio Lines You'll Hear Again Between Now and 2016
By Chris Cillizza, The Washington Post
04 January 14
uch has been written about how the election of Bill de Blasio signals a re-awakening -- in New York City and nationally -- of a liberal left that has lain largely dormant for much of Barack Obama's presidency.
"The reemergence of a Democratic left will be one of the major stories of 2014," predicted columnist E.J. Dionne. Wrote Dan Balz of de Blasio's inauguration on Wednesday: "Issues such as the prospects of liberalism in an ideologically divided country, the future shape of the Democratic Party and the political ambitions of Hillary (and Bill) Clinton all played out in front of New York's City Hall."
Given all of the emphasis on what de Blasio might mean for the Democratic party -- and, in particular, the fight for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2016, it's worth looking through what he said in his inaugural address for hints of the rhetoric to come from Democrats. We did just that and plucked six lines that we bet you'll be hearing from Democrats -- on Capitol Hill and on the campaign trail -- between now and the November midterms as well as into the 2016 campaign. (Here's de Blasio's full address as prepared.)
1. "Big dreams are not a luxury reserved for a privileged few, but the animating force behind every community, in every borough."
Take out the "in every borough" line and you have a ready-made piece of rhetoric for congressional Democrats making the case to raise the minimum wage or extend unemployment benefits heading into the 2014 election. It's also a perfect line for someone -- Elizabeth Warren, Howard Dean, Russ Feingold -- looking to challenge Hillary Clinton (assuming she runs) from the left in 2016.
2. "We are called to put an end to the economic and social inequalities that threaten to unravel the city we love."
Substitute "country" for "city" and you have a line that could -- and probably will -- be uttered by President Obama this year as he tries to make good on his promises to close the economic inequality gap. For Democrats hoping to energize their base in 2014 or offer a big-picture governing vision for their party heading into 2016, this line could be the building block.
3. "A movement that sees the inequality crisis we face today, and resolves that it will not define our future."
Two key words here: "crisis" and "movement". More on "crisis" below but the choice of the word "movement" is not an accident by de Blasio. There is a sense within the liberal base of the Democratic party that the man they thought they were electing president has been co-opted by the so-called "establishment" over the last six years, and, therefore, has not brought about the sort of change many had hoped/expected. (Worth noting: The base of the party never thinks the president is moving quickly enough. Ever.) Casting the fight for liberal ideals as a movement falls directly in line with the rhetoric Dean used to captivate the Democratic base for much of 2003.
4. "We face a different crisis -- an inequality crisis. It's not often the stuff of banner headlines in our daily newspapers. It's a quiet crisis, but one no less pernicious than those that have come before."
Mayor de Blasio's framing of the inequality problem as on the same level as natural disasters and terrorist attacks (his words) will be met with mockery by conservatives. But, for Democratic candidates looking for ways to make the stakes of the 2014 (and 2016) elections real to the base of their party, de Blasio's "crisis" construct could be effective.
5. "A city that fights injustice and inequality -- not just because it honors our values but because it strengthens our people."
Connecting the battle to close the equality gap to the fabric of who America is as a people has the potential to be resonant with a broader electorate if framed properly. There is power -- as demonstrated by John McCain in 2000 and Barack Obama in 2008 -- in a message centered on the "we are all in this together/we are stronger together than we are apart" idea.
6. "We do not ask more of the wealthy to punish success. We do it to create more success stories."
As the fight over debt and spending continues -- on and on without end -- Democrats seem likely to focus on the need to again raise taxes on the wealthiest among us. To do so, they need to win the message war over why, how and how much. It can't be about punishing success or creating some sort of plan for equal success for everyone. It must be about what raising these taxes will do on the positive side and why that is ultimately a good thing for society. It's a very tough sell under any circumstances, but without the "why we are doing this" piece of the argument, it's a total non-starter.

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The Supreme Court Logic That Could Destroy Privacy in America |
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Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=6030"><span class="small">Conor Friedersdorf, The Atlantic</span></a>
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Friday, 03 January 2014 14:20 |
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Friedersdorf writes: "The legal response from NSA defenders has leaned heavily on the precedent set in Smith v. Maryland, a Supreme Court case decided in 1979, before the era of big data."
(photo: Introversed.com)

The Supreme Court Logic That Could Destroy Privacy in America
By Conor Friedersdorf, The Atlantic
03 January 14
any Americans reacted with outrage when they learned that the NSA stores details about phone calls made by virtually everyone in the United States. They felt a strong, if vague, notion that the practice must violate their constitutional rights. Couldn't NSA analysis of telephone metadata reveal sensitive, private details about most anyone in the country, like their network of friends, the identity of their sexual partners, or their contact with medical or mental health professionals? Aren't mass searches of innocents anathema to the Fourth Amendment?
The legal response from NSA defenders has leaned heavily on the precedent set in Smith v. Maryland, a Supreme Court case decided in 1979, before the era of big data.
The case concerned a robbery. Patricia McDonough, the victim, noticed a 1975 Monte Carlo near the scene of the crime. Later she received obscene phone calls from a man who claimed to be the robber. Once he asked the victim to step out onto her porch, where she saw the Monte Carlo drive slowly by. Soon after, police spotted a man driving the Monte Carlo in the victim's neighborhood. After tracing its license plate to Michael Lee Smith, officers went to the phone company and asked them to put a pen register on his phone. The resulting phone records showed that he called the victim's house. At trial, he tried to suppress that evidence, arguing that the police should have gotten a warrant before having the phone company track the numbers he dialed.
He lost at the Supreme Court. In the majority opinion, Justice Harry Blackmun invoked a test articulated in a previous case, Katz v. United States. It declared that, for Fourth Amendment purposes, a search only occurs when a citizen has a reasonable expectation of privacy.
Did the robber who used his home phone to call his victim have that? "We doubt that people in general entertain any actual expectation of privacy in the numbers they dial," Blackmun wrote. "All telephone users realize that they must 'convey' phone numbers to the telephone company, since it is through telephone company switching equipment that their calls are completed. All subscribers realize, moreover, that the phone company has facilities for making permanent records of the numbers they dial, for they see a list of their long-distance calls on their monthly bills."
The Fourth Amendment confers not "a right to privacy," but a right to be secure against "unreasonable searches and seizures." The NSA's defenders argue that, under the precedent set in Smith v. Maryland, the NSA is not conducting unreasonable searches, because the tens of millions of Americans whose telephone data it hoovers up and stores have no expectation of privacy in who they call. By this logic, even if the federal government used powerful computers to look through the phone calls of tens of millions of people and fully mapped the associations of every last American, based on all phone calls made over the last five years, their conduct still wouldn't count as a search for the purposes of the Fourth Amendment, even if they also published a list of everyone who dialed up a therapist, a divorce attorney, a suicide hotline, an Islamic charity, or the ACLU or NRA!
In contrast, if the government eavesdropped on the content of even a single telephone call without a warrant, that would be a violation of the Fourth Amendment, even though virtually every American would place a much higher value on the private details revealed by the sum total of the metadata that they generate.
At the time Smith v. Maryland was decided, the courts did not anticipate this seemingly absurd result, in part because the case was decided prior to the era of cheap data storage, modern computing power, and sophisticated network analysis. "It is not possible to argue honestly that the facts of Smith are anything like the NSA's bulk data collection," Jim Harper argued at the Cato Institute's blog. "The police had weighty evidence implicating one man. The telephone company voluntarily applied a pen register, collecting analog information about the use of one phone line by that one suspect. I can't think of a factual situation that could be at a further extreme than NSA's telephone calling surveillance program." *
Judge Richard Leon made a similar argument when he found that the NSA's bulk collection of telephone metadata is, in fact, a violation of the Constitution.
But since a different federal judge has just invoked Smith while reaching a contrary conclusion - that the Fourth Amendment does not prohibit bulk metadata collection - it's worth dwelling on what embracing the NSA's reading of Smith would really mean, and why doing so is an unsound approach to interpreting the Constitution, even if we forget about the present controversy and speak more generally.
To illustrate what I mean, indulge a hypothetical I dreamt up while trying to articulate to myself why I find the way Smith is being invoked so illegitimate and dangerous.
Like most Americans, I go with some regularity to the barber shop. I sit down in the chair, the barber goes to work with his scissors, and by the end of the cut my hair is strewn about the floor. As I pay at the register, the barber sweeps up my hair and dumps it into a trashcan. It subsequently goes out to the dumpster in back. By the logic of Smith, I have no reasonable expectation of privacy as regards this hair. I freely allow it to be clipped from my head and to fall to the floor, knowing full well that third parties will take possession of it en route to the dump.
For the sake of this hypothetical, let us imagine two technological advances that take place 10 years apart. In 2015, a shampoo is introduced that prevents any hair washed with it from revealing the DNA of the person to whom it belongs. Widely used in barber shops, it renders the fact that I have no reasonable expectation of privacy in the hair I leave on the barbershop floor completely unproblematic. There is no scenario in which authorities could perpetrate serious, widespread abuses using hair taken from the floors of barbershops. And anyone could easily protect the privacy of the DNA in their hair, as a 2016 Supreme Court opinion notes while upholding the police's ability to gather hair from dumpsters.
But in 2025, another unexpected innovation occurs. Using technology unimagined in any prior year, analysts can determine, given a strand of human hair, every memory possessed by the owner of the hair at the moment when it was cut. And this technological advance is kept secret. Deep inside the NSA's headquarters, its employees are taking delivery from the contents of barbershop and salon dumpsters all over America, extracting the memories of millions of Americans, and creating a database where all of that intensely private data can be queried.
(All in the name of stopping terrorism, of course.)
Suddenly, the real-world consequences of the earlier precedent are dramatically different. With the ability to extract memories from hair, authorities have warrantless access to virtually everything previously protected by the Fourth Amendment: contents of phone calls, visuals of what goes on inside people's bedrooms, etc. The guarantee of being secure against unreasonable searches is all but meaningless now that police can examine the full contents of virtually everyone's memory in a process not considered a search for Fourth Amendment purposes.
If all that transpired, judges would be forced to choose between straying from the precedent they established in a world where its implications were completely unclear, or upholding the precedent and rendering the Fourth Amendment meaningless. Which course would better fulfill the oath that they swore to "support and defend the Constitution of the United States"? For those who constantly invoke balancing tests, which course would better balance security and privacy?
Phone-call metadata is not so revealing as the contents of every memory a human has. But it can reveal a lot of information that would otherwise be protected, and there is a way in which my hypothetical is applicable to the cases presumably working their way up to the Supreme Court. NSA defenders would have the court uphold the precedent it set in Smith v. Maryland without regard for the fact that technology now permits federal authorities to glean far more from the material Americans voluntarily hand over to third parties than was true in 1975. What's being seized may be identical. But the intrusiveness of the search has changed, because the search tools have changed, as has what they're able to yield. Police could quickly determine that Michael Lee Smith called the robbery victim. The NSA can quickly determine not only who people call, but whole social networks by degree of separation (not to mention location if we broaden the discussion to other metadata).
"Perhaps Smith was a bad decision from the get-go; perhaps the Fourth Amendment should never have been interpreted so meekly with regard to the information we disclose to third parties," my colleague Rebecca Rosen writes. "But maybe, we couldn't see that until the full implications came to pass, as they now have."
Indeed, I fear that the full implications have not yet come to pass, and that future technological innovations (though not the ones in my hypothetical) may make Smith even more problematic. Thankfully, Supreme Court Justice Sonia Sotamayor has already begun to rethink this area of law. As she wrote in United States v. Jones:
... it may be necessary to reconsider the premise that an individual has no reasonable expectation of privacy in information voluntarily disclosed to third parties. This approach is ill suited to the digital age, in which people reveal a great deal of information about themselves to third parties in the course of carrying out mundane tasks. People disclose the phone numbers that they dial or text to their cellular providers; the URLs that they visit and the e-mail addresses with which they correspond to their Internet service providers; and the books, groceries, and medications they purchase to online retailers. Perhaps, as JUSTICE ALITO notes, some people may find the "tradeoff" of privacy for convenience "worthwhile," or come to accept this "diminution of privacy" as "inevitable," and perhaps not. I for one doubt that people would accept without complaint the warrantless disclosure to the Government of a list of every Web site they had visited in the last week, or month, or year.
But whatever the societal expectations, they can attain constitutionally protected status only if our Fourth Amendment jurisprudence ceases to treat secrecy as a prerequisite for privacy. I would not assume that all information voluntarily disclosed to some member of the public for a limited purpose is, for that reason alone, disentitled to Fourth Amendment protection.
As well, there is a potential majority on the court that might use what's been dubbed the Mosaic Theory, explained at length here by Orin Kerr, to decide various challenges to the NSA's mass collection of telephone metadata. Any departure from Smith and its questionable interpretation of the "reasonable expectation of privacy" test would significantly reduce the potential for absurd, dangerous results, and better protect the constitutional rights of Americans going forward.
In fact, in Smith v. Maryland, Blackmun approvingly invoked this quote from a prior Supreme Court case to demonstrate that a pen register is less intrusive than a listening device: "Indeed, a law enforcement official could not even determine from the use of a pen register whether a communication existed. These devices do not hear sound. They disclose only the telephone numbers that have been dialed - a means of establishing communication. Neither the purport of any communication between the caller and the recipient of the call, their identities, nor whether the call was even completed is disclosed by pen registers." NSA metadata seems useful only if there is an assumption that communication has occurred between a terrorist and the people at the numbers he dials.

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Torture and the Bush White House |
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Thursday, 02 January 2014 14:20 |
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Coll writes: "C.I.A. memoirs have become a well-populated genre. As with mysteries or science fiction, most entries are at least diverting, as long as you are willing, on occasion, to suspend disbelief."
Former President George W. Bush speaks at the Summit to Save Lives in Washington, DC, 09/13/11. (photo: Getty Images)

Torture and the Bush White House
By Steve Coll, The New Yorker
02 January 13
.I.A. memoirs have become a well-populated genre. As with mysteries or science fiction, most entries are at least diverting, as long as you are willing, on occasion, to suspend disbelief. On the intelligence-memoir shelf, the best reads usually come from rogues—for example, "A Spy for All Seasons," by Duane (Dewey) Clarridge, of Iran-Contra notoriety, or Robert Baer's two volumes of notes on his black-sheep career in the C.I.A.'s Directorate of Operations. (Baer's work inspired the film "Syriana.") Later this month will arrive another volume, "Company Man," an often revealing and funny memoir by John Rizzo, who worked as a lawyer at the C.I.A. for thirty years. Like Clarridge and Baer, Rizzo writes in the acerbic, nothing-to-lose voice of a borderline scoundrel. In fact, he is a deeply loyal agency insider. Between 1976 and his retirement, in 2009, he helped nine different C.I.A. directors to paper over crises, manage Presidents and White House staffs, and outlast congressional inquiries.
"Company Man" is newsy on the legal underpinnings of American counterterrorism policy after September 11th, and on the subject of torture, or "enhanced interrogation techniques" (E.I.T.s), as Rizzo and others who endorsed or accepted their use prefer. Rizzo provides a clear, detailed account of his decision-making and his role in the C.I.A.'s interrogation program. It includes how he might have stopped the whole ugly business by objecting forcefully when the techniques were first proposed, in furtive meetings on the C.I.A.'s executive floor, in the spring of 2002; why he decided not to stand in the way; and how he induced (suckered is more like it) the Justice Department into writing the infamous "torture memos" that sought to legally justify the C.I.A.'s activity.
We don't yet have a reliable or full chronology of the use of torture and harsh interrogation techniques in C.I.A. prisons, but we do know that, beginning in the summer of 2002, several senior Al Qaeda prisoners were waterboarded or subjected to extensive sleep deprivation, or both, in an effort to extract intelligence from them about future plots. These prisoners included Abu Zubaydah, Khalid Sheikh Mohammed, and Abd al-Rahim al-Nashiri.
Continue Reading: Torture and the Bush White House

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