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RSN | Pardon Me: What the Times Didn't Report |
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Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=36478"><span class="small">John Kiriakou, Reader Supported News</span></a>
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Wednesday, 27 January 2021 09:12 |
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Kiriakou writes: "You may have seen an article on the front page of The New York Times recently talking about how associates of President Trump are enriching themselves by selling 'consulting services' for those of us seeking presidential pardons."
John Kiriakou. (photo: The Washington Post)

Pardon Me: What the Times Didn't Report
By John Kiriakou, Reader Supported News
27 January 21
ou may have seen an article on the front page of The New York Times recently talking about how associates of President Trump are enriching themselves by selling “consulting services” for those of us seeking presidential pardons. Attorneys who were close to Trump, former Trump campaign officials, and Republican lobbyists were charging tens of thousands of dollars and more to “present” a case to Trump and to ask for a pardon. It smelled like pay-for-play, and the system of simply going around the Office of the US Pardon Attorney was unprecedented. I was one of the people identified in the Times article as having hired a lobbyist.
In any normal administration, there is a hard-and-fast way for a person who has been convicted of a felony to apply for a presidential pardon. To be clear, a pardon is supposed to be “forgiveness” for a crime after a federal felon has served his time, completed any probation, and made good with his life. It doesn’t erase the crime – it just forgives it. What a convicted felon does is to fill out a form from the website of the Office of the US Pardon Attorney. That office refers the application to the FBI, which does an investigation to see if the felon has indeed repented and rebuilt his life, and then the Pardon Attorney makes a recommendation to the White House.
The problem is that the Pardon Attorney almost never recommends that a person be pardoned. This isn’t a partisan issue. At the end of the Clinton administration, donors to the Clinton Foundation, like international fugitive Marc Rich, whose ex-wife made a sizeable contribution, found that they were on the pardon list. There are really two tiers of justice and rehabilitation here. There are poor people, who go through the formal process and are almost always denied a pardon. And there are people with money and access, who use that money and access to the president to have attention paid to their requests. I went through the formal process in 2015. I filed the pardon application with the Office of the US Pardon Attorney and was ignored. I received a denial more than a year later.
So when Donald Trump was elected president, and it became clear that he was unlike any previous president, pardoning people only because Kanye West and Kim Kardashian asked him to, I decided to play the game as best I could. My strategy was multi-pronged. My attorney identified a lobbyist who had been Trump’s campaign manager in Florida in the 2016 race, and we arranged a meeting in the attorney’s office in Washington.
The meeting went well, or at least I thought it did. The lobbyist bragged about her close ties to Donald Trump. She showed me her cell phone, which had Trump’s cell phone number programmed in it and she said that the president routinely called her late in the night to discuss politics. She claimed closeness to Jared Kushner, Kellyanne Conway, and Sarah Huckabee Sanders. We ended up coming to a deal. I would give her $50,000 (which I had to borrow) with a promise of another $50,000 when I got the pardon.
She went silent as soon as the check cleared. I would call for an update every few months, only to be told the same thing: The White House political director was aware of my case. Kellyanne was supportive. Don’t worry. The lobbyist was making inroads. It was all nonsense, of course. She didn’t have access to Trump, to Kushner, or to anybody else who mattered in the pardon process. I had to find another way to get to the president.
When Covid hit in February 2020, a wealthy friend of mine called to tell me that he had ordered 500 million KN95 masks from a manufacturer in China. He said he’d give me ten cents per mask for each one I helped him sell. We would sell them in lots of one million. Easy money, I thought. In June, he called to tell me that he was close to a deal at the Pentagon to sell 150 million masks, but the deal was stuck in procurement. He asked me if I knew Rudy Giuliani, whom he wanted to hire to get the Pentagon contract unstuck.
I didn’t know Giuliani, but I did know Bernie Kerik, the former New York Police Commissioner and Giuliani confidante who had served several years in prison for corruption. I got in touch with Kerik and he put me in touch with Giuliani’s “people.” We agreed to meet at the Trump International Hotel in Washington on July 1.
Giuliani and a business partner arrived at the Trump. I went with my friend and his business partner. The only item on the agenda was the masks. We asked Giuliani if he would go to the Pentagon with us to ask the Undersecretary of Defense to release the funds for the masks. Giuliani said that he wanted $1 million for the meeting, to which we agreed, and there was then a lull in the conversation.
I took advantage of that lull to ask Giuliani if he was willing to discuss my pardon application. As soon as the words came out of my mouth, he said, “I have to hit the head,” and he got up and went to the men’s room. His partner said, “Rudy doesn’t talk about pardons. You’ll have to talk to me. But Rudy’s going to want $2 million.” I laughed. “I don’t have $2 million. And even if I did, I wouldn’t spend it to recover a $700,000 pension.” That was the end of the conversation.
I’m telling you this story to illustrate how pardons were done during the Trump administration. If you wanted a pardon, you had to go directly to the president. Every other president used the formal pardon process. The problem with that is that the system simply didn’t and doesn’t work. Under Barack Obama, 3,395 people applied for a pardon, for example. Two hundred twelve were granted.
There is a relatively easy solution to this problem. First, there has to be a bipartisan consensus that people convicted of crimes can be rehabilitated. That’s an easy one. Second, there should be a consensus that people deserve to be rehabilitated. And as a practical matter, the Office of the US Pardon Attorney should be housed at the White House and not at the Justice Department. The Pardon Attorney should report directly to the White House Counsel and not to the Attorney General. There has to be independence from the prosecutors who have a vested interest in people not being pardoned.
Until then, the system will continue to encourage corruption and unethical behavior. It will encourage people of means to hire crooked lobbyists and attorneys who try to capitalize on their connections. It will continue to give an advantage in the pardon process to the wealthy. It’s time for the entire process to be restructured.
John Kiriakou is a former CIA counterterrorism officer and a former senior investigator with the Senate Foreign Relations Committee. John became the sixth whistleblower indicted by the Obama administration under the Espionage Act - a law designed to punish spies. He served 23 months in prison as a result of his attempts to oppose the Bush administration's torture program.
Reader Supported News is the Publication of Origin for this work. Permission to republish is freely granted with credit and a link back to Reader Supported News.

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The FBI Can't Investigate White Extremism Until It First Investigates Itself |
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Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=58084"><span class="small">Akin Olla, Guardian UK</span></a>
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Wednesday, 27 January 2021 09:12 |
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Olla writes: "The FBI has a long history of fulfilling the function of white supremacy in the United States."
FBI agents patrol near the site where two police officers were shot in downtown Louisville, Kentucky, on 23 September 2020. (photo: Jeff Dean/AFP/Getty Images)

The FBI Can't Investigate White Extremism Until It First Investigates Itself
By Akin Olla, Guardian UK
27 January 21
Failing to hold the agency accountable will make a mockery of the Biden administration’s claims to combat the far right
ollowing the fascist riot at the US Capitol, the FBI appears to be finally taking action against white supremacists who have infiltrated police departments across the country. It is odd it took this long – while most news outlets are reporting that the FBI identified this threat almost 15 years ago, the FBI has been aware of white supremacist infiltration of police departments since at least 1961. It has also engaged in the work of white supremacy, spending the last century targeting Black leaders for surveillance. If the new Biden administration is to take seriously the threat of white supremacist infiltration of American institutions, the FBI needs to be held accountable for its past and present actions.
The FBI has a long history of fulfilling the function of white supremacy in the United States. While the Tulsa Massacre was ongoing, the FBI’s predecessor was busy investigating Marcus Garvey and his Universal Negro Improvement Association. The FBI’s first director, J Edgar Hoover, waged war on the civil rights movement from its onset. The war was ramped up in the age of Cointelpro, an FBI program designed to surveil, dismantle and destroy any movement working to end racism or capitalist exploitation in the United States. The FBI occasionally investigated white supremacists during this era (1956 to 1971),but spent the vast majority of its resources fighting those committed to Black and Indigenous liberation. And many of the bureau’s investigations of white supremacists were disingenuous; the FBI knew for a fact that the Birmingham police Department had been infiltrated by the KKK, for example, but continued to feed the department information about civil rights activists. During Hoover’s half century as director, the FBI sent a blackmail letter to Martin Luther King encouraging him to commit suicide and was probably involved in the assassination of 21-year-old NAACP and Chicago Black Panther party leader Fred Hampton.
Towards the end of Hoover’s tenure, the FBI even went so far as to allegedly create and arm a far-right paramilitary organization in San Diego for the purpose of disrupting, attacking and potentially assassinating leftwing, particularly Chicano, leaders. On 6 January 1972, the FBI’s secret army attempted to murder Peter G Bohmer, a Marxist economics professor, and Paula Tharp, who had previously worked for an underground newspaper. The offices of that same newspaper had been previously raided twice by the FBI’s army. The army also bombed a movie theater and planned the assassination of leaders of the leftwing Chicano organization the Brown Berets, along with a second attempt on Peter Bohmer. No member of the FBI has been held accountable for these actions.
While the FBI likes to pretend that those were crimes of the past, there are more recent examples of white supremacist behavior in the organization. There is evidence that some FBI agents and other federal agents frequented an annual party called “The Good Ol’ Boys Roundup” from 1980 to 1996. The “Roundup” was known as a whites-only gathering that involved the selling of fake “N----r hunting licenses” and T-shirts with King’s face in a sniper’s crosshairs. While the Department of Justice insists that federal agents weren’t overwhelmingly engaged in racist behavior, their investigation of the Roundup was primarily conducted through interviews with participants of the event itself.
And it wasn’t just individual officers engaging in racist behavior. In the late 1990s the FBI launched an investigation of the Wu-Tang Clan, classifying it as a “major criminal organization”, with one agent comparing it to the Bloods. The FBI’s history of harassing and surveilling Black artists includes targeting Duke Ellington in 1938 and Gil Scott-Heron in the 1970s and 1980s. The FBI has long feared Black artists and their ability to reach the American public, which is why, in 1989, Milt Ahlerich, its assistant director of public affairs, sent a threatening letter to NWA’s record label in response to their evergreen classic Fuck tha Police.
The modern FBI has a problematic track record, too. In 2017 the bureau created a new counter-terrorism designation in response to the rise of Black Lives Matter and a new wave of the Black Liberation Movement. The new designation “Black Identity Extremists” has already been used to surveil and arrest at least one Black activist, Rakem Balogun, an open socialist and member of a number of leftwing Black power organizations. The FBI cited Balogun’s Facebook posts to justify raiding his home and arresting him; all the charges against him were unsubstantiated and later dropped. The designation has been criticized by many, including the National Organization of Black Law Enforcement Executives, the nation’s largest organizations of Black police officers. And while Balogun was the first to be openly targeted, it is clear he is far from the only Black activist currently being surveilled.
All this is on top of the racist and Islamophobic targeting of the US Muslim population. Since 9/11, the FBI has placed spies in mosques across the country and surveilled Muslim Americans for crimes as simple as researching video games and ordering computers from Best Buy. The surveillance did not cease in our arguably “Post-Post-9/11” world; the FBI visited at least a hundred Muslims in the United States in the run-up to the 2016 election. At a time in which hate crimes against Muslims were increasing, the FBI spent valuable resources doubling down on racial profiling.
The internal culture and individual behaviors of FBI agents are also of concern. In 1991, a group of Black agents filed a class action lawsuit against the bureau, claiming a history of racial discrimination. Despite the agents winning the lawsuit, the FBI made no attempt to alter its culture. Just a few months ago, a group of Black former FBI agents had to form an organization just to argue for more racial diversity in the bureau, especially at the highest ranks, which have remained nearly exclusively white for the entirety of its 100 years in existence. While representation won’t even begin to address the FBI’s racism, it is telling that Black agents represent an even smaller percentage of the FBI than they did in the midst of the early 1990s lawsuit.
The FBI has made some effort to reform itself over the years, but those attempts were undone in the aftermath of 9/11 and the rise of the new surveillance state. In 2011 the FBI decentralized its operations, giving individual agents more autonomy to conduct low-level searches and investigations with no paper trail. Given the racist culture within the organization, and the new designation created specifically for Black activists, there is reason to be concerned about the bureau’s future.
Given the FBI’s long history of upholding white supremacy, it is clearly ill-equipped to investigate white supremacist infiltration of other organizations. The FBI, like our country’s military and police departments, needs to be thoroughly investigated and its racist practices, past and present, brought to light. Failing to hold the agency accountable will prove the current administration’s claims of combating extremism a farce.

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Bernie Sanders in New Push for $15 Minimum Wage Under Biden: 'For Me, It's Morally Imperative' |
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Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=36104"><span class="small">Steven Greenhouse, Guardian UK</span></a>
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Tuesday, 26 January 2021 13:28 |
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Greenhouse writes: "Senator Bernie Sanders says the widespread suffering caused by the pandemic-induced economic crisis has made it 'morally imperative' to increase the US's minimum wage to $15 an hour."
Bernie Sanders. (photo: Joseph Cress/Iowa Press Citizen)

ALSO SEE: Democrats Reintroduce $15 Minimum Wage Bill
Bernie Sanders in New Push for $15 Minimum Wage Under Biden: 'For Me, It's Morally Imperative'
By Steven Greenhouse, Guardian UK
26 January 21
Leftwing senator tells Guardian the chances of raising the federal minimum are better than ever with new president in White House
enator Bernie Sanders says the widespread suffering caused by the pandemic-induced economic crisis has made it “morally imperative” to increase the US’s minimum wage to $15 an hour. And in an interview with the Guardian, Sanders and other lawmakers pushing for a higher minimum wage say the chances of enacting a $15 minimum are better than ever before now that President Joe Biden has called for a $15 federal minimum as part of his emergency Covid legislative package.
Raising the minimum to $15 would more than double the current $7.25-an-hour federal minimum wage, but many Republicans oppose the move, saying it would hurt business.
In an interview, Sanders, who championed a $15 minimum wage as a presidential candidate in 2016 and 2020, voiced excitement about the prospects of raising the minimum wage, which hasn’t increased since 2009, the longest stretch without an increase since Congress first enacted a minimum wage in 1938.
“This country faces an enormous economic crisis that is aggravated by the pandemic,” Sanders said. “We’re looking at terrible levels of unemployment. We’re looking at growing income and wealth inequality. What concerns me as much as anything is that half our people are living paycheck to paycheck. Millions of people are trying to survive on starvation wages. For me, it’s morally imperative that we raise the minimum wage to a living wage that’s at least $15 an hour.”
The House voted last July to raise the minimum wage to $15 in steps through 2025, but then Senate majority leader Mitch McConnell blocked a vote on it. With the White House, Senate and House under Democratic control, Sanders said the chances are good to enact a $15 minimum, although he said it would be hard to attract 10 Republican Senators to support it, making it hard to overcome a filibuster.
Sanders, the incoming chairman of the Senate Budget Committee, sees another route to passage, saying it could be done under the “budget reconciliation” – a process where measures deemed to have budgetary impact can be approved by simple majority vote.
“It clearly has to be done by reconciliation. That’s something I’m working very hard on,” said Sanders.
Mary Kay Henry, president of the Service Employees International Union (SEIU), which played a pivotal role in backing the Fight for $15, sees considerable momentum behind a $15 minimum.
That push has come a long way since the Fight for $15 began in 2012, when 200 fast-food workers in New York went on a one-day strike. “We are incredibly proud that the momentum around $15 solidified as part of the presidential campaign, and that the Biden-Harris administration is so committed to get it done that they’ve put it in the first action of Congress for Covid emergency relief,” Henry said. “There is wind at our backs.”
Henry noted that Raphael Warnock and John Ossoff campaigned for a $15 minimum in their successful Senate races in Georgia. Moreover, Florida voters, while backing Donald Trump, voted overwhelmingly – 61% to 39% – to raise that state’s minimum to $15 by 2026.
“A $15 minimum is the single most concrete way to reduce racial inequality, put money in people’s pockets and make material change in people’s lives,” Henry said. The Economic Policy Institute, a progressive thinktank, found that raising the minimum to $15 would help 25% of Black workers, 19.1% of Hispanic workers, 13.1% of White workers and 10.8% of Asian workers.
A Pew poll found that Americans favor increasing the minimum to $15, by 67% to 33%. Henry warned that “any elected official in Congress who dares to stand against us on this is going to pay a big political price”.
Rita Blalock, a McDonald’s cook in Raleigh, North Carolina, prays for a $15 minimum. Blalock, who earns $10 an hour after nearly 10 years at McDonald’s, said she often relies on food pantries and can’t afford her $200 rent every two weeks at a rooming house. “Fortunately, I can eat free at work,” said Blalock, whose work schedule has been cut to 20 hours many weeks.
Asked what a $15 minimum would mean, Blalock, 54, said: “Oh my God, I could afford rent. I could eat a little better. I could finally buy me some clothes.”
Blalock has participated in many of the Fight for $15’s one-day strikes. “I feel if it doesn’t pass in [Biden’s] first 100 days, it’s going to be swept under the rug,” she said.
A $15 minimum faces strong Republican opposition from senators including Pat Toomey, Republican of Pennsylvania, who has said that “if the federal government mandates a universal $15 minimum wage, many low-income Americans will lose their current jobs and find fewer job opportunities in the future.”
Michael Saltsman, managing director of the Employment Policies Institute, a corporate-backed research group, also said it would be a bad time to enact a $15 minimum.
“You’ve got a lot of businesses hanging from a thread,” he said. “A $15 minimum is an irresponsible proposal at any time, and it’s particularly so right now.”
Saltsman said the Senate should not vote on a $15 minimum via reconciliation, arguing that its budgetary effect would be minimal. With the Senate divided 50-50, he questioned whether Democrats could muster 50 votes for a $15 minimum, suggesting that centrist Democrats like Joe Manchin of West Virginia might balk at it.
Bill Dauster, a top aide to former Senate majority leader Harry Reid, wrote in a recent editorial that raising the minimum would have clear budgetary effects and could be voted on through reconciliation.
Many Republicans say the federal minimum should remain at $7.25, leaving any increases to individual states. Walmart chief Doug McMillon says that if there is a minimum wage increase, it should take “geographic differences” into account, considering the differing costs of living in, say, California and Mississippi.
The Congressional Budget Office forecast that 1.3 million workers would become jobless due to an increase to $15. That study also forecast that 27 million workers would receive pay increases thanks to a $15 minimum, and the number of people in poverty would decline by 1.3 million.
Arindrajit Dube, an economics professor at the University of Massachusetts, Amherst, said a review of economic studies shows that “more ambitious minimum wage policies have yet to produce any clear impact on jobs, even though it has certainly raised wages and reduced inequality”.
“Overall, the body of literature shows it has very little effect on low-wage jobs,” Dube said. “My work shows it leads to a reduction in poverty and increased family earnings, and maybe 35¢ on the dollar goes back to the government through reduced public assistance.”
Differing with Dube, economists David Neumark and Peter Shirley, in a newly released review of minimum wage research, conclude that “most of the evidence indicates the opposite – that minimum wages reduce low-skilled employment,” with the strongest effects on teens, young adults and the less-educated.
Senator Sanders said it’s outrageous that the purchasing power of the minimum wage has declined 30% since the late 1960s. “The fact that President Biden moved aggressively on this is important to the workers who will benefit,” Sanders said.
“It signals to the entire country that workers cannot continue to live on starvation wages, and I hope that message gets out to employers all across the country.”

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FOCUS: Putin's Unchanging, Unthinking Response to Alexey Navalny |
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Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=46742"><span class="small">Masha Gessen, The New Yorker</span></a>
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Tuesday, 26 January 2021 13:12 |
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Gessen writes: "Alexey Navalny's latest video report has been viewed more than eighty-eight million times in the seven days since it was posted. Navalny, who has been in jail for the past week, bills the film as his anti-corruption organization's biggest investigation to date."
Alexey Navalny. (photo: EPA)

Putin's Unchanging, Unthinking Response to Alexey Navalny
By Masha Gessen, The New Yorker
26 January 21
lexey Navalny’s latest video report has been viewed more than eighty-eight million times in the seven days since it was posted. Navalny, who has been in jail for the past week, bills the film as his anti-corruption organization’s biggest investigation to date. In the course of nearly two hours, the activist narrates the story of a giant palace that Vladimir Putin has built on the Black Sea; the convoluted system of kickbacks and involuntary contributions that financed it; the even more convoluted system created to conceal who owns it; and, most impressively, the tasteless, overpriced, over-the-top lacquer-and-plush interiors of the in-palace theatre, the hookah room, the domestic casino, the miniature race-car room, the twenty-seven-hundred-square-foot master-bedroom suite, and the expansive empire of adjacent vineyards and colonized vistas. Drone footage, archival photos, and 3-D reconstructions of the palace from floor plans are interspersed with Navalny speaking, wearing a blazer and a shirt with its collar unbuttoned; at times, the viewer can see the scar from the tracheal tube through which he breathed during the weeks he spent in a coma after he was poisoned with the nerve agent Novichok last August.
Navalny’s investigation is by far the most detailed study of a palace that Russians first heard about almost a dozen years ago, when one of its original financiers became a whistle-blower. (Sergei Kolesnikov has been living in exile since.) The project is nearly as old as Putin’s Presidency. In fact, as Navalny’s study reveals, the palace was completed years ago but fell into disrepair; pipes burst, mold grew, and the palace had to be reconstructed before it was ever inhabited.
What was Putin thinking? Why has he poured unimaginable resources into a palace that he will never use—more than a billion dollars, spent in extreme and resource-intensive secrecy, and, apparently, many hours of discussing, drawing up, imagining a regal monstrosity with two helipads and an underground hockey rink? He cannot use it while he is President, because that would expose him as the owner. Perhaps he dreams of retiring there after his Presidency ends. But, if Putin doesn’t die in office, he will be unable to stay in Russia without facing prosecution for extensive abuses of power. The desperate determination with which he holds on to power indicates that he understands this. On some level, not too far below the surface, he must know that he will never be able to use his palace.
Putin’s palace is a toy—a gigantic Lego project of a deranged, obsessive mind. In his film, Navalny stresses that some of the most absurd elements of the project—such as a seven-hundred-euro toilet brush for a bathroom in one of the vineyard houses on the outskirts of the palace complex—serve no practical function; they were placed there in case Putin ever has the occasion to acquaint himself with that implement in that particular room in that particular corner of an estate the size of a small European country. In fact, the whole project was built not for pleasure, and certainly not for show, but to satisfy some insatiable fantasy of wealth. Putin will never sit on the twenty-six-thousand-dollar leather couch or dine at the fifty-thousand-dollar table.
On Saturday, tens of thousands of protesters in more than a hundred and ten cities around Russia took to the streets—some in extremely cold weather (in Yakutsk, in eastern Siberia, temperatures of minus fifty-eight degrees Farenheit were reported), all in extremely risky conditions—to protest Navalny’s arrest a week ago. On January 17th, the activist returned to Russia from Germany, where he had been recovering from the effects of the poisoning. More than thirty-seven hundred people were arrested during the protests or in connection with them, a record number for a single weekend in Russian protest history, according to OVDInfo, an organization that tracks arrests and political prosecutions. Yulia Navalnaya, Alexey’s wife, was briefly detained in Moscow. The majority of those who were detained either have been released without charge or will face an administrative fine, but a handful of criminal prosecutions have been launched in cities from Vladivostok in the east to St. Petersburg in the west, certain to add to the list of dozens of Russian political prisoners, which includes Navalny himself.
Protests used to scare Putin. In his lone official biography, a slim book published when he emerged as Russia’s anointed leader two decades ago, Putin recalled being terrified of the crowds when East Germany erupted in protests in 1989, when Putin was working for the K.G.B. there. When protesters came to the building where he worked and the Soviet troops stationed in East Germany weren’t mobilized to protect the K.G.B., Putin said, he “got the sense that the country doesn’t exist anymore. I realized that the Soviet Union is ill. It was a terminal, incurable illness called paralysis—the paralysis of authority.” Soon after, Putin returned to the Soviet Union, where protest had just become possible. Hundreds of thousands of people would gather in Moscow, tens of thousands in Leningrad. Soon, the Soviet Union collapsed, apparently cementing Putin’s view that a large number of people in the streets signals the end of a regime.
Since Putin became President, several post-Soviet states have seen so-called color revolutions, mass protests that brought about the change of regime: the Rose Revolution in Georgia, in 2003; the Orange Revolution in Ukraine, in 2004; the Tulip Revolution in Kyrgyzstan, in 2005; the Lilac Revolution in Moldova, in 2009; and more, including more revolutions in the same countries. (In Russian, the words “color” and “flower” have the same root, making it easier to combine all of these revolutions in one category.) Each of these revolutions clearly frightened Putin, but the Orange Revolution and the next Ukrainian revolution, the Revolution of Dignity, in 2014, became obsessions. In their terror, Putin and his supporters and advisers seemed oblivious to the differences between the two countries. Unlike Russia, Ukraine never restored autocratic rule after the collapse of the Soviet Union but has remained in a state of prolonged transition. Unlike Russia, it created and kept a judiciary and a parliament that enjoy a measure of independence from the executive branch. These institutions, albeit weak, provided the levers through which mass protest created political change: in 2004, the high court ordered a revote when the people were protesting a rigged election; in 2014, the opposition in parliament exerted pressure on the President.
In Russia, by contrast, democratic institutions were dismantled during Putin’s first term as President. Russia has long been impervious to protest because nothing connects the streets to the government. But Putin seemed not to realize this. Faced with mass protests from 2011 to 2012, the Kremlin cracked down, passed punitive legislation, staged a show trial of two dozen randomly selected protesters, forced most protest leaders into exile, and imprisoned one. In 2015, another protest leader, Boris Nemtsov, was killed. That left Navalny, who single-handedly inspired mass protests in 2013, between 2017 and 2018, and in 2019.
As my colleague Joshua Yaffa wrote following Saturday’s protests, Putin and Navalny are locked in battle. Navalny’s approach is wide-ranging, creative, and strategic. He is not only spectacularly brave but also fantastically inventive. He has built an investigative-journalism organization, an electoral organization that challenges Putin’s monopoly on power, and a system for organizing protests. He thinks several steps ahead, as he showed when he released his film about Putin’s palace after he was arrested. “We came up with this investigation while I was in intensive care,” Navalny says in the video, “but we immediately agreed that we would release it when I returned home, to Russia, to Moscow, because we do not want the main character of this film to think that we are afraid of him and that I will tell about his worst secret while I am abroad.”
Putin responds with blunt force: arrests, trials on trumped-up charges, assassination attempts, more arrests, more trumped-up charges. In this, he is like Alexander Lukashenka, the Belarusian dictator who has responded to months of mass protests by marching around carrying a machine gun and overseeing arrests and torture, followed by more arrests and more torture. An autocrat has the option of responding to mass unrest by trampling on and ignoring it. Watching Belarus, while Navalny was recuperating from the assassination attempt, may have made Putin less afraid of protests.
Still, one might wonder, what is Putin’s ultimate plan? If he has Navalny put away for many years, as he apparently intends to do—even if he finally has Navalny killed—what does he think is going to happen with the tens of thousands of Russians who are willing to risk their safety, indeed their lives, to protest? What about the structures that Navalny has built? What about Yulia Navalnaya, who has emerged as a popular symbol of wisdom, patience, and love? What about international pressure and likely stepped-up sanctions? What is Putin thinking? He is not.

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