RSN Fundraising Banner
FB Share
Email This Page
add comment
Politics
FOCUS: We Oppose the Government's Order Print
Wednesday, 17 February 2016 12:14

Cook writes: "The United States government has demanded that Apple take an unprecedented step which threatens the security of our customers. We oppose this order, which has implications far beyond the legal case at hand."

Tim Cook. (photo: Joe Pugliese/Fortune)
Tim Cook. (photo: Joe Pugliese/Fortune)


We Oppose the Government's Order

By Tim Cook, The Washington Post

17 February 16

 

he United States government has demanded that Apple take an unprecedented step which threatens the security of our customers. We oppose this order, which has implications far beyond the legal case at hand.

This moment calls for public discussion, and we want our customers and people around the country to understand what is at stake.

The Need for Encryption

Smartphones, led by iPhone, have become an essential part of our lives. People use them to store an incredible amount of personal information, from our private conversations to our photos, our music, our notes, our calendars and contacts, our financial information and health data, even where we have been and where we are going.

All that information needs to be protected from hackers and criminals who want to access it, steal it, and use it without our knowledge or permission. Customers expect Apple and other technology companies to do everything in our power to protect their personal information, and at Apple we are deeply committed to safeguarding their data.

Compromising the security of our personal information can ultimately put our personal safety at risk. That is why encryption has become so important to all of us.

For many years, we have used encryption to protect our customers’ personal data because we believe it’s the only way to keep their information safe. We have even put that data out of our own reach, because we believe the contents of your iPhone are none of our business.

The San Bernardino Case

We were shocked and outraged by the deadly act of terrorism in San Bernardino last December. We mourn the loss of life and want justice for all those whose lives were affected. The FBI asked us for help in the days following the attack, and we have worked hard to support the government’s efforts to solve this horrible crime. We have no sympathy for terrorists.

When the FBI has requested data that’s in our possession, we have provided it. Apple complies with valid subpoenas and search warrants, as we have in the San Bernardino case. We have also made Apple engineers available to advise the FBI, and we’ve offered our best ideas on a number of investigative options at their disposal.

We have great respect for the professionals at the FBI, and we believe their intentions are good. Up to this point, we have done everything that is both within our power and within the law to help them. But now the U.S. government has asked us for something we simply do not have, and something we consider too dangerous to create. They have asked us to build a backdoor to the iPhone.

Specifically, the FBI wants us to make a new version of the iPhone operating system, circumventing several important security features, and install it on an iPhone recovered during the investigation. In the wrong hands, this software — which does not exist today — would have the potential to unlock any iPhone in someone’s physical possession.

The FBI may use different words to describe this tool, but make no mistake: Building a version of iOS that bypasses security in this way would undeniably create a backdoor. And while the government may argue that its use would be limited to this case, there is no way to guarantee such control.

The Threat to Data Security

Some would argue that building a backdoor for just one iPhone is a simple, clean-cut solution. But it ignores both the basics of digital security and the significance of what the government is demanding in this case.

In today’s digital world, the “key” to an encrypted system is a piece of information that unlocks the data, and it is only as secure as the protections around it. Once the information is known, or a way to bypass the code is revealed, the encryption can be defeated by anyone with that knowledge.

The government suggests this tool could only be used once, on one phone. But that’s simply not true. Once created, the technique could be used over and over again, on any number of devices. In the physical world, it would be the equivalent of a master key, capable of opening hundreds of millions of locks — from restaurants and banks to stores and homes. No reasonable person would find that acceptable.

The government is asking Apple to hack our own users and undermine decades of security advancements that protect our customers — including tens of millions of American citizens — from sophisticated hackers and cybercriminals. The same engineers who built strong encryption into the iPhone to protect our users would, ironically, be ordered to weaken those protections and make our users less safe.

We can find no precedent for an American company being forced to expose its customers to a greater risk of attack. For years, cryptologists and national security experts have been warning against weakening encryption. Doing so would hurt only the well-meaning and law-abiding citizens who rely on companies like Apple to protect their data. Criminals and bad actors will still encrypt, using tools that are readily available to them.

A Dangerous Precedent

Rather than asking for legislative action through Congress, the FBI is proposing an unprecedented use of the All Writs Act of 1789 to justify an expansion of its authority.

The government would have us remove security features and add new capabilities to the operating system, allowing a passcode to be input electronically. This would make it easier to unlock an iPhone by “brute force,” trying thousands or millions of combinations with the speed of a modern computer.

The implications of the government’s demands are chilling. If the government can use the All Writs Act to make it easier to unlock your iPhone, it would have the power to reach into anyone’s device to capture their data. The government could extend this breach of privacy and demand that Apple build surveillance software to intercept your messages, access your health records or financial data, track your location, or even access your phone’s microphone or camera without your knowledge.

Opposing this order is not something we take lightly. We feel we must speak up in the face of what we see as an overreach by the U.S. government.

We are challenging the FBI’s demands with the deepest respect for American democracy and a love of our country. We believe it would be in the best interest of everyone to step back and consider the implications.

While we believe the FBI’s intentions are good, it would be wrong for the government to force us to build a backdoor into our products. And ultimately, we fear that this demand would undermine the very freedoms and liberty our government is meant to protect.

Tim Cook

e-max.it: your social media marketing partner
 
Why Brother Bernie Is Better for Black People Than Sister Hillary Print
Wednesday, 17 February 2016 09:31

West writes: "When it comes to advancing Dr. King's legacy, a vote for Clinton not only falls far short of the mark; it prevents us from giving new life to King's legacy. Instead, it is Sanders who has championed that legacy in word and in deed for 50 years."

Cornel West. (photo: AOL)
Cornel West. (photo: AOL)


Why Brother Bernie Is Better for Black People Than Sister Hillary

By Cornel West, Politico

17 February 16

 

he future of American democracy depends on our response to the legacy of Martin Luther King, Jr. And that legacy is not just about defending civil rights; it’s also about fighting to fix our rigged economy, which yields grotesque wealth inequality; our narcissistic culture, which unleashes obscene greed; our market-driven media, which thrives on xenophobic entertainment; and our militaristic prowess, which promotes hawkish policies around the world. The fundamental aim of black voters—and any voters with a deep moral concern for our public interest and common good—should be to put a smile on Martin’s face from the grave.

The conventional wisdom holds that, in the Democratic primary, Hillary Clinton is the candidate who will win over African-American voters—that her rival, Bernie Sanders, performed well in Iowa and won New Hampshire on account of those states’ disproportionate whiteness, and that Clinton’s odds are better in the upcoming contests in South Carolina and Nevada, two highly diverse states.

But in fact, when it comes to advancing Dr. King’s legacy, a vote for Clinton not only falls far short of the mark; it prevents us from giving new life to King’s legacy. Instead, it is Sanders who has championed that legacy in word and in deed for 50 years. This election is not a mere campaign; it is a crusade to resurrect democracy—King-style—in our time. In 2016, Sanders is the one leading that crusade.

Clinton has touted the fact that, in 1962, she met King after seeing him speak, an experience she says allowed her to appreciate King’s “moral clarity.” Yet two years later, as a high schooler, Clinton campaigned vigorously for Barry Goldwater—a figure King called “morally indefensible” owing to his staunch opposition to the Civil Rights Act of 1964. And she attended the Republican convention in 1968! Meanwhile, at this same moment in history, Sanders was getting arrested for protesting segregation in Chicago and marching in Washington with none other than King itself. That’s real moral clarity.

Needless to say, some moral clarity set in as Clinton’s politics moved to the left in her college years. After graduating from law school, she joined the Children's Defense Fund as a staff attorney, working under the great King disciple, Marian Wright Edelman, with whom she struck up a friendship. Yet that relationship soured. This came after Hillary Clinton—in defending her husband’s punitive crime bill and its drastic escalation of the mass incarceration of poor people, especially black and brown people—referred callously to gang-related youth as “superpredators.” And it was Bill Clinton who signed a welfare reform bill that all but eliminated the safety net for poor women and children—a Machiavellian attempt to promote right-wing policies in order to “neutralize” the Republican Party. In protest, Peter Edelman, Marian’s courageous husband, resigned from his assistant secretary post at the Department of Health and Human Services.

The Clintons’ neoliberal economic policies—principally, the repeal of the Glass-Steagall banking legislation, apparently under the influence of Wall Street’s money—have also hurt King’s cause. The Clinton Machine—celebrated by the centrist wing of the Democratic Party, white and black—did produce economic growth. But it came at the expense of poor people (more hopeless and prison-bound) and working people (also decimated by the Clinton-sponsored North American Free Trade Agreement).

Bill apologized for the effects of his crime bill, after devastating thousands of black and poor lives. Will Hillary apologize for supporting the same measures?

It’s no accident that Goldman Sachs paid Hillary Clinton $675,000 for a mere three speeches in 2013, or that the firm has given hundreds of thousands of dollars to her campaigns or that, in total, it has paid her and her husband more than $150 million in speaking fees since 2001. This is the same Goldman Sachs that engaged in predatory lending of sub-prime mortgages that collapsed in 2008, disproportionately hurting black Americans.

These ties are far from being “old news” or an “artful smear,” as Hillary Clinton recently put it. Rather, they perfectly underscore how it is Sanders, not Clinton, who is building on King’s legacy. Sanders’ specific policies—in support of a $15 minimum wage, a massive federal jobs program with a living wage, free tuition for public college and universities, and Medicare for all—would undeniably lessen black social misery. In addition, he has specifically made the promise, at a Black Lives Matter meeting in Chicago, to significantly shrink mass incarceration and to prioritize fixing the broken criminal justice system, including eliminating all for-profit prisons.

Clinton has made similar promises. But how can we take them seriously when the Ready for Hillary PAC received more than $133,000 from lobbying firms that do work for the GEO Group and Corrections Corporation of America—two major private prison groups whose aim is to expand mass incarceration for profit? It was only after this fact was reported that Clinton pledged to stop accepting campaign donations from such groups. Similarly, without Sanders in the race to challenge her, there’s no question Clinton would otherwise be relatively silent about Wall Street.

The battle now raging in Black America over the Clinton-Sanders election is principally a battle between a declining neoliberal black political and chattering class still on the decaying Clinton bandwagon (and gravy train!) and an emerging populism among black poor, working and middle class people fed up with the Clinton establishment in the Democratic Party. It is easy to use one’s gender identity, as Clinton has, or racial identity, as the Congressional Black Caucus recently did in endorsing her, to hide one’s allegiance to the multi-cultural and multi-gendered Establishment. But a vote for Clinton forecloses the new day for all of us and keeps us captive to the trap of wealth inequality, greed (“everybody else is doing it”), corporate media propaganda and militarism abroad—all of which are detrimental to black America.

In the age of Barack Obama, this battle remained latent, with dissenting voices vilified. As a black president, Obama has tended to talk progressive but walk neoliberal in the face of outrageous right-wing opposition. Black child poverty has increased since 2008, with more than 45 percent of black children under age 6 living in poverty today. Sanders talks and walks populist, and he is committed to targeting child poverty. As president, he would be a more progressive than not just Clinton but also Obama—and that means better for black America.

Now, with Obama’s departure from the White House, we shall see clearly where black America stands in relation to King’s legacy. Will voters put a smile on Martin’s face? It’s clear how we can do it. King smiles at Sanders’ deep integrity and genuine conviction, while he weeps at the Clinton machine’s crass opportunism and the inequality and injustice it breeds.

e-max.it: your social media marketing partner
 
The Supreme Court After Scalia Print
Wednesday, 17 February 2016 09:27

Hunter writes: "The Supreme Court is a bulwark of reaction. We should be checking its power, not paying deference to it."

Antonin Scalia testifies before a House panel on May 20, 2010. (photo: Stephen Masker/Flickr)
Antonin Scalia testifies before a House panel on May 20, 2010. (photo: Stephen Masker/Flickr)


The Supreme Court After Scalia

By Rob Hunter, Jacobin

17 February 16

 

The Supreme Court is a bulwark of reaction. We should be checking its power, not paying deference to it.

ustice Antonin Scalia — a reactionary presence on the Supreme Court for three decades — is dead.

In this moment and the moments to come, we have the opportunity to demand a different kind of Supreme Court — one disciplined and bounded by collective political action, rather than one standing athwart it. We must insist on this vision even while salvos of pleading, cajoling, and dire threats erupt from our right flank.

We will be told that the stakes for this year’s presidential contest are higher than ever. We will be instructed to uncritically support the presumptive (though beleaguered) Democratic nominee, or else risk losing the chance to prevent another conservative from joining the Court.

We will be warned — as we have been already — against “re-litigating” legislative disappointments like the Affordable Care Act. The chorus will be comprised of elite liberals, who are besotted with the idea of entrenching policy through legal argumentation rather than pursuing political change through popular struggle.

To be sure, Scalia’s death has temporarily thrown a shroud of uncertainty over a number of important cases this term — cases that will shape collective bargaining, immigration, affirmative action, and environmental protection. But making the staffing of the Court the focus of political activity can, at best, only delay calamities for labor, for the planet, and for those excluded and dominated by structures of xenophobia and racism. Law is no substitute for politics.

We have already heard a great deal about the likelihood of this or that outcome in the coming battles over Scalia’s replacement. These prognostications are as irrelevant to the Left as they have always been.

Why obsess over a ninth justice? Why have nine at all? Why reward the Court with as much deference and respect as its justices assume they will always receive?

The Supreme Court is a bulwark of reaction. Its brief is to maintain the institutional boundaries drawn by the Constitution, a document conceived out of fear of majoritarian democracy and written by members of a ruling class acting in brazen self-interest.

Progressive outcomes are rare at the Supreme Court, an institution that has historically functioned to impede attempts to expand public power and democratic control.

The Court was a bastion of moderate liberalism for a short time in the middle of the last century. But this did not occur because the Court is naturally a “forum of principle,” as the philosopher and apologist for antidemocratic elitism Ronald Dworkin once declaimed (and as so many liberals fondly imagine). Rather, the liberal Warren Court was the product of a specific conjuncture of social forces not likely to be seen again.

We should not chase after the fantasy of exploiting Scalia’s absence to reconstitute a liberal-majority Court — and not merely because any possible Democratic president in 2017 is likely to lack the political support needed for successful judicial appointments.

We should instead explore and promote options that would subordinate the Supreme Court to political control. Now is the right moment to dream of a chastened Court and to envision how that dream may become a reality.

Curbing the Court through political action was hardly uncommon before the twentieth century. It was only then that judicial supremacy — the doctrine that the Court is the sole authoritative expositor of constitutional probity and meaning — took hold.

Earlier on, unhappy Congresses and presidents pursued a variety of means for venting their displeasure with the courts. In the republic’s infancy, Congress was frequently at odds with the federal judiciary, going so far as to disband circuit courts and delay a Supreme Court term. In 1804, the House of Representatives impeached Justice Samuel Chase, only to have the Senate later acquit him — setting the first of many unfortunate precedents for political non-interference in the Court’s business.

Through the Judicial Circuits Act of 1866 and the Judiciary Act of 1869, a Republican-dominated postbellum Congress kept Andrew Johnson from nominating a tenth justice and then capped the number of justices at nine. There’s nothing magical about the number. The text of the Constitution does not specify the size of the Court. The practice of staffing the Court with nine and only nine justices is “just one more wobbly convention.” And conventions may be altered or discarded altogether.

Today, an enthusiasm for court-curbing legislation is often dismissed as fanciful or illegitimate. For this, the ideology of judicial supremacy may be thanked — not giving the Court the final say over the constitutionality of legislation is unthinkable.

Opponents of court curbing frequently point to Franklin D. Roosevelt’s Court-packing plan, announced on February 5, 1937, shortly after his landslide reelection. Roosevelt asked Congress to enable him to appoint six new justices, one for every current justice who happened to be older than seventy and a half. So expanded, the Court would no longer invalidate key New Deal legislation on the basis of tendentious, reactionary reasoning. Although Roosevelt was able to cultivate support for the proposal within his own party, conservatives were aghast and accused him of subverting the constitutional order.

Today, Roosevelt’s plan is frequently discussed as a failure or worse — a dangerous threat to the principle of judicial independence. In the eyes of conservatives, the “switch in time that saved nine” — the Court’s 1937 abandonment of laissez-faire doctrines — was the ultimate proof of the New Deal coalition’s unconstitutional radicalism.

But the fabled about-face — Justice Owen Roberts’s apparent change of heart about the constitutionality of minimum-wage legislation in West Coast Hotel Co. v. Parrish, announced on March 29, 1937 — does not seem attributable to Roosevelt’s plan. At the time, many believed that the Court had caved after receiving pressure from Roosevelt. However, evidence suggests that Roberts had made up his mind in the previous year.

It is also commonly said that Roosevelt overplayed his hand and was ultimately outmaneuvered and overtaken by events. The Court stole a march on him in West Coast Hotel and undermined his political support in the process. Subsequent judicial ratification of specific pieces of New Deal legislation came about through his appointment of several friendly justices, this line of argument goes, rather than cowing the Court through a public showdown.

So did Roosevelt err, and was he unwise to threaten the Court’s vaunted independence?

The plan was certainly clumsy. Roosevelt would have been wiser not to claim he wanted to make the superannuated justices’ jobs easier by appointing six new colleagues to assist them. But it was not a scheme hatched by an executive insufficiently aware of limits to his persuasiveness or to the powers of his office.

Roosevelt had been empowered through his election and his leadership of a national political coalition (a ramshackle and racist coalition, to be sure) to pursue the wholesale reform of social policy. Against the reforming efforts of the New Deal coalition, the conservative justices defended an imaginary constitutional order, in which private property in the means of production and capital-friendly labor relations were the crowning glories of American political development.

Roosevelt’s proposal to reform the Court was not simply a warning to the conservative justices. It was programmatically linked to his party’s pursuit of interventionist social policy. Roosevelt’s co-partisans dominated both the House and the Senate. Far from being a dead letter, the court-packing plan was very much a live issue, and press accounts from the time suggest both that its opponents were not convinced it would fail, and that Roosevelt was not making an idle threat.

As legal scholar Barry Friedman argues in his study of the relationship between public opinion and the Supreme Court, “contemporary evidence suggests powerfully that had the Court not switched, the public would have supported disciplining it.”

Nor was West Coast Hotel an isolated event. Even before any of the conservatives retired from the Court, it handed down favorable decisions on the constitutionality of the National Labor Relations Act and aspects of the Social Security Act.

We may never know if Roosevelt’s Court-packing plan compelled the Court to acquiesce to the New Deal, or if internal debates among the justices presaged a doctrinal shift even before Roosevelt’s reelection in 1936. But the outcome of efforts to make major public policy changes should not be held hostage to the cloistered deliberations of nine jurists — or any number of them.

Fighting over a scarcity of Supreme Court seats is a losing proposition and a waste of attention and organizational capacity. Creating lasting political change requires both organization and mobilization. All successes are temporary, requiring further collective action to consolidate and extend them.

Instead of joining in the farce that is the nominations process, the Left should exploit the current moment. It’s time to revive and defend court curbing. Packing the Court, stripping its jurisdiction, refusing to replace deceased or retiring justices, weakening the Court’s control over its own docket, instating judicial retention elections, empowering Congress to overturn Court decisions that invalidate federal legislation — all of these are possible tools to subordinate the Court to political control.

The suitability of any one of them would naturally depend on the situation. None of them would permanently solve the problems judicial review poses for democracy, nor would they render continued political struggle unnecessary. Many of them would require acts of legislation, or even constitutional amendments that appear out of reach at the moment. But as the current contest for the Democratic nomination suggests, patient organizing can make outcomes possible that are outside the expectations of established elites.

Objecting that curbing the Court invites conservatives to do the same misses the point. No reform or alteration of the Court would be a lasting accomplishment requiring no further maintenance; every political victory must be followed up by further demands. Nor should we believe that conservatives would be unwilling to transform the Court if it suited their purposes. For decades, movement conservatives have not shied away from pursuing their desired political ends by transforming institutions.

But instead of the liberal “cult of constitution worship,” we need ambitious political projects — including those that involve confronting the most naturally and intrinsically conservative institution in the American political system.

Scalia’s death does not render the conservatives on the Court powerless in a single stroke. The grim outcomes predicted for the present term will merely be delayed, not deferred; many liberals will continue to be distracted by the majesty of constitutional law and dismiss radicalism out of hand; and the Court’s capacity to interfere with democratic politics will remain undiminished.

The current eight-seat bench will become politically consequential only if the Left can use it to argue for a thorough restructuring of the Court, its powers, and its role in the federal government.

Imagine, for example, that this November sees the election of a Democratic president, one who claims the mantle of America’s fugitive tradition of social-democratic politics. What would he have to gain by playing the conventional judicial nominations game? Or if he did play it, why should he ask for only one more justice?

e-max.it: your social media marketing partner
 
Two Former US Presidents Simultaneously Advocate for a Close Family Member as the Next US President Print
Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=29455"><span class="small">Glenn Greenwald, The Intercept</span></a>   
Tuesday, 16 February 2016 14:27

Greenwald writes: "Americans love to mock the British for choosing - in the 21st century - to live under a monarchy and honor the hereditary succession of a royal family. I enthusiastically participate in that derision. Few concepts are as antithetical to reason and democratic liberty as anointing families that are vested with an entitlement to wield power through dynasty and lineage."

George W. Bush and Bill Clinton. (photo: Pablo Martinez Monsivais/AP)
George W. Bush and Bill Clinton. (photo: Pablo Martinez Monsivais/AP)


Two Former US Presidents Simultaneously Advocate for a Close Family Member as the Next US President

By Glenn Greenwald, The Intercept

16 February 16

 

mericans love to mock the British for choosing — in the 21st century — to live under a monarchy and honor the hereditary succession of a royal family. I enthusiastically participate in that derision. Few concepts are as antithetical to reason and democratic liberty as anointing families that are vested with an entitlement to wield power through dynasty and lineage.

The U.S. officially has no formal royal families, but clearly loves dynastic political power. As the U.S. becomes increasingly oligarchical — all of its institutions, including its political ones, dominated by a tiny number of extremely rich families — it is natural that all forms of hereditary power will flourish. There are still examples of people from backgrounds devoid of family wealth or influence attaining political power — Barack Obama certainly qualifies — but it’s virtually impossible for them to succeed without the overwhelming support of those oligarchical circles.

Dynastic power is not a new phenomenon in the U.S., but this past week featured a particularly vivid illustration of how potent it is. The two U.S. presidents prior to President Obama — Bill Clinton and George W. Bush — made appearances on the campaign trail to urge Americans to elect their favorite candidate, which, in both cases, happens to be a close family member.

“There’s no doubt in my mind Jeb Bush has the experience and the character to be a great president,” said George W. Bush, himself the son of a former U.S. president, in South Carolina about his brother. At a rally in Tennessee, Bill Clinton pronounced his wife “the best change-maker I’ve ever known,” and in a separate speech in Florida angrily denounced Democrats who support his wife’s opponent by depicting them as the equivalent of the GOP’s Tea Party.

Until Jeb Bush proved to be a remarkably inept candidate, it was long expected that the 2016 election would match the son of one former president and brother of another, against the wife of another former president. Further underscoring the dynastic dynamic was that their funding would come from the same sources, numerous powerful factions would have difficulty choosing which candidate would serve their agenda most faithfully, and, as is often true of aristocracies, the two extremely rich families have become very close friends.

Headline from the Daily News. (photo: The Intercept)
Headline from the Daily News. (photo: The Intercept)

As one would expect, the children of those two families have also enjoyed substantial unearned benefits by virtue of their lineage. Despite no background or experience in journalism, both Jenna Bush and Chelsea Clinton were hired by major American networks as on-air correspondents, joining a slew of others whose sole qualification was being born to powerful parents.

Dynastic political power is, of course, hardly unique to the U.S. Many of the closest American allies and client states are themselves full-scale monarchies. Numerous countries, from Cuba and Pakistan to Argentina and Canada, have recently had siblings, spouses, and children of prior leaders assume power. From the Adams to the Kennedys, the U.S. itself has often had families for whom political power was a family business.

Still, the spectacle of having two former U.S. presidents simultaneously stump for the election of their close family members as the next U.S. president is a uniquely illuminating symbol of what the U.S. has become. It is still highly likely that of the last five U.S. presidents, four of them will come from the same two extremely rich families. It’s becoming increasingly difficult for any American to comfortably mock the British, who at least have the dignity to consign dynastic power to the largely symbolic realm.

e-max.it: your social media marketing partner
 
Scalia's Death Means Obama's Clean Power Plan Is More Likely to Succeed Print
Tuesday, 16 February 2016 14:15

Lienke writes: "Three weeks ago, after the U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit denied motions to stay the EPA's Clean Power Plan, I wrote a cautiously optimistic post about what that decision signaled for the future of the historic climate rule."

Antonin Scalia. (photo: Shawn/Flickr)
Antonin Scalia. (photo: Shawn/Flickr)


Scalia's Death Means Obama's Clean Power Plan Is More Likely to Succeed

By Jack Lienke, Grist

16 February 16

 

hree weeks ago, after the U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit denied motions to stay the EPA’s Clean Power Plan, I wrote a cautiously optimistic post about what that decision signaled for the future of the historic climate rule. I explained that the judges’ refusal to put the EPA’s plan on hold while they evaluated the lawsuits against it didn’t necessarily mean that they would ultimately side with the agency on the merits of the case. And even if the plan were upheld by the D.C. Circuit, I warned, that decision would almost certainly be appealed to the Supreme Court.

One possibility I didn’t raise was that the Supreme Court would get involved in the case right away, without waiting for the D.C. Circuit to issue a final ruling.

And yet, last Tuesday, that’s what happened. For the first time in U.S. history, the Supreme Court stepped in to stay a regulation that was still being reviewed by a lower court.

A further development I didn’t foresee was that, only four days after the issuance of the unprecedented stay, the makeup of the high court would change, abruptly.

And then that happened, too.

The impact of Justice Antonin Scalia’s death will reverberate across the legal landscape, and we can’t yet grasp its full consequences. But one is already clear: The most important environmental initiative of the Obama presidency is now much more likely to succeed.

Tuesday’s stay was issued by a 5-4 vote, with the court’s five conservative justices (Alito, Kennedy, Roberts, Scalia, and Thomas) in favor and its four liberals (Ginsburg, Breyer, Kagan, and Sotomayor) dissenting. Until yesterday, the EPA’s only hope was to convince one of the conservatives — with Kennedy or Roberts being the most likely contenders — to switch sides.

That wasn’t such an outlandish goal. The stay order was the judicial equivalent of a hot take. After only five days of consideration of hundreds of pages of briefing, the five conservatives found a “fair prospect” that they would ultimately side with the challengers and strike down the rule. It was entirely plausible that, upon a fuller hearing of the issues, one of them would change his mind. (It wouldn’t be the first time.) But the case was going to be an uphill struggle for the EPA.

Scalia’s passing changes all of that. The D.C. Circuit is likely to issue a decision on the Clean Power Plan this fall, which would put the rule in front of the Supreme Court in spring 2017. What happens then will depend on whether the court’s now vacant ninth seat has been filled and, if so, by whom. But in most of the possible scenarios, the EPA faces considerably better odds than it did with Scalia on the bench.

First, it’s possible that Obama will manage to convince the Republican-controlled Senate to confirm a new justice before he leaves office in January. While one can never be entirely sure how a justice will vote (thanks to the independence provided by life tenure), it does seem fair to assume that an Obama appointee will be more likely to join with the four liberals to uphold the Clean Power Plan than to vote with the four remaining conservatives to strike it down.

If Obama can’t get a replacement through the Senate, it’s possible — but, I think, unlikely — that his successor will manage to do so in time for the new justice to weigh in on the rule. This will be good news for the EPA if the next president is Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders — both of whom support the rule — and bad news if the office has gone to one of the Republican candidates — all of whom oppose it. But even in the latter scenario, the EPA would be no worse off than it was in the immediate aftermath of the stay. The court would once again be made up of five conservatives and four liberals, and EPA’s best bet would once again be to convince Kennedy or Roberts to break ranks.

Finally, it’s possible that Scalia’s seat will still be vacant when the Clean Power Plan reaches the Supreme Court. In that scenario, the most likely result is an even split between the four liberals and four remaining conservatives. And a 4-4 vote results in an automatic affirmance of the decision below, which, in this case, would be the D.C. Circuit’s. Of course, the D.C. Circuit hasn’t made its decision yet, and we can’t know for sure what it will be. But the panel of judges assigned to the case is generally viewed as favorable to the EPA, because two of the three were appointed by Democrats — one by President Clinton and the other by Obama himself.

In the end, there are no guarantees. But the Clean Power Plan does seem to have ended this roller coaster of a week on firmer ground than it started on.

e-max.it: your social media marketing partner
 
<< Start < Prev 2141 2142 2143 2144 2145 2146 2147 2148 2149 2150 Next > End >>

Page 2142 of 3432

THE NEW STREAMLINED RSN LOGIN PROCESS: Register once, then login and you are ready to comment. All you need is a Username and a Password of your choosing and you are free to comment whenever you like! Welcome to the Reader Supported News community.

RSNRSN