Dugger writes: "In the ongoing media melodrama about Iran's nuclear program, could we be overlooking profound questions and truths about the again-rising likelihood of the decimation or the end of life on Earth in an H-bomb holocaust?"
The threat of nuclear annihilation is still real. (photo: USAF/NYT)
Time for America to Revisit Its Nuclear Policy
14 August 12
n the ongoing media melodrama about Iran's nuclear program, could we be overlooking profound questions and truths about the again-rising likelihood of the decimation or the end of life on Earth in an H-bomb holocaust?
Why are nuclear weapons commonly called "weapons of mass destruction" when morally they are weapons of mass murder?
If we put aside the Soviet collapse, the disassembly of our own grotesquely surplus nukes and the numbers trick of putting still-active weapons "in reserve," there hasn't really been any effective nuclear disarmament.
We accuse Iran and suspect other nations of hypocrisy about their nuclear plans. And yet the actual and prospective nuclear policy and practice of the United States, Israel and Britain has moved from the nuclear disarmament promised in the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty into attacking nations that we don't trust and believe insist on getting the same weapons we have.
Has the deterrence doctrine against an H-bomb attack "worked," as is so commonly said, or was it the skin of our teeth that pulled us back three times from attacks that would have left tens of millions dead? An H-bomb explodes in millionths of a second with several times the heat of the core of the sun. Tens of millions of degrees. Heat, blast, radiation, no life. Only one failure of deterrence can kill as many as a billion people, the experts say. It's unimaginable, so we don't imagine it.
Why is "nuclear deterrence" so numbly accepted? To work, the theory has to be based on seriously intended retaliation with nuclear weapons. Deterrence is a euphemism, a brand on a box that also contains retaliation. Mass murder as revenge for mass murder. This is the policy we support?
In 1951, as a young reporter in Washington, I asked President Harry Truman why the U.S. did not have a "no-first-use" policy for nuclear weapons. He was angered and didn't answer. How long has it been since a journalist asked a president why we still reserve the right to explode these weapons first?
In the 1960s during dinner in the White House, I asked President Lyndon Johnson about nuclear weapons. He, too, flared into anger and exclaimed, "I'm the one who has to mash the button!" while bearing his stiffened right thumb and four curled fingers downward as if he were mashing that button.
In 1986, I asked Dr. Richard Garwin, one of three inventors of the H-bomb, what it felt to be personally responsible for the bomb that can destroy any large city. After a pause, he responded, not with his feelings, but by saying to me quietly that what we're doing with the policy of nuclear deterrence is buying time, that nuclear proliferation can't be stopped, that there will be a nuclear war and that a billion people will die.
Why are so many of us so confident that this won't be the case? Are we lemmings? Is this not the most important subject in the world?
More nations keep getting the H-bomb and the systems to deliver it wherever they want to. There is still no international control of these weapons that can end life on Earth.
Jonathan Schell reports in The Seventh Decade that 50 more nations know how to make H-bombs. It's a secret no more. Why, then, are H-bombs a national - and not an international - question? Why are they still, 67 years after Hiroshima and Nagasaki, none of our business? And why are possibly apocalyptic facts about them blocked from us by nine systems of military secrecy?
For just one example, does Israel, as indicated in Ron Rosenbaum's recent well-sourced book How the End Begins, have five German-made nuclear-armed submarines in the Mediterranean poised to fire H-bombs in retaliation even if Israel's leadership has been "decapitated"?
Mikhail Gorbachev cautioned us recently that we need enough effective international governance to keep events from becoming "dangerously unpredictable." Are they not already so? My friend societal psychiatrist Robert Jay Lifton said to me concerning Gorbachev's warning, "Unpredictability is all right, except for nuclear weapons."
What, fellow citizens, are our political and ethical responsibilities for our American H-bombs? I believe Garwin's prophecy is on its way to coming true.
What, if aimed, are they aimed at? If exploded, how many people will they kill? If we use them either to attack or to retaliate, what would that do to our standing in the conscience and history of humanity?
More deadly plutonium, the H-bomb fuel, isotope 239 of which has a radioactive half-life of 24,100 years, is the last thing Americans need. But late last month, the Senate Armed Services Committee revived a plan to spend $3.7 billion to build a new plutonium factory at Los Alamos, N.M., despite President Barack Obama's decision to suspend funding for it.
In Prague in 2009, Obama called for "a world without nuclear weapons." But he also said that we are not likely to get it in our lifetimes. Why not? He then went on to reassure our allies that we will maintain our nuclear deterrent. We cannot have this both ways.
The U.S. should be leading the world toward "near zero" or the abolition of these weapons. We should be challenging our officials and military for risking our deaths, the lives of our fellow human beings and our national honor by keeping, maintaining and implicitly threatening to use our own weapons of mass murder.
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Brilliant! But I think they'd stand a better chance of getting one from the Pakistanis, who are fellow Muslims. A Halal bomb, if you will.
How the Islamic bomb saga plays out is a question discussed in strategic think tanks around the world. Anyone with some initiative can gain insights to the Muslim Mullah mission by reading George Grant's "The Blood Of The Moon".
Lacking nukes; because high school biology & chemistry enables WMD proliferation, getting off oil ASAP is best US course to step back from foreign conflicts, at a minimum. Chem/bio smuggled in containers and used in an attack shall seal commerce across US borders & spell end of the globalization Ponzi scheme.
This plays out with a disastrous war in the Middle East, and a "Fortress America" era while the rest of the world ebbs and flows until the residual conflicts play out. America's ability to maintain societal cohesion on 1/2 current oil consumption depends on how quickly US pre-1950's railway capacity & reach is put back together.
No coincidence Mein Kampf and Qur'anic threats center on Jews. Because the world does not defang Iran/Pakistan/N orth Korea, we all share inevitable consequences. Happy motoring!
I'm concerned about nuclear issues, and I am more concerned about Iraq than I am about the US, but it is not THE major issue of the day.
We need to get all the information out, as well as the solutions, and stop flitting from one minor issue to another, what's important is the future of this nation. The future of social security, medicare, medicaid, education, health care, housing, etc.
Yes, it's true that even the 2,500 or so currently deployed are enough to decimate the planet, but what is being recommended here is unilateral disarmament. If you think that will work, ask your local terrorist cell what they think.
There is an obvious contradiction built into our official rationalization for these weapons. If nuclear weapons deter war, why do we insist on preventing some nations from obtaining them? Obviously because WE do not wish to be deterred.
Right now, war is highly likely in the Near East exactly because Israel has the bomb and Iran does not. If Iran did have it, then the two nations could revert to Cold War status, satisfied with incursions, assassinations, economic warfare, and such standard stuff.
Getting rid of them all would be far preferable. But if Oppenheimer and Garwin are right, we (or our leaders) are not sane enough to do that.
just about everything these days can be
hacked by computers perhaps such weapons could be rendered inoperable by a computer hacker.
Who knows maybe that has already happened.
Why? Because no country could ever be sure that somne other country had really gotten rid of its stockpile. And in any case, even a "near zero" regime would leave countries with the capacity to kill millions instantly.
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