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Ash writes: "The polling numbers for Joe Biden are, in a word, excellent heading into election day on November 3rd. Biden is in a very strong position nationally. While the numbers in the critical battleground states are more competitive, Biden still holds a significant and consistent advantage across the board."

Joe Biden, campaigning in Iowa, greets a supporter. (photo: Nati Harnik/AP)
Joe Biden, campaigning in Iowa in 2019, greets a supporter. (photo: Nati Harnik/AP)


Final Report Before the 2020 Election

By Marc Ash, Reader Supported News

31 October 20

 

he polling numbers for Joe Biden are, in a word, excellent heading into election day on November 3rd. Biden is in a very strong position nationally. While the numbers in the critical battleground states are more competitive, Biden still holds a significant and consistent advantage across the board.

In fact, Biden has managed to put in play states like Georgia, Texas, and Arizona that would normally be considered almost unattainable for a Democratic presidential candidate.

The polls in totality are beyond normal polling error margins. Meaning that, if all the votes were counted fairly, Joe Biden would be expected to win handily.

It is, however, already clear that not all the votes will be counted fairly. Measures in several states to erect barriers to voting and vote counting have without a doubt had an impact on the final totals.

As is always the case in US presidential elections, the results from key swing states can have a dramatic effect on the Electoral College outcome. If there is one state that could be the determining state, it would have to be Pennsylvania.

Normally Biden’s polling advantage would indicate a comfortable victory. In the current climate, and with the tactics Trump’s operatives appear willing to employ, Pennsylvania may not just be a battleground, it might be the battleground. Jim Newell for Slate said it best, “No Pressure, Pennsylvania, but the World’s Fate Rests on You.”

Unsurprisingly, The New York Times now follows with a breakdown of tactics the Trump campaign plans to employ in the Keystone State, “Facing Gap in Pennsylvania, Trump Camp Tries to Make Voting Harder.” Those tactics include suppressing mail-in and absentee ballots and intimidation.

For sheer unabashed chicanery, Georgia will likely be second to none. Sitting governor Brian Kemp rose to the office through voter suppression to prevail over his Democratic rival Stacey Abrams, using his position as Secretary of State to great effect.

With all the votes in Georgia counted fairly, Joe Biden would likely win the state. But with Kemp as governor, it would take a landslide for Biden to prevail. Still, if you want to see all-American election theft in action, Georgia is the best bet to put on a great show.

James Carville is actually predicting a qualified Democratic landslide nationally, unless the Republicans “muck” with the election. Election mucking would seem already to be underway.

Our final takeaway before the coming storm is that it is a Republic … if we can keep it. Be prepared.



Marc Ash is the founder and former Executive Director of Truthout, and is now founder and Editor of Reader Supported News.

Reader Supported News is the Publication of Origin for this work. Permission to republish is freely granted with credit and a link back to Reader Supported News.

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