Sirota writes: "If you find yourself playing pundit and citing current polling as proof that today's civil rights protests against police violence and calls to 'defund the police' will inevitably fail, do yourself a favor: pause and look back at polling from the last successful civil rights uprising in American history."
Congress of Racial Equality and members of the All Souls Church, Unitarian in Washington, D.C. march in memory of the 16th Street Baptist Church bombing victims in Birmingham, Alabama, in 1963. (photo: Thomas O'Halloran/Library of Congress)
15 June 20
Don't let opponents of the current racial justice protests fool you by citing public opinion polls — such polls often showed the majority of American opposed to the Civil Rights Movement in the 1960s. Public opinion is not immovable through protest.
f you find yourself playing pundit and citing current polling as proof that today’s civil rights protests against police violence and calls to “defund the police” will inevitably fail, do yourself a favor: pause and look back at polling from the last successful civil rights uprising in American history.
Many fondly remember the successes of the mid-twentieth-century Civil Rights Movement — but the adversity and headwinds the movement faced are often elided in our history books. That can end up leaving the impression that most of the American public must have supported the peaceful protests led by Dr Martin Luther King, Jr and other civil rights heroes.
But that wasn’t the case. Here are some data points from back then:
The civil rights movement faced these steep odds, but kept organizing and protesting — and ultimately changed public opinion and passing landmark civil rights laws, despite the naysayers and the skeptics.
We don’t yet know whether today’s civil rights protests will be similarly successful over the long-haul. There are certainly signs that it already is creating meaningful change — states and cities have been responding to protests by taking up police accountability initiatives and reconsidering police budgets. But again, we can’t know whether this will be a long-term trend or a short fleeting burst of progress.
What we do know is that public opinion is not immovable, and it shouldn’t be used to justify maintaining or only mildly tweaking an unjust status quo.
We also know that had civil rights organizers of the past been deterred by naysayers cynically weaponizing contemporaneous polling data, America may not have achieved any of the civil rights progress we so desperately needed.