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Shephard writes: "While the economy has continued to grow under Trump, there is rising dissatisfaction with income inequality and capitalism itself. Trump may think that red-baiting can make his toxic presidency appear to be the lesser of two evils. But this strategy requires taking greater ownership of a system that an increasing number of Americans think is unfair - and that didn't work out so well for his Democratic opponent in the 2016 election."

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. (photo: Saul Loeb/Getty)
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. (photo: Saul Loeb/Getty)


Trump's Attack on Socialism Is a Colossal Blunder

By Alex Shephard, The New Republic

07 January 19


It has forced him to wholeheartedly embrace American capitalism, much like Hillary Clinton did in 2016.

onald Trump is perhaps the most unpopular president in recorded history, and he will soon face the most daunting re-election campaign in recent memory. Dogged by investigations and hamstrung by a lack of achievements, he has thus far failed to settle on a sharp message for 2020. “Promises Kept,” though less authoritarian, doesn’t have quite the ring of “Build the Wall” or “Lock Her Up.” But at Tuesday’s State of the Union, Trump unveiled what some advisers believe will be the winning message in November of next year. “Tonight,” he said, “we renew our resolve that America will never be a socialist country.” The Republicans in the chamber—nearly all rich white men—stood and applauded, while many Democrats scowled.

Trump’s allies see this as a crucial argument heading in to 2020. After the State of the Union, Trump’s 2016 communications director, Jason Miller, told Axios’ Mike Allen that the president “elevated the wedge issue of ‘socialism’ in a way nobody else could.” Allen wrote that Republicans “loved ... the endorsement-by-sitting-in-silence when he hammered socialism.” With the border wall in limbo, little progress on a nuclear treaty with North Korea, and the 2017 tax cuts looking worse by the day, Trump doesn’t have any major accomplishments to campaign on beyond his Supreme Court appointments. But he does still have a strong economy. Trump is “trying to frame 2020 as another big, directional election ... betting that [his] people are going to actually like the direction the country is going,” another Trump campaign veteran told Allen.

Trump’s State of the Union paean to capitalism undoubtedly pleased his base, who have been the focal point of his entire presidency. But there are reasons to believe that making 2020 about “America First v. Socialism,” in Axios’ phrasing, might backfire for Trump. While the economy has continued to grow under Trump, there is rising dissatisfaction with income inequality and capitalism itself. Trump may think that red-baiting can make his toxic presidency appear to be the lesser of two evils. But this strategy requires taking greater ownership of a system that an increasing number of Americans think is unfair—and that didn’t work out so well for his Democratic opponent in the 2016 election.

Socialism’s long comeback in America began after the 2008 financial collapse, which made Americans keenly aware of the banking industry’s power and the country’s massive wealth inequality. “The richest Americans,” wrote Brown University economist Mark Blyth in his 2013 book Austerity, “own more assets than the bottom 150 million, while 46 million Americans, some 15 percent of the population, live in a family of four earning less than $22,314 per annum.” Outrage over inequality drove the creation of the Occupy Wall Street movement in New York City in 2011, and in 2016 it was the foundation of democratic socialist Bernie Sanders’s bid for the Democratic presidential nomination.

Sanders’s campaign ultimately failed, but it could be argued that he won in the long term. Today, nearly every major Democratic candidate for president endorses some version of universal health care, which would have been unthinkable even ten years ago. The Democratic primary will be fought over issues like how to reduce inequality and tax the rich, as well as on costly spending programs like Medicare for All and the Green New Deal. The party’s most popular young star, Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, is an avowed socialist. Democrats, by a 10-point margin, now think that socialism is more appealing than capitalism, and that’s significantly more true of people under 30. Polling has even suggested that 70 percent of the country supports Medicare for All, including a majority of Republicans.

Trump’s strategy is commonplace in partisan politics: to define the opposing party by its most extreme members. As The New York Times reported on Wednesday, focusing on socialism “could provide Mr. Trump with a potentially effective weapon in confronting an increasingly aggressive and more liberal Democratic Party, defining it through attacks on Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont and Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez of New York, who describe themselves as democratic socialists, and other members of the party pushing progressive policies like a 70 percent tax rate and ‘Medicare for all.’”

There is historical evidence that Trump’s strategy could work, as red-baiting has been an often effective tool for conservative politicians over the past century. The question is whether that remains true today. As the Times acknowledged, “there is no evidence of any growing public angst about socialism sweeping the United States.” It’s true that Americans broadly see social programs like Medicare for All in a much better light than they do socialism itself. One August NBC/WSJ poll, though something of an outlier, found that only 19 percent of voters viewed socialism positively. Then again, Sanders may end up as the only Democratic candidate for president who defines himself thus.

The bigger flaw in Trump’s anti-socialism strategy, though, is that it’s forcing him to be staunchly pro-capitalism at a time when its popularity is severely ebbing. In doing so, Trump is forgetting one of the most important lessons of his 2016 victory. Hillary Clinton made the case that the economy was strong and that Democratic stewardship over it should continue. Trump railed against a “rigged” system that had decimated rural and Rust Belt communities, and he vowed to fix it. This message, combined with his pledge to protect entitlements like Medicare and Social Security, was vital to his upset victory—helping him to win key the states of Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. (His approval is now underwater in all three states by double digits.)

Today, Trump is not only embracing the “rigged” system, but further owning his own unpopular economic policies, notably the $1.5 trillion tax cut he signed into law in December of 2017, which largely benefitted corporations and rich Americans. In the State of the Union, Trump boasted that “we are considered far and away the hottest economy anywhere in the world.” But many Americans still aren’t feeling that heat, just as they weren’t in 2016. Most of the economic gains have gone to the top 20 percent, and wage growth, while ticking upward over the past six months, has been largely flat throughout most of the economic recovery. This, much more than Sanders, is why more Americans have warmed to socialism. “The prime mover of millions of Americans into the socialist column has been the near complete dysfunctionality of contemporary American capitalism,” argued Harold Meyerson in The Guardian.

That’s not to say that Trump’s strategy won’t yield any benefits for him. Howard Schultz, the former Starbucks CEO contemplating an independent run, has already discerned that dividing the Democratic Party is the best path to victory. The response to Trump’s attacks on socialism has been relatively quiet on the left thus far, but the Democratic Socialists of America did release a statement on Tuesday decrying Speaker Nancy Pelosi for tepidly applauding. “Nancy Pelosi clapping at Trump’s remark about socialism, while children in Flint drink poisoned water, tens of thousands die for lack of health insurance every year, and we are headed off a climate cliff because big oil refuses to give up their profits. is peak capitalism,” the statement read. “The American People will not stand for it.”

But any such infighting on the left is likely to be semantic, and largely forgotten once Democrats nominate a candidate. We can fairly predict that the nominee will support universal health care, taxes on the rich, economic reform, and an infrastructure stimulus—all policies that will appeal to the millions of Americans who have been left behind by the economic recovery, and who fear they’ll fall even further behind when the economy inevitably turns for the worse. Trump, by contrast, will be shouting “better dead than red” and insisting that the economy is the greatest, ever. He thinks he set a trap for Democrats with his State of the Union jab, but in reality he has just trapped himself.

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+6 # economagic 2019-02-08 07:45
As is so often the case, the remedy is education. The Democratic party now has a couple of think tanks of its own, admittedly without the resources (money) that those of the right wing have had for nearly fifty years, and staffed mainly by so-called centrists who are at best center-right. But if those "corporate Democrats" will open their eyes, they will see that their survival requires recognizing that the structure of the corporate world is going to change dramatically over the next 30 years, or else politics and many other aspects of society that we know and love will be swept away.
 
 
+3 # Robbee 2019-02-08 13:53
In 1776 we the people rebelled against great britain
in 1787 we the people enacted a constitution that set forth what we had won
what we promise4e each other, by way of SOCIAL CONTRACT with our form of government - in other words, our MISSION STATEMENT, is set forth by “preamble’

note that EVERYTHING we promise each other fits under “promote the general Welfare”

we make not other promise!
we make no promise to promote capital, corporations, banks, military industry, industry, or elites - SUCH WORDS DO NOT APPEAR!

“commerce” does not regulate us - “we the people” regulate “commerce”

this is what we, by living here, sign up for, in 36 words! for our own “general welfare” -

Preamble
We the People of the United States, in Order to form a more perfect Union, establish Justice, insure domestic Tranquility, provide for the common defence, promote the general Welfare, and secure the Blessings of Liberty to ourselves

Article 1
Section 8
1: The Congress shall have Power To lay and collect Taxes, Duties, Imposts and Excises, to pay the Debts and provide for the common Defence and general Welfare of the United States;

3: To regulate Commerce

18: To make all Laws which shall be necessary and proper for carrying into Execution the foregoing Powers,

Amendment 16 - Income Tax
The Congress shall have power to lay and collect taxes on incomes, from whatever source derived,

our economic system is “capitalist”
our form of government is “socialist”
 
 
-2 # dbrize 2019-02-09 10:13
In 1776 a FEW people successfully rebelled against Great Britain. There was far from unanimous support.

In 1787 a FEW people enacted a Constitution which was NOT favored by more than perhaps 40% of the “people”. It was based upon the hypothetical “social contract theory” presented by Locke.

The great abolitionist Lysander Spooner argued that even had a majority in 1787 supported the constitution, they had no legal or moral right to bind to it future generations who weren’t even born yet. This was a most persuasive argument in condemning the slavery endorsed by the Constitution.

Your own convoluted argument is a testimony to the scam put over by the few on “the people”.
 
 
0 # Robbee 2019-02-08 14:09
to anyone who argues that we are not a socialist country, send this -

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RnVmIrAiQB8
 
 
-3 # Rodion Raskolnikov 2019-02-08 08:52
This author spends too much time in the Hate Trump Bubble -- HTB for short. Inside the HTB there are no facts but only the most outrageous claims against Trump that can be thought up. In fact, there is sort of a contest to see who can make up the wildest claims.

The fact is that Reagan was less popular in the early 3rd year of his term. Trump got pretty high marks for his state of the union speech. He was able to get fairly good applause and standing ovations from the democrats in the House. Probably most of them went in to the speech thinking they would neither clap or stand, and yet they did. Pelosi even beckoned her party to stand for Trump.

For someone like me, the danger of Trump being re-elected is actually growing. The democrats are still in disarray. Pelosi's leadership looks like a crew of Zombies. She tolerates no discussion or independence. She has them all lined up behind her "party of NO."

If democrats don't begin to highlight the new energy and ideas of their younger and newer members, they will sink in popularity and Trump will rise.


This author starts out saying Trump is dead and sinking but he ends up saying that Trump just might win and democrats are likely to remain divided.

The HTB is just death for democrats. It turns them into Pelosi's Zombies. Why are democrats so willing to stab themselves in the back. The case of Virginia is a perfect example. Democrats are leading the fight to put a republican in the governor's office.
 
 
+8 # Rodion Raskolnikov 2019-02-08 09:35
I think Trump's comments about socialism were the most important part of his speech. He showed exactly where he stands -- and we all knew that. Now the democrats need to show where they stand. They are divided. Some, like Pelosi, have defined herself as clearly capitalist.

Trump's comments were clearly red-baiting. He can count on the mis-education of Americans for the last 100 years. They simply don't know what socialism is. They think, as Trumps comment made clear, that socialism is the opposite of a free market and is some kind of force or totalitarianism . Capitalism is free and socialism is slavery. That's what americans have been taught for 100 years. It is totally false.

The capitalism/soci alism debate needs to be kept on a purely economic level. These are two ways in which goods and services are produced in a society -- either by private/for profit ventures or by public and often government ventures. All societies have mixed economies.

For example, we have a public police, legal, and court system. There are private elements -- lawyers and many prisons are private and for profit. So it is a mixed economy. Capitalist want to make it more private. Socialist want to make it more public.

Frankly some things are just better done when they are public. I live Washington, which is now surrounded by private toll roads. Very few people choose to drive on them. They choose the public roads paid for by their taxes. They are voting socialism.
 
 
+12 # WorkingClass 2019-02-08 12:23
Trump has taken a stand against socialism in the US. Thank God someone has finally taken a stand on this hideous menace to our freedom (firm tongue in cheek). Socialism has infiltrated our nation going back to at least the early 1900's when the Socialist party pushed for the eight hour work day. Don't even get me started on public education, publicly funding of such things as fire departments and law enforcement, social security, public infrastructure and medicare. The very idea that as a government for and by the people we would collectively pool our resources (taxes/governme nt policy) for these is obviously a threat to the nation and our freedom. Now the commies want us to ensure every citizen regardless of economic means gets medical care! How UnAmerican! The pinko's want us to collectively fight climate change and build new infrastructure. it is worth noting that when social security and medicare were proposed the right screamed they were socialism. Now we except and the vast majority approve of them. Hopefully the current New Green Deal will move us to a more humane society where the vast majority of the population are better served by its government versus the current situation where more and more the government serves the privileged .
 

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