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Economists: Trump Administration's Decision to Repeal Water Rule Based on Flawed Analysis Print
Sunday, 08 October 2017 08:33

Moreno writes: "Economists are disputing President Donald Trump administration’s justification of rescinding a 2015 law that protects U.S. waters, saying it is based on flawed analysis."

Water fountains at a high school in Flint, Michigan (photo: Carolyn Kaster/AP)
Water fountains at a high school in Flint, Michigan (photo: Carolyn Kaster/AP)


Economists: Trump Administration's Decision to Repeal Water Rule Based on Flawed Analysis

By Denisse Moreno, International Business Times

08 October 17

 

conomists are disputing President Donald Trump administration’s justification of rescinding a 2015 law that protects U.S. waters, saying it is based on flawed analysis.  

The Water of the United States (WOTUS) rule was imposed by President Barack Obama to further protect bodies of water. The law broadened the authority of the Environmental Protection Agency and Army Corps of Engineers over U.S. waters -- more than what the agencies had under the Clean Water Act.

Trump and EPA Chief Scott Pruitt have been adamant about repealing the rule. In June, the administration submitted a proposal to rescind WOTUS, limiting the extent of the Clean Air Act. However, three economists said this week the Trump administration’s analysis inappropriately overlooked wetlands values. The economists’ findings come days before the Supreme Court holds a hearing that will decide on certain issues related to the rule.

Kevin Boyle of Virginia Tech, Matthew Kotchen of Yale University and Kerry Smith of Arizona State University published their assessment Thursday in the journal Science.

Between the 2017 analysis and a similar analysis made in 2015 under the Obama administration, the biggest difference is the treatment of wetland benefits as unquantified, Boyle told International Business Times. The economists said the differences between the two analyses led to about a 90 percent drop in quantified benefits from the 2015 to the 2017 analysis.

Boyle said the 2017 analysis shows an incomplete picture of the total WOTUS benefits. The EPA and Army Corps of Engineers had previously valued wetlands benefits at up to $500 million per year in 2015.

“The biggest surprise was the lack of credible evidence for treating the most substantial components of benefits as unquantified,” Boyle told IBT.

The relevant data seemed to have been ignored or “full and careful consideration of cost-benefit analysis best practices were not followed in assessing wetlands values and public attitudes about water-quality protection," Boyle said through a press release from Virginia Tech.

Besides excluding quantified benefits, economists also found the 2017 analysis deemed wetlands valuation studies were too old for inclusion, while pollution studies published in the same time frame were not considered too outdated to be included. The 2017 analysis also failed to include available data on public opinion regarding water-quality protections. That data supports the credibility of the wetlands benefits in the Obama-era analysis.

In a statement to IBT, an EPA spokesperson defended the 2017 analysis.

“The cost-benefit analysis for the Trump Administration’s WOTUS repeal was done in a way that respects the role that states play in protecting their waters,” the spokesperson said. “The previous Administration used a lot of worst-case assumptions in their cost-benefit analysis; we used data based on the current reality.”

The Trump administration’s analysis can lead to repercussions for the environment and public opinion, according to Boyle.

“It can undermine the opportunity to do a credible review of WOTUS," Boyle told IBT. "It undermines the credibility of past and future benefit-cost analyses. It can reduce the morale of government analysts who likely do not have the supporting resources to do a high caliber benefit-cost analysis.”

To dodge flawed reports, Boyle told IBT that future analyses should be done in an “enhanced collaboration between universities and government agencies to provide data and improved estimation procedures to provide credible support for public decision making.” Sufficient resources, like time, money and staff, should be provided to government agencies to conduct analysis required for major public decisions, he said.


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This Is Not Fake News. This Is a Real National Security Crisis. Print
Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=40776"><span class="small">Dan Rather, Dan Rather's Facebook Page</span></a>   
Saturday, 07 October 2017 13:54

Rather writes: "I have come to expect that Donald Trump will attack the press. We know why he does so, because the threat of exposed truth, of investigative reporting, is a direct threat to the Trump presidency and his legitimacy."

Dan Rather. (photo: Christopher Patey)
Dan Rather. (photo: Christopher Patey)


This Is Not Fake News. This Is a Real National Security Crisis.

By Dan Rather, Dan Rather's Facebook Page

07 October 17

 

have come to expect that Donald Trump will attack the press. We know why he does so, because the threat of exposed truth, of investigative reporting, is a direct threat to the Trump presidency and his legitimacy.

I worry about bringing attention to all of Mr. Trump's tweets. I worry about allowing him to deflect and try to bend a news cycle to his will. But what he said today needs to be called out. It can't fall into the background noise of Washington. It can't be allowed to be normalized.

"Why Isn't the Senate Intel Committee looking into the Fake News Networks in OUR country to see why so much of our news is just made up-FAKE!"

Let us be clear. The Senate Intelligence Committee is investigating an attack on our democracy, which is an attack on all of us, by a hostile foreign power. What the Russians did is something that every patriotic American should care deeply about, regardless of party.

This is not fake news. This is a real national security crisis. And by his words, the President is suggesting that reporters at places like the New York Times, the Washington Post, and CNN are damaging our country more than Russian intelligence agents.

We can guess why he doesn't want to consider the seriousness of the Russian attack. But that is a failure of his duties as Commander in Chief. And to attack the press for doing its job is to undermine his oath to "preserve, protect and defend the Constitution of the United States."

What gives me hope is my years in newsrooms. Reporters will not be intimidated by these threats. They will only resolve to dig deeper and harder.


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Discrimination Is the Big Winner in the Justice Department's New Religious Guidelines Print
Saturday, 07 October 2017 13:47

Weaver writes: "The Department of Justice today issued religious-liberty guidelines for all federal agencies, and anyone who values equality for all and the separation of church and state should be deeply disturbed by the message the guidelines send."

President Trump signs an order on religious freedom in May. (photo: Evan Vucci/AP)
President Trump signs an order on religious freedom in May. (photo: Evan Vucci/AP)


Discrimination Is the Big Winner in the Justice Department's New Religious Guidelines

By Heather L. Weaver, ACLU

07 October 17

 

he Department of Justice today issued religious-liberty guidelines for all federal agencies, and anyone who values equality for all and the separation of church and state should be deeply disturbed by the message the guidelines send.

Purporting to interpret religious-liberty protections in federal law, the guidance — a 25-page memo sent to all executive branch departments — doubles down on a distorted understanding of religious freedom. Not only does it allow discrimination in the name of religion, it also treats the separation of church and state as a mere afterthought.

One of the most troubling aspects of the guidance is its broad reading of the Religious Freedom Restoration Act (RFRA). You’ve probably heard of RFRA before: It’s the statute under which the Supreme Court ruled that some closely held corporations like Hobby Lobby could obtain a religious exemption from a federal regulation requiring employers who offer health insurance to provide birth control coverage for employees.

Today’s DOJ guidance requires federal agencies to interpret RFRA to go even further, declaring that “RFRA too might require an exemption or accommodation for religious organizations from antidiscrimination law . . . even where Congress has not expressly exempted religious organizations.” This could open the door for widespread, religious-based discrimination against women, LGBT people, people of minority faiths and races, and others in a variety of contexts.

For example, if the Justice Department’s suggested interpretation of RFRA is correct, a hotel could argue that providing service to Muslim or Jewish customers violates the owner’s faith and that the hotel should be exempt from complying with federal law barring such discrimination. And the funeral home currently arguing in federal court that it has a right to fire an employee because she’s transgender could have a free pass to discriminate because of its religious beliefs. The government’s compelling interest in enforcing these laws should mean the businesses lose their arguments — but the Department of Justice guidance suggests that the interest in ending discrimination against LGBT people isn’t actually all that important.

The guidance also encourages religious employers to discriminate in ways that go far beyond the narrow exemptions in current federal law, affording broad exemptions for federal grantees and contractors. These religious exemptions could allow federal grantees and contractors to hire or fire anyone who didn’t follow all of their religious teachings. And it would all be paid for by the public.

And that’s not all. The religious-liberty guidelines virtually ignore the separation of church and state. The Establishment Clause is an integral part of protecting religious liberty: The Framers of the Constitution understood that there is, in fact, no religious freedom where a government is allowed to impose religion on its people. But the 17-page appendix setting forth the DOJ’s analysis of federal “religious liberty” law devotes just one short paragraph to the Establishment Clause.

The memo does, remarkably, acknowledge the fundamental Establishment Clause principle that prohibits the government from favoring some faiths over others. But that’s cold comfort given that one of the first acts by this administration was to issue its Muslim ban.

Elsewhere, the memo asserts that religious groups “generally may not be required to alter their religious character to participate in a government program.” The concern is that the government would interpret this to allow a religiously affiliated entity to contract with the government even if won’t provide services essential to and required of contractors and even if third parties will be harmed.

That would be a violation of the Establishment Clause — one that the ACLU has challenged when religious entities with federal contracts refuse to provide necessary medical services and referrals to victims of human trafficking. The memo also wrongly suggests that there’s a federal right to get state-funded school vouchers and other grants for religious activity — even where state law expressly forbids it.

These guidelines aren’t about protecting religious liberty. Our laws already do that in spades. Rather, they are an obvious effort by the Justice Department and the administration to send a detestable message: Discrimination is welcome here.


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FOCUS: Trump Personally Tried to Sabotage Obamacare in Iowa Print
Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=38755"><span class="small">Eric Levitz, New York Magazine</span></a>   
Saturday, 07 October 2017 12:09

Levitz writes: "Iowa has a plan to stabilize its Obamacare marketplaces by transferring insurance subsidies away from low-income people and toward the middle class, while also setting up a reinsurance program to limit insurers' losses."

Donald Trump. (photo: Mark Seliger)
Donald Trump. (photo: Mark Seliger)


Trump Personally Tried to Sabotage Obamacare in Iowa

By Eric Levitz, New York Magazine

07 October 17

 

owa has a plan to stabilize its Obamacare marketplaces by transferring insurance subsidies away from low-income people and toward the middle class, while also setting up a reinsurance program to limit insurers’ losses.

Progressives hate the proposal. But the conservative Republicans who wrote it think it’s grand — and, critically, so does the state’s largest insurer, Wellmark Blue Cross and Blue Shield, which has promised to reverse its plan to leave the state’s individual insurance market if the reforms are put into effect.

In its broad outlines, Iowa’s proposal would do much of what every version of Trumpcare has aspired to: bring down premiums for middle-class people aggrieved by their lack of access to Obamacare subsidies; screw over the poor; and please insurers.

And yet, when President Trump got wind of the plan in late August, he ordered his Health department to kill it. As the Washington Post reports:

For months, officials in Republican-controlled Iowa had sought federal permission to revitalize their ailing health-insurance marketplace. Then President Trump read about the request in a newspaper story and called the federal director weighing the application.

Trump’s message was clear, according to individuals who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss private conversations: Tell Iowa no.

… It was a Wall Street Journal article about Iowa’s request that provoked Trump’s ire in late August, according to an individual briefed on the exchange. The story detailed how officials had just submitted the application for a Section 1332 waiver — a provision that allows states to adjust how they are implementing the ACA as long as they can prove it would not translate into lost or less-affordable coverage.

Iowa’s aim was to foster more competition and better prices. The story said other states hoping to stabilize their situations were watching closely.

Trump first tried to reach Price, the individual recounted, but the secretary was traveling in Asia and unavailable. The president then called Seema Verma, administrator of the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, the agency charged with authorizing or rejecting Section 1332 applications. CMS had been working closely with Iowa as it fine-tuned its submission.

Now, there’s a strong case that Iowa’s waiver request should be denied — its proposed reforms are so right-wing, they may actually be illegal. “The courts won’t stand for this,” health-care law expert Nicholas Bagley wrote last month. “The [Affordable Care Act’s] guardrails are really restrictive …they suggest that a state’s waiver can be approved if and only if it doesn’t make a substantial number of people worse off than they were under the ACA. Iowa’s waiver flunks that test.”

But it’s highly unlikely that Trump tried to block the waiver out of deference to the letter of Barack Obama’s law. While the Journal did mention opposition from the National Alliance on Mental Illness and the American Cancer Society toward the bottom of its story, the article’s main thrust was that Iowa’s plan would keep its largest insurer in all of its counties, reduce premiums for the middle class, and serve as a potential model to other Republican-controlled states looking to strengthen their exchanges.

Given that the Trump administration is now openly sabotaging the Affordable Care Act, it’s safe to assume that the president tried to kill Iowa’s request for the very worst of reasons. In recent weeks, Health and Human Services has spread doubt about whether it will enforce the tax penalty for refusing to sign up for insurance; cut funding for the law’s outreach groups; slashed Obamacare’s advertising budget by 90 percent; spent a portion of the remaining ad budget on propaganda calling for the law’s repeal; cut the open-enrollment period by 45 days; announced that it would be taking healthcare.gov (where people can enroll in Obamacare online) offline for nearly every Sunday during that time period, for “maintenance” purposes; instructed its ten regional directors not to participate in state-based events promoting ACA enrollment; and, when asked about their rationale for pulling out of those events, released a statement saying, “The American people know a bad deal when they see one and many won’t be convinced to sign up for ‘Washington-knows-best’ health coverage that they can’t afford.”

And the president’s most ambitious act of sabotage may still be to come. Under Obamacare, participating insurers are required to keep deductibles and co-payments affordable for low-income people. In practice, this means that insurers must underprice the risk of covering such individuals, and, thus, accept a financial loss. To make that proposition more appealing to these for-profit companies, Obamacare provides them with “cost-sharing reductions” — subsidies that defray the insurers’ losses.
But for complicated reasons relating to a lawsuit that House Republicans brought against the Obama administration, Donald Trump can cancel those subsidies at will. And he has threatened to do just that, over and over again, for months. These threats, alone, have led many insurers to either pull out of the exchanges, or else jack up premiums high enough to offset the costs of covering low-income enrollees without Uncle Sam’s help.

But, according to the Post, the number of insurers participating in Obamacare is still too high — and the premiums on its plans still too low — for the Trump administration’s taste: A White House aide told the paper Thursday that “officials are considering action to end the payments in November.”

It’s still possible that Iowa’s waiver will be approved — the White House has yet to formally reject it. Regardless, the fact that Trump intervened directly to block it has two significant implications. First, it establishes that the administration’s sabotage campaign won’t end with Tom Price’s tenure at HHS (this thing goes all the way to the top). Second, it confirms that Trump’s approach to Obamacare is not ideological, but wholly egotistical.
Iowa wanted to subvert the ACA for the sake of advancing a version of Trump’s own ostensible health-care agenda. The president scrambled to block it because he has zero interest in promoting any particular health-care policy — last week, Trump said at a high-dollar fundraiser that he was thinking “I might very well end up making a deal with the Democrats,” because Republicans hadn’t been able to put a health-care bill on his desk.

Which is to say: Our president isn’t deliberately increasing the number of Americans who will go without insurance next year so as to advance an ideological project, but solely out of a (likely misguided belief) that doing so will increase his chances of one day writing his name on a fancy-looking document — and declaring Barack Obama’s signature achievement officially dead.

Say what you want about the tenets of movement conservatism, at least it’s an ethos.


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FOCUS: Memo to Tillerson About the Moron Print
Saturday, 07 October 2017 11:47

Reich writes: "I can understand why you feel Washington is a place of 'petty nonsense,' as you said Wednesday when you called a news conference to rebut charges that you called Trump a moron last summer after a meeting of national security officials at the Pentagon."

Former Clinton labor secretary Robert Reich. (photo: Steve Russell/Toronto Star)
Former Clinton labor secretary Robert Reich. (photo: Steve Russell/Toronto Star)


Memo to Tillerson About the Moron

By Robert Reich, Robert Reich's Blog

07 October 17

 

o: Rex Tillerson
From: Robert Reich
Subject: The Moron

I can understand why you feel Washington is a place of “petty nonsense,” as you said Wednesday when you called a news conference to rebut charges that you called Trump a moron last summer after a meeting of national security officials at the Pentagon.

I’m also reasonably sure you called him a moron, which doesn’t make Washington any less petty. You probably called him a moron because almost all of us out here in the rest of America routinely call him that.

But you’re right: There are far more important issues than the epithet you likely used to describe your boss.

On the other hand, your calling him a moron wouldn’t itself have mushroomed into a headline issue – even in petty Washington – if there weren’t deep concerns about the President’s state of mind to begin with.

I bet every cabinet secretary has from time to time called his boss a moron. I was a cabinet secretary once, and although I don’t recall ever saying Bill Clinton was a moron, I might have thought it, especially when I found out about Monica Lewinsky. But Bill Clinton was no moron.

The reason your moronic comment about Trump made the headlines is that Trump really is a moron, in the sense you probably meant it: He’s impulsive, mercurial, often cruel, and pathologically narcissistic. Some psychologists who have studied his behavior have concluded he’s a sociopath.

Washington is petty, but it’s not nonsensical. It latches on to gaffes only when they reveal something important. As journalist Michael Kinsley once said, “A gaffe is when a politician tells the truth – some obvious truth he isn’t supposed to say.”

Face it. You are Secretary of State – the nation’s chief diplomat – under a president who’s dangerously nuts.

Last weekend, for example, Trump publicly said you were wasting your time trying to open talks with North Korea. Does he have a better idea? Any halfway rational president would ask his Secretary of State to try to talk with Kim Jong-Un.

And there’s Iran. You and Defense Secretary James Mattis have both stated the nuclear agreement should be retained. That, too, is only rational. The International Atomic Energy Agency says Iran has been honoring the agreement. Without it, Iran would restart its nuclear program.

But Trump is on the verge of decertifying the agreement in order to save face (in the 2016 campaign he called it an “embarrassment to America”) and further puncture Barack Obama’s legacy. His narcissism is endangering the world.

You tried to mediate the dispute between Qatar and its Arab neighbors. That, too, was the reasonable thing to do.

But then Trump and his son-in-law Jared Kushner sided with the United Arab Emirates, where they have business interests. Less than one hour after you called for a “calm and thoughtful dialogue” between Qatar and its neighbors, Trump blasted Qatar for financing terrorism. That was also nuts.

You are rightly appalled at Trump’s behavior. I can understand why you distanced yourself when Trump blamed “both sides” for violence at a white supremacist rally in Charlottesville. And why you were horrified when Trump gave a wildly partisan speech to the Boy Scouts of America, which you once headed.

Given all this, I’m not surprised to hear that you’ve talked about resigning, but that Mattis and John Kelly, the White House chief of staff, have talked you out of it.

I urge you not to resign. America and the world need sane voices speaking into the ear of our Narcissist-in-Chief.

As Senator Bob Corker, Republican of Tennessee and chairman of the Foreign Relations Committee said recently, it’s you, Mattis, and Kelly who “help separate our country from chaos.” I don’t think Corker was referring to chaos abroad.

Let Trump fire you if he wants to. That would further reveal what a moron he is.

But if you really did want to serve the best interests of this nation, there’s another option you might want to consider.

Quietly meet with Mattis, Kelly, and Vice President Pence. Come up with a plan for getting most of the cabinet to join in a letter to Congress saying Trump is unable to discharge the duties of his office.

Under the 25th Amendment, that would mean Trump is fired.


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