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FOCUS: Russia's Biggest Problem Will Soon Be Ours Print
Monday, 29 October 2018 10:57

Taibbi writes: "How do you solve an issue like xenophobia?"

Russia. (photo: Cultura/REX Shutterstock)
Russia. (photo: Cultura/REX Shutterstock)


Russia's Biggest Problem Will Soon Be Ours

By Matt Taibbi, Rolling Stone

29 October 18


How do you solve an issue like xenophobia?

n Thursday, the Russian Duma held its first reading of a new bill: “On the Citizenship of the Russian Federation.” According to the newspaper Kommersant, the government has prepared a paper representing a “first step toward a serious review of immigration policy.” Included is the idea that:

Russia should be open not only to Russians and Russian speakers, but to anyone who is loyal and willing to integrate into Russian society.

Russia, you see, has a serious problem with population decline. They’re expecting a 28 percent plunge in women of childbearing age by 2032. Their population peaked at about 148 million, in 1991.

You might notice that as the year of the collapse of communism. After the revolution, a series of factors — including introduction to the joys of international capitalism, with the accompanying loss of free health care, spiking economic inequality, accelerated substance abuse, etc. — caused Russia to begin shrinking.

The average life expectancy of Russian males plunged six years, from a pre-perestroika high of about 70 years to a low of about 64, in 1994. Soon, while American men had a 1 in 11 chance of dying before the age of 55, the dice roll for Russian males was about 1 in 4. The economic catastrophe of the Nineties resulted in at least a few million premature deaths and possibly more, depending on what study you believe.

Sharp increases in mortality seemed directly tied to economic events, like the 1998 collapse of the ruble. Specifically, increased deaths were most commonly tied to alcohol consumption, followed by associated health complications, homicide, suicide and booze-related accidents: flying passenger liners under the influence, forgetting you’re on an ice floe while fishing, guzzling methanol-spiked bath lotion when you run out of vodka, etc.

Russia introduced a series of reforms beginning in 2006 designed to make drinking oneself to death harder. They also introduced economic changes designed to reverse the damage of the Nineties, aiming to reduce poverty, increase access to health care, etc.

Reforms had some effect, and Russia’s population eked up to about 144 million for a while. It stayed there for about 10 years, before beginning recently to plunge anew.

Citizens are fleeing to other countries in search of better jobs, and not just to the West, but to places like Kazakhstan. As Bloomberg writes, even the recent addition of 2.3 Crimeans “won’t offset” the statistical trend, and the UN expects Russia’s population to drop to 119 million by 2050, unless it begins opening up its borders.

Hence the new immigration policy!

Meanwhile, here in America, the entire country is up in arms about a caravan of 7,000 people who actually want to come here. This is despite the fact that we suddenly have a lot of the same problems that hit Russia decades ago.

Our own life expectancy rates have begun decreasing, and for a lot of the same reasons that struck Russia: drug and alcohol abuse, poor diet, despair, pessimism, suicide, lack of social mobility, poor access to health care, high income inequality.

Political factors are also playing a role. Native-born Americans are beginning to get bummed out by the current environment to the point of looking to relocate to other countries like France. At the same time, would-be skilled immigrant workers are looking elsewhere, to places like Canada, because of, among other things, our surging “antagonism” toward foreigners.

Remember how Trump was so mad that so many people from “shithole” countries wanted to come here? (“Why do we need more Haitians?” he asked). Remember how he wanted more people from Norway?

Well, people from Norway aren’t coming for the simple reason that their country does not suck, and ours increasingly does. As the Atlantic put it:

Norway is the world’s happiest country (the U.S. ranks 14), the place with the most political freedom (the U.S. ranks 45), most press freedom (the U.S. ranks 43rd), and most prosperity (the U.S. ranks 18).

Forty-third in press freedom! Forty-fifth in political freedom! Awesome. And those numbers are sure to plummet further. Within a few years, migrant caravans will be asking for passage through the U.S. to Canada.

Nonetheless, Trump is telling a few thousand of the dwindling number of people worldwide who actually want to come to our crumbling idiot’s paradise to turn around and go home.

A generation ago, Russia and America were the world’s only hegemonic powers. Now we are inarguably both in decline, although we’re taking very different approaches to facing that reality. Perhaps our two nations could help each other.

Since many Americans appear determined to wall the country off from the outside world, maybe we could ask for Russian help in unlocking the secrets of being unwelcoming.

Russia spent upwards of a century mastering the art of disinclining visitors. Anyone who has ever been near a Russian border can testify to this. Guards stare at your passport like they’re reading something vile you wrote about their mothers. One step in the wrong direction and you’ll have just enough time to see a flash of teeth before a dog the size of a horse starts pulling out your carotid artery.

The Russians are going to need to fix all of this if they’re going to get a wave of “loyal” new immigrants to come in. It won’t be an easy rebrand. Maybe they could send all their scary pogranichniki to work on the Rio Grande. It’d make their borders cheerier, and for us, it’d be a hell of a lot cheaper than a wall — and probably more effective.

On the flip side, since we clearly don’t need or want her anymore, we should send the Statue of Liberty to a key Russian border city like Zhanaul or Zabaikalsk. With her help, Russia could properly welcome new generations of Uigurs, Uzbeks, Kyrgyz, Tajiks, Kazaks, Chinese and others to help supplement the Russian gene pool.

We’ll just need a good translation of “The New Colossus” so the “huddled masses, yearning to breathe free” will go that way now. We might have to engrave an extra line or two in the spirit of, “We’re sorry about all those jokes about Bulgarians” to help certain peoples along Russia’s border get over some hard historical feelings.

The main lesson in all of this: If we want to keep foreigners out of America, we probably don’t need to take drastic steps of any kind. Just being ourselves will be deterrent enough. Once we reach the stage of being a heavily armed, paranoid ex-superpower whose citizens are more likely to overdose out of self-loathing than reproduce — Russia’s already been through this, and we’re pretty much there — people will stop coming on their own.

After a few years of that, we might get back to remembering why seeing lots of immigrants headed our way was once considered good news. Not being wanted is a great cure for xenophobia.

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Trump Is Encouraging Political Violence Print
Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=35918"><span class="small">Michael Moore, Michael Moore's Facebook Page</span></a>   
Monday, 29 October 2018 08:48

Moore writes: "So the bomber guy plasters my face on the side of his van with a crosshairs target on me, then drives around south Florida mailing bombs to the people Trump hates."

Michael Moore. (photo: Where to Invade Next)
Michael Moore. (photo: Where to Invade Next)


Trump Is Encouraging Political Violence

By Michael Moore, Michael Moore's Facebook Page

29 October 18

 

o the bomber guy plasters my face on the side of his van with a crosshairs target on me, then drives around south Florida mailing bombs to the people Trump hates. It’s been an exhausting day full of things I can’t talk about right now, so here’s my statement and I promise I’ll write about it tomorrow...

Statement from Michael Moore Regarding the Accused Bomber and His Driving Around South Florida with Moore’s Face on His Van:

"The accused bomber plastered a picture of me on the side of his van, with a crosshairs target over my face. Actually, the target is over my neck, which I'll take as a minor concession on his part.

The threat of right-wing violence against figures on the American left is not new. It is not an aberration. It is not a violation of norms. It IS the norm. Rupert Murdoch’s Fox News Channel and right-wing radio have preyed upon those who've seen their American Dream go up in smoke, and they have helped to create a generation of angry and violent conspiracy theorists who will believe any lie that is perpetrated on those airwaves. These angry right wing men have been openly encouraged to act on those lies, even as late as this very morning when Trump was tweeting his doubts that the bombs were real.

?Sadly, the new and dangerous dynamic of political violence in America is that it is now promoted and encouraged by the President of the United States.

We must vote out of office all enablers of this man and the violent culture he instigates and nurtures. There are millions and millions of us who will never be intimidated, who will never back down, and who will show up on Election Day.”

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What Did You Think Would Happen? Print
Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=44501"><span class="small">Michael Harriot, The Root</span></a>   
Monday, 29 October 2018 08:47

Harriot writes: "In this past week alone, three incidents of racial terrorism battled for headline space at news outlets across America."

Vigil for The Tree of Life Synagogue in Pittsburgh. (photo: Matt Rourke/AP)
Vigil for The Tree of Life Synagogue in Pittsburgh. (photo: Matt Rourke/AP)


What Did You Think Would Happen?

By Michael Harriot, The Root

29 October 18

 

aybe the hardest I’ve ever laughed and the hardest I’ve ever been punched happened on the same day for the same reason. I don’t even remember what my older cousin was trying to cook, but I know it involved toasting four pieces of bread. Ever the impatient one, Reggie loomed over the toaster, wondering what was taking the appliance so long. Was this thing even on?

He must have been really hungry because, after a minute or so, he bent over the toaster to see if the elements were heated (I must admit, this is just a rough guess of his motives; we’ve never really discussed this incident in depth). And just as Reggie’s eyes were peering directly into the slots, about an inch from the appliance, it happened.

When the bread was ejected, tiny crumbs of baked bread flew into Reggie’s eyes, at which I laughed for days. But it wasn’t just the sight of breadcrumbs in my cousin’s eyes that made me laugh. It was the sentence that still doubles me over with laughter every time I think about my cousin calling for help from our maternal grandparent by screaming:

“Grandma, I think I’m blind ... I got toast in my eye!”

***

In this past week alone, three incident of racial terrorism battled for headline space at news outlets across America. On Wednesday, Gregory Bush walked into a supermarket in Louisville, Ky. and allegedly killed two black patrons. Video surveillance footage shows Bush attempting to enter a predominately black church moments before the shooting, only to discover the doors to the church were not open.

The story quickly faded when “suspicious packages” began showing up at the homes of prominent Democrats and journalists who shared a common status as targets of the president’s repeated insults and denigration. Even though the impotent pipe bombs allegedly sent by Cesar Sayoc might stand as one of the biggest assassination plots in history, it would not stand as the No. 1 news story for long. On Saturday, a gunman with apparent white nationalist leanings opened fire on the Tree of Life Synagogue in Pittsburgh killing 11 innocent worshippers.

In the wake of these incidents, people will adjust the narrative to fit whichever cause they support. They will talk up the need for gun reform. Someone will inevitably probably point to the importance of mental health care while others will attribute the act to a lack of armed security (as our president did). But all of the circular logic will skirt the one inescapable reason that tragedies like this are becoming increasingly more prevalent:

White fear.

White people are afraid and this is what they do when they are afraid. It is a recurring historical truth that has existed since Christopher Columbus did not step foot on American soil. Whenever this country brings up the prospect of equality; whenever white America faces an existential change; whenever their fears are stoked by someone for political gain, white people do the same thing.

The Ku Klux Klan is not a hate group. It is a fear group founded when a bunch of white guys started wondering what was going to happen when all those slaves they had beaten and shat upon for almost a century suddenly became citizens and had the right to own guns.

The Red Summer of 1919, where “racial unrest” resulted in mass lynchings across the country, happened in part because black soldiers returned from World War I with a newly gained social status and respect, scaring some white people that they might become lower than the Negro heroes. It’s why they threw Molotov cocktails at Freedom Riders who just wanted to ride a bus. It’s why they put a bullet through Martin Luther King Jr.’s jaw.

It’s why they insist that “All Lives Matter” to deflect from disproportionate police killings. It’s why Dylann Roof went to Emanuel AME’s bible study. It’s why they bombed Black Wall Street. It’s why they questioned Obama’s birth certificate and burned him in effigy. It’s why George Zimmerman pulled a gun on a teenager and why Philando Castile was shot dead.

The synagogue mass shooting/hate crime/terrorist act, the Kroger killings and the MAGABomber are all scary. They are tragedies. They are blights upon an American society that is supposedly built on freedom and equality.

They are also exactly what we should have expected.

None of these incidents have anything to do with hate, mental health or guns. White people have been crazy for a while; there are as many guns now as there were during the Obama administration and, despite what people would have you believe, Trump hasn’t turned anyone into a racist.

But to paraphrase our great purveyor of white male pattern boldness, he alone is responsible for this.

Even though he has turned the presidency into a laughingstock, Donald Trump is among the most powerful and is probably the most famous human being in the universe. He is universally known, and the world—even his detractors—hangs on his every word,

It’s time we stop equivocating and openly acknowledge that this insanely famous man, whose words might be the most influential in the world, is a white nationalist. That is not an opinion. He says what white nationalists say. He does what white nationalists do. White nationalists even admit it.

So what did we think would happen when this powerful voice tells the world that there are “good” people on the side of white supremacy? We’ve seen his acolytes whipped into a protester-punching frenzy at his command. He literally told us that his followers wouldn’t care if he committed murder. It was not a metaphor for murder, so how the hell can we be surprised when there is a murder or two... or 11?

When Donald Trump calls the press the “enemy of the people,” why wouldn’t at least one of the tens of millions of people who hear that and treat the members of the press as an actual enemy? We know what the dog-whistle term “globalist” means. We see Trump give credence to people like Alex Jones, who spreads ludicrous conspiracy theories about Obama, Hillary Clinton and Soros killing, conspiring and even enabling a child sex-trafficking ring. Who would cry over a sex-trafficking pedophile?

If you lay down with neo-Nazis (including hiring them as advisers), you get anti-semitism and attacks on Jews. If, according to Trump, the Democrats are ruining America, then a serial bomber would, using Trump logic, be a hero savior.

No one should be surprised that any of this happened. We should be shocked, given Trump’s rhetoric and his reach, that it doesn’t happen more often.

It will happen again. More people will die specifically because of the kind of environment that this president has created. He has enabled and legitimized hate. Normal, balanced people won’t likely go as far. They just might simply use the n-word in the Winn-Dixie or call the police on a cookout. But it all ties back to Trump’s America.

The same thing that makes Trump’s minions laugh and chant will eventually make us all cry. We cannot be surprised when someone puts white supremacy into a toaster and white hot hate and fear pops out.

This country is blind. America has hate in its eye.

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Where in the World Is Elena Khusyaynova? Print
Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=49422"><span class="small">Quinta Jurecic, Lawfare</span></a>   
Monday, 29 October 2018 08:44

Jurecic writes: "The complaint against Khusyaynova has now been unsealed."

People walk on Red Square past the Kremlin in December. (photo: Yuri Kadobnov/AFP/Getty Images)
People walk on Red Square past the Kremlin in December. (photo: Yuri Kadobnov/AFP/Getty Images)


Where in the World Is Elena Khusyaynova?

By Quinta Jurecic, Lawfare

29 October 18

 

n Monday, Oct. 22, a Russian media outlet known as the Federal News Agency (FAN) published a video of a round-faced woman sitting at a desk, looking directly into the camera. Her name, she announced, was Elena Alekseevna Khusyaynova, and she was FAN’s accountant. Three days earlier, the United States had unsealed court documents charging her with involvement in a Russian conspiracy to influence both the 2016 presidential election and the upcoming 2018 midterm elections.

The video was also published with English subtitles on USA Really, an English-language website linked to the Kremlin and identified by the Daily Beast as a subsidiary of FAN. Khusyaynova’s statement was an exercise in trolling: She expressed innocent surprise at the charges against her and voiced her wish for America to be made great again.

Perhaps this kind of thing shouldn’t be surprising coming from an employee of an entity described by the Justice Department as having engaged in a years-long influence operation carried out through politically incendiary posts on social media. But given the specific procedural mechanisms used by prosecutors handling the case, the video is very odd indeed. It suggests that—if the person in the video is who she says she is—Khusyaynova has not been arrested either by the U.S. or by any cooperating law enforcement agency and is still in Russia. And that’s incongruous with the manner in which the government charged her in the first place.

The docket in Khusyaynova’s case in the U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of Virginia shows that the government filed the complaint and affidavit and obtained an arrest warrant on Sept. 28. At that point, the case was sealed from public view.

Prosecutors typically charge defendants using criminal complaints when the government needs to make a sudden move. To secure an indictment, a prosecutor must convince a grand jury that the government has presented probable cause that the defendant committed a crime, while use of a complaint allows the government to proceed only by alleging probable cause through an accompanying affidavit. Indictments offer certain procedural benefits for prosecutors over complaints, but the lack of the additional hurdle of going before a grand jury means that a complaint can make for a better—faster and more agile—tool in a pinch. This is almost certainly why accused Russian spy Maria Butina was charged by a complaint, rather than an indictment—investigators feared that Butina was preparing to flee the country, according to court documents.

The complaint in Butina’s case was kept under seal until she was successfully taken into custody, consistent with law enforcement’s not wanting to tip its hand in advance of an arrest. So, too, with the complaint against Khusyaynova—except that, a month after a warrant was issued for her arrest, the FAN accountant appears to remain a free woman. The video doesn’t indicate her location, but presumably Khusyaynova is somewhere sufficiently shielded from the law enforcement agencies of the United States or cooperating nations that she feels comfortable mocking the criminal charges against her. Of course, it’s possible that the woman in the video is not in fact the woman described in the complaint, but there’s no other sign that Khusyaynova is in custody, and by now there surely would be if that were the case.

What’s more, the complaint against Khusyaynova has now been unsealed, which suggests that law enforcement may have given up hope of arresting her—though it’s not obvious why the government moved to unseal the complaint in the first place. There are several stories that can be told to fit this set of facts: Perhaps, for example, the government might have moved quickly in the hope of taking advantage of a hypothetical trip by Khusyaynova outside Russian borders and into a jurisdiction friendly to U.S. law enforcement, only for the opportunity to fall through. Notably, however, this doesn’t explain why the complaint was unsealed.

But at the moment, the facts are sufficiently sparse that the only thing clear is that there’s a puzzle piece missing. Analyzing the Khusyaynova complaint on the day it was unsealed, a group of writers on Lawfare, including me, advised readers to “[l]ook for the answer to one set of questions”: “Where is Elena Alekseevna Khusyaynova, and is she a free woman?” The public now seems to have an answer to this—at least in part. The question now is why.

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This Conscience-Free Bullshit Is Why Trumpism Will Outlive Trump Print
Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=11104"><span class="small">Charles Pierce, Esquire</span></a>   
Sunday, 28 October 2018 13:13

Pierce writes: "Nobody in the past two decades did as much to make this administration* possible as did Karl Rove. Why the hell is MasterClass doing business with this vicious lifeform?"

Karl Rove. (photo: Getty Images)
Karl Rove. (photo: Getty Images)


This Conscience-Free Bullshit Is Why Trumpism Will Outlive Trump

By Charles Pierce, Esquire

28 October 18


Karl Rove and David Axelrod partner on an abomination.

ould you like to see Exhibit A of why, one day, when the country has sobered up and promised never to drive drunk into the abyss again, the experience of this administration is going to go so far down the memory hole that it's going to be found in Tiananmen Square? It came in my email on Friday from a nice young woman from a public-relations firm who probably had no idea that she was dealing the republic one more mighty sledgehammer to the gonads when she sent it out.

MasterClass, the online education company that enables anyone to learn from the best in the world, announced today that David Axelrod and Karl Rove, two of the most esteemed political strategists best known for respectively orchestrating winning presidential campaigns for Barack Obama and George W. Bush, are setting aside party affiliations to come together to teach the first MasterClass on campaign strategy and messaging. In this class, Axelrod and Rove will demystify the political campaign process and break down their philosophies on what it takes to plan and execute a winning campaign. The class is now available at www.masterclass.com/dakr. Enrollment for the class is $90 for lifetime access, or $180 per year for the All-Access Pass, which grants unlimited access to all new and existing classes.
"It has never been more important to understand how this world of politics works and how to win the hearts and minds of voters," said David Rogier, co-founder and CEO of MasterClass. "The class isn't about being a Democrat or Republican — it's about two of the best political minds of our generation teaching how to win elections. David and Karl break down their respective campaign strategies and debate what is happening in the country today, and how we got here."

As tempting as it is to go on at length on the essential uselessness in our political moment of David Axelrod—and I could, god knows—is there anybody who's lived through the last four decades in American politics, and especially the past 20 years, who doesn't recognize what an insult this is to the human intellect and to political thought?

Karl Rove is a ratfcker. That is all he is. He started in the College Republicans and was such a weasel that Poppy Bush tried to run him out of the party. He ratfcked people in Alabama and (probably) ratfcked Don Siegelman into federal prison. He ratfcked John McCain in South Carolina in 2000. He spent the next four years, and especially the years between 2001-2003, ratfcking through a national tragedy, and ratfcking from just outside the Oval Office.

He ratfcked people like Max Cleland in the 2002 midterms. (Hi, Rick Wilson! That Osama ad was a masterpiece.) He ratfcked John Kerry in 2004; I, for one, will never forget the Purple Heart Band-Aids. He then ratfcked Valerie Plame and he ratfcked the Department of Justice and he probably still should be deep in the study of institutional dining. Karl Rove never breathed a breath in which he did not abase American politics and profane self-government in the most profound ways possible. He should be shot to the moon in a spacecraft, not pretending to be a scholar, much less a gentleman.

Nobody in the past two decades did as much to make this administration* possible as did Karl Rove. Why the hell is MasterClass doing business with this vicious lifeform? That Axelrod is willing to lend his name and the credibility he earned working for Barack Obama to this enterprise, that he is willing to partner up with the single most anti-Obama political figure I can think of, at least short of the White House, proves either that he can be bought for a song, or that he's drunk so deeply of his own narcotic we-are-all-in-this-together home-brewed Civility Cider that his loved ones should immediately commence an intervention and ship his ass off to Hazleden.

This kind of conscience-free bullshit is why Trumpism is going to outlive its founder. This is the most revolting thing I've read in a long time.

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