Krugman writes: "Donald Trump's declaration that 'trade wars are good, and easy to win' will surely go down in the history books as a classic utterance - but not in a good way."
Economist Paul Krugman. (photo: Forbes)
Trump Is Losing His Trade Wars
By Paul Krugman, The New York Times
06 July 19
The pain is real, but the coercion isn’t.
onald Trump’s declaration that “trade wars are good, and easy to win” will surely go down in the history books as a classic utterance — but not in a good way. Instead it will go alongside Dick Cheney’s prediction, on the eve of the Iraq war, that “we will, in fact, be welcomed as liberators.” That is, it will be used to illustrate the arrogance and ignorance that so often drives crucial policy decisions.
For the reality is that Trump isn’t winning his trade wars. True, his tariffs have hurt China and other foreign economies. But they’ve hurt America too; economists at the New York Fed estimate that the average household will end up paying more than $1,000 a yearin higher prices.
And there’s no hint that the tariffs are achieving Trump’s presumed goal, which is to pressure other countries into making significant policy changes.
Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=51107"><span class="small">Mikhaila Fogel, Lawfare</span></a>
Friday, 05 July 2019 13:21
Fogel writes: "The former special counsel has agreed to testify in a double-header hearing with the House Judiciary and Intelligence committees on Wednesday, July 17."
Robert Mueller testifies before Congress in 2013. (photo: Saul Loeb/Getty)
The Mueller Report and the Limits of Theatrics
By Mikhaila Fogel, Lawfare
05 July 19
he work speaks for itself,” said Special Counsel Robert Mueller of his office’s report on election interference and potential obstruction of justice. On June 24, the organization Law Works agreed, producing a work of documentary theater drawn from the actual text from the Mueller report. The play was written and compiled by Robert Schenkkan—known for his Pulitzer Prize-winning play “The Kentucky Circle” and his Tony Award-winning “All the Way.” It featured a star-studded cast including John Lithgow and Joel Grey, as well as Annette Benning, Kevin Kline and Justin Long. Over the course of an hour and fifteen minutes, the actors dramatized each of the 10 episodes that relate to obstruction of justice concerns, which Mueller described in Volume 2 of his report. For those interested, the full version is available below.
In about two weeks’ time, the country won’t need Lithgow or Grey or Benning to bring to life the words of the Mueller report: We’ll have Robert Mueller himself. The former special counsel has agreed to testify in a double-header hearing with the House Judiciary and Intelligence committees on Wednesday, July 17. It will undoubtedly be a piece of political theater—in preparation for which the strengths and weaknesses of the purely theatrical “The Investigation” may help to instruct committee members on how and how not to credibly conduct a Mueller hearing.
In developing the script for “The Investigation,” Schenkkan made the crucial choice to lift his text directly from the report, rather than shoehorn it into a more traditional script. Throughout the show, Kline narrates as a resolute Mueller, bringing the audience along through the 10 different acts. Benning interjects, announcing the turn from one act to another. In each, the actors present segments of the report pertaining to their characters—both direct quotations and descriptions of their actions. In a sense, they read both their character’s lines and stage directions. For example, Lithgow, as Donald Trump, follows one furious tirade against Jeff Sessions (played by Grey) with a more muted, “The President said that the recusal was unfair and that it was interfering with his ability to govern and undermining his authority with foreign leaders.” In response, Grey’s Sessions drawls, “Sessions responded that he had had no choice but to recuse, and it was a mandatory rather than discretionary decision.”
Here’s what works about the play: It brings the document to life. Even after reading the Mueller report, there are segments that seem almost unbelievable. For instance, on paper, it’s hard to buy that a president would lambast his attorney general for following basic legal ethics by saying, “This is terrible …. Jeff, you’ve left me on an island. I can’t do anything.” Yet, according to Mueller, this is exactly what Trump said to Sessions after Sessions followed the advice of career Justice Department ethics officials and recused himself from what would become the Mueller investigation. Watching Lithgow, face reddening, hurl that evocative accusation at Grey’s simpering Sessions, you believe it. And you’re horrified.
The drier parts of the report, too, work as theater. On the page, what seems to be a bureaucratic back-and-forth between then-White House Staff Secretary Rob Porter (played by Wilson Cruz) and then-White House Counsel Don McGahn (played by Michael Shannon) regarding a letter the president wants McGahn to write—which he ultimately refused to write—becomes a conversation about the unsaid, that the president wanted the White House lawyer to create what he believed to be a false record for investigators.
A nationally televised congressional hearing is inherently a performance, and here the actors of “The Investigation” can offer guidance. The majority of actors portrayed their characters with subtlety rather than melodrama or bombast. They aren’t wrapped in an epic battle to save democracy or an epic conspiracy theory to undermine it. They are simply people doing their jobs in bizarre circumstances. For instance, Shannon’s quietly frustrated McGahn helps emphasize the relentless nature of the president’s efforts to end or intervene in the Mueller probe and how often it was solely McGahn’s refusal to carry out orders that prevented the president from doing so. And Gina Gershon’s quiet-yet-gobsmacked Deputy National Security Adviser K.T. McFarland highlights just how odd it was for Trump to ask her to draft an internal record she did not believe to be accurate regarding National Security Adviser Michael Flynn’s communication with Russia. Ironically, these understated theatrical choices serve to highlight the more dramatic parts of Mueller’s narrative, because they allow the text to speak for itself.
There were two notable exceptions to this. Grey’s Sessions—an effeminate, bumbling southerner—and Alfre Woodard’s breathy, ditzy Hope Hicks elicited laughs from the audience, but telling the stories that involved those individuals in this cartoonish fashion actually undermined the credibility of the production. This was a particular shame in the case of Sessions, whose interactions with the president are so central to Mueller’s narrative.
It’s also hard to argue that Lithgow’s red-faced, emotive Donald Trump was understated. (Then again, Trump himself is a bit of a caricature; it’s actually hard to deliver lines like “this is the end of my presidency. I’m fucked” with tasteful understatement.) What’s more, Lithgow also made an unexpected choice: He made the character his own. Rather than delving into parody or impression, as Alec Baldwin has done on Saturday Night Live, he portrayed someone new: an obsessive, emotionally volatile man who delivers tirades against subordinates with almost Shakespearen elocution. While not subtle, this decision, too, lets the report speak for itself. It allows viewers to hear the words without the baggage they may attach to the president’s voice.
The show proceeds in this manner until the end, when it devolves into an excoriation of Attorney General William Barr and a recitation of the impeachment clause of the Constitution. The reading ends with Benning ominously decreeing: “Our forefathers fought a bloody war against a tyrannical king. When they framed the Constitution, they did so fully aware of the potential dangers of a powerful executive …. Robert Mueller did his job. The question is, will we do ours?”
The production had already made its point. The play’s creators should have listened to their own advice: Robert Mueller did his job of laying out instances in which the president’s conduct met the standards for obstruction—and when it didn’t. The sentimental, foot-stomping ending undid much of the credibility the production had built up over the previous hour, with its straight-shooting if emotive presentation of Mueller’s work in his own words. Whatever persuasive power the first hour of the production had went out the proverbial window with the decision to have the last word, not to let the report speak for itself.
So what can Congress learn from all of this? Asking deliberate, narrative-driven questions about the text of the report will tell a powerful and credible story. Sentiment, indignation and pontification will distract. And a four-hour presentation of the narrative Mueller and his team painstakingly constructed will be far more compelling than a four-hour presentation of what members of Congress feel about the Mueller report. Using this testimony as a moment to pontificate would be to squander what will likely be the only opportunity to hear Mueller outline his work in his own words.
Robert Mueller, whatever his skills may be as a prosecutor or FBI director, is no classically trained actor. If his public remarks on the report and his congressional testimony in his role as FBI director are any guides, Congress should expect an unemotional performance. He will be dry and, as he promised, will not go outside the bounds of the report. He will present the evidence, plain and simple. But because the evidence is quite compelling, members of Congress should embrace the opportunity to present that evidence, without taint of political dogma or high emotion. In short, they should work with the script and the leading man they’ve got.
“The Investigation” gave Congress a low-stakes dry run of presenting the Mueller report to the public. While a group of Hollywood A-listers can’t tell Congress much about what to ask Mueller when he sits down to testify on July 17, they can show members of Congress where to look in crafting their own questions and how to deliver those questions. To the question of where, the answer is the 448 pages Mueller has already written. As for how, the answer is with seriousness of purpose and without pretention or pontification. The hearing will be a spectacle—but it doesn’t have to be a circus.
And, for goodness’s sake, let Mueller have the last word.
FOCUS: The Supreme Court Is One Vote Away From Changing How the US Is Governed
Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=46091"><span class="small">Jeannie Suk Gersen, The New Yorker</span></a>
Friday, 05 July 2019 12:18
Gersen writes: "We are now explicitly on notice that the Court will likely abandon its longstanding tolerance of Congress delegating broadly to agencies."
Justice Brett Kavanaugh had not yet been confirmed when the Supreme Court heard oral arguments in Gundy v. United States; his vote could have changed the outcome. (photo: Brendan Smialowski/Getty)
The Supreme Court Is One Vote Away From Changing How the US Is Governed
By Jeannie Suk Gersen, The New Yorker
05 July 19
ad Brett Kavanaugh not been accused of sexual assault, one of the first cases he would have heard as a Supreme Court Justice would have been that of Herman Gundy, a convicted sex offender. When nominated, last July, Kavanaugh was expected to be confirmed in time for the term that started last October. But the emergence of sexual-assault allegations against him delayed his confirmation vote until October 6th, just after the Court’s first set of oral arguments—which included Gundy’s request to invalidate his federal conviction for failure to register as a sex offender. In June, the Court denied Gundy’s petition. As it turns out, Kavanaugh’s absence from the case likely changed its outcome.
Gundy v. United States was about the Sex Offender Registration and Notification Act, known as SORNA, which Congress enacted in 2006. The statute made it a crime, punishable by ten years in prison, for individuals convicted of a sex offense involving a minor to fail to register in each state where they live, work, or study. But Congress gave the Attorney General “the authority to specify the applicability” of these requirements to people convicted before SORNA took effect. In 2007 and in 2011, Attorneys General Alberto Gonzales and Eric Holder said the requirements do apply to such people.
That group encompassed half a million people, including Gundy, who was convicted of sexual assault of a minor in 2005. After serving prison time for the crime, he went to live in a halfway house in New York in 2012. After he failed to register there, he was rearrested and convicted of the new federal crime. Gundy claimed that SORNA violated the non-delegation doctrine, wherein it is unconstitutional for Congress to delegate its legislative power to the executive branch. He argued that letting the Attorney General determine whether the law applied to people like him left too much to be decided by an agency rather than by Congress.
For the better part of a century, the Court has permitted Congress to delegate broad policymaking authority to federal agencies. The Court has not struck down a statute under the non-delegation doctrine since 1935, when a conservative majority was hostile to progressive New Deal measures aimed at protecting workers and consumers. Since then, the increasing complexity of modern industrialized society has made it obvious that—even when Congress is not as dysfunctional as it is now—it’s not possible for Congress to legislate the technical details necessary to regulate the environment, health, safety, labor, education, energy, elections, discrimination, housing, and the economy.
As a result, executive agencies create regulations and implement binding policies. That has long been understood as both necessary for the country to function and consistent with the Constitution. The Court has applied a test: if a statute gives an agency discretion that is sufficiently constrained by an “intelligible principle,” then Congress is not unconstitutionally delegating legislative power. But many conservatives complain that that test has been applied in a lax way, so that any statute delegating any scope of authority appears to satisfy it. For example, the Court has repeatedly upheld statutes that give agencies only general guidance, such as to regulate in the “public interest,” or issue air-quality standards “requisite to protect the public health.”
In Gundy, all four liberal Justices, in a plurality opinion by Justice Elena Kagan, hewed to the prevailing approach, finding that Congress provided enough guidance limiting the agency’s discretion to pass constitutional muster. Three conservative Justices, in a dissent by Justice Neil Gorsuch, said that the law impermissibly gave the Attorney General “free rein to write the rules,” and was unconstitutional. Justice Samuel Alito cast the deciding vote that enabled the liberals to prevail this time, but his three-paragraph concurrence made clear that the victory may be short-lived. He said that if the majority “were willing to reconsider the approach we have taken for the past 84 years, I would support that effort.” A conservative majority was lacking here because of the absence of Justice Kavanaugh. Next time there’s a similar case before the Court, his vote will make for a different result.
We are now explicitly on notice that the Court will likely abandon its longstanding tolerance of Congress delegating broadly to agencies. What’s at stake is the potential upending of the constitutional foundations of the so-called “administrative state.” Today’s reality is that agencies, not Congress, make most federal laws. As Justice Kagan put it, if the delegation in Gundy were unconstitutional, “then most of Government is unconstitutional.”
What will happen then, when the conservative bloc prevails? The alarmist view is that the E.P.A. couldn’t have the power to decide how stringent pollution standards should be. The F.D.A. couldn’t have the authority to approve or deny applications to sell new medical drugs. The Department of Education couldn’t make rules for colleges and universities. The Department of the Interior couldn’t govern snow mobiles in national parks. The S.E.C. couldn’t regulate financial firms or securities. The F.C.C. couldn’t issue rules on net neutrality or Internet service providers. In sum, we would dwell in a world without the federal law that governs our lives.
The reason this parade of horribles is not quite right is that very few of us actually want to live in that world, and what the public, Congress, and the President all want over time, the Court is unlikely to stop. And to say that there are constitutional constraints on the scope and structure of congressional delegation to agencies is not to say that no delegation is allowed at all.
An irony of the conservative majority’s insistence on returning to the Constitution’s requirements is that non-delegation is not mentioned in the Constitution. It is a set of judicially crafted elaborations on the principles of separation of powers and good governance. Article I simply grants all “legislative powers” to Congress, Article II similarly gives the “Executive power” to the President, and the text says nothing about delegation, nor does it define legislative or executive power. The meaning of these terms, of course, has been subject to many pages of argument and judicial interpretation since.
The main idea of the non-delegation doctrine is that any law that is enforced against citizens must be approved by Congress. It’s not enough for Congress to say, “We should have a law on this subject and someone else will write and enforce it.” But this formulation is a rhetorical parlor trick. When building a house, one may have a strong idea of the kind of house one wants, but most of us have neither the knowledge nor the desire to make the thousands of key decisions about how to safely construct it. Those decisions are sensibly delegated to a contractor and an architect. A rule forbidding any delegation of that sort makes for very different, more rudimentary, building, and probably many fewer buildings built.
The more robust non-delegation doctrine that the conservative Justices desire would mean a change in the nature and scope of the federal government’s role in our lives. Conservatives favor making it difficult for the federal government to regulate, because, when it does, it risks impinging on our liberties. And, if the federal government does less, states may do more. The impact of this change will ultimately depend on which elected officials are in power, and that is really up to us, not the Supreme Court.
RSN: Shock and Outrage Are Not Enough, Action Is Required
Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=63"><span class="small">Marc Ash, Reader Supported News</span></a>
Friday, 05 July 2019 11:21
Ash writes: "The images and reports coming out of US immigrant facilities are every bit as bad as they seem, and likely worse, based on what we do not see and what cannot be known."
Eight-year-old Felipe Gomez Alonso of Yalambojoch, Guatemala, one of 7 children to die in U.S. custody of border security. (photo: Gomez Alonzo family)
Shock and Outrage Are Not Enough, Action Is Required
By Marc Ash, Reader Supported News
05 July 19
he images and reports coming out of US immigrant facilities are every bit as bad as they seem, and likely worse, based on what we do not see and what cannot be known.
These are human rights atrocities being committed on US soil by US officials. Not only are there children in cages, they are being left in those cages with little food, water, hygiene or medical attention. Seven children are now dead and in all likelihood more will be.
To make matters worse, Trump administration officials appear increasingly willing to ignore, flout, or deliberately break the law to exacerbate the problem for political gain. They seem to want what they define as a “crisis at the border” and are apparently willing to do whatever is necessary to create one.
The Democrats now in control of the House seem completely outmatched. While some Democrats appear genuinely distressed at the suffering, the best they can manage are photo-ops on the periphery to score their own political points.
The courts have ruled consistently against the administration and the border security agencies involved. So far, those rulings have had little impact. Conditions have worsened for detainees, and abuses have intensified. Again, these are significant human rights violations occurring on US soil, leading so far to the deaths of 7 children.
Badly lacking inside the facilities are food, water, and basic hygiene and medical supplies. All of which could be supplied by the government if it chose to do so. The other problem is a lack of monitoring inside the facilities. The government’s position is always that treatment of the detainees is adequate or good until evidence emerges to the contrary.
To address the problem, relief workers need to get inside the facilities with basic supplies and constant monitoring, including the ability to document conditions.
There are relief agencies capable of getting aid into the facilities, based both in the US and internationally. The courts can order aid and monitoring inside the detention centers by non-governmental organizations on an emergency basis. Those petitions need to move forward, and the relief effort inside the facilities needs get started immediately.
Standing outside the gates of these facilities in shock and horror is not enough. Relief workers and monitors must be allowed to enter the detention centers and provide the humanitarian aid that US and international law demands.
Marc Ash is the founder and former Executive Director of Truthout, and is now founder and Editor of Reader Supported News.
Reader Supported News is the Publication of Origin for this work. Permission to republish is freely granted with credit and a link back to Reader Supported News.
The senator was often on the wrong side of history when she served as California’s attorney general.
ith the growing recognition that prosecutors hold the keys to a fairer criminal justice system, the term “progressive prosecutor” has almost become trendy. This is how Senator Kamala Harris of California, a likely presidential candidate and a former prosecutor, describes herself.
But she’s not.
Time after time, when progressives urged her to embrace criminal justice reforms as a district attorney and then the state’s attorney general, Ms. Harris opposed them or stayed silent. Most troubling, Ms. Harris fought tooth and nail to uphold wrongful convictions that had been secured through official misconduct that included evidence tampering, false testimony and the suppression of crucial information by prosecutors.
Consider her record as San Francisco’s district attorney from 2004 to 2011. Ms. Harris was criticized in 2010 for withholding information about a police laboratory technician who had been accused of “intentionally sabotaging” her work and stealing drugs from the lab. After a memo surfaced showing that Ms. Harris’s deputies knew about the technician’s wrongdoing and recent conviction, but failed to alert defense lawyers, a judge condemned Ms. Harris’s indifference to the systemic violation of the defendants’ constitutional rights.
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