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FOCUS: Beware of Those Who Lecture on Electability Print
Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=40776"><span class="small">Dan Rather, Dan Rather's Facebook Page</span></a>   
Saturday, 24 August 2019 11:17

Rather writes: "The whisper campaign has begun. It was to be expected. As Elizabeth Warren marches higher in the polls, as her crowds swell, her press accounts improve, and her electability numbers rise."

Dan Rather. (photo: Christopher Patey)
Dan Rather. (photo: Christopher Patey)


Beware of Those Who Lecture on Electability

By Dan Rather, Dan Rather's Facebook Page

24 August 19

 

he whisper campaign has begun. It was to be expected. As Elizabeth Warren marches higher in the polls, as her crowds swell, her press accounts improve, and her electability numbers rise, there are an increasing number of articles with versions of the same storyline: there are widespread worries among Democrats about whether she can defeat President Trump.

The sources of these handwriting concerns are often anonymous. And that should bring with it a healthy note of caution. We know that electability is the number one motivator for Democrats. So anyone who perceives Warren as a threat, either her fellow Democratic candidates or the Trump campaign, could have a motive for pushing this narrative.

To be sure, there are many who legitimately worry Senator Warren’s progressive policies will be a hard sell. Others may not want to admit it but fear a woman will face tougher odds. But these concerns have been around for a while. And the timing now is curious. Because Warren seems to be impressing a growing number of people that she can win.

Trying to predict electability is often a frustratingly hopeless pursuit. I have found that he who lives by the crystal ball learns to eat a lot of broken glass.

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Soon September, and Then Sanity Returns Print
Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=47905"><span class="small">Garrison Keillor, Garrison Keillor's Website</span></a>   
Friday, 23 August 2019 12:29

Keillor writes: "A few more days and then summer is over and done, and good riddance, we can put away the humorous T-shirts and resume intelligent life on earth."

Garrison Keillor. (photo: MPR)
Garrison Keillor. (photo: MPR)


Soon September, and Then Sanity Returns

By Garrison Keillor, Garrison Keillor's Website

23 August 19

 

few more days and then summer is over and done, and good riddance, we can put away the humorous T-shirts and resume intelligent life on earth. I felt a hint of September in the air last Wednesday and it made me happy, like walking up the street and hearing the neighbor girl playing a Chopin étude instead of that dang Bach minuet. Finally, we’re getting somewhere.

Summer is nice for about a month and then it raises hopes of euphoria that cannot be met and it’s time to return to reality. Euphoria is available in pharmaceutical form but it’s nothing to base a life on. It tends to lead to stupidity.

I’m an old man, I didn’t just fall off the rutabaga wagon, so you have to listen to me. I look back on a lifetime of wretched vacation trips — the misery of canoeing the Boundary Waters wilderness in a cloud of mosquitoes — the week in Maine, listening to rain on the roof. And then there was Australia, twenty-five hours from Minnesota: either you fly first-class for the price of a three-bedroom home, or you fly steerage like a criminal in leg irons, and spend two weeks dreading the return. And there was Barbados, where a white man who lay on the beach for ten minutes opened the door to a world of pain and spent a week trying to keep any material object from touching his skin.

The lesson here is simple: don’t vacate. It tends to make you feel vacant. Stay home and read a good book. If you need to travel, get a hotel room in Duluth and take the book with you. There’s a lake there that’s superior to any you’ve seen. It’s good enough.

The problem with summer is that you feel you’re missing something that they have in Paris or Aspen or New Zealand or Walden Pond, but in fact it’s right there in your own home, and the beauty of winter is that it’s all about getting home and staying there as the blizzard approaches and dire warnings are broadcast and when you arrive home after your heroic escape from the jaws of the storm, your children who’ve treated you with faint contempt for months throw their arms around you weeping in gratitude, orphanhood avoided. It’s the truth.

A good snowstorm gives us perspective. It makes us cheerful. Eight inches of snow, high winds, the mercury falling into nothingness, it’s an event that pulls people together. Everyone has a story about where they were when the storm hit and how they made it home, a story like Proust except funnier.

You don’t come home from Paris with a story. You come home with the knowledge that you’re not French. Winter is more interactive. The sidewalk is treacherous and that is a reality; you must walk slowly, flat-footed, or you may slip in an odd twisty way and wind up in rehab for six months with a unique injury that goes into orthopedic textbooks and is named for you.

And as you slip and feel yourself falling, you realize that even though you are a great author or a leading authority or a beloved teacher, the laws of physics apply to you just as they did to Saddam Hussein when the hangman kicked the trap. You are not in control here. And then you fall and you land in a snowbank. Snow is soft. God is merciful.

This sensation of being Out of Control lasts the evening as you come home to your weeping family. They bring you hot chocolate or a hot brandy, your choice. You tell about your drive home, the satisfaction of seeing CEOs in their limos in the ditch, waiting for a tow truck. The wind howls in the chimney, you put a log on the fire, the dog lies against your feet, children nestle against you, a quilt over your lap, and your spouse winks at you in a meaningful way. This is what it’s all about. The dog is optional, the fire can be a video image, but you need the cold to inspire the nestling and the wink.

Romance requires some snow.

I’d say fourteen inches or so.

People aren’t ready

For love when they’re sweaty

Like they are when it’s twenty below.

It’s like the old man of Nantucket

Who slipped on the walk. Such bad luck, it

Was not his intention

But still — did I mention

His sweetheart was happy to see him.

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ICE Facilities Are Sounding More and More Like Guantanamo Bay Satellites Print
Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=49253"><span class="small">Jack Crosbie, Splinter</span></a>   
Friday, 23 August 2019 12:29

Crosbie writes: "Does all this remind you of anything? Guantanamo Bay was also used to detain foreign nationals without due process. Hunger strikes were common, and force-feeding detainees became the norm."

U.S. CBP officer. (photo: Denis Poroy/AP)
U.S. CBP officer. (photo: Denis Poroy/AP)


ICE Facilities Are Sounding More and More Like Guantanamo Bay Satellites

By Jack Crosbie, Splinter

23 August 19

 

vgenii Ivanov has not eaten since August 4. The 41 year old Russian citizen is currently detained at the Otay Mesa Detention Center in California, where he’s has skipped 51 meals in the past few weeks and lost 27 pounds, according to a filing in federal court reported by the Daily Beast.

On Thursday, a federal judge granted ICE’s request to restrain and force-feed Ivanov so that he doesn’t die, something an ICE official told the judge “could lead to acts of inmate violence and disruption” and potentially further hunger strikes among the other inmates at the facility.

Here’s a stupid trap to fall into: Ivanov is not eating. Force feeding will save his life. Are his guards not being compassionate by doing it, then? That’s certainly what they want you to think! ICE has been force-feeding detainees on hunger strikes since at least 2015. (Ivanov is far from the only one, he’s not even the only Russian.) This completely ignores an easier solution: asking the detainees what they need to continue eating. You can see this obvious fallacy outlined in the Daily Beast’s reporting on ICE’s plea to the judge to approve the force-feeding and restraint:

“Perceptions the other ICE detainees, as well as other inmates at the Otay Mesa Detention Center, may form as a result of such an adverse event could lead to acts of inmate violence and disruption,” Assistant Field Director James Dobson wrote in a declaration.

“Other detainees may conclude that medical staff simply let the detainee die, without doing anything to save his life. Some detainees would almost certainly and quickly form such a conclusion. This could easily lead to acts of disruption, i.e., work stoppages, food strikes, etc., and violence by detainees acting either alone or in groups. I am concerned that these acts will be directed against staff (including medical staff) or against institutional property, to express detainees’ anger, resentment, and frustrations.”?

I wonder, why are these people angry? Perhaps there is a better way to keep them from intentionally starving themselves to death, like improving their conditions? In Ivanov’s case, I can think of one specific thing that would help: a lawyer. Per the Beast’s reporting again (bolding mine):

It’s not clear why Ivanov, who was detained last November and is awaiting a deportation hearing next month, began a hunger strike on Aug. 4. There was no attorney listed for him in the court file.?

Per the San Diego Union-Tribune, Ivanov has been in immigration proceedings since November, after he presented himself at a port of entry without “proper entry documents.” He’s considered “inadmissible,” and it is not clear if he’s seeking asylum. You know what would clear so many of these things up? If he had a lawyer. Per the Union-Tribune, his next court date is set for the end of September. He may not have legal representation by then but at least we know he won’t be allowed go hungry.

Does all this remind you of anything? Guantanamo Bay was also used to detain foreign nationals without due process. Hunger strikes were common, and force-feeding detainees became the norm. The shitty, post-9/11 justification at the time was that these were suspected terrorists (which ignores the fact that even these people should be afforded basic human rights). At ICE facilities, even that flimsiest of pretenses is gone: Many of those in custody are accused only of illegally crossing the border. And yet here we are.

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FOCUS: The Amazon Rainforests Are on Fire. Brazil's Trump-Like President, Jair Bolsonaro, Is to Blame. Print
Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=51453"><span class="small">Bill McKibben, NBC News</span></a>   
Friday, 23 August 2019 11:23

McKibben writes: "In a world already on the brink of massive warming from fossil fuel combustion, the loss of the greatest carbon sink on the planet is simply too much to bear. Brazil has a responsibility not only to its own citizens but also to the entire earth."

A tract of Amazon jungle is seen burning as it is being cleared by loggers and farmers in Iranduba, Amazonas state, Brazil, Aug. 20, 2019. (photo: Bruno Kelly/Reuters)
A tract of Amazon jungle is seen burning as it is being cleared by loggers and farmers in Iranduba, Amazonas state, Brazil, Aug. 20, 2019. (photo: Bruno Kelly/Reuters)


The Amazon Rainforests Are on Fire. Brazil's Trump-Like President, Jair Bolsonaro, Is to Blame.

By Bill McKibben, NBC News

23 August 19


The new Brazilian leader called himself "Captain Chainsaw" and mocked environmentalists who feared his pro-clearance policies could decimate the Amazon.

ao Paulo is the largest city in the western hemisphere — and Tuesday it was also the most hellish. Around two in the afternoon, the sky turned suddenly and ominously dark, almost as if the sun had been eclipsed. And it had — not by the moon, but by a pall of smoke from the burning rainforests of Brazil’s Amazon.

It’s not often you can pinpoint one person as the culprit for something on this scale, but the midday darkness is the direct result of the election of Jair Bolsonaro to the country’s presidency last year. Bolsonaro, who has told people, supposedly ironically, to call him “Captain Chainsaw,” campaigned on the theory that his country’s economic development had been limited by the world’s affection for the Amazon, and he made clear that those who wanted to cut it down had little to fear from his administration. He even fired the head of the federal agency tasked with monitoring by satellite the extent of deforestation, when he found that deforestation was increasing.

The predictable result was that people began logging and burning to clear land — sometimes they want timber and sometimes they want pasture on which they can run cattle or grow soy. As of Tuesday, the satellites were showing a new fire erupting somewhere across the landscape every minute. Not because lightning was striking, but because greed and corruption were striking.

This is terrifying news for Brazilians who have to breathe the smoke. And it’s terrifying for the whole planet.

For one thing, burning a forest sends a plume of carbon into the atmosphere, exacerbating global warming. We’re already dealing this summer with massive wildfires in Alaska and Siberia and even on much-coveted Greenland, where peat deposits are apparently blazing amid record temperatures. Another region of the world in flames doesn’t help.

For another, the cattle that pasture on those newly exposed soils or eat the soybeans grown on them will send plumes of methane into the atmosphere; their belching is a not unimportant fraction of the greenhouse gases heating the planet. (One more good argument for eating lower on the food chain, though, at this point, individual decisions probably won’t come fast enough to make a sufficient difference).

And finally, when you cut down a forest, you remove the most effective means of scrubbing those greenhouse gases from the atmosphere. The Amazon is often colloquially referred to as the “lungs of the planet,” and the trees that inhabit it breathe in vast amounts of the carbon dioxide that we produce, returning oxygen in its place. Hacking away at those lungs is dangerous for any organism, the earth included.

The tragedy here is that, for several decades, Brazil had shown real dedication to managing the Amazon with some concern for the planet’s future. In the 1980s, as scientists first began to understand the crucial importance of the world’s biggest forest, they despaired about whether the country could slow its deforestation and many of those who tried, like the famous rubber tapper Chico Mendes, were murdered for their pains.

But with financial support from the rest of the world, Brazil began to protect the vast Amazon. Reserves were set aside for indigenous people; the trade in illegally logged hardwoods was controlled; and the rate of clearing dropped sharply. By some measures, Brazil did more to improve the chances of controlling climate change than any nation on earth.

There’s been some backsliding in recent years, but it took Bolsonaro to really unravel the skein of protections. His election depended on support from ranchers and loggers, and he’s taken a Trumpian pleasure in plundering the Amazon. The forest was “like a virgin that every pervert from the outside wants,” he said, and therefore Brazilians should cut it down before others had the chance. When a reporter asked about the spiking deforestation, he told him that people should simply "poop every other day." When the European nations who have given hundreds of millions of dollars to protect the Amazon protested the fires, he tweeted out nonsense about German forests and false pictures of Norwegian whaling.

It’s not clear that international outrage will have any effect on his conduct; he seems, again like President Donald Trump, to relish the scorn. But Brazil is in the process of trying to wrap up new trade agreements with the rest of the world, which gives other nations power they should use. And at a certain point — like Chinese and Indian leaders before him — Bolsonaro will doubtless find that poisoning the air of his big cities is a recipe for sliding popularity.

But that needs to happen soon. In a world already on the brink of massive warming from fossil fuel combustion, the loss of the greatest carbon sink on the planet is simply too much to bear. Brazil has a responsibility not only to its own citizens but also to the entire earth. Bolsonaro’s tantrums, like Trump’s withdrawal from the Paris accords, damages not just his own nation for a few years; it also imperils the entire earth for millennia to come.

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FOCUS: Changing How Democrats Think About the Supreme Court Print
Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=51459"><span class="small">Jeffrey Toobin, The New Yorker</span></a>   
Friday, 23 August 2019 10:52

Toobin writes: "Though the Democratic Presidential candidates aren't yet talking about the judiciary, some former officials are trying to force the subject into the political conversation."

Supreme Court building. (photo: Getty)
Supreme Court building. (photo: Getty)


Changing How Democrats Think About the Supreme Court

By Jeffrey Toobin, The New Yorker

23 August 19

 

t’s remarkable how much time the Democratic Presidential candidates have spent explicating the details of plans that have no chance of becoming law. There is, for example, no possibility at all that the Senate will pass any kind of Medicare for All plan in 2021. But the next President will certainly have a chance to make appointments to the federal judicial bench—with life tenure, no less—and the candidates have had almost nothing to say on the subject. To the extent that Democratic candidates have talked about judges at all, it’s been in the context of opposing Donald Trump’s nominees to the bench. Though the candidates aren’t yet talking about the judiciary, some former officials are trying to force the subject into the political conversation.

A fledgling liberal organization, Demand Justice, is trying to force the candidates to take a stand on a provocative proposal for the next Democratic administration. The group’s founders, Christopher Kang, who helped run judicial selection for President Barack Obama, and Brian Fallon, a former aide to Hillary Clinton and Chuck Schumer, argue that the next President should not nominate any judicial candidates who come out of the world of corporate law. As Kang and Fallon, two insiders to the process, point out, even in Democratic administrations, there is a recurring pattern among nominees to the federal bench: “A typical nominee might have an Ivy League degree and clerkships with one or more respected federal judges,” they write, in a new article in The Atlantic. “But perhaps no qualification is more prevalent than prior work at a major private-sector firm, representing the interests of large corporations.” As they note, roughly sixty per cent of federal appellate judges come from corporate firms.

The moment is especially ripe for this proposal. The story of the Roberts Court is its embrace of corporate power. The court has consistently ruled against labor unions and for big-dollar campaign contributors, polluters, and other wealthy interests. Justices Neil Gorsuch and Brett Kavanaugh, Trump’s appointees to the court, have embraced this agenda and appear likely to push the Court even more dramatically in this direction. Both showed a particular interest in limiting regulations during their time as circuit-court judges. Sheldon Whitehouse, a senator from Rhode Island, has been one of the few Democratic politicians to focus on this issue of corporate power in the courts; he’s even written a book about it. By 2021, it will be especially important to establish some sort of counterweight to this trend, because Trump will have made so many appointments, and because of the possibility of Supreme Court vacancies.

Of course, it’s easy to recognize problems with Kang and Fallon’s proposal. Virtually every private lawyer in the country represents a corporation at one time or another, so it’s difficult to identify with precision what constitutes a “corporate law firm.” Also, many lawyers spend brief periods at firms, even if they devote most of their careers to public service. Sonia Sotomayor was mostly a prosecutor in her pre-judicial career, and Elena Kagan was mostly an academic, but both put in some time at law firms, too. Should that have disqualified them? Indeed, Kang and Fallon’s idea seems like more of a rough guideline than a strict rule. It’s a reminder that even Democratic Presidents like Obama and Bill Clinton have too often limited their searches for judicial candidates to the usual suspects in the usual places—products of selective law schools who work in big law firms. Kang and Fallon write, “There are plenty enough highly qualified individuals with other backgrounds—civil-rights litigators, public defenders, and legal-aid lawyers—that the next president can afford to make identifying new kinds of candidates a priority.” Kang and Fallon are speaking directly to the Presidential candidates, who would be wise to answer, if not to agree.

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