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Polls Reveal a Surge of Support for Democrats Print
Monday, 27 September 2010 10:56

"New polls released in Kentucky, Nevada and California show that Democrats are making a big comeback in each state, and the tide may be turning against the GOP."

Senate Majority Leader Sen. Harry Reid (D-NV) speaks during a news conference. (photo: Getty Images)
Senate Majority Leader Sen. Harry Reid (D-NV) speaks during a news conference. (photo: Getty Images)


Polls Reveal a Surge of Support for Democrats

By Jason Easley, Politics USA

27 September 10

 

5 weeks out polls reveal a surge of support for Democrats.

ew polls released in Kentucky, Nevada, and California show that Democrats are making a big comeback in each state, and the tide may be turning against the GOP. In Kentucky Rand Paul has blown a 15 point lead in less than a month. In Nevada, Harry Reid is up by 5 points on Sharron Angle, and in California the Democrats in both the gubernatorial and the Senate races now lead.

The most interesting case is in Kentucky where Rand Paul has seen a 15 point lead evaporate in less than three weeks. During the first week of September, Paul lead state attorney general Jack Conway 55%-40%, in the Courier-Journal/WHAS 11 Bluegrass Poll, but that lead has complete vanished as Paul still leads 49%-47% with 4% undecided. The race is now within the margin of error, which means that it is a dead heat. What appears to have happened is that women are now tuning in and paying attention, and coming home to the Democrats. In the earlier September poll, Conway only had a 3 point lead with women, but that lead has since ballooned to 16 points. Paul has also seen his lead over Conway drop by 16 points among those who make $50,000 or more.

In Nevada, a Public Opinion Strategies Poll of registered voters shows Harry Reid leading Sharron Angle 45%-40%. Both Reid and Angle were known by 98% of those surveyed, and what seems to be killing Angle is a low favorable rating. Both Reid and Angle have high unfavorable ratings of 51% and 52% respectively, but the difference between the two candidates is that Sharron Angle has 38% favorable rating compared to 44% favorable rating for Reid. If Republicans would have run a candidate that voters in Nevada could like, Reid would probably be well on his way to defeat, but as it stands if Reid wins by 5-6 points, the GOP will have the Tea Party to thank for costing them another Senate seat.

In California, a new LA Times/USC survey has found that both well known and wealthy Republican candidates for senator and governor are faltering. The underfunded, but well known, Jerry Brown is now leading Meg Whitman 49%-44%. While Sen. Barbara Boxer has opened up an eight point lead on her Republican challenger Carly Fiorina, 51%-43%. Both of the GOP candidates have the same problem. Voters don't like them. Meg Whitman has spent $119 million trying to become the next governor, yet she has only a 33% favorable rating. Her unfavorable rating is 44%. In comparison, her opponent Democrat Jerry Brown has 40% approval rating and 41% disapproval rating.

Meg Whitman's favorable numbers are bad, but Carly Fiorina's are worse. While her unfavorable rating is a relatively low 29%, her favorable rating is a miserable 24%. In contrast, Democratic Sen. Barbara Boxer has 44% favorable rating, and a 41% unfavorable rating. Fiorina's biggest problem though is the popularity of Barack Obama. The president enjoys a 63% favorable rating in the state, and Fiorina's promise to work against Obama's agenda may have doomed her with the voters, as the survey of registered voters discovered that 56% of them wanted a senator who would support President Obama.

The polls are not only tightening because it is October and people are starting to pay attention, but there is something else at work here. In their quest for ideological purity, Republicans have nominated some very unlikable candidates, and in state after state the more voters see and hear the Teapublican candidates, the less they like them. This is why the Teapublicans avoid debating their opponents and the media. The more people find out about these candidates, the better the Democrats look.

While it is still too early to say definitively what will happen in November, since Obama's election, Republicans have struggled both on issues like healthcare reform, and in special elections with the problem of peaking too early, fading late, and being unable to close the deal with voters and the public. The Democratic strategy this year is to spend late in the cycle to capitalize on the GOP fade.

What looked like a bloodbath for the Democrats is starting to shape up to be a traditional midterm election during a recession. It is very possible that the GOP will end up blowing their chance at a historic victory, because their party's radical fringe took over and nominated a slate of unelectable candidates. Even though the national media has not caught on yet, and would be unlikely to change their narrative if they did, this election is starting to turn, and there should be no surprise if the Democrats manage to do okay on Election Night.

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Mr. President: Welcome Their Hatred Print
Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=63"><span class="small">Marc Ash, Reader Supported News</span></a>   
Sunday, 26 September 2010 20:00

The time has come for President Barack Obama to feel the power of the base that elected him ... and use it.

President Obama speaking at the Milwaukee Laborfest, 09/06/10. (photo: Doug Mills/NYT)
President Obama speaking at the Milwaukee Laborfest, 09/06/10. (photo: Doug Mills/NYT)


Mr. President: Welcome Their Hatred

By Marc Ash, Reader Supported News

26 September 10

Reader Supported News | Perspective

"They had begun to consider the Government of the United States as a mere appendage to their own affairs. We know now that Government by organized money is just as dangerous as Government by organized mob.

Never before in all our history have these forces been so united against one candidate as they stand today. They are unanimous in their hate for me -- and I welcome their hatred."

-- Franklin Delano Roosevelt, Speech at Madison Square Garden (October 31, 1936)

ear Mr. President,

You were elected as a populist with a mandate for change. It is not that you have failed to deliver change; change is not an easy thing. It is that you have failed to embrace change in your own heart. It is not enough to give it a shot, or to do your best. Rather, you must personally display the resolve necessary to achieve the goal.

Martin Luther King Jr. marched on Washington on a sunny day. He also endured brutality, prison, and finally, death. FDR for his trouble was threatened with a well-armed, well-financed domestic insurgency if he persisted with his mandate for change. He persisted.

It is great to be reasonable, it is great to be willing to engage in dialog those with whom you disagree when ideology is at issue. But "government by organized money" has no patience with reasonable dialog.

House Minority Leader John Boehner is not going to work with you, he's not going to reach out across the aisle in a spirit of bipartisanship. Boehner is going to do what his benefactors expect of him: push through an agenda favorable to their interests. Boehner is a lobbyist with a knack for winning elections. It's not that he or his fellow congressional Republicans are inherently bad, it's that their power is rooted in private corporations, and that is who they answer to.

Your record for achievement in the White House is, frankly, not bad; in fact better by far than you are given credit for. Healthcare reform alone, however modest, was an historic accomplishment, you have won a Nobel Peace Prize, engineered the badly needed stimulus package, and quite a bit more. You have been productive.

The problem is that you are a baseless President. You have no base, no group that feels they can count on you, and on which you can rely. You have admirers, and those that respect you, many of each. But that is not the same as a base. What you had during the 2008 Presidential campaign was a base. A mass movement that fought for you and gave you a mandate.

Your mistake is trying to be all things to all people. You want your political opposition to think of you as a reasonable man, but they do not care. To them this is not your country, it is theirs, and you are in it. This is a contest of determination and resolve. You must look to Gandhi, to King, to FDR and come to understand that your struggle is no less than that which they faced.

Be who we thought you were, be who you are. Welcome their hatred.


Marc Ash is the founder and former Executive Director of Truthout, and is now founder and Editor of Reader Supported News.

Reader Supported News is the Publication of Origin for this work. Permission to republish is freely granted with credit and a link back to Reader Supported News.

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Republicans Eating Their Own Print
Saturday, 25 September 2010 10:57

"Remember Doug Hoffman? You might say he was the original Christine O'Donnell - and now he's back for a victory lap."

Conservative Party congressional candidate in New York's 23rd district Doug Hoffman, 11/03/09. (photo: Wenig/AP)
Conservative Party congressional candidate in New York's 23rd district Doug Hoffman, 11/03/09. (photo: Wenig/AP)



Republicans Eating Their Own

By David A. Graham, Newsweek

25 September 10

 

Doug Hoffman and other vanity candidates could undermine GOP pickups.

Remember Doug Hoffman? You might say he was the original Christine O'Donnell - and now he's back for a victory lap.

He's the very conservative candidate who cost Republicans New York's 23rd Congressional District in 2009, handing it to Democrat Bill Owens in a special election to replace John McHugh, a Republican who resigned to become secretary of the Army. In that race, he ran as a Conservative Party candidate facing moderate Republican Dede Scozzafava. It should have been easy for Republicans to hold, given that McHugh was a Republican and the district has historicall voted for Republicans for president, including in 2000 and 2004 (CORRECTION: This post originally stated that the 23rd district voted for McCain). But even after Scozzafava bowed to intense pressure and left the race, she drew 6 percent of the vote, enough to split conservatives and hand the election to Owens. (Hoffman had a hard time letting go, trying to "un-concede," then asserting that ACORN had stolen the election from him, despite having no evidence.)

At the time, he promised to run again the following year - since it was a special election, a regular race had to be held to fill the seat on a regular basis in November 2010. And Hoffman's a man of his word: he did run for the Republican nomination, and he didn't get it, losing a primary to Republican Matt Doheny. It took Hoffman 10 days, but he's now conceded - and promised to stay in the race as a Conservative Party candidate. That should set him up well to potentially sabotage Doheny's chance to reclaim the seat.

go to original article

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GOP "Pledge": Weak Tea Print
Friday, 24 September 2010 11:07

Donna Brazile: "Republicans released that agenda, a 'Pledge to America' that simply recycles warmed-over versions of the same failed policies Republicans pursued during the Bush era and injects them with steroids to make their negative consequences even worse."

House Minority Leader John Boehner (center) unveils the Republican party's 'A Pledge to America', 09/23/10. (photo: Loeb/Getty Images)
House Minority Leader John Boehner (center) unveils the Republican party's 'A Pledge to America', 09/23/10. (photo: Loeb/Getty Images)


GOP "Pledge": Weak Tea

By Donna Brazile, Democrats.org

24 September 10

 

his year, the Republican Party has embraced out of the mainstream candidates and ideas, but when it comes to their agenda for America…well, let's just say their agenda is pretty weak tea. Today, Republicans released that agenda, a "Pledge to America" that simply recycles warmed-over versions of the same failed policies Republicans pursued during the Bush era and injects them with steroids to make their negative consequences even worse.

Republicans are pledging to hold up tax cuts for middle class families in order to secure tax breaks for millionaires and billionaires - tax cuts that would cost America $700 billion and are, according to the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office, among the least effective ways to grow the American economy and create jobs.

Republicans are pledging to roll back the Affordable Care Act and roll back Wall Street reform - giving big insurance and big banks a license to resume the same reckless, destructive policies that hurt middle class families before Democrats undertook reform.

The cost of Republicans' pledges would be hundreds of thousands of American jobs and trillions of dollars in deficit spending. But even while running up America's debt, Republicans wouldn't invest in the things that matter to most Americans. Their pledge fails to mention any Republican commitment to investing in education for America's children, in the growth of critical industries like clean energy or manufacturing, or in rebuilding America's infrastructure.

Not only does the Republican "Pledge to America" ignore our country's recent history by pushing for the same policies that led to the economic crisis, the worst recession since the Great Depression, and the loss of 8 million American jobs - it also ignores the input of everyday Americans.

The "Pledge to America" was supposed to be based on ideas solicited on Republicans' "America Speaking Out" website, but the number one idea on that site - ending tax breaks for corporations that ship jobs overseas - is nowhere to be found in the "Pledge to America." In fact, Republican leaders have gone on record time and again to defend those tax breaks and oppose Democratic efforts to repeal them - demonstrating more clearly than ever that Republicans' aren't interested in governing for the middle class; they're more interested in representing the special interests.

Republicans can keep peddling this agenda and all their other weak tea ideas, but I don't think most Americans are interested in gathering by their water cooler anytime soon.

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GM Has No Business Using Our Money Print
Thursday, 23 September 2010 19:43

Robert Reich begins: "General Motors has given $90,500 to candidates in the current election cycle, according to the Federal Election Commission. Hmmm? Last time I looked, you and I and every other US taxpayer owned a majority of GM. That means some of the money we're earning as GM owners is being used to influence how we vote in the upcoming mid-term election."

Portrait, Robert Reich, 08/16/09. (photo: Perian Flaherty)
Portrait, Robert Reich, 08/16/09. (photo: Perian Flaherty)


GM Has No Business Using Our Money

By Robert Reich, Robert Reich's Blog

23 September 10

 

GM has no business using our money on campaign contributions.

eneral Motors has given $90,500 to candidates in the current election cycle, according to the Federal Election Commission.

Hmmm? Last time I looked, you and I and every other US taxpayer owned a majority of GM. That means some of the money we're earning as GM owners is being used to influence how we vote in the upcoming mid-term election.

To put it another way, we taxpayers are paying some people (GM executives) to tell us how we should vote for another group of people (House and Senate candidates) who will decide how our taxes will be used in the future.

GM spokesman Greg Martin justifies the expenditure as a competitive necessity. "We're not going to sit on the sidelines as our competitors and other industries who have PACS are participating in the political process," he told the Wall Street Journal.

In other words, now that we taxpayers own GM, it's in our interest that GM use our money to affect how we vote, lest we mistakenly decide to support candidates who, once in office, enact legislation that helps GM's competitors and not GM.

Wait a moment. I smell hypocrisy. Didn't we help GM (and Chrysler) with a big bailout, and not help competitors Ford, Nissan, Honda, or Toyota or any other automaker that builds cars in the US?

Moreover, the circularity of GM's logic leads to some strange places. It would presumably allow any big corporation to get tax deductions (in effect, tax subsidies from the rest of us) for outlays for lobbyists, political ads, and political donations to members of congress - so long as these expenditures help the company relative to its competitors.

Problem is, the tax laws don't allow this.

Nor does the law allow taxpayer-supported entities to use taxpayer dollars to influence elections. And yet this is exactly what GM is doing.

Since TARP, suspicions about big government in cahoots with big business have fueled angry tea partiers on the right and despairing cynics on the left. GM's crass disregard for the spirit if not the letter of the law continues to fuel them.

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