That 1914 Feeling

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Tuesday, 02 June 2015 08:11

Krugman writes: "A forced Greek exit from the euro would create huge economic and political risks, yet Europe seems to be sleepwalking toward that outcome."

Paul Krugman. (photo: NYT)
Paul Krugman. (photo: NYT)


That 1914 Feeling

By Paul Krugman, The New York Times

02 June 15

 

.S. officials are generally cautious about intervening in European policy debates. The European Union is, after all, an economic superpower in its own right — far too big and rich for America to have much direct influence — led by sophisticated people who should be able to manage their own affairs. So it’s startling to learn that Jacob Lew, the Treasury secretary, recently warned Europeans that they had better settle the Greek situation soon, lest there be a destructive “accident.”

But I understand why Mr. Lew said what he did. A forced Greek exit from the euro would create huge economic and political risks, yet Europe seems to be sleepwalking toward that outcome. So Mr. Lew was doing his best to deliver a wake-up call.

And yes, the allusion to Christopher Clark’s recent magisterial book on the origins of World War I, “The Sleepwalkers,” is deliberate. There’s a definite 1914 feeling to what’s happening, a sense that pride, annoyance, and sheer miscalculation are leading Europe off a cliff it could and should have avoided.

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