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Greenwood writes: "Former Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Bernie Sanders are tied atop the field of Democratic presidential hopefuls in Iowa, according to a new poll, suggesting that the crucial first-in-the-nation caucus state is still in play for both men."

Bernie Sanders talks to supporters during a rally at the University of Washington, in Seattle. (photo: Joshua Trujillo/Seattlepi.com)
Bernie Sanders talks to supporters during a rally at the University of Washington, in Seattle. (photo: Joshua Trujillo/Seattlepi.com)


Sanders, Biden Tied in Recent Iowa Poll

By Max Greenwood, The Hill

04 June 19

 

This poll was published on May 20th so it isn't 'new' but it is recent and it demonstrates that the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination is a lot closer than the cable news outlets are saying. - MA/RSN

ormer Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) are tied atop the field of Democratic presidential hopefuls in Iowa, according to a new poll, suggesting that the crucial first-in-the-nation caucus state is still in play for both men.

An Iowa Starting Line/Change Research poll released on Monday shows Biden and Sanders each receiving 24 percent support among likely Democratic caucusgoers in Iowa.

They’re trailed by South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg, who received 14 percent of the vote, Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), who came in fourth with 12 percent, and Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.) who also had double figures at 10 percent support.

The tie between Biden and Sanders in the Hawkeye State differs from most recent national polling results that have shown the former vice president trouncing his competition, often by double digits.

A Fox News survey released last week, for instance, showed Biden with an 18-point lead over Sanders, the poll’s second-place finisher. And a recent left-leaning poll of South Carolina voters, an important Democratic primary state, showed Biden leading Sanders by more than 30 points.

The Iowa poll, however, shows a much closer race between Biden and Sanders for the all-important opening caucus.

The former vice president has double the support of Sanders among voters 65 and older — 30 percent to 15 percent, according to the Iowa Starting Line/Change Research poll. But Sanders carries a significant lead over Biden among voters between the ages of 18 and 31 — 41 percent compared to Biden’s 9 percent.

Meanwhile, Biden outperforms Sanders among female voters, according to the poll, taking 26 percent support compared to Sanders’s 19 percent. Sanders, however, has more backing from male voters, 29 percent of whom say they plan to support the Vermont senator in 2020. Biden has 21 percent support among men.

To be sure, the Iowa caucuses are still nine months away, and caucusgoers in the state are often wary to commit too early to any particular candidate.

Still, Sanders performed well there in 2016, coming in a close second to Hillary Clinton in the caucuses that year. The Iowa Starting Line/Change Research poll released Monday found that 45 percent of those who caucused for Sanders in 2016 still say that the Vermont senator is their first choice in 2020.

The poll surveyed 615 likely Democratic caucusgoers in Iowa from May 15-19. It was a margin of error of 3.9 percentage points.

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+8 # No Go 2019-06-04 13:56
The rather more remarkable statistic in this report is not that Biden and Sanders are tied for first place, but that Mayor Pete Buttigieg is in second place!
When people meet Mayor Pete they are consistently struck by his thoughtful intelligence, eloquence, compassion, and vision for moving us beyond the divisiveness of our current predicament.
 
 
-4 # Texas Aggie 2019-06-04 16:53
I personally would not put Buttigieg in the WH right now because he just doesn't have the experience. You see what lack of experience has gotten us recently. But because of his personal qualities, he definitely should be somewhere in the mixture ahead of most of the others that are in single digits.

Speaking of which, Biden is supposed to be strong in foreign affairs. So make him Secretary of State, definitely NOT president because he also is a strong neoliberal and a corporate Democrat.

If Dr. Warren doesn't make it as candidate, then there definitely is a place for her somewhere either in the Dept of Treasury or Justice. She would also be good as majority leader of the Senate.

Ms Harris has a place in the DOJ if she doesn't make it as the candidate. Much the same applies to her as to Buttigieg. She just doesn't have enough experience in governing, but has definite skills in the administration of justice. If only she hadn't given Mnuchen a pass when she could have sent him to jail.

The others are mostly hedge hogs and we need a fox as president. (‘The fox knows many things, but the hedgehog knows one big thing.’)
 
 
-2 # tsyganka 2019-06-04 20:12
Buttigieg is eloquent and charming, but lacks compassion.

South Bend's eviction rate is 3x the national average; it doubled between 2012 (when Buttigieg was first elected) and 2016.

He had low-income owners of South Bend's run-down or vacant houses fined to "incentivize" repairs, and demolished houses at the owner’s expense. Demolishing the houses made many people homeless (mostly Blacks and Latinos). They were then harassed, arrested, and fined for trying to shelter under South Bend's Main St. viaduct.

But South Bend's downtown Rich White People got Lots of help - "subsidies for luxury apartments, a multimillion-do llar tax abatement for a high-end downtown office complex, and even an attempt to sell off a full quarter of the city’s parklands to for-profit owners".

Buttigieg has also been to at least one private "Anybody But Bernie" meeting with big financier Bernard Schwartz (he backs Biden) and other Dems like Pelosi, Schumer, and officials from H. Clinton-associa ted think tanks that run hit-pieces on Bernie. Tax evader Bezos already has Washington Post attacking Bernie, just as it did in 2016.

When mayor of Burlington, VT, Bernie refused to suck up to developers. When they wanted to evict people and convert subsidized housing into luxury condos, Sanders said to one landlord: “Over my dead body are you going to displace 366 working families.” What a contrast honorable Bernie is to hurt-the-homele ss Buttigieg.
 
 
-7 # librarian1984 2019-06-05 04:48
Texas Aggie and tsyganka make excellent rebuttals.

I would add that, as this looong primary season progresses, what will matter most are policy proposals, intent and 'electability'.

Sanders wins, hands down, on policy. No Democrat can disagree with his goals on social and economic justice. (Neoliberals say they're unrealistic. (Except for war; they're creepily quiet about that.)

Intent: Other candidates have a serious credibility problem -- what they say doesn't match up with what they've actually done. Sanders doesn't have that problem. (He has 40 years of not having that problem.)

That's why we're hearing so much about 'electability', because that's the only way the establishment can try to convince us to abandon the one politician who's fighting for the goals we all believe in -- by pretending he can't get elected.

Just watch. The tsunami is building, and with Reagan, W and his Dick, and Trump in our collective rearview mirror, there is a sense of urgency.

Last presidential election, the Right made its Hail Mary pass. Now it's time for the Left to do the same, not with someone meant to destroy government, but with someone meant to make it benign.
 
 
-13 # HenryS1 2019-06-04 16:31
I would speculate that Mayor Pete's "thoughtful intelligence" would correct No Go to admit that Buttigieg is not in any way in second place, but a somewhat distant third place, in the polls on Iowa.

Don't tarnish Mayor Pete's genuine accomplishment by turning it into a transparent falsehood, please.
 
 
+12 # No Go 2019-06-05 12:24
Read the headline, if not the articleQuoting HenryS1:
I would speculate that Mayor Pete's "thoughtful intelligence" would correct No Go to admit that Buttigieg is not in any way in second place, but a somewhat distant third place, in the polls on Iowa.

Don't tarnish Mayor Pete's genuine accomplishment by turning it into a transparent falsehood, please.


Read the headline, if not the article.
Both state plainly that Biden and Sanders are tied for first, which by definition, according to the English language and arithmetic, puts Mayor Pete in second place.
 
 
-5 # lfeuille 2019-06-04 16:35
Go Bernie!
 
 
-6 # DongiC 2019-06-05 04:43
Bernie is starting to pick up momentum and his base is a large, potential majority. Sanders' record with a socialist package of legislation will do him in good stead when the final fight with Biden occurs. Go, go, man of destiny!! (And AOC as speaker of the House)
 
 
-11 # chapdrum 2019-06-06 12:45
Biden is almost as much a fraud as Trump.
 

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