| 2018 House Forecast |
| Written by <a href="index.php?option=com_comprofiler&task=userProfile&user=30004"><span class="small">Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight</span></a> |
| Tuesday, 16 October 2018 08:26 |
|
Excerpt: "How various breakdowns in the national popular vote correspond to the most likely distributions of House seats by party, according to our forecast."
2018 House Forecast16 October 18
Our forecast for every district The chance of each candidate winning, with all 435 House districts shown at the same size How the forecast has changed We'll be updating our forecasts every time new data is available, every day through Nov. 6. How the popular vote for the House translates into seats How various breakdowns in the national popular vote correspond to the most likely distributions of House seats by party, according to our forecast  How the House has swung historically Our forecasted seat breakdown in the House for 2018 and the change in the breakdown for every House election since 1924  How this forecast works Nate Silver explains the methodology behind our 2018 midterms forecast. Read more … The third-party candidates listed represent our best approximation of who will appear on each district’s general election ballot. The candidates listed will update as each race is finalized; some listed candidates may not ultimately qualify for the general election. This analysis treats currently vacant seats as being held by the party that previously controlled them.  |
