Tuesday, 20 November 2012 07:21
Did President Obama win a mandate in the recent election? Yes, he did. In 2008, he won an easier election although I estimate that he lost 5 to 10% of the vote due to the Bradley Effect. 2012 was a harder election because of the GOP obstructed economic recovery was slow, I estimate a 5% factor against the President. I also estimate a 5%+ lingering Bradley Effect. Add those two factors to the votes for Barack Obama's re-election, I believe that he would have exceeded 60% and Mitt would have received only 38-39%, truly a stunning landslide and a mandate in anyone's book.