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Blow writes: "Public sentiment is slowly drifting away from the Republicans in a way that must be giving the party's long-range strategists sleepless nights."

Portrait, Charles M. Blow. (photo: NYT)
Portrait, Charles M. Blow. (photo: NYT)



GOP Nightmare Charts

By Charles M. Blow, The New York Times

24 May 12

 

oll time!

I love this moment in the political season because the polls pour in and invariably something tucked in among the questions catches my eye but doesn’t grab the headlines.

I have selected two that get us away from the presidential race, both of which highlight just how much trouble the Republican brand continues to find itself in despite the party’s many legislative and statehouse victories in 2010. Public sentiment is slowly drifting away from the Republicans in a way that must be giving the party’s long-range strategists sleepless nights.

The first question comes from the NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey released on Tuesday (it’s question number 27). It read:

When it comes to (READ ITEM), which party do you feel is most attuned and sensitive to issues that affect this group.

Here is the list of items the poll-takers read and the way people answered:

The New York Times

The chart illustrates just how narrow Republican support is. Respondents viewed Republicans as more sensitive to religious conservatives, people in the military and small business owners. That’s not enough for a winning coalition. For everyone else — including the middle class, young adults and Hispanics — Democrats won out. Democrats even scored higher than Republicans among some groups that conventional wisdom associates with supporting Republicans, like retirees and stay-at-home moms. (I wish that the pollsters had also asked about men and racial groups, but unfortunately they did not.)

The second question comes from a Gallup morality poll that was also released on Tuesday. The question read:

Next, I’m going to read you a list of issues. Regardless of whether or not you think it should be legal, for each one, please tell me whether you personally believe that in general it is morally acceptable or morally wrong.

Here are the issues and how people responded:

The New York Times

Of the 18 moral issues, Democrats were more permissive than Republicans on 14. No surprise there. But what was a bit surprising was that on seven issues, independents eked out a small margin of permissiveness over Democrats. (This may be due in part to the fact that some devout Democrats like blacks are rather conservative, socially speaking.)

Republicans were only more permissive than Democrats and independents on three measures and they all had to do with the killing of people and animals — the death penalty, buying and wearing clothing made of animal fur and medical testing on animals. Interpret that as you will.

Independents were closer to Democrats than to Republicans on 13 of the 18 issues outlined. The only exceptions were medical research using embryonic stem cells, the death penalty, suicide and human cloning. (On cloning animals, Democrats and Republicans were both less permissive than independents, and in equal measure).

When people are asked to identify themselves by political ideology, Americans may appear to be center-right, but independents look more like Democrats than Republicans on moral issues.

This does not bode well for Republicans as the composition and conscience of the country continues to change. We are slowly becoming less religious, more diverse and increasingly open-minded.

That is completely at odds with today’s Republican Party.

 

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+8 # lexy677 2012-05-24 21:19
The poll numbers might be correct but I'll caution you or anyone not to draw any pro-democrat conclusions. The republicans have a "lock" on the white male vote. The republicans will continue to be a strong viable party until they actually finally destroy the country. Here are some facts to consider: White males voted 54% for McCain/Palin in spite of the woefully ignorant Sarah Palin being on the ticket. Since President Johnson; a democrat; presided over the passage of the civil rights act, no democratic President has ever won the presidency with a majority of the white male vote. Finally, it only took one and a half years after the disastrous Bush presidency and republican control of both houses of congress for them to take back control of the house. Who are you kidding Mr. Blow? Go ahead keep your head stuck in the sand...real fast...your job depends on it.
 
 
+5 # Billy Bob 2012-05-25 12:04
Democrats may no longer need to win the white male vote to get in. The demographics have changed substantially since Johnson's administration.

Here's another thing to consider: McCain ONLY got 54% of the white male vote. That spells a big loss for McCain. Even the white male vote is changing a bit. Not completely, but I think enough to tip the scales.

The real danger in what I see is all of the non-voting angry or complacent liberals (especially under 50) who've chosen to not have any party affiliation due to a lack of support from the Democratic Party. These are votes the Democratic Party should be courting, but in general, it isn't.
 
 
+3 # KittatinyHawk 2012-05-25 17:21
Then perhaps it is the time to work with the minorities although that is an absurd statement since we are minority..we need the Black Community, Latin Community, Asian, Indian and all other citizens to come to realize that a vote for GOP is a vote for Slavery.
To awaken Women, it is time that women start talking to other women of all color, creed, it is time Women realize that we too will be enslaved.
But it takes all of you to get off here and start organizing and doing what I read you speak of.
No third party candidate I blame everyone on every blog for that..You have the Power. If you are waiting for OWS to do it for you than you are a GOP.

I take polls with a grain of salt...they are like any one being paid to say something. Polls in a Conservative District will favor GOP etc. It is a gimmick, old but works on the sheep.

Let me know how it goes getting organized, there are great organizations out there to help you do it. Without a Fight...then do not expect much in the terms of reward. Ask anyone fighting a disease.
 
 
+11 # tingletlc 2012-05-24 23:28
"That is completely at odds with today’s Republican Party."

Yep. And so the Republican dream of ten years ago, of a "permanent Republican majority", is doomed, barring the success of the slow coup d'état that Rove and company have been organizing for most of a generation, using corporate money and corporate media, GWOT fear-mongering, politically repressive legislation (from Patriot Act to NDAA), the filibuster, model legislation drafted by corporate interests, judicial activism from the right, Presidential signing statements and executive orders, voter suppression, the introduction of non-secure voting technology, militarization of local police, domestic deployment of surveillance technology . . .

The establishment Democrats have been too busy living large to resist a coup that could put you, me and them out of business, and some of us in permanent detention. They may feel safe with their piece of the action, but ultimately, without the Constitution, nobody is secure.
 
 
+3 # 666 2012-05-25 03:46
one problem with the first item: it's an interesting list of subject headings but doesn't factor in the overall percentage each group makes up in the voting population. Religious conservatives, for example, include a large number of those in the other groups. So the real issue is about the choices people make when they are identified with multiple groups. E.g. how members of the middle class are programmed to vote against their own best interests - but they won't if they place religious values above social-economic class values, which is what the GOP-conservativ e-church alliance hammers on every day. To do that, of course, requires christian ideologues to emphasize Nietzsche's "life-denying ethos" of [institutional] christianity [that means what happens in this life doesn't matter] over its more humanistic [life-affirming ] qualities in the gospels (e.g. the sermon on the mount).
 
 
+10 # rockieball 2012-05-25 05:32
They say they are religious Christians but never quote Jesus. to them it's not "Do onto other what you wish them to do unto you." It's "Do unto others first whatever you want. Kill them all and let God (take your pick of your favorite) sort it out."
Yes they love killing, love war, love hate. Many would not know what to do if they had no one to hate, if they really had to live peacefully.
 
 
+2 # panhead49 2012-05-25 07:01
Polls - yawn. The only people that get those calls are your granny or grandpa because they are the only ones left with a land line and a name in a phone book.
 
 
+4 # tahoevalleylines 2012-05-25 09:06
EMP (yawn)

Land lines will be where the people will gather when the communication satellites and unprotected cellphone towers are compromised.

But to the issue of polls- Republican inability to think over the horizon with regard to energy/transpor t policy was never more starkly revealed than 911DAY. Bush told America to go shopping instead of buckle down and get us away from imported transport fuel.
 
 
+7 # MsAnnaNOLA 2012-05-25 07:58
Guys, it does not matter at all what we as a people believe or are "for" or "against" as long as we continue to have black box voting.

We need to take back the voting booth from the corporations. There will never be any change in this country when the votes are not counted in public.

Hand counted paper ballots for everyone. Period. Not matter how long it takes to count them.
 
 
+6 # happycamper690 2012-05-25 09:42
What the Republicans profess in a survey and what they do in public appear to be very different. How else can you explain their surprising acceptance, even reverence, for Bristol Palin? They say they are against sex out of wedlock and having a baby outside of marriage, but praise Sarah's daughter for not having an abortion. Does it get any weirder?
 
 
+7 # awen 2012-05-25 13:52
Sadly, it doesn't matter what the people think when one party owns the means of "counting" the votes. We are so screwed.
 
 
+1 # cordleycoit 2012-05-25 14:02
Looks like trouble for the Rethugs. They are good at strong arming each other and the press but they are not of the center except as they define it, FoxNews style.But of course the numbers look like the incumbent by a length and a half. It would look better if there could be a change in Congress and that the Grand Old Party is doing it's best to make it heir to an extinction event.
 
 
+6 # JSRaleigh 2012-05-26 06:05
Republicans are more responsive to the Military-Indust rial Complex & Defense Contractors.

That's not the same as supporting the men/women who serve in our armed forces.

The Republicans have always opposed the men/women who actually serve. They opposed the GI Bill, they oppose VA benefits, they cut funding for medical care for returning soldiers. They do support sending our soldiers out without adequate training or adequate equipment.

Their "support" for the troops is 3" wide, 6" long and won't scratch the paint on their SUV ... plus, it's YELLOW, just like they are.
 
 
+1 # Buddha 2012-05-29 13:00
It really doesn't matter though. The GOP saw where things were going, and instituted a mass neo-poll tax policy in key swing states, all with the hidden agenda of disenfranchisin g millions of poor, young, and senior Americans who lack a government-issu ed ID (as they also tend to vote Democrat). As public perception and beliefs shift away from the "rural white male evangelist" party the GOP has become, the GOP just counters this by pushing on the electoral scales to keep power.
 

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