Chait writes: "Who's winning the presidential race? There's an odd disconnect between the polls and the body language of the candidates."
President Obama looking confident. (photo: Getty Images)
Chait writes: "Who's winning the presidential race? There's an odd disconnect between the polls and the body language of the candidates."
President Obama looking confident. (photo: Getty Images)
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Please vote Democratic in the all senate and congressional races...lets get the do nothing, obstructionist, GOP idiots out of control. No blue dogs, all solid Dems that we can use to actually change things in this country!
Another way to look at it, over 45% of the population is now deceiving direct government payments, he will get 90% of that voate and, plus 35% of the working Americans votes.
Obama wins by a landslide.
The electoral math favors Obama. He can lose Florida and Ohio and still win the election.
He's a better speaker, more charismatic, and will do well in the debates.
I agree, Obama in an electoral landslide.
What kind of idiot thinks Republicans care or have a clue about how to fix the economy? Romney is a frickin' thief of our money, from loans, taxes and other stuff.
Listen to the convention they are roasting Obama with comedy jokes and saying absolutely nothing about the deficit, the debt or anything else - just insults.
In fact even if Obama wins, unless it is by a decisive victory, even greater than this first victory, I think the Republicans will just go on as usual - that is they just try harder with more money they steal from us in the next 4 years.
No, if we want the course of the country to change we need some overwhelming victories, and people setting some decisive trends.
And, we need Citizens United gone and election reform.
Both parties are so bad that we'd all be better off if there were no election and the presidency simply went vacant for four years.
I think it is too early to tell who will win. The reps will swift boat Obama like there is no tomorrow. there is no depth to the lies and dirty tricks they will bring out in October. The phrase "October Surprise" has always been the republican strategy. And voter suppression is probably going to be a lot more massive than we can now imagine.
On the other hand, the two republican candidates are about the worst who have ever run for office. Ryan and Romney do not have the qualities of character to do anything. The are complete liars and complete shills for the billionaire class. They are supported by organized criminals like Adelson, Rove, and Koch Bros.
Obama is no longer an inspiring candidate either. Very many African Americans will stay home this time. I will stay home. Most younger voters will stay home. Obama pissed on his base and does not deserve another vote. The only reason to vote for Obama is to be against Romney.
So the election cannot be predicted, except to say it is going to be ugly. No one will come out of this a winner. We all lose. Well, I guess wall street, the Israeli right wing, and the pentagon will win. They always do.
President Obama said right after he took office that he might be a one-term president, and he was okay with that. He is a good man, with a beautiful family, and so he's going to be happy no matter what happens with the election. He has the kind of temperament that is calm in all weathers, and he is obviously contented with his lot in life. When you're truly happy, your happiness is not dependent on the actions of others. That's wisdom. Anyone who is awake will know that Obama is head-and-should ers above Romney, and should be president for four more years. In November we will see whether the American people deserve this man.
Maine went to Ron Paul according to the Maine delegates who showed up at the Convention !
In Belfast where after they called that district for Romney they did a recount and they reported Ron Paul won ! So what did officials do when they were told about the error in the count ? They threw out all of Ron Paul's votes out and gave a 0 count for Belfast and gave the entire state to Romney ! According to Ron Paul supporters Ron Paul should have been the winner in the primary . If this is true then Romney is buying his way to the White House by corrupting the votes !
I am not a Ron Paul supporter ,"I actually am a Obama supporter ,"but I want to see a fair election not a corrupted one !
Obama needs to be on top of this issue with Maine and stop this corruption before the November election !
He's already doing that at the RNC -and being silenced for it!
The problem is that Americans are stupid, and violence, and do have an entitlement attitude that they can pick on people weaker than they are, that they can exploit minorities, and colonize countries. Listen to us talk sometimes.
The problem is that all the nice people that come here and shine sunlight out their asses do not really mean what they say ... they are not really invested in anything, not even modeling a good alternative to what we have now ... they just want to complain.
There is a middle ground between the Left and the Right and our subconscious expectations is what causes us not to be able to see it or rationally discuss it.
So, what gives?"
It's not that complicated. We DON'T HAVE A NATIONAL ELECTION.
It's decided by each state (usually winner take all). The electoral college is all that matters. Given that fact, according to www.electoral-vote.com (a website that uses an algorithm to predict based on ALL known polls and their past accuracy), President Obama is substantially ahead. There are about 10 swing states. Almost all of them favor Obama.
Of course all of this REQUIRES that votes are actually COUNTED!
Obama doesn't have enough margin to allow for 3rd parties diverting the vote.
ALSO, right now, the Senate is likely to be flipped to the repugs. They will probably have a 53 seat majority or so.
WE NEED TO VOTE AND WE NEED TO FIGHT TO MAKE SURE OUR VOTES ARE COUNTED.
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