Excerpt: "A fourth consecutive poll has found Democrat Elizabeth Warren ahead of Republican US Senator Scott Brown in a race that could tip the balance of power in the US Senate."
President Barack Obama leans in to kiss Massachusetts senatorial candidate Elizabeth Warren after she introduced Obama before he addresses supporters during a June campaign fundraiser at Symphony Hall in Boston. (photo: Stephan Savoia/AP)
Elizabeth Warren Got a Big Convention Bump
20 September 12
fourth consecutive poll has found Democrat Elizabeth Warren ahead of Republican US Senator Scott Brown in a race that could tip the balance of power in the US Senate.
The new poll by WBUR found that 45 percent of likely voters back Warren, while Brown is the choice of 40 percent. The survey found that 12 percent were undecided. The poll of 507 likely voters has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percentage points, the radio station said in a statement.
Earlier this week, a Suffolk University/WHDH-TV (Channel 7) survey had Warren at 48 percent and Brown at 44 percent, a finding that reflected a shift toward Warren. In May, a Suffolk/WHDH survey had Brown at 48 percent and Warren at 47 percent.
The candidates are set for their first debate Thursday at the WBZ-TV studios. Additional debates are set for Oct. 1 in Lowell, Oct. 10 in Springfield, and Oct. 30 in Boston.
The WBUR poll was conducted Sept. 15-17 by the MassINC Polling Group. The poll found that Warren appears to be gaining the respect of prospective voters while Brown's standing has eroded. In the survey, 39 percent of likely voters believed Warren "will stand up for regular people when in the Senate," an improvement from 30 percent from a poll in February.
On the same question, Brown's support dropped to 29 percent from 33 percent.
In what the station described as a sign that Warren's campaign themes seem to be resonating with voters, the poll found that 35 percent of voters view Warren as the candidate who best "understands the needs of middle-class families." Only 27 percent said that phrase described Brown.
Brown drew strong support when voters were asked about the candidates' connections to Massachusetts. Forty-four percent of those surveyed said Brown, a Wakefield native who now lives in Wrentham, had strong ties to the state. For Warren, an Oklahoma native who moved to Massachusetts to teach at Harvard Law School, just 13 percent of the voters said she had a deep connection to Massachusetts.
While both campaigns have released negative ads this month, Brown is considered by 35 percent of the voters to be running a more positive campaign compared to 21 percent for Warren, the poll found.
Also this week, Springfield Republican survey, taken by the Western New England University Polling Institute, put Warren in the lead 50 percent to 44 percent, just outside the poll's 4.6 percentage point margin of error. Another survey, by Public Policy Polling, a Democratic leaning group, showed Warren at 48 percent and Brown at 46 percent, within that poll's 3.3 percentage point margin of error.
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I was worried without reason. She was forceful, knowledgeable and likable. In my opinion she did very well. She didn't let any attack sit, but swatted it away immediately.
And she had the numbers at her fingertips.
There is an awful lot of things and numbers a candidate has to remember....and look confident too. I would like to hear what you think, those of you who saw the debate.
If you did not see it you can, on cbsboston.com.
I think Ms. Warren has a good shot at winning. I sure hope she will, for the senate in republican hands is a terrible thought. Mitch McConnel as leader is a horrible thought,
to Sen. Brown's repeated questioning of her character. I was also 'amused,' as others who pay attention to language may have been, by the senator's subtle shifting of terms in his response, e.g. Warren spoke of his support of subsidies for big oil companies and his rejoinder was that he had opposed subsidies for ethanol producers.
I find this incredible, even for a Rethug (and Brown isn't by any means the most extremist of the current appalling batch).
Could somebody put me right on this or confirm it?
Brown immediately accused Dr. Warren of
claiming, falsely, to be native American. which proved her bad character. (his words)
He wanted to see school records, which would presumably prove that she had got an advantage she did not deserve
She told of her parents loving each other very much, but her father's family did not want them to marry because her mothers was part Delaware and part Sioux,..The last I am not sure of..
As she said I loved my family and I trusted my parents and my aunts and uncles and I didn't ask them for papers.
She was very firm on, that the jobs she had got all her life, was on the merit of her ability. She had NEVER had any special considerations.
DR. warren was very good at pointing out Brown's record and showing where SHE stood. Also as she noted, it is very important, to keep the senate democratic.
For Inhofe a devout climate change denier, would become head of the department of environment, and he is dying to get rid of the EPA.
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